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The Waiting is the Hardest Part

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby Ibon » Fri 30 Sep 2005, 14:36:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ElijahJones', '
')
What I am starting to see though is the distinct possibility that the elite have been preparing for this for quite some time and that once the case is made to the worlds power groups by whoever may ultimately have influence in those circles we are looking at a world oligarchy at least, possibly a dictatorship. This is the reality that lies underneath peak oil.

I do not feel that an armed revolution is the way to solve this issue.


I agree that the elite have been preparing, mostly by selling the masses on a myth of a consumer dream. This propaganda dream can only be sold and held in consensus by the masses so long as the infrastructure that underlies it supports the illusion. Although the elite function with a cynicism, they are not inheratly evil masterminds subjagating the masses. They are themselves sold on an illusion that their elite system is the best solution in an inherantly chaotic world. What will happen when the underlying infrastructure crumbles and the masses no longer buy into the illusion, that is the seed of the revolution, which is not by the way necessarily an armed revolution. It might lead to some arm conflicts, but I see it as a revolution of human values. This can cut across all segments of our society. You youself come from a fundamental christian past and come to this realization along with what must be a large diverse group of people including republicans, democrats, lesbians, conservative businessmen, agriarian back to the farm permaculturists, romantics, hard core geologists, ecoonomists, disalussioned suburbanites etc. etc. Peak oil is the common denominator that will form alliances of strange bed fellows of those understanding the inherant unsustainability of our culture. It has the power to break old polarizations such as conservative and liberal and therein lies its power to be revolutionary. I predict it will form a very large political movement. You can watch it now starting to congeal. It will only grow stronger and stronger.
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby SinisterBlueCat » Fri 30 Sep 2005, 14:38:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'S')inisterBlueCat, so why not join the revolution, then?


I will when it comes. What choice will I have? But I already live in a way that will make being a part of this easier.
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby SinisterBlueCat » Fri 30 Sep 2005, 14:47:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ardalla', '
')
Just as an example, there is a guy I work with who is upset about high gas prices. He says we should demand that the Saudis lower the price of crude. If they don't co-operate, he says just take the oil. He supports Donald Trump for president. He is a factory worker in a union plant who one would expect to be Democratic. He is not atypical.



I am shocked by this. I find this same thing in many, many people I talk to, people I was certain would be democrats. Supporting things that Bush promotes because it benefits the wealthy...and these people are not wealthy....and their defense of the current admin and the way things are running now borders of fanatical.

I hope I do not get smacked for saying this, but the one unifiying thread among these people is, they get most of their news by Watching Fox.
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby Ludi » Fri 30 Sep 2005, 14:51:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SinisterBlueCat', '
')I will when it comes. What choice will I have? But I already live in a way that will make being a part of this easier.


What do you mean "when it comes?" The revolution is occuring now. :) Or do you mean you'll join it when you have to but before then you prefer to live in the current dominant cultural fashion? I was under the impression you are unhappy with the present state of affairs...
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby Ibon » Fri 30 Sep 2005, 14:52:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ardalla', 'M')y compliments on a well written essay. The old me of 20 years ago would have agreed with you 100%.

These people are now living in $200,000 - $400,000 homes and driving SUVs.



$ 400,000 dollar homes and SUV's, niether of which they really own, having financed them with money they dont have. They are angry and in denial because they are trapped into a debt cycle. That is the insfrastructure that I have referred to above that has functioned until now and allowed them to live in a collective consensus denial. And when this infrastructure crumbles with an economical crisis and these people lose their jobs in masses, they will lose their faith in this consensus of consumerism. Being human they will have to replace this with another one, right? The one that will exist that will offer the best hope will be a sustainable paradigm of positive human values. The alternative path of imperialism and trying to control via hegemony can only last as long as a majority of middle class are not disenfranchised by the system. But the economic crisis we should all be preparing for will hit a large percentage of the middle class and shake their collective illusion. These same people who belived in this hegemony and bought the Bush plan to go to war in the middle east are already beginning to doubt the viability of this strategy. This doubt will only grow. I don't buy the argument that our country will increase its imperialism. It has already almost bankrupted us and an expansion of this surely will.
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby SinisterBlueCat » Fri 30 Sep 2005, 15:03:12

well, I guess I think we are really pre-revolution :)

I have shed almost all of the meaningless consumerism ways I used have, I have moved to the part of the country where I feel I will have the best chance for survival, I have a network of other local people, most of who have similiar simple lives that are already sustainable.

But have I dropped out of society? no.

I think, revolutions build, like a wave, but when it hits, it crashes hard and fast against the surf.

Mostly, I am preparing, both physically, and mentally for what I think (hope?) may be coming. To me, the most important thing is to remain aware and be flexible. But, I do not know how things will shake down, and one can only play the cards you are dealt.
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby Ludi » Fri 30 Sep 2005, 15:49:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ElijahJones', ' ')But I do not see where the support network for serious advocates of social change exists, where do I plug in to the real humanity that is working to make things right?


