http://science.time.com/2013/07/23/reve ... tmosphere/KaiserJeep, who I have gotten to like (when he talks about what he knows, electricity) seems to be dead set on committing the classic engineer's error, of leaving what he knows for parts unknown, without realizing he's doing that.
This is of course why people who study serious philosophy learn about this mental error very early on.
The space travel thing has nothing to do with an open or closed mind, john michael greere has
dealt with well over the years (endless articles he's done on that, interesting for reality based views on that, not so much for fantasy based attachments):
http://thearchdruidreport.blogspot.com/ ... space.htmlone example.
Since the faith based notion that we can move into space is based on no fact or actual data, it can't be argued rationally, particularly since we now know roughly exactly what living in space requires, having done so for a few decades off and on, and what is required is in reality simply spending billions of currency units to move earth ecosystems into temporary orbit, very temporary.
We can't be outside the protection of the earth's magnetosphere very long or solar radiation will fry us, mars is a basically a dead world, and much as I love Edgar Rice Burroughs mars series, the sad fact is, there is truly nowhere else for us to go.
So that brings you to asking the simple question: given an engineer who will talk intelligently about the realities of the North American grid, focusing people's minds on the REALITY, not the fantasy, of that grid, and he did that very well in a recent thread, how can that same mind then turn around and focus purely on fantasy and self delusion? I'd say the answer can be found in kp's ongoing suggestions that it is us who are not keeping open minds (that is, refusing to engage in his fantasy world). Which is common, we accuse others of doing what we do. That's for example why republicans in general are so fond of going on and on about the entitlement society, they see only what their minds are, not what is real, that is.
The other glaring unexamined bias here of course is a fundamental humanism, which leads a mind to conclude that it is better to generate and sustain more humans at all costs today than to drop populations so humans can also live tomorrow, along with the remains of our fragmented and destroyed ecosystems.
Humanism of course is a pathological mental disorder, formed as humans began to dominate their ecosystms via farming and stored wealth, which lead to large scale hierarchical societies, which love this philosophy (it's why the romans had no trouble integrating christianity, and why the chinese liked Confucianism, which is just another form of humanist thinking in the end, minus the jesus fairy tale), I believe it only comes about when the fundamental daily experience of our animal tribe is only interacting with itself, not larger nature. I personally find humanism based views to be about as narrow boxed as it is possible, since they are profoundly false when viewed at biologically, or even from any real ethical position, so to talk about keeping an open mind when so uncritically repeating the most deep set bias of our industrial culture, well that's a profound mistake, being fooled by our deepest ideology, which goes unquestioned by all but the most actually critical, and it's why we study serious philosophy and anthropology, to avoid making exactly that mistake.
The key delusion of course in such a "debate" is that we are going to plan rationally anything at all, given there is no actual historical example of that happening, that's pretty far fetched.
Heraclitus so many years ago put it so well, humans aren't rational, there is reason only in what surrounds him, so to speak, more or less that's the quote off the top of my head.
The key here, to avoid this type of mental glitch/error in reasoning is to learn how to identify where the boundary of what one knows cuts off, and where speculation begins. Failure to learn this always leads to foolish mental errors, without exception, a process described so very well in Kant's Critique of Pure Reason, something that should be, were it not so impossibly hard to read for laymen, required reading for all engineers and scientists, since the errors in reasoning outlined can be seen anytime that reason leaves the bounds of experience, at any level.
Of course, the entire thread starter is pointless in the end, humans are just going to burn the fuel they need to maintain their illusion of the life they need, we'll push the population numbers high enough until that peaks due to hitting resource constraints, then a long readjustment to sustainable numbers will occur, and that is not the result of any plan we make, it will all be delightfully irrational, and will probably look just like today, huge areas destabilized due to drying ecosystems and overpopulation (aka, the mid east today), other areas doing reasonably well, a plague here, a famine there, it won't really look that different from what we have today.
