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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Nothing to fear but fear itself

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby JudoCow09 » Sun 28 Aug 2005, 17:36:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', 'B')e more of the realists here.


That's the trouble. I am. Just few realize it.


Monte, few people think you're a realist because any part of your statements that's opinion usually is negative.

And it's true. History doesn't point to the future. Orginal ideas have an origin then and only then. Nothing in the past was quite like it. Original ideas have shaped our community. Put it this way, there are many paths we could have gone down, and we chose a bad one with a dead end, but the world will go back to the last turn that wasn't bad. Maybe that was 1850, maybe we can cut through the brush and find the right one. If we go back, we retreat and buy into fear. If we cut through the brush, we continue to try to find a way to maintain a lifestyle without going back to square one. Effort is all we need. People need to want to live, and when the time comes, I think they will.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 28 Aug 2005, 18:08:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', 'B')e more of the realists here.


That's the trouble. I am. Just few realize it.


Monte, few people think you're a realist because any part of your statements that's opinion usually is negative.


Realism has nothing to do with positive/negative. It is what is.

Sometimes it is good news, other times it is bad. So far, my realism has been correct.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby sameu » Sun 28 Aug 2005, 21:47:02

ok, but what are the facts here

peak oil is going to happen
we don't know when
we don't know if there will be any solution to this problem (not very likely but possible)
we don't know how steep the decline will be
we don't know when and how the governments will react (but they'll play an important role)
we don't know how the masses will react
there will be consequences, things will change, but again, we don't know how severe these things will be

to sum up, we that know peak oil will happen and that there will be consequences to that

everything else is speculation
simple as that
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 28 Aug 2005, 22:16:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sameu', 'e')verything else is speculation
simple as that


That our current financial situation is unsustainable is not speculation.

That our current civilization is unsustainable is not speculation.

That we are subject to Liebig's Law and overshoot is not speculation.

That we are not prepared is not speculation.

That alternative technologies are not currently scalable to the degree we need them is not speculation.

And finally, my "speculation", as you call it, has been spot on so far.

Simple as that.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby Guest » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 00:46:38

Yes it is. You can't call the future. It's not possible to know what is going to happen when it hasn't happened. And you contradict everything you say.

You just told us all that stuff wasn't speculation yet your speculation has been on so far. Careful how you word things.

Finally, all those things may be true if PO had happened. We aren't prepared yet. We can't support now. And although we appear in the path of Liebig's law, you don't even know if we can apply it to us right now. Otherwise, you'd contradict your own writings.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby backstop » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 00:59:33

Guest,

I'm amused at just how like JudoCow you sound. No, that's wrong, not like, but identical to JudoCow in one of her more vapid phases.

As a guest you would do well to show more courtesy to members, and refrain from making sweeping allegations unsupported by any references whatsoever.

They make you appear merely juvenile, crude and petty.

If you have anything serious to contribute then please do so.

Otherwise, desist.


regards

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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby backstop » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 01:20:00

JudoCow,

It would be well, as you grow up from your present age of, I think you said 15, if you learned to speak for yourself. Snide and offensive remarks such as:

"Monte, few people think you're a realist because any part of your statements that's opinion usually is negative"

are not only patently untrue - Monte's realism, unlike your complacency, is very widely respected both on this site and in normal life - those remarks also have no place on this forum.

If you want to play petty little ego games then you are free to post in the Hall of Flames or, alternatively, to return to your school playground.

I hope you understand that your present conduct is simply innapproriate here ?


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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby highlander » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 15:00:07

Mac wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n point of fact most people throughout time, to judge from their actions, have been content to raise their families on their little plot of land taking the good with the bad and striving to stay out of trouble. Generally speaking they have only rebelled when misgovenment, oppression and warfare have prevented them from going about their humble lives for long periods of time.


Throughout time, individuals had equivalent arms as "the powers that be". we don't now.
Right wing, left wing, doesn't matter. Those with wealth and power will do whatever it takes to keep it. "We the people" can't do anything to stop it anymore.

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This is where everybody puts profound words written by another...or not so profound words written by themselves
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby Jaymax » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 15:07:26

Generally, the points you make below are lacking words like 'sufficiently' (before prepared), or lacking a reference time wrt peak etc; however that aside:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sameu', 'e')verything else is speculation
simple as that


That our current financial situation is unsustainable is not speculation.

Yes it is

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat our current civilization is unsustainable is not speculation.

Yes it is

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat we are subject to Liebig's Law and overshoot is not speculation.

Yes it is

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat we are not prepared is not speculation.
Yes it is

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat alternative technologies are not currently scalable to the degree we need them is not speculation.
Yes it is

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd finally, my "speculation", as you call it, has been spot on so far.
Indeed it has, but we are not very far down this road yet.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')imple as that.
Simple as that.

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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 15:37:00

And posts like the above are why I continue to "speculate" like I do.

God help us... 8O
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby Jaymax » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 15:54:15

The difference is, that even though I fundamentally agree with the great majority of your speculations, I understand that that is what they are.

That leaves me open to continually questioning and challenging my beliefs and speculations - god help me indeed if I ever become as sure of my future as you. I've got a lot of respect for you MonteQuest, but it does not extend to your ability to know the future.

Regards,

--J
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 16:25:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', 'T')he difference is, that even though I fundamentally agree with the great majority of your speculations, I understand that that is what they are.

That leaves me open to continually questioning and challenging my beliefs and speculations - god help me indeed if I ever become as sure of my future as you. I've got a lot of respect for you MonteQuest, but it does not extend to your ability to know the future.

