by kublikhan » Mon 01 Feb 2016, 20:07:51
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote(' MonteQuest', 'N')ow, they are releveraging via student debt, sub-prime car loans and massive credit card spending exceeding pre-crash levels.
Last I heard, household debt was still below pre-crash levels. Further, household income was increasing during that deleveraging and the economy was growing. Thus household debt as a % of GDP and as a % of disposable income fell even harder than absolute debt levels and continues to fall even now:
Household Debt to GDP for United States$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')fter falling for almost five years, household debt (measured in dollars) has risen in each of the last seven quarters, as the primary forces exerting downward pressure on household debt in previous years (mortgage charge-offs and negative net mortgage originations) have waned, while consumer credit has been expanding at a robust pace. The recent growth in household debt, however, has so far fallen a bit short of growth in disposable personal income (DPI); as a result, the debt-to-DPI ratio (one common measure of leverage) continued to edge down through the end of 2014.
Nominal household debt rose in almost every quarter since the beginning of the series in 1952 until the second quarter of 2008, when it reached a peak of $13.32 trillion. Then, starting in the third quarter of 2008, and over the following 4-1/2 years, household debt fell (in nominal dollars) by a cumulative amount of $940 billion, until reaching a low of $12.42 trillion in the first quarter of 2013. Since then, nominal household debt has risen in every quarter (albeit relatively slowly) and it stood at $12.70 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2014--about $280 billion higher than the low reached in 2013q1.
The debt-to-DPI ratio fell sharply in the 2008-2012 period, as the decline in nominal debt seen in Figure 1 was accompanied by rising disposable personal income in most quarters of that period. Since then, the ratio has edged down a bit more as nominal debt has continued to rise, but at a slightly slower pace than DPI.