by TheStorm » Thu 25 Aug 2005, 23:30:16
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('backstop', 'T')heStorm -
Welcome to the site !
I'd agree that the degree of impact will vary greatly between countries, but apart from extant resources & expectations, there will also be unpredictable variation in pivotal national events, eg. official policy, climate, currency fluctuations etc - so I'm wondering to what extent, if any, you feel that national outcomes can be forecast ?
Also, with regard to the underlying reasons for attacking Iraq I too am unable to accept that oil supply was the motivation, and I should like to hear your views.
Care to elaborate ?
regards,
Backstop
It seems to me that the countries that will do best in the future will be the ones that have sizeable petroleum reserves (both in the ground and in tanks)
and that have nuclear weapons. The reserves will allow them more time to switch to alternative energy sources, and countries that choose to use their military to make a grab for resources will pass over them and go for easier targets instead (due to their nukes).
I can also see nuclear powers entering into contracts with major oil producing nations: "You give us oil and in return we'll nuke anyone who attacks you. This may mean that the ever dwindling supply of oil goes to the nations with nukes and that the rest of the world loses out.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o, umm let's see... The largest oil importing/consuming nation invades the country with the 2nd largest oil reserves, yeah just a coinkidink.
Show me some hard evidence.