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When to draw your social security?

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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Pops » Tue 22 Nov 2016, 08:14:45

actually I'm not all that concerned with the trust fund, tweaking it here and there should keep it going fine.
I'm much more worried about privatizing both SocSec and Medicare
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Tue 22 Nov 2016, 08:36:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'a')ctually I'm not all that concerned with the trust fund, tweaking it here and there should keep it going fine.
I'm much more worried about privatizing both SocSec and Medicare

I don't think anyone is proposing privatizing either one for those of us that are already of receiving age. No time to build up an account balance and all that. I'm more concerned with what they are doing or rather not doing about long term nursing home care and reverse mortgages.
There are two groups of predators out there just waiting for you and yours to get sick or feeble minded enough to fall into their clutches.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Pops » Tue 22 Nov 2016, 08:47:36

yeah I'm likely on the cusp at 59
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Cog » Tue 22 Nov 2016, 08:55:45

If I recall correctly they were looking back to age 55 to make the change to a private system. Over 55 and you were good to go. Below that and you are sort of phased into a new system.

I'm doubtful any change will be made to all of this. The younger workers have to keep contributing to it to pay the existing claimants. I don't see how to change that without immediately bankrupting the system.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Newfie » Tue 22 Nov 2016, 12:46:14

A good run of antibiotic resistant drug will wipe out many old times. That would help.

Ss is a big deal. I made a pretty good salary and draw near the max. It's like having over a million in the bank drawing interest.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Tue 22 Nov 2016, 12:55:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'A') good run of antibiotic resistant drugdisease will wipe out many old timers. That would help.

vtsnowedin auto correct :)
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Ss is a big deal. I made a pretty good salary and draw near the max. It's like having over a million in the bank drawing interest.

Yes a very good deal.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Shaved Monkey » Tue 22 Nov 2016, 17:53:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shaved Monkey', 'I')ts a different system in Australia.
You have a private superannuation your employer put 9% in and you put what ever you want in at 15% tax in
All that is 0% tax out.
You can start getting it at about 60 depending on when you were born but can draw it earlier if you need it for some reason.(unemployment illness emergency etc.)
Then your government pension kicks in at 65 or upto 67 depending on when you were born.(conservatives want to make it upto 70 but hopefully it wont pass the senate)
You can get both so you never run out of money worst case you will have just the government one
Which my dad is on nearly $400 AUD a week for a single or its $300 a week for each couple.
He saves money on his.
My wifes sister has private and government
She gets about $750 a week and goes on 2 cruises a year.
She was a secretary and had about $180 g in super on retirement

Plus everyone gets free medical and cheap drugs

My wife and I will have both private and government

So much love for socialism its much greater than what Trump is visualising
How financially sound are the trust funds for those systems? And how is overall Australian government debt?


Image
Trust funds are in the biggest Super funds in Australia
There's lots of rules of what they can and cant do, but yes they lose money in massive down turns and interest rates are low.

It all comes back to simplifying my life in preparation for retirement.
My overheads are very low, solar hot water and electricity,efficient appliances,rain water for drinking,no heating , no cooling, lots of home grown fruit and veg,no need for too much clothes,only a few hundred dollars of petrol (gas) a year.
If TSHTF I can crank up harder.
If it doesnt even better.
All I can do is hope for good health and fun times.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Plantagenet » Tue 22 Nov 2016, 21:03:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'a')ctually I'm not all that concerned with the trust fund, tweaking it here and there should keep it going fine.


????

There is no social security trust fund.

Benefits paid by SS come from taxes paid by current workers.

Currently workers don't pay enough taxes to cover all SS benefits, so the US government pays the rest from general income taxes. But income taxes are inadequate to cover all US govemrent spending, so the extra money has to be borrowed from China etc. The current shortfall in SS taxes is about 250 BILLION, so that extra money has to come from income taxes and borrowing. That number will get much much bigger as the number of SS beneficiaries grows.

Going forward the amount of SS taxes paid by current workers will cover less and less of the needed money for SS payments. One way to visualize this is to take the amount of money in the imaginary trust fund and then "deplete" this money by adding up all the income tax money that would have to be spent to pay SS benefits.

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If there was a social security trust fund it would be completely exhausted in about 17 years. But in reality there is no social security trust fund.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 07:37:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')
There is no social security trust fund.

.........

Image
If there was a social security trust fund it would be completely exhausted in about 17 years. But in reality there is no social security trust fund.

All the more reason to get yours ASAP to get as much as you can before cuts are made.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Pops » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 09:34:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '?')???

There is no social security trust fund.

semantics, by that token you can say there are no government bonds either, people just give the government money then taxpayers pay them back with interest

SoSec trust gave the gov money and taxpayers pay it back with interest

the gov borrows money to pay the so sec recips because the gov runs deficits,
raise taxes or lower spending and it won't, or

eliminate the cap
or raise the age
or, eliminate early claims
or means test

I've paid 10's of thousands to various insurance cos and that money is just gone if I don't die, crash or burn.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Cog » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 09:46:37

Or just eliminate social security. No deficits at all. See how easy that was?
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Newfie » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 11:47:08

Let's keep our SS comments here.

I'm drawing Railroad Retirement, which I think was the model for SS. When set up it was with a solid working base to support it and didn't have all the other mandates.

SS has been expanded into trouble because the government needed a way to pay for citizens in trouble.

