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THE Gas Rationing Thread (merged)

How to save energy through both societal and individual actions.

Re: Gasoline update for East Tennessee/Western North Carolin

Unread postby madpaddler » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 12:50:44

My first post ever...glad I found you bunch o crazies. A Sears service store here in NC is syphoning gas from the cars in for service...Friends of mine filled up before heading to the Sears and find over 1/4 tank gone upon pick up. Obviously it is an employee, but here we go...
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Re: Do not run out and buy extra gas!

Unread postby thorn » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 13:00:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'I')s that pic from Nigeria?

Anytown, USA :lol: :lol:
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Re: Gasoline update for East Tennessee/Western North Carolin

Unread postby jdmartin » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 13:21:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lawnchair', 'j')d - Sounds serious. I know you're in hilly country there and probably spread out... but I've thought about our local small-town water guys, on meter reads in an F-250 with nothing but a T-bar key in the bed. Any ability to walk more, and rationalize the walking/biking routes for meter reads? I guess this goes for the USPS too... utility tricycles anyone?

We use a small ford ranger for meter reading - unfortunately, it has to be 4 wheel drive in order to make it into a lot of the places we serve - very mountainous. Still, it gets better mileage than some of our larger trucks, which we also have to have to pull generators, compressors, backhoe trailers, etc. The few places where they can walk, I have them walk. But it's few and far between here because it's mostly rural.

What I've been doing in the past 2 years to try and increase efficiency and decrease driving & reading time is have stricter requirements on the location and layout of meters in new development and during service renewals. Except where impossible, we require contractors use double-meter boxes on new subdivisions so that the meter reader can stop once and read two meters, and we only use material for one service tap to serve two houses. We also require places with multiple meters (say a townhouse development) to have the meters banked in the same area - i.e., a 5 townhouse unit would have all 5 of its meters in the same location. This also cuts down on driving.

These are small things, though. They help, but ultimately, short of having some ultra-powerful electric cars, we are going to burn a lot of fuel regardless. You can't push a backhoe 5 miles to a main line break.
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Gasoline update for East Tennessee/Western North Carolin

Unread postby jdmartin » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 13:25:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Rabbit', 'W')hat about asking your drivers if one might own and ride a motorcycle? You can cover a lot more meters on a Motorcycle getting 50 MPG.

Ha! Only if I can get a never-ending supply of meter readers...
Seriously, it is dangerous as it is for a meter reader to slow down, come to a stop, or pull off the road to read meters right now. And this is in a pickup truck, with a warning light, and clear signage all over it that states "Caution - vehicle makes frequent stops". These guys have to wear bright green vests just to keep them from getting hit by cars. I would have a lot of dead meter readers if they had to try and do the same thing by motorcycle. Not to mention it's not too easy to drag around tools, keys, and replacement parts on a motorcycle....
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Gasoline update for East Tennessee/Western North Carolin

Unread postby madpaddler » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 13:26:20

Of course toungue in check on that...everyone around me, including family, think I'm nuts. I have followed this mess for 10 years and am seeing the results as I thought might unfold. A good % of the posts I have seen on this forum are crazy indeed, like a fox.
So the first looting in NC has occured, it's a shame it came from the "Extreme Home Makeover" sponsor. :(
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Re: Gasoline update for East Tennessee/Western North Carolin

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 13:26:25

Probably not a good idea to fill the tank before getting the car serviced. Even if there aren't thieving employees, some work requires that the tank be part-empty.
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Re: Gasoline update for East Tennessee/Western North Carolin

Unread postby hotsacks » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 13:42:08

And of course the main line is going to break just about the time you can't get more diesel.
Has the county called you in for any emergency or planning proposals?If shortages continue for the next few days,will it affect the treatment plant?From a distance,it seems you are sitting in a precarious position and I'm interested in hearing how it will be handled.
All the best in anxious times.
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Re: Fuel Shortages News and Discussion

Unread postby Free » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 13:42:31

It's really strange, this still is no story at all here. I mean they mention that gas rose as high as 6$, but they make it sound like it is only immediate vicinity of the desaster. Gas prizes rose here as well, but there are only the usual moaning stories, no real alarm.

But lines at gas stations, shortages, hoarding all over the country, one would think that this story should be huge as it could have huge impacts not only in the US but on the world economy? Am I missing something?
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Gasoline Prices - Info and Predictions

Unread postby Jaymax » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 14:00:33

I wanted to create a place for posts about gas prices, whether market, wholesale, or retail. Either specific predictions, or actual observations and reports.
My disclaimer is that I purchased unleaded November futures before the storm struck - and not being in the US, it means I profit if prices look like they will go/stay up beyond mid-October. Which is emotionally quite conflicting.