Regards,

--J


And I have continuedly qualified my posts with the unknown question of rate and magnitude, but the underlying premises are not speculation, in my opinion. Some are outright facts that people choose to deny, others are my conclusions based upon supportable evidence.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 16:36:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'T')hat our current civilization is unsustainable is not speculation.

Yes it is.


Wow. Profligate auto usage and suburbia are scalable to the global level? That's news to me.
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby Jaymax » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 17:34:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emersonbiggins', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'T')hat our current civilization is unsustainable is not speculation.

Yes it is.


Wow. Profligate auto usage and suburbia are scalable to the global level? That's news to me.


Wow. Ignoring for the moment that scaling western life-style to the global level has nothing to do with 'sustain', I did not say (or speculate, for that matter) that current civilisation will or even can be sustained. You have utterly failed to grasp the point, which was to point out that predicting the future is always speculation, and to pretend otherwise is to portray oneself as some sort of prophet...

---

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'o')thers are my conclusions based upon supportable evidence


ie: when applied to the future, are speculation - perhaps we are using different definitions of the word, but I'm not the type to not have already checked the dictionary.

Regardless, while I truly do respect your constant use of referenced evidence, I suspect you look for evidence that supports, rather than challenges your entrenched position.

I'd love to debate some of the points I disagree with you on, properly and in public - but I've found that as soon as I start, I get from one of your 'disciples' either the kind of nonsense, miss-the-point responses such as the one at top, or even less thought out "ooh look another BiGG", or worse someone apologising to you for my supposed lack of intellect, or abuse in private messages - and frankly because of that I can't be arsed.

The one thing that really gets my goat though, is pretending that the future is knowable, or that a belief in what will happen is anything other than speculation. When it comes from an ignorant person, it's easy to ignore - when it comes from someone who seems sensible enough to know better, and is regarded as something of a leader ('poster child' was the phrase used once) - it bugs the hell out of me.

--J
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 17:55:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', '.').. but I've found that as soon as I start, I get from one of your 'disciples' either the kind of nonsense, miss-the-point responses such as the one at top...


This condescension is uncalled for. Your allusion to bystanders as merely 'disciples' of MQ is completely unfounded. Frankly, the comment degenerates the level of conversation to that of adolescents, at best. Your narcissism towards 'lesser' members of the forum will not serve you well in the future.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 18:29:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', 'R')egardless, while I truly do respect your constant use of referenced evidence, I suspect you look for evidence that supports, rather than challenges your entrenched position.


There is one thing I have learned over the last 30 years of front-line involvement in ecological issues, and that is to not be blinded by one's bias. Sometimes we are. Hard to escape. But do I look for data to support my position while ignoring other points of view? Hardly. Why do you think I take such a strong position in my views? I read both sides extensively.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he one thing that really gets my goat though, is pretending that the future is knowable, or that a belief in what will happen is anything other than speculation. When it comes from an ignorant person, it's easy to ignore - when it comes from someone who seems sensible enough to know better, and is regarded as something of a leader ('poster child' was the phrase used once) - it bugs the hell out of me. --J


The dollar has to and will come down. That is fact.

To what degree is unknowable.

That mankind is subject to Liebig's law and overshoot is fact.

To what degree is unknowable.

When I start predicting what is unknowable, then my detractors might have a case.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 18:35:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jaymax', ' ')I'd love to debate some of the points I disagree with you on, properly and in public - but I've found that as soon as I start, I get from one of your 'disciples' either the kind of nonsense, miss-the-point responses such as the one at top, or even less thought out "ooh look another BiGG", or worse someone apologising to you for my supposed lack of intellect, or abuse in private messages - and frankly because of that I can't be arsed.


While others may not be as verbose as assertive as I on this forum, have you thought that just maybe they came to the same conclusions as I, independent of my "preaching?"

Maybe they are taking a stand on the facts at hand. 8)
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby JudoCow09 » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 18:39:34

And the sun has to blow up some time. That is fact.

Or is it? Maybe our sun is different. Maybe we will find a way to stop this by feeding it what it needs to stay in this stage.

He's right. You can't call the future. It's what I've been trying to say. You can't even say logic applies to every place in the universe. You don't know what happens in a black hole. Maybe the Laws we know don't apply there. You don't know. You, right now, can't know.

Maybe the dollar will come down. Maybe we are subject to Liebig's Law. But did you ever consider if the degree we are effected is not at all, or if the dollar never changed? It's a possibility. We just chose to say it was speculation rather than go through stages.

Please don't go on to insult me with one of those pointy stick comments. It's unnecessary. I'm telling you facts. Does pie ever end? No. Do circles have a beginning and end? No. Some things never end.

The world's blind. In different ways, but everyone is blind somehow.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 19:00:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JudoCow09', ' ')You can't even say logic applies to every place in the universe.


No, you can't, and your post just proved it.

Try googling the over-valued dollar and see if there is any chance in hell it won't come down.
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Re: The Only Thing We Have to Fear...

Unread postby JudoCow09 » Mon 29 Aug 2005, 19:05:32

That is opinion. Everyone THINKS the US dollar will go down. Googling for people who THINK the same thing you do doesn't mean it's still possible that it will never happen. I don't care what other people THINK will happen. I want you to understand that just because half the world THINKS it will happen doesn't mean it will. Heck, half the world THINKS they'll continue this lifestyle, but you don't agree with them, do you?

And please just cut out the rude remarks. There's no need to insult me every time you make a post.
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