[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'P')eak oil is PeakOil Production. Not Demand, Not PeakPlastic, Not peak Coal to oil, and certainly not Peak Shale well oil.

[theluckycountry]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AdamB', ' ')

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AdamB Didn't Say', ' ')

[theluckycountry]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AdamB', ' ')

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PersecutedGadfly', 'T')here is not going to be any peak oil debate. With the one exception of Matthew Simmons, the last thing peak oilers want is actual debate. The peak oil movement is all about silencing and ridiculing ones opponents and critics with ad hominem attacks instead of listening to them and debating them.

[AgentR11]

It does seem to have left you overly bitter about things here though...

[theluckycountry]

Just stay tuned, your orders are coming.

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'J')ust stay tuned, your orders are coming.

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', 'I')t does seem to have left you overly bitter about things here though...

[AgentR11]

All things in moderation...

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', 'A')ll things in moderation...

[theluckycountry]

Peak Global net oil export capacity

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t reached its maximum potential by 2004 and hasn’t changed much in the past 21 years. During these two decades nations could only increase the amount they bought from abroad at the expense of others giving up consumption, or substituting imports with new sources of supply. And this is exactly what’s been going on since 2005, when the shale revolution has begun to turn the US (the world’s largest oil importer back then) into a net exporter. American oil imports, substituted by this new-found wealth, allowed other nations (China, India and the rest of the Global South) to more than quadruple (!) their consumption during the same time period, despite stagnating global export capacity.

But what is this net export capacity? Simply put, it is the difference between the amount of oil a country or region produces and the amount it imports. If a nation extracts more oil than it buys from abroad, it’s called a net exporter. On the other hand, nations buying more than they’re selling are net importers. But why do oil producing nations import oil in the first place? Well, because not all oil is equal: some fields produce heavy, dense, thick liquids, while others yield light, thin, gasoline-like fluids. In order to satisfy demand for all sort of oil products even oil producing nations need to import the right kind of petroleum to make everything they need from ethylene (used in plastics manufacturing) and gasoline, to jet and diesel fuel, not to mention heavier products such as lubricants, asphalt etc.

(Alternatively, they would have to import the missing products themselves). Thus, in order to judge whether a nation is a net importer or exporter, the weight of all crude oil plus condensate and natural gas liquids (separated from the production of natural gas) has to be taken into account on the production side, just like all the inland demand (plus international aviation, marine bunker fuels, refinery fuel and losses) has to be accounted for on the consumption side. The result of that calculation is what you see on the chart above, and the ones below.

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', ' ') It's been a long time since I looked at those but Australia peaked and began it's decline in 2001, the US in 1972 naturally.

[theluckycountry]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bytesmiths', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('abben', 'O')h, and does anyone have any figures for how much a completley off the grid solar system would cost, for someone using 866 Kw/H a month

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')I think I'll buy one of those house batteries, just the smallest one. So I have a buffer if blackouts come.

[theluckycountry]

It's funny, all the while the US was extracting shale oil for export at an EROI of 2:1 they were importing heavy oil drilled at 15:1 and 20:1, losing a fortune to overseas nations every day. It explains why hundreds of thousands of people were moving into tents on the side of the road.

Now a certain troll, who claims to have worked in the industry should have figured this out, and pointed it out. But like 99% of the rest of the dull cow herd it went right over his head and it needed an aussie unrelated to the oil industry to point it out. Spent years in the oil patch? Trolls

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s of late 2025 and early 2026 the competitiveness of U.S. shale oil is under pressure due to rising breakeven costs and a volatile lower-price environment. While the industry has proven remarkably resilient through technological advancements, it faces significant challenges that threaten its long-term high-growth model

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('savethehumans', 'Y')eah, but that 2013 PO date they're hawking is just going to make the public yawn and say, "Oh, we've got a few years. Why worry now?"

[theluckycountry]

Captain America will save you

[AdamB]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('savethehumans', 'Y')eah, but that 2013 PO date they're hawking is just going to make the public yawn and say, "Oh, we've got a few years. Why worry now?"

[theluckycountry]

Global peakOil occurred around 2007 and the shell games the American's have engaged in mean nothing at all. How much of the new *oil equivalents* is used to make plastic bags because it has no other use? The USA is one Giant Bullshit factory, from it's GDP to it's employment figures to the value of its public corporations. Anyone who believes any pronouncements out of that place needs their head read.