You can find some of them here:

http://www.permacultureactivist.net/

http://www.ic.org/

http://www.newtribalventures.com/ntv/tribalnetwork/

http://ishcon.org/index.php
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby SinisterBlueCat » Fri 30 Sep 2005, 15:57:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ElijahJones', ' ')But I do not see where the support network for serious advocates of social change exists, where do I plug in to the real humanity that is working to make things right?


You can find some of them here:

http://www.permacultureactivist.net/

http://www.ic.org/

http://www.newtribalventures.com/ntv/tribalnetwork/

http://ishcon.org/index.php


I would like to add, charity begins at home. In our small town, a now booming organic farmer's market was started by two people. Both of who live small, sustainable, organic, unelectrified lives (yes, they have no electricity, at all). Make sure you are that real humanity before you try to plug in.
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby Wallygator » Fri 30 Sep 2005, 16:50:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ElijahJones', 'O')ur country is a blinding paradox of the rich and the poor, the powerful and the cogs that must keep showing up for work everyday so filet mignon can be served in the most exclusive restaurants.


Just the other day I was flipping through a celebrity magazine while I was at my friends' apartment and there was an article that shocked me. The article was talking about some basketball player's diamond tie pin(I believe it was Kobe Bryant). The tie pin was 8 carats and was worth US$150,000. Even if someone has all the money in the world I think it's immoral to throw money away like that. It's like a slap in the face to all those who are stuggling through life just to survive. ElijahJones says that it's difficult to wait for PO. I agree! I know that PO will initially hurt those of us with little means. However in the end it will be the Great Leveller.

Have A Nice Day! :)
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby Ludi » Fri 30 Sep 2005, 19:20:55

Elijah, I'm a big believer in incrementalism, taking small steps in the direction we want to go. I don't think we need to evolve to the next plane or anything like that before we can pursue a more sustainable way of life. Even tiny steps are better than none. :)
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby Ludi » Fri 30 Sep 2005, 19:57:27

Elijah, cost depends on the community. Some are quite expensive. One of the best known, Earthaven in North Carolina, is very expensive, in my opinion. The not quite so well-known Dancing Rabbit in Missouri is less expensive. So you have to do your research. You'll also need to visit the community, probably more than once, to determine if their culture is what you're looking for. They're all different. Some are rather "pagan," others are Christian, some non-religious, etc.
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby medicvet » Sat 01 Oct 2005, 02:31:43

Okay, now this fascinating discussion has touched upon some pretty darned core issues with me. Yes, there will be a revolution, and yes, we are feeling the 'pre-shocks' of that big cultural earthquake right now. But whether it will be a step forward or back in our level of humanity, or even holds a chance of spelling our extinction, remains to be seen. We are reaching a nexus, where we have a choice of going forwards or backwards along our evolutionary development, but cannot any longer remain where we are; it is a simple impossibility. I reiterate: I am not talking about our evolutionary technology, but rather our evolutionary humanity.

Some people think that there must be some conspiracy, either vast or small, of whatever makeup, to create our circumstances. I wish it were so, but that is not my belief at all. I think that this is just 'where we are' so to speak, where we have placed ourselves because of our (speaking as a species) hubris. A poster, on this site I am fairly certain, mentioned that he called us the 'titanic era'. I find that apt.

There are no 'secrets', about PO; good lord, we are on a site about it! The information is freely available, but the only problem is we have to drop the scales from our own eyes, and that is the most difficult of all to do sometimes. When someone else puts the blindfold on us, we will fight stronger against it, than if we willingly leave the blinders on. That is a simple fact.

And a LOT of people are NOT lemmings! Some may not be knowledgable about PO, but they sense that all is not right with the world. There are a LOT of people who 'PREP'. Just doing some 'netsurfing' and going to different sites has shown me that. My main concern is the makeup of the people who are 'prepping' as a whole. I would be very fearful if I thought that MOST of the people prepping were either highly religious to the point of swallowing any pablum fed to them whole, even if it meant what they might originally view as a moral crisis could be overcome by those higher ups convincin them that an a reprehensible act would be 'for the greater good'. I would also be very fearful if I believed that MOST people prepping were of a makeup that was not dreading violent and drastic change, but looking forward to it, to the point that they were egging it on, for the sake of 'racial purity'. (speaking specifically of some really scary skinhead survivalist compounds, a lot of which are located in Idaho right now.)

Well, I am very scared, actually, but not because I think that MOST people 'prepping' fit into either category, but rather because I think that there is more than a possibility that the most reasonable and rational of these 'post peak' community ideas, ones not grounded either in religious fundamentalism that veers off into the territory belonging to cults, or grounded in bigotry and prejudice, are quite possibly not as ARMED as either of the previous I just mentioned.

