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When will the government shutdown end?

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

When will the government shutdown end?

Poll ended at Thu 10 Jan 2019, 13:30:49

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Total votes : 10

Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby Cog » Sun 06 Jan 2019, 23:43:50

$5 billion is trivial compared to the massive cost of illegals being in this country. A wall is not designed to be impenetrable but to slow people down so they can be arrested and deported. There are indeed places where a physical barrier is needed.

This has come down to a pissing contest of a Democrat party that is opposing something simply because the president and a lot of Republicans want it. That is not a good way to make policy.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Sun 06 Jan 2019, 23:57:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cog', '$')5 billion is trivial compared to the massive cost of illegals being in this country. A wall is not designed to be impenetrable but to slow people down so they can be arrested and deported. There are indeed places where a physical barrier is needed.

This has come down to a pissing contest of a Democrat party that is opposing something simply because the president and a lot of Republicans want it. That is not a good way to make policy.

Or because they believe it won't work well. Do you imagine the only reason the GOP opposes sky tax rates is because dems tend to like them?

Plus, $5 billion would just be a tiny fraction of what it would take to build a full barrier to Mexico AND guard it for several decades. So it's not like $5 billion is any solution.

Oh, and if you care so much about spending, from what I read, the government shutdown itself will cost more than $5 billion, so there's that.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby Cog » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 03:29:18

So your solution is to have open borders? Wow
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby yellowcanoe » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 13:08:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cog', '$')5 billion is trivial compared to the massive cost of illegals being in this country. A wall is not designed to be impenetrable but to slow people down so they can be arrested and deported. There are indeed places where a physical barrier is needed.

This has come down to a pissing contest of a Democrat party that is opposing something simply because the president and a lot of Republicans want it. That is not a good way to make policy.


I am also irritated that the Democrats would oppose efforts to improve the wall. The primary impact of a wall is to stop the flow of undocumented aliens. I am baffled as to how anyone could think that having millions of undocumented aliens in your country is a good thing even if the majority are simply trying to earn a living. A wall forces would-be migrants to go to an official border crossing and ask for asylum. That ensures that migrants admitted into the country are documented and put through a process to decide whether they can stay or should be deported. We can debate how generous we should be at allowing people to stay -- the salient point is that anyone who wants to enter the US via the southern border should be doing so in a way in which they are documented and put through a process to decide whether or not they can stay.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby KaiserJeep » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 13:41:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GASMON', 'A') wall is no good - the buggers will climb over it.

I live on an island - so the buggers get here by rubber dinghy.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... coast.html

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This is all about crime. The largest Hispanic gang in the Western USA is MS-13, which originated in Los Angeles but spread throughout Mexico. Now fugitive MS-13 members from Mexico hide in the USA and fugitive MS-13 members from the USA hide in Mexico, crossing the border as they wish and transporting other illegals for cash money, frequently murdering and robbing same, enslaving women and children for the sex trade.

The US Democratic party has fiercely defended their right to cross the border unhindered, and there are continuous scandals involving the Democrats, the Catholic Church, and numerous charitable organizations that claim to champion "immigration rights". The Church provides free food, housing, job training, legal assistance, and job placement. The Democrats funnel money into all of these things, as long as all newcomers go citizen track and register as good Democrats when they get citizenship. There is a well-organized effort to release criminals to defy Federal Law Enforcement efforts at city/county/state levels. The various sanctuary organizations get covert support from Democrats at the Federal level, and there is a continuous effort to add Hispanics to the courst system, incluing the SCOTUS.

It is working, in the sense that every fifth person in California is undocumented, most from S of the border, but a good many from China, these Chinese often travelling in cargo containers. The Democrats control virtually every office in the State of California, which does not of course keep them from blamming the Republicans for all the troubles they have. The most frequent lie being that "large Republican land owners are importing Hispanic immigrants."

Eventually, the political BS reaches a depth such that one cannot breathe anymore. I am at that point.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 14:02:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cog', 'S')o your solution is to have open borders? Wow

Come on. You're smarter than to think the only choices are a physical wall or open borders. That kind of answer just means that you are unwilling to compromise. Good luck getting anywhere with the dems controlling the house with that attitude.

