by AgentR11 » Mon 18 Jan 2016, 14:15:56
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vox_mundi - article', 's')uddenly you don't need drivers for taxis, buses, garbage trucks, deliveries, you name it. Not just cars either – boats, planes, anything that moves could be completely automated.
Not true at all. The operating personnel are still needed. The only thing that changes is what they do. All the tech in the world can't get rid of of the cashier / customer interaction. If only because unsupervised people are amazingly destructive!
Without a cashier, Bob gets in the taxi, sticks $20 in the receptacle; then carves his prostitute's phone/text # in the glass of the vehicle... Joe comes in next, gets mad at the free advertising for his competitors prostitute, and just before getting out, jams a piece of gum into the slot. Next guy gets in, can't pay because machine is broken; does the car stay put? does it refuse to let him out after transport?
The short of it is that you can automate and unman things that regular, retail customers do not touch. But as soon as you start talking about services for folks that work day labor, or pay mostly in cash, don't have bank accounts, etc; you have to have a cashier. Whether the cashier drives the vehicle or not is irrelevant.
buses, same deal
Garbage trucks? Maybe large, commercial customer pickups... maybe, but even then, folks drop those bins all over, park in weird angles that obstructs them, they over fill them, people climb in them looking for almost rotten food. The human in the truck insures that nothing happens that would create a huge liability for the waste management company. Or just the residential service, the driver will periodically have to get out and collect tagged, extra waste; or alter his route because people park poorly on residential streets.
Can automation of freeway and thoroughfare traffic reduce costs and accidents, probably so; but most situations that involve a commercial driver, require a human in the loop regardless of whether the human turns the steering wheel or not.
Only in a silicon valley mind could the world be envisaged that was not full to the brim with vandalism, theft, and chaotic environments.
And here's a sticky one for you to think about. If Bob cuts open the door of a robotic delivery truck with a cutting torch, and starts steeling stuff, can the robot shoot Bob? If the robot does shoot Bob and fails to kill him; then Bob sues for injury... does the billion dollar google-esque company end up at the mercy of a jury full of yahoos who lost their jobs to robots?
No. There will be no replacement of humans by robots in most of those cases that you mention. There will be some; where there is no customer-public interaction; but mostly no.
OTOH, I could see a LOT of robotic assistance for a human in the loop to perhaps make the jobs safer or less physically demanding. So the robot drives, and the human makes sure that the other humans in the puzzle don't break the robot!