My prediction: with an estimate of approx 1mb/d reduced gasolene refining since Sat, and by Friday about three days typical-usage worth of what was previously inventory, being sucked into consumer storage (in full car tanks and other containers), we will see a drop in inventory of about 30 to 35 mb of inventory in the next EIA report on Wednesday.
Despite that most of this will be a one-time drawdown, as people build their own personal inventories, it will send the market into a spin, and futures for October delivery will probably spike from about $3/gallon (currently at $2.40/gallon) to around $5/gallon...

If you're in the US, and plan to stockpile, I advise doing it before Wednesday - but perhaps after the weekend, when things have maybe calmed down a little...
Doomerosity now at 2 (occasionaly 3, was 4)

Currently (mostly) taking a break from posting at po.com. Don't trust the false prophets of doom - keep reading, keep learning, keep challenging your assum
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Re: Fuel Shortages News and Discussion

Unread postby nth » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 14:13:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Free', 'I')t's really strange, this still is no story at all here. I mean they mention that gas rose as high as 6$, but they make it sound like it is only immediate vicinity of the desaster. Gas prizes rose here as well, but there are only the usual moaning stories, no real alarm.
But lines at gas stations, shortages, hoarding all over the country, one would think that this story should be huge as it could have huge impacts not only in the US but on the world economy? Am I missing something?

I think it is a conspiracy to prevent world wide panick and hog up all the gasoline in the world. I heard Europe is going to send a couple of tankers of gasoline and jet fuel. I don't think this will arrive in time.
Danger! Danger!
Bush will take a lot of heat for this.
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Re: Gasoline update for East Tennessee/Western North Carolin

Unread postby jdmartin » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 14:16:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hotsacks', 'A')nd of course the main line is going to break just about the time you can't get more diesel.
Has the county called you in for any emergency or planning proposals?If shortages continue for the next few days,will it affect the treatment plant?From a distance,it seems you are sitting in a precarious position and I'm interested in hearing how it will be handled.
All the best in anxious times.

The treatment plant won't have any problems unless we have some kind of power problems. It's mostly gravity fed, although we do need electricity to pump finished water into our clearwell, and to take our necessary measurements (though there are ways of doing some of that by hand). We have a diesel generator that can go for weeks on the fuel supply that we keep up there. From the treatment plant everything flows into the service area by gravity, so that part is ok. However, we do have some booster pumps out there that get water to higher elevations, and maintain pressure in other areas. As long as electric stays OK, the system should mostly be fine.

The problem lies in the maintaining of the system, if I can't get fuel. We've got enough diesel on-hand to take care of the backhoe for a little while, but if I had to use that for any of the trucks we'd run out real quick. The other trucks all use gasoline, and we have no storage for that, so we have to purchase at the station just like everyone else. Today, every station around is empty. I had all the trucks topped off on Tuesday, so we're OK for now, but it will begin to be a real problem if it stretches for much longer.
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Gasolene Prices - Info and Predictions

Unread postby CARVER » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 16:34:21

For those not living in the US and trading in oil/gas futures/options, I would suggest you also keep an eye on the USD/your currency exchange rate. Your investment is in USD (I presume) and the dollar is going down at the moment. Should the dollar really start to tank, you might still profit in USD, but when you change it to your local currency that profit could be a lot lower. (You could also get an option on the exchange rate to protect your investment, but I think it is also possible that when the dollar tanks the prices for gas in USD go up to make up for it).
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Re: Gasolene Prices - Info and Predictions

Unread postby Ming » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 17:04:47

My personal bet is that de December05 HU contracts will soon raise from the present $2.0 to some $2.5.
That's a profit of $21k in each contract.
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Re: Fuel Shortages News and Discussion

Unread postby lotrfan55345 » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 17:34:29

I'm glad there isn't any gas hoardings/stealing here... or I will think the residents of Minneapolis have really gone off the deep end.
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Re: Fuel Shortages News and Discussion

Unread postby LadyRuby » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 18:16:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Free', 'I')t's really strange, this still is no story at all here. I mean they mention that gas rose as high as 6$, but they make it sound like it is only immediate vicinity of the desaster. Gas prizes rose here as well, but there are only the usual moaning stories, no real alarm.
But lines at gas stations, shortages, hoarding all over the country, one would think that this story should be huge as it could have huge impacts not only in the US but on the world economy? Am I missing something?