We currently have lots of border guards and hundreds of miles of fences, so it's not like we don't ALREADY have a system somewhere in the middle, re physical security. And it's expensive. And it clearly doesn't work well at all. Time for something more modern.

I already proposed a virtual wall with an E-Verify type of system denying illegal aliens all but the crop jobs that they are validly permitted for (with temporary residence while they pick the crops), with nasty sanctions against employers who don't comply with the system. (I'm fine with huge fines to start, and jail for willful repeatedly trying to dupe the system).

If illegal aliens can't get jobs here, do you really think many will want to be here illegally for long? To me, for the money spent, that plan would work a lot better over time. That's a LOT different than to claim I want "open borders".

And just to be clear, I'm all for legal aliens and people who become citizens through the legal process, no matter what they look like. Preferably with the sort of job skills we need, so they're productive -- just like I'd prefer with all Americans. It's the millions of illegal aliens, and all the financial drain on the system they cause which I object to.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby rockdoc123 » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 14:05:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f illegal aliens can't get jobs here, do you really think many will want to be here illegally for long?


How many drug dealers and other gang members in LA, Chicago and elsewhere are illegal aliens whose income is not via what one would call a regular job?

I think this is a bigger problem than just illegal workers coming across.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 14:10:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rockdoc123', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f illegal aliens can't get jobs here, do you really think many will want to be here illegally for long?


How many drug dealers and other gang members in LA, Chicago and elsewhere are illegal aliens whose income is not via what one would call a regular job?

I think this is a bigger problem than just illegal workers coming across.

Sigh. Do you really think the hardened, underground criminals are going to go home just because we say they can't be here? We have police, courts, etc. to deal with criminals. Do you imagine all drug dealers come from Mexico?

And do you imagine that the serious, hardened criminals can't get to the US to do their business if there is a physical wall? Like they can't afford ladders, ropes, or lawyers, plane tickets, etc. for that matter?

I'm talking about the millions of illegals who are here to work legal jobs, and who do so for money, but ignore the rules. Let's not let the imperfect be the enemy of the good.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby KaiserJeep » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 14:12:12

I have a solution that could be imposed by an executive order from Trump, very cheaply.

First, we designate the first two miles adjacent to the border as a "No Man's Land". Anybody in that zone is a lawbreaker. Now we enforce the border via armed drone aircraft, capable of delivering both anti-vehicle missiles and napalm for pedestrians. Who needs an expensive wall?

Problem solved. Use the established crossing gates, or die. Completely legal and not without precedent on many existing national borders.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 14:20:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserJeep', 'I') have a solution that could be imposed by an executive order from Trump, very cheaply.

First, we designate the first two miles adjacent to the border as a "No Man's Land". Anybody in that zone is a lawbreaker. Now we enforce the border via armed drone aircraft, capable of delivering both anti-vehicle missiles and napalm for pedestrians. Who needs an expensive wall?

Problem solved. Use the established crossing gates, or die. Completely legal and not without precedent on many existing national borders.

I agree that it would work. I DON'T agree that it would be at all cheap.

Respectfully, if you think that the annual bill for an EFFECTIVE 24 hour military controlling of that entire zone would be anything remotely approaching cheap, you're delusional.

On top of the military personnel and hardware -- which is expensive already, you then have all the issues with legal fallout. Endless suits. Someone like a kid gets killed for horsing around. Protesters get killed. On and on.

And do we really want to turn the US into something like the Gaza strip? To me, that's a last resort. And again, an expensive one. I'll bet it would cost a $trillion to do what you propose EFFECTIVELY for 30 years. I'd rather use such money for productive infrastructure, medical research, better public education, etc.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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VER a single lawsuit, because

Postby KaiserJeep » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 14:32:21

Respectively, not any sort of a problem, and very cheap overall.

Drone aircraft no longer cost millions of dollars, they have come down to the tens of thousands range. We don't need state-of-the-art, military grade drones, just drones good enough to carry missiles and bombs. They can even be silent and pollution-free, electric fanjets.