Might doesn't make right, of course, but it will make what HAPPENS, you know? What I am concerned about is that some seriously misguided groups, two of which I just mentioned, could end up having more COHESIVENESS and therefore more INFLUENCE on how things will end up being for all of us in the 'postworld'. I won't say 'postpeak', because at this point in time, while PO will happen it is not totally certain that it will be the event that happens FIRST to cause a major paradigm shift in the way people live their lives (or if they even stay alive), so for me, anyway, 'postworld' fits as good as any other name.

I think that reasonable and rational people need to not just be prepared, but be ARMED, and ready to defend their right to live their lives as they see fit. The best way to do that is not just through forming 'communities', but by having at least the bare basics of an idea that these like minded communities are going to more than likely need to 'band together' and 'help each other out' from time to time.

The part that I am most concerned about with all of this is that while I see a lot of consensus and organization among and within groups, that, because of their particular ideologies, will automatically band together, I don't see the same happening, or even acknowledging that it needs to be happening, among the most so called 'civilized' of us, for want of a better term. That since they are composed of some intelligent, creative, and independant and original thinkers who can have their own beliefs and yet respect another's, this will be the same thing that could prove fatal for the overall survival of such people, or at the very least, their continued freedom to live their lives as they see fit with the least interference. And I don't see anything at all right now..any comments from anyone..to reassure me that this is not the case.

I hope I haven't segued too far off the topic, but this particular thread has brought all this to the forefront with me, and I really just had to get off my chest what has been bothering me for a little while now.
Human history becomes more and more a race between education and catastrophe.-H.G. Wells

The only basis for a nation’s prosperity is a religious regard for the rights of others. - ISOCRATES
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby mgibbons19 » Sat 01 Oct 2005, 08:57:15

Good stuff everybody. Just a couple points to add:

1) Go out to the local Barnes and Capitalist today and buy The Fourth Turning from Strauss and Howe. The season is changing. Seems to me like it's very late autumn. Weather's cold and the frosts are regular. We still have a ways to go to the solstice though.

2) Frustration with the current system is understood. But beware of revolutions. How many times has it just allowed a different set of thugs to run things?

3) We won't help ourselves or each other if we let our thinking and discussion devolve into a pissing match of 'who's more unplugged'.

I can't say I know what the future will bring. I can't say I know how to prepare for it. My own 'meteorology' might be way off as a matter of fact. But it sure feels like winter is coming.
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby SinisterBlueCat » Sat 01 Oct 2005, 10:53:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ElijahJones', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SinisterBlueCat', ' ') Make sure you are that real humanity before you try to plug in.


Wow, you are a sinister cat. Why would I be talking about it if I was'nt really interested, is their prestige of some kind in co-oping? I see you are from SC Wisconsin there are several co-ops down that way are there not. :wink:

You are apparently not living without electricity. I have a wife and daughter to consider too, but I am seriously looking for the change. If I had access to organic foods (real ones not the plastic wrapped kind in the supermarket) I would buy them.

It is true that saving money is an issue but obviously I get the broader issues and care about them. I don't get where your comment came from, unless you were hoping I would stroke your fur the wrong way?


Elijah, please know I meant you no disrespect. I just meant that one can lose a lot of time just waiting to find that social structure to plug into. I am not part of any co-op, even though there are several near-by, because I am not ready. But I have been making small steps towards where I think I want to end up.

You talk about the unavailability of organic foods, do you have any space in which you can grow your own? I started growing my own fruits and vegetables this year… I in no way can support my family on what I grow, but it gives me a topic of conversation when I visit the organic farmer’s market every week and in this way, I am able to plug into their structure better.

I have learned about heritage seeds, I have learned how to can and dry foods, I have learned how to make simple clothes by hand (where the cloth will come from, I have not figured out yet) I do not think these things make me special, but I think they make me a better fit for a life that I expect is going to be a lot more austere than it is now. And I believe there are people to learn from everywhere!

I am sorry if I came across as sinister.

Also, I would like to say, that Ludi, from what little I have read of your posts, I think you probably make a wonderful paradigm
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Re: The Waiting is the Hardest Part

Postby engulfthemanatee » Sat 01 Oct 2005, 12:03:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mgibbons19', 'G')ood stuff everybody. Just a couple points to add:

1) Go out to the local Barnes and Capitalist today and buy The Fourth Turning from Strauss and Howe. The season is changing. Seems to me like it's very late autumn. Weather's cold and the frosts are regular. We still have a ways to go to the solstice though.

I can't say I know what the future will bring. I can't say I know how to prepare for it. My own 'meteorology' might be way off as a matter of fact. But it sure feels like winter is coming.


Yes! I absolutely love that book. I read that and Generations about a year ago and they blew my mind. Such simple but fascinating theory. It really gives more rhyme and rhythm to our world. Great stuff. Millennials unite! :lol:

And yes, winter is right around the corner. Literally any day now.
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