There is no doubt our social network is a hodge podge of patches on the life raft. Nothing you would want to rely upon, but we all do.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Cog » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 11:57:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'L')et's keep our SS comments here.

I'm drawing Railroad Retirement, which I think was the model for SS. When set up it was with a solid working base to support it and didn't have all the other mandates.

SS has been expanded into trouble because the government needed a way to pay for citizens in trouble.

There is no doubt our social network is a hodge podge of patches on the life raft. Nothing you would want to rely upon, but we all do.


SSDI has had a major impact on federal deficits. The rolls have exploded since the recession of 2007.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 14:16:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '
')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')There is no social security trust fund.


semantics, by that token you can say there are no government bonds either, people just give the government money then taxpayers pay them back with interest


Of course there are government bonds. The problem is the SS doesn't actually hold regular government bonds.

The bonds in the so-called social security trust fund aren't normal bonds---they are a unique variety of bond that are only issued to the social security administration called "SPECIAL ISSUE BONDS".

What makes them special? They can't be sold on the open market. A normal bond has a market value---it can be sold. The "special issue bonds" have no value because they can't be sold on the open market, i.e. they are worthless.

The fact that the SS trust fund is filled with worthless bonds is worrisome, to say the least. This isn't just semantics----any similar fund in the private sector that operated the same way in the private sector would be considered a fraud and shut down by the SEC.

Yes the government is currently paying the interest on the "SPECIAL ISSUE BONDS". So far so good. But even the most optimistic scenarios now show the "trust fund" being 100% depleted by 2033----a mere 17 years away. And years before 2017 the amount of tax revenue that will have to be diverted into SS payments will become so huge there won't be any tax money left for the military, FBI, DOJ, CIA, HHS, or any other purpose.

Obama didn't fix that problem during his 8 years in office, so its probably going require a fix during the Trump administration.

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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Pops » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 14:43:35

not sure what you are arguing, except to argue
the Trust Fund loaned the gov the cash, just like bond holders loaned the gov cash.

So say there is no trust fund is simply wrong, it's cash invested in gov just like all who hold gov paper
if holding gov paper is that worrisome, so sec is the least of it
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby yellowcanoe » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 14:44:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')
Obama didn't fix that problem during his 8 years in office, so its probably going require a fix during the Trump administration.

Cheers!


I doubt very much that Trump will fix it. The problem of Social Security and Medicare unfunded liabilities has been well understood for many decades. However, as any solution would almost certainly involve reducing benefits to existing and future retirees, politicians really don't want to deal with the problem. Nothing will be done until it becomes impossible to continue to finance the system. It's very sad to think that at some point a large number of people are suddenly going to find their benefits are getting reduced. This pain could have been avoided if politicians had taken action decades ago to put these programs on a better financial foundation.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 14:59:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yellowcanoe', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')
Obama didn't fix that problem during his 8 years in office, so its probably going require a fix during the Trump administration.

Cheers!


I doubt very much that Trump will fix it. The problem of Social Security and Medicare unfunded liabilities has been well understood for many decades. However, as any solution would almost certainly involve reducing benefits to existing and future retirees, politicians really don't want to deal with the problem. Nothing will be done until it becomes impossible to continue to finance the system. It's very sad to think that at some point a large number of people are suddenly going to find their benefits are getting reduced. This pain could have been avoided if politicians had taken action decades ago to put these programs on a better financial foundation.



Yup. Would have been better if this had been fixed in the past.

You may right that Trump won't do it. But at some point something will have to be done to fix SS, Medicare and the other entitlements. Personally, I think Trump and the Rs will have a go at it. The Rs want to redo the entire tax system, reform Ocare, and take on other difficult tasks. I bet they'll have a go at fixing SS and Medicare/Medicaid as well.

Of course they'll bungle it, but I think they'll have a try. The way US demographics are going Trump may be the last R president ever so I think the Rs will try to move as much of their agenda as they can in the next Congress.

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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby yellowcanoe » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 15:00:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'n')ot sure what you are arguing, except to argue
the Trust Fund loaned the gov the cash, just like bond holders loaned the gov cash.

So say there is no trust fund is simply wrong, it's cash invested in gov just like all who hold gov paper
if holding gov paper is that worrisome, so sec is the least of it


Sorry, I can't agree with you. Since the trust fund doesn't contain any real assets it is a complete illusion. When Social Security needs to draw on the trust fund the government either needs to direct tax revenue to Social Security or borrow more money to satisfy the spending requirement. This is exactly the same thing the government would need to do if there was no longer any funds left in the so called "trust fund".

I sure am glad I live in Canada instead of the US. Our CPP (Canada Pension Plan) was headed down a similar road as Social Security. The CPP surplus was typically loaned out at a low rate of interest to other levels of government. When it became clear that CPP would eventually run out of money, the government mandated CPP to properly invest the surplus to get the best return they could and the contribution rate was increased. I can be fairly confident that I will actually receive the CPP benefits I have been promised.
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Pops » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 15:35:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yellowcanoe', 'S')orry, I can't agree with you. Since the trust fund doesn't contain any real assets it is a complete illusion.

then those invested in US bonds hold no real assets either
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Re: When to draw your social security?

Unread postby Newfie » Wed 23 Nov 2016, 15:39:17

All fiat money is illusion, expressions of trust.
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