by Outcast_Searcher » Mon 06 Sep 2021, 09:49:02
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', '
')Those processes take decades to hundreds of years, the oil depletion crises is playing out now Adam. You have a very poor grasp of all this I am afraid. Have you lost your job yet? Are you semi-retired on the government handouts? What is it, $300 a week to sit on your bum? What will you you do when the stimulus money goes and there is no job for you? That's where this is heading, Massive Job Losses.
Always the insta-doom. If oil really DOES become scarce in the next few decades as a big trend (which is FAR from assured), then the price will rise a lot. If the price rises a lot, people WILL change their priorities and habits, whether they like it or not and whether they whine about it or not.
People CAN drive far less (including living far closer to work on average, or telecommuting for more and more jobs or (gasp) walking, biking, taking the bus, which may well be electric). People CAN stop flying. People CAN buy less consumer crap -- far less for most. People CAN have less kids. People CAN live in smaller, more efficient houses. Just to name several, off the top of my head.
The oil isn't all suddenly going away (or even close), regardless.
Meanwhile, as green electrification expands, more and more driving miles will be electric. I'd sure rather see humanity use the remaining hydrocarbons for centuries producing things like the petrochemicals we actually need, vs. burning those hydrocarbons.
You give NO facts to merit your idea that Adam has a "very poor grasp" I notice. With the fast crash doomers' track record for MANY decades, claims like rapidly running out of oil should be backed by some very CONVINCING facts if we're going to take them at all seriously -- including how we ALSO rapidly run out of hydrocarbons we can substitute, like natural gas.
Also, the "economic doom is right around the corner" has been an insta-doomer trope for many decades as well. Recessions aren't doom. Doing without some things isn't doom. Recessions end, even with things like Covid-19. (And I've wanted a pay-as-we-go system since I was working, where we only ran federal deficits in true emergencies, and ran a small surplus the rest of the time. Unfortunately, voters want "more stuff" from government, so long term there's less economic growth. That's stupid, but it's not doom).
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.