[rockdoc123]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ecause it the same excuse we've all heard for the last 60 years. "Peak oil is about to happen! - oh, wait, unconventional supply has filled the demand, didn't that coming, and it doesn't count either ".

[peakoilwhen]

>you are living in another reality given the unconventionals that I was ref...

Oh no, don't try that " I'm playing my special card that makes my wrong peak oil estimate immune to unconventional supply, or any other actual reason for peak oil not happening "
Everyone tries that.
And even if your immunity card worked, isn't it pathetic that the best expert here can't answer the raison daitre question of the site and instead is happy to do as any braindead doomer does, expound endless stream of wrong but self excused predictions.

[rockdoc123]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd even if your immunity card worked, isn't it pathetic that the best expert here can't answer the raison daitre question of the site and instead is happy to do as any braindead doomer does, expound endless stream of wrong but self excused predictions.

[Outcast_Searcher]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rockdoc123', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd even if your immunity card worked, isn't it pathetic that the best expert here can't answer the raison daitre question of the site and instead is happy to do as any braindead doomer does, expound endless stream of wrong but self excused predictions.

[peakoilwhen]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f I had to guess based on the existing data and ignoring new discoveries of importance and based on the data from Wood Mac and IHS the time will likely be somewhere around 2012 to 2015.

[peakoilwhen]

btw how old are you rockdoc? Will you still be here in another 10 year? 15? 20? I guarantee oil production will continue to rise all that time - an unprofessional abiotic oil beilever's guarantee is worth more than all the world's professional fossil oil believers guarantee's put together.
You may be too scared to estimate when the peak will be, but your general attitude is that there will be one soon. Well you can drop that attitude and become a corny like me and OF2. Better do it now, rather than on your deathbed, that way you'll look less of a stubborn old fool.

[Outcast_Searcher]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peakoilwhen', 'b')tw how old are you rockdoc? Will you still be here in another 10 year? 15? 20? I guarantee oil production will continue to rise all that time - an unprofessional abiotic oil beilever's guarantee is worth more than all the world's professional fossil oil believers guarantee's put together.
You may be too scared to estimate when the peak will be, but your general attitude is that there will be one soon. Well you can drop that attitude and become a corny like me and OF2. Better do it now, rather than on your deathbed, that way you'll look less of a stubborn old fool.

[peakoilwhen]

>Or do you have actual, specific, scientific proof? Like a lab
No I don't own a laboratory.
There is no such thing as 'scientific proof'. That's just a empty buzzterm that retards who failed high school science endlessly spout.
Science requires evidence, which either falsifies or verifies a theory, but it can never prove a theory. I understood that on my 1st day of science at school, while retards like u can go 70 years and not comprehend it.

Here's lab results which verifies abiotic oil theory.
https://www.scribd.com/document/4653767 ... J-F-Kenney
petroleum is produced under mantle conditions.

You're an idiot. This site has become a time capsule from a bygone age. A time when rockefeller fooled the oil industry into thinking petroleum was a fossil fuel. Today the industry is full of properly educated people who subscribe to abiotic oil.
You don't even understand your own theory. You were supposed to have an oil peak, because you think oil is a non-renewable resource. It hasn't happened. And now we are producing over 100 million barrels a day, an insanely high amount that exceeds all historical estimates, and all you can do is forget the past and cry peak soon. 100 million, a 100 billion, or a googleplex a day, its all the same to you, you still wouldn't grasp that your theory isn't working, cos you don't even understand numbers, let alone that a limited resource will run out.

Edit: Knock off with the ad hom attacks on other members of the board. If you can not act like an adult there shall be consequences to your poor behavior.

[rockdoc123]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou were making these predictions in August 2012, and  and you weren't qualifying it with "oh, unconventional oil could sweep away any peak oil prediction I make ", instead your PO prediction was backed by "every oil company in the world" and "thousands of scientists and engineers", and you were pressing me to tell you where the next major load of oil to save the world from peak would be.

[peakoilwhen]

>we have known about oil and gas in shales for many, many decades.

So you knew about these US shale reserves, but for some bent reason you didn't factor that into your peakoil prediction? Well no wonder your prediction was retarded. What a dumb thing to do. Either that or you're just wriggling like a worm on a hook now, crying that your prediction was wrong because you couldn't have known about the US shale oil reserves, but then crying that you already knew about the US shale oil reserves. Checkmate.

[rockdoc123]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o you knew about these US shale reserves, but for some bent reason you didn't factor that into your peakoil prediction? Well no wonder your prediction was retarded. What a dumb thing to do. Either that or you're just wriggling like a worm on a hook now, crying that your prediction was wrong because you couldn't have known about the US shale oil reserves, but then crying that you already knew about the US shale oil reserves. Checkmate.

[peakoilwhen]

...or maybe i was dumb to expect foresight from someone who purportedly knows basic market economics : prices will rise to match supply and demand. Perhaps you never got your skull around the link between rise in oil prices as extraction has become more challenging over the last 200 years.
Well at least you've hung your hat on a particular excuse for your failure. But compounded with the
facts...
- by 2005-2006 there was already a continuous fast rise in oil prices, but somehow you weren't smart enough to factor that into your predictions
- By 2012 you knew that oil prices had risen enough to make shale economic, and you knew there was a lot of shale oil. But still you saw fit to keep your prediction based on shale being uneconomic. derp
... you're still a tagged a tard.

[rockdoc123]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'b')y 2005-2006 there was already a continuous fast rise in oil prices, but somehow you weren't smart enough to factor that into your predictions

[jawagord]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peakoilwhen', '[')i]>we have known about oil and gas in shales for many, many decades.

So you knew about these US shale reserves, but for some bent reason you didn't factor that into your peakoil prediction? Well no wonder your prediction was retarded. What a dumb thing to do. Either that or you're just wriggling like a worm on a hook now, crying that your prediction was wrong because you couldn't have known about the US shale oil reserves, but then crying that you already knew about the US shale oil reserves. Checkmate.

[Plantagenet]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jawagord', '
')Hubbert included shale oil and tar sands in his 1956 presention on Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels, starting on page 4. He didn’t see them as technologically recoverable ...

[peakoilwhen]

> The analysis I did only factored in what was economic at the time, and shale was not.

Yes you've made that clear already. What a foolish mistake.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'p')lease show a quote from me in 2012 where I said I was sticking with a 2012 - 2015 peak. I didn't say that and did not think that. It was clear as the shales became more important that they would change the face of global peak.

[marmico]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hats why Hubbert's prediction of global peak oil occurring ca. 2000 was so wrong.

[peakoilwhen]

>Why do persons rely on Hubbert
Just a habit they've got into. This a cult, and cults need leaders. Berty was a leader.

If you're looking for any better reason than that then be ready to absorb a lot of opinionated twoddle from all his minions.

[Plantagenet]

Chris Martenson says that now that Ghawar is in decline, we are on track for a global oil shortage by 2022.

huge-news-ghawar-decline

The next few years should be interesting.

Cheers!

[rockdoc123]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')hris Martenson says that now that Ghawar is in decline, we are on track for a global oil shortage by 2022.