by backstop » Tue 04 Oct 2005, 12:08:24
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '
')Without oil, Japan was forced into a decision.
Time to choose... cut bait or fish?
They chose to fish.
What will the world's nations choose today?
A power-down into poverty?
or
Will they choose to "fish"?
Aaron -
I don't see anyone here denying the risk of catastrophic conflict as an outcome of the problematique, of which PO is just one aspect.
The questions are over the utility of aggressively declaring such outcome to be inevitable, as if the future were merely the past repeated.
In reality we have some chances of achieving a relatively orderly powerdown, but these are hugely diminished by the apathy of the population in beleiving that "they" (other people) won't lift a finger to help, and I daren't stand alone. So I'll do nothing ????
I personally don't mind how slim the chances appear to be - but I must object directly to them being denied outright as that actively diminishes them by affirming other peoples' fashionable apathy.
In addition to eroding the morale that is critical to facing the problems, there is a further disbenefit of exaggerating the hazards' intractability.
This is that people are more willing to consider and acknowledge those problems which have at least a visible possibility of resolution. To deny that potential solubility seems to me to be in fact encouraging the party to carry on regardless until the cliff collapses beneath it.
Which clearly ain't your intention . . . .
regards,
Backstop
"The best of conservation . . . is written not with a pen but with an axe."
(from "A Sand County Almanac" by Aldo Leopold, 1948.