Since a reasonably short tour of real anthropology literature will show you just how radically fast human culture can change, and adopt as 'what has always been true' something new within a generation, there's no need to worry about our culture changing, it will change, that's a given. We won't know how it will change, but it will change. And that change is not painful, really only the old, and about to retire, lol, get so stuck in their ways that they view such changes as unthinkable, and impossible, when the young just toodle along, growing into the new world without really even a question or hiccup.
Of course, at this point, I believe the only actual reason for people to refuse to face global heating by CO2 and methane releases by humans is a profound attachment to a way of life probably paid for directly by something that profits from that way of resource exploitation (the old TOD quote they used to play, a man doesn't tend to question the source of his money, or the world view required to sustain that source), I no longer find it even worth addressing such absurdly irrational and faith based views any longer, I follow the real science, like at:
http://www.realclimate.org/ or any other serious climate research source.
Likewise, any actually serious book being written within the last 10 years that touches on ecology or ecosystems, and anyone actually involved with that type of research, always deals with the fundamental real changes ongoing, since they are dealing with them, just as KP deals with the reality of dealing with power grids. And without exception, ALL books I've read that deal with such matters discuss agw as a fact, not a debate, because they SEE it first hand. This is particularly true in ice bound regions like high altitudes, and northern/southern regions. When you read serious work, you realize that there is actually zero real debate anymore, and any apparent 'debate' is now exclusively being funded by energy companies and other industry that doesn't want to deal with the externalized costs that are going to kill us all in the end if we don't stop it soon. That's greed, hubris, pride, arrogance, sloth, gluttony, just like the real ethical church teachings, for example the cardinal sins, warn us so severely about. And here we are, pathologically rewarding such failure and weakness when it should be condemned. We've known this is a problem a long time, and it's why all real ethical systems note that these are our real weaknesses, and to guard against them.
We decided to ignore this advice and try a different idea, reward these severe sociopathic behaviors, and then see what happens. In our future, we won't be doing that again since we won't be able to, thankfully, now that we're reaching the end of all easy to access resources, that is going to put a real hard limit on what future cultures and empires can actually do in practical material terms, ie, stone and wood and light metal use will probably be about it, which is fine, that's a good way to live anyway, better than ours in general I think, ours being highly artificial and out of touch with natural flows and processes, it's no wonder we need massive amounts of drugs to cope with our world, that's to be expected when any creature pulls itself out of gods creation and tries to pretend, the height of hubris, that it itself is nature and god and all must bow before it. That's a one way ticket to failure, as has been noted for thousands of years by men FAR wiser than us.
This being science, and not faith based truth systems that refuse to actually change views based only on belief and confirmation bias, obviously the research adapts to new data, which in general of course points to worsening of scenarios, and moving towards the worst case lines that have been modeled, not the middle or best case, the 'truth' will change as all science does, to adapt to new data and more solid hypotheses and theories.
The absurdity of maintaining a humanist belief system, aka, every human that we can produce should be produced, and kept alive, even if it dooms the planet and us to near annihilation, I find just simplistic chatter that translates deeper hardcore material parts of our culture into ideas that can be communicated albeit without any real meaning, by minds that simply refuse to actually examine their cultural conditioning. Then we have guys like Ibon, who clearly do in fact have a clue, and are willing to face that reality. Few and far between, which is why we are in trouble, not enough people willing to questioni and look outside the box they live in. With kp, for example, the attempt to suggest that those who are actually looking outside the box, and seeing the world, nature, ecosystems and ecologies, are not, that's just comical. But no surprise, since anyone with such poor reasoning skills could likewise be expected to point to economic bias from agw reasearchers (who are actually the heros of today, trying to save us from ourselves against a vast pressure from hugely powerful economic forces), so clearly shows a total failure of reason: simply put: if economic bias influences views, then the largest socio-economic forces (oil, gas, coal, and the entire system of resource exploitation and control, and not by chance, wealth distribution) clearly create the largest bias, by MANY orders of magnitude. The failure to note this obvious logical error shows clearly that it's not reason at work. This is why we study logic in school, to avoid making such stupid statement and such blatant logic errors, but sadly, we don't study logic, so we make such absurd comments. Since this is such basic logic, it's easy to see that when someone repeats that nonsense, there is no actual reasoning going on, since as soon as the premise of money influencing interests is accepted, then the greatest spending and money clearly influences the most greatly, aka, global warming denialism. This has to me always been one of the most absurd notions promoted by those who refuse to deal with data and information, aka, denialists, and it also clearly exposes the total failure to actually engage in critical reasoning, rather preferring to repeat what they are told to repeat without any actual critical thinking, that's what followers and sheep do, not what smart people do, personally I'd be deeply embarrassed to do such nonsense, and I certainly would not try to be proud of displaying such ignorance in public, but that's life on the internet.
