by cammo2004 » Thu 01 Sep 2005, 06:46:26
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('realeyz', 'H')i Gang
I was talking to someone earlier today about oil, gas and the war and had a few questions:
1) Why is the SPR being opened if we don't have the refinery capacity to handle it?
2) I heard that a new refinery has not been built in America in 25 years - if this is true then how have we been able to accomodate our countries increasing demand capacity over those years? Did we build more refineries than we needed back then or improve capacity to existing ones over time?
3) Is the war in Iraq in any way responsible for the increase in oil prices over the last 2 years? If so then how?
4) Is the recent increase in oil prices really due to peak oil or more due to fear, refinery capacity, and the Iraq war? All my research about PO has led me to believe PO is more of a longer term effect than just what we have experienced this last year.
Thanx and sorry if these have been discussed elsewhere before - I am just having a hard time nailing down answers to these specific questions.
- todd
1/ This can be summarised as the politicians aren't as smart as one would have hoped, or are doing what they think will get votes, or Bush is a git. Personally, I prefer the latter choice. Bush has probably in his haste not realised that it needs to be refined...
2/ From what I've read, an increasing proportion of the oil supplies that the US uses are refined overseas. I expect refineries were built with SOME excess capacity, and that some have been expanded. I don't even pretend to be an expert on this matter though, and there's probably people on this site who know better than me.
3/ To a VERY SMALL (and those two words can't be emphasised enough!) degree, yes. Mainly in the regard that the hostilities prevent "normal" oil volumes from coming out of Eye-raack.
4/ The best answer here is probably a combination of all three. Oh, and add in speculative activity (oh, joy...

)
Now, I'm by no means an expert on these matters (quite a novice, actually) but that's how I've read the situation.