What part of "No Man's Land" do you not understand? NEVER a single lawsuit, no collection of bodies, no entry by anybody, ever. If the ACLU hires a collection of mercenaries to enter the zone, we fry them. If the ACLU enters the zone in a 1000-strong caravan of card-carrying lawyers, we fry them. (Heck, I would pay a pay-per-view to see lawyers fry.) If US Democrat Congress-critters and Senabores create a protest caravan, we fry them. No collection of bones, no proof of death, nothing ever.

As for the sensors that collect data, are you unaware that the DHS already has a fleet of thousands of tethered blimps with RADAR, LIDAR, and infrared sensors? Or that many satellites exist?

Ruthless death from above, no exceptions, no body count, no video records, get it?
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Re: VER a single lawsuit, because

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 14:54:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserJeep', '
')Ruthless death from above, no exceptions, no body count, no video records, get it?


I think that kind of thing works very well in a place like Venezuela. Here? Nice fantasy.

Meanwhile, let's pretend NOTHING could go wrong with automated technology carrying "death from above", so it will all be dirt cheap. Again, nice fantasy.

And how do you CHEAPLY ensure "no entry ever, by anybody" over a 2000 mile-ish border? Wishful thinking?

...

When it happens, and after 30 years, it costs less than $100 billion, be sure and get back to us.

Or after the first year when it's implemented, and the total cost to the US taxpayer is less than $5 billion. (I'll predict it would cost 20 times that just to secure all the land and put up the barricades to keep everyone out. Not all the land is federal land. That has to be purchased or seized. This is the US. So far we mainly seize property for suspicion of selling drugs, and I still maintain that is illegal taking and unconstitutional, since no trial is required. Hell, it would probably cost billions just for all the legal fights and hassle over trying to implement the plan.)

Then it has to be guarded to keep all miscreants, protestors, etc. out. With what? Automated technology that shoots on site? No one would EVER have a concern with that. :roll: (Or if you use people, it is very expensive). How do you ensure nothing goes wrong and something gets bombed outside the designated killing zone? How much does THAT cost?

Given that in the real world, lawyers exist and things don't always work perfectly, I'll believe it when I see it. Meanwhile, I think you're more than a little hazy and over-optimistic on the details and the ease and cost of the scheme.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby KaiserJeep » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 15:07:25

My off-the-cuff estimate is less than half the cost of the existing border enforcement outside of the legal entry points. For those entry points themselves, as the only remaining entry points, perhaps 25% more money. Also figure that with 100% enforcement, the detention centers can gradually be defunded as the need for such declines.

There are other costs involved. For example, large amounts of drugs now enter the US using lithium-battery electric submarines. Each generation becomes less detectable than the last. The USCG anti-submarine efforts would have to ramp up if immigrants begin to enter via subs.

Still, a net win financially, especially when one counts the numerous savings from the adverse impact of literally millions of non-English-speaking Hispanic and Chinese immigrants on US social relief and government welfare systems, not to mention law enforcement.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby Pops » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 18:21:20

An additional 1,300 mile barrier on top of the 700 there will not solve the problem of a 1 million person backlog of people seeking asylum at ports (now on furlough BTW)
It won't solve the problem of drug and human traffickers because most come through the ports
It won't solve the gang problems because they are mostly street level retail drug competitors, extortionists, other crime
It won't solve the problem that half of the illegals are people overstaying their visa

The wall was just a campaign device to get trump "the great builder" to talk about immigration and mexican rapists and white fear. In the end the only thing walled in is trump who's not given himself a face saving out. The great negotiator traded away $25B for a shutdown.

But he was voted in no matter how much of a fluke. The dems should do something about the actual problems at the ports of entry and include a couple of billion to put up some slats since that's what his constituents voted for. We aren't republicans after all.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby Newfie » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 20:34:06

Well that’s the rub Pops, reasonable folks from vilify parties should sit down and come up with a reasonable plan.

It could start with actually enforcing the work rules we already have in place.

But both sides are playing for the spotlight.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby Pops » Mon 07 Jan 2019, 20:47:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'I')t could start with actually enforcing the work rules we already have in place.

I think I read eVerify is on furlough.
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Re: When will the government shutdown end?

Postby Cog » Tue 08 Jan 2019, 07:52:28

My reaction if food stamps are cut off.

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