We're definitely heading toward an energy crisis here with actual shortages, so even if Europe's gasoline supplies are fine, the economic fallout will be global. I imagine the media in Europe will catch on soon.
In the meantime, please send some clean water and food over from Europe for our poor wretches in New Orleans. Apparently the leaders of the free world can't find a way to get food and water to them.
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Re: Fuel Shortages News and Discussion

Unread postby BabyPeanut » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 19:14:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url=http://www.carthagepress.com/articles/2005/09/01/apindex/business/d8cbm9ton.txt]Airlines May Face Possible Fuel Shortages (link)[/url] By HARRY R. WEBER
ATLANTA - Airline stocks continued to slide Thursday amid jet fuel prices that have risen nearly 20 percent this week following Hurricane Katrina's devastation, which prompted at least two major carriers to raise fares.
A Standard & Poor's analyst, meanwhile, said the added financial pressure on Delta Air Lines Inc., the nation's third-largest carrier, "may hasten an already likely bankruptcy filing, which will probably occur within weeks."
Jet fuel prices have risen in the last week an average of 36 cents, from $1.91 a gallon on Aug. 23 to $2.27 a gallon on Tuesday, according to Jack Evans of the Air Transport Association. He didn't have updated figures Thursday.

The increase, blamed in part on refinery outages and other damage along the Gulf Coast because of the hurricane, means an extra $18.6 million per day in fuel cost for the airlines based on an average daily industry consumption of 52 million gallons of jet fuel.
Bankrupt No. 2 U.S. carrier United Airlines, a unit of Elk Grove Village, Ill.-based UAL Corp., late Wednesday raised fares nationwide $10 to $30 roundtrip due to the increased cost in fuel, spokeswoman Jean Medina said.
"We are confident our customers will understand that as the price of fuel continues to reach record-high levels, we simply have no choice but to raise our fares," Medina said.
...more at site...

We are confident that our customers really need to fly since we've managed to suppress the railroad system so effectively for so long. We are also confident that they can charge ever more on their credit cards too.
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Re: Fuel Shortages News and Discussion

Unread postby MrBean » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 19:21:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LadyRuby', 'I')n the meantime, please send some clean water and food over from Europe for our poor wretches in New Orleans. Apparently the leaders of the free world can't find a way to get food and water to them.

Sorry, Europe is too far for acute relief, but tents, blankets etc. for those million of refugees will come, if we are allowed to help. Better ask Venezuela. Or even better Cuba, which is closest.
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Re: Fuel Shortages News and Discussion

Unread postby BabyPeanut » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 20:47:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url=http://starbulletin.com/2005/09/01/news/story1.html]Image
Lines were long yesterday at the Costco gas station in Iwilei as people filled up before the gas cap goes into effect today. Kristin Lee of Salt Lake, shown here filling her Volkswagen, said she waited in line for 35 minutes.

Island gas prices set for large increase (link)[/url]
A 27-cent jump seems likely thanks to a new state pricing formula and Hurricane Katrina Thurs, 1 Sep 2005 By B.J. Reyes
bjreyes@starbulletin.com
Isle gasoline prices could jump as much as 27 cents on Monday, the likely result of Hawaii's one-of-a-kind price cap law coupled with Hurricane Katrina's effects on the nation's oil supply.
If oil companies charge up to the maximum allowed and retailers maintain their usual markups, motorists could be looking at prices of about $3.15 a gallon for regular unleaded on Oahu, with higher costs on neighbor islands.

The first price caps take effect today, but increases are not expected to be as dramatic because the current price ceiling on wholesale gas was set last week, before Hurricane Katrina made landfall.
With analysts predicting moderate increases under the current cap, some motorists prepared by topping off their gas tanks yesterday, while Gov. Linda Lingle urged the state's two oil refineries to show restraint and not charge the maximum allowed under the law.
...more at site...
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Re: Fuel Shortages News and Discussion

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 20:54:29

They're lucky if it's only 27 cents. Gas has gone up sixty cents in three days around here.
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Re: Gasoline update for East Tennessee/Western North Carolin

Unread postby DoctorDoom » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 22:51:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'W')e use a small ford ranger for meter reading...it's mostly rural.

Why not use wireless technology and read the meters remotely? You could reduce the number of physical meter reads to, say, once a year at which time you'd check and if necessary replace the battery.
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