[Ming]

The USD is not overvalued in relation to many currencies (like the EUR, for example).

It is overvaluated in relation to the Yuan (and some other less impontant currencies), but that is more a case of the Yuan being undervaluated...

[Ming]

However I don’t believe the future is totally unpredictable.

Educated guesses can perform very well on most accounts.

The global petroleum evolution in the next decades is one of the easy to predict cases...

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', 'T')hat is opinion. Everyone THINKS the US dollar will go down. Googling for people who THINK the same thing you do doesn't mean it's still possible that it will never happen. I don't care what other people THINK will happen. I want you to understand that just because half the world THINKS it will happen doesn't mean it will. Heck, half the world THINKS they'll continue this lifestyle, but you don't agree with them, do you?

And please just cut out the rude remarks. There's no need to insult me every time you make a post.

[Ludi]

If I drop a heavy object and say "This object will hit the floor" am I speculating?

[JudoCow09]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f I drop a heavy object and say "This object will hit the floor" am I speculating?

[emersonbiggins]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f I drop a heavy object and say "This object will hit the floor" am I speculating?

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', ' ')Monte:
What if we increased exports by 51%? You think the improbable is impossible. I want you to grasp my concept. Just because it's improbable doesn't make it impossible.

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f I drop a heavy object and say "This object will hit the floor" am I speculating?

[Guest]

JudoCow,

Ok, I'll adopt an optimistic viewpoint -

I choose to believe that YOU, JudoCow will :

Invent a limitless source of inexpensive power that can be stored in portable form for use in vehicles, and bring it on-line in a widespread fashion within the next 5 years.

Solve in the next 5 years the problems with hydrogen fusion that the worlds best scientists have been struggling to solve for the last 50+ years.

Invent "Star Trek" style replicators (in the next 5 years) to magically produce plastics, pharmaceuticals and fertilizers.

What, you don't believe you can do that?

You pessimist.

(sigh) Children. Hasn't read Long Emergency, hasn't read "Oil Age is Over", hasn't done the math, want's to put on a brave face and believe the faeries will save us.

(sigh)

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', ' ') Maybe we are subject to Liebig's Law.

[Ludi]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f I drop a heavy object and say "This object will hit the floor" am I speculating?

[sameu]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', 'T')he difference is, that even though I fundamentally agree with the great majority of your speculations, I understand that that is what they are.

That leaves me open to continually questioning and challenging my beliefs and speculations - god help me indeed if I ever become as sure of my future as you. I've got a lot of respect for you MonteQuest, but it does not extend to your ability to know the future.

Regards,

--J

[jvangi]

Be optimistic indeed.
Save YOURself because that is possible.

And... who knows. If enough persons manage to save him/herself, the YOUR can become an OUR.

Hihi

[jvangi]

By the way, to become optimistic:
Read "A theory of Power" by Jeff Vail.

Chomsky said "it's fascinating", I say "it's true".

A theory of Power

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sameu', ' ')And about Liebig's Law, I don't think it applies that much to us people. oil will be the limiting resource, implying no more growth and die-off etc but in our system we need energy, now it's provided to us in the easy cheap form as oil, hurray, and that oil will get less and less abundant.

But that doesn't mean our system will be dead, there will still be energy in the form of the everlasting sun, ok, it's not the most practical form of energy, but every day the world is flooded by energy in the form of sunlight; so our energy resource (whatever in what form) will not be vanished When the sun dies off, then Liebig's Law applies 100%
imho of course

[JudoCow09]

Quick question Monte.

One of the illustrations we've seen for Liebig's law includes a bucket with different length planks. Would you say energy was one of those planks?

And while we're at it, care to tell me why this is impratical or a lie?

[Ludi]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') solar area of only 100 square miles -- a size of land that equals only nine percent of the state of Nevada -- can generate enough electricity for the entire United States.

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', 'Q')uick question Monte.

One of the illustrations we've seen for Liebig's law includes a bucket with different length planks. Would you say energy was one of those planks?

[JudoCow09]

By the way, Ludi. As soon as you take me away, you place the experiment in a controlled situation, which we can't say the supposeable die-off is the equivilant to a scientific experiment in a controlled area. Doesn't work.

Secondly, if what that article says is true, which apparently isn't completely reliable, the technology will be capable of being mass produced September, and if that's the case, it can start way before peak hits.

Darn Bananas.

[JudoCow09]

I just wanted to make sure you didn't think energy could be one of those planks.

So are you trying to tell me that there just isn't enough sun for us to get the energy we need. And I have a hard time believing that solar is .001% of the energy accessible to man if you're comparing it to oil. According to this article, it can supply energy for the whole United States in an area that's equal to 9% of Nevada. Please explain.