by careinke » Mon 18 Nov 2024, 06:51:58
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'A')s for bitcoin gains, lovely start, but can it complete? Have a look at the chart of it inke, I know you guys love to try and pull significance out of the history of it's boom tops.
You have three confirmed tops followed by crashes since inception, correct?
December 4/ 2013 top of $1121
December 16/ 2017 @ $19,665
November 9/ 2021 @ $67,600
And today's date is
November 7/ 2024 price, $75,900. Ominous isn't it...
My money is invested for the long haul, for the future, for the world of peakoil once we shake off this 20th century hangover. Everyone out there, at least in the Western camp, is conducting business like it was 1989. They have a total disregard to the simple fact that everything they do is based on cheap OIL.
Unfortunately the West is losing it's access to the cheap oil and every thing it has built (the financial constructs) will come crashing down, obviously. We all knew this 20 years ago and it's been happening in slow motion all around us. Tell me inke, what has been the combined inflation (real inflation) over the last 3 years? Food, building materials, car batteries, electricity prices, all that stuff we need to live a comfortable life? I would guess that over 3 years we have seen a 30~40% increase in prices for all that, and that is what BTC needs to match just to keep up.
($67,000 + 30% = $87,000) That's your break-even target from the last top.
Three years ago Gold was US$1800, today it's US$2660, a gain of 32% So Gold has kept up! Done even better in Aussie dollars. And those are consolidated Tier one asset gains too inke not casino gains.
Well, BTC today is $91,500 US Ponzi dollars, so much for the inflation adjusted high of $87,000. The lowest prediction I am I'm seeing from people making money on BTC, is $125,000 Ponzi US dollars by the end of the year. Remember, I DCA in BTC so my cost bases are considerably lower than most.

I am very excited about the future, with The America First Voters winning the Election Trifecta (Presidency, Senate, and House). Not to mention the Popular Majority, and a Conservative Supreme Court.
With the exception of the Attorney Generals position, I am completely satisfied with Trumps staff picks. So far, the future looks very bright for BTC. They are setting a goal of 1 million BTC within five years, as a strategic reserve. Mathematically, I do not see the US being able to accomplish this. Right now, the US is the eighth largest holder of BTC with 198,956 BTC Satoshi is #1 with 1,100,000 BTC (That we know of) which have not moved since he left.
There are only 450 BTC mined a day, at that rate, it will take a little over 4 years to produce enough BTC to bring the US up to 1 million BTC.
The German Government sold all of their 3,846 BTC last July at $62,604, if they had held until today to sell, they would have 112 million more dollars in their pockets. Ironically, after Trump won, they have realized their mistake and are looking at establishing their own reserve of BTC.
Now, through the ETF's, which are purchasing 5,000 BTC per day in the US alone. There are at least 23 other BTC ETFs outside of the United States who are also buying BTC.
Are you beginning to see the Supply Vs Demand opportunity yet? Let me add some more...
Ten States: Wyoming, Texas, Montana, New Hampshire, Florida, California, Colorado, Arizona, Ohio and Nevada all have favorable crypto regulations. Two states have restrictive Policies, NY and Hawaii, I expect them to change. Other states will soon follow to have their own State Reserves. One Idea floating is for state fines to be paid in BTC calculated at the time of sentencing.
As of now, 119 countries have legalized the use of BTC and other cryptocurrencies. Australia's policies on BTC seem to be proactive for the most part and is gaining in popularity.
It would be financial suicide for the US to go after the stable coin companies as they hold over 20% of all US government bonds. If the companies liquidated their bonds, it would lower the yield so much, nobody would buy them, including the Federal Reserve. So, I'm thinking the US Government under the new common-sense leadership will not go after Stable Coins.
Peace