Most real scientists in the real world are truly horrified by what they are finding in agw research, when you read the real stuff, which is all around you so the only way you can't find it is if you are involved in serious data filtering and simply refusing to read anything real at all, because, of course, it contradicts a blind and faith based world view that is somehow supposed to be 'thinking outside the box'. this is just downright pathetic when viewed intellectually to be honest, but sadly in the US it's become something of the norm.
I view this as a necssary part in the change process, in my opinion, human tribes formed and led to several key adaptions, if you think of a tribal band, say, 50 people, one or two people 'led' it, maybe 3, these people were tasked with the core interactions with the ecosystem and ecology and polis around them, aka, other tribes. This is why when you visited another tribe, the chief or whatever would great you, it's why you went to the shaman or medicine man/woman for various other issues. The rest of the tribe basically followed along, basically conservative in view, ie, not doing different than what they were raised with. The leaders, when it came time to change, would lead that change, and then the followers would adapt to the new reality. If you read particularly ethnographic research and study from the time of when the First Nations in the new Americas were adapting to the euro presence, the speed with which they culturally adapted was astounding, their myths etc were modified almost in real time to take into account these new realities. But you'd have to actually have looked into such things to have an idea of them, but that's not convenient if the goal, as it appears to be with KP, who I like when he talks of what he understands and knows, is to not actually change your own views of reality, but rather confirm them by ignoring data.
But on the bright side, it frankly does not matter at all what our older generation think, they are done, like it or not, and the world we will live in in the future is made by the young, who are flexible, adaptable, and open to new ideas, even if that new idea is a world without growth and where capitalism has to modify itself to deal with a situation where growth is not a possible situation materially speaking, and the fundamental 'matter' of our existence in the end is what is going to define our ongoing cultural development.
I expect no rational handling because I've looked at history, and given we have taken on an economic system where resource destruction is top dog, it's unlikely it will suddenly get smart and stop, but material reality will force change, it's irrelevant what we think or do, if say, florida floods and gets smashed by the newly coined cat 6 or cat 7 storms, people aren't going to be living there. And if California's drought turns out to be a reaction to climate change, it's irrelevant what we dream, or how we try to delude ourselves, california will not be producing food like it does today, nor will it be supporting the populations it does today, that's not a talking point, we need water to do those things, and we don't talk water into existence. Just ask the people in the mideast about that, Syria had drought for a couple of years before their wars started, and that's not a coincidence, their system wast starting to fail, farmers were losing farms and going to the cities, which increased pressure on the government, which failed to deliver, which created war, ongoing, That's how real change with material foundation looks.
The notion of space stuff is just absurd, juvenile fantasies that clearly allow kp to pretend that things have an out when the real solution is changing our lives, but as we age, the idea of dropping our attachments to our ideas and houses and cars grows ever that more difficult..
As always, rockman inisists on being the exception that disproves all these rules, being clear on reality yet working in the oil patch etc, which is why I wish we could just draft him to be our next president.