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Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby AgentR11 » Sun 15 Mar 2015, 22:40:56

Vienna newspaper thinks he's having a doctor work on his back problem. And if you think about it, the way a thrown back presents itself to the viewing person, is probably even more embarrassing than flu. yeah, we'll have this meeting, my two bodyguards will drag me along on this stretcher cause I can't sit up or stand; but otherwise, I feel fine!!

I like to have my meetings laying on the floor when my back goes out; but I think that might prove problematic for Putin.
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby Sixstrings » Sun 15 Mar 2015, 22:53:02

Russian video on youtube, Moscow police in riot gear:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')то происходит в Москве: ВВ,БТР,вертолёты для чего?

What is happening in Moscow : BB , armored personnel carriers, helicopters for what? [transalation]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UMNX0A9AWoY&t=28


edit: reading the comments a lot of people say it's from 2012.
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby PoliPsy » Sun 15 Mar 2015, 23:34:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', '
')
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PoliPsy', 'I')s there an admin or moderator on this thread? I would report the user @Withnail for trollish behavior. The user's behavior has several characteristics listed in the article below. The user is name calling, sowing agitation, posting off topic and pushing down posts that took time and effort to compose and that are on topic.


Doesn't seem that trollish to me, considering the forum we're on, dedicated as it is to ..... DOOOOOOOOOOOMMMM.

We are often quite agitated here; and the question is simple, and easy enough to lie about anyway if you want. He asked if you're from Ukraine. You can answer yes or no as you wish, without regard to any fact. Personally, as you haven't referenced bodily functions, body parts, or sexual orientation that you are more likely a Westerner with a pro-NATO and pro-NATO-narrative point of view; the intensity of your comments coupled with your very low post count makes me suspicious that you're either a paid poster, or have some vested interest in the issue (both of which are fine by me, and take nothing away from any content you post).

One of the things that has caused me some disappointment however, is that many on the side of the West seem dedicated to the belief that if anyone does not support their point of view, they must be a paid troll doing it only for the financial reason. Such an attitude is extremely repulsive. (shoe other foot, feel funny?)

Perhaps you're just trying to silence one of the few forums where the Russia/Ukraine situation is not overwhelmed with innane body part diatribes and NATO love fest sonatas? I doubt it'll work.


My first impression of you, AgentR11, was very positive after reading just one of your replies over on, "Re: Russia/Ukraine Crisis Pt. 7" Post by AgentR11 » Sun 25 Jan 2015, 18:05:03. But this reply of yours has dashed that first positive impression by being subjective, assumptive, illogical and pointless. But I do believe you have some intelligence behind your prejudices so let me respond to some of your comments.

"Doesn't seem that trollish to me"

Withnail is trollish according to this article, "The Troll's Guide to Internet Disruption." His behavior is clear cut in this thread. Compare it to the troll behavioral characteristics in the article. 1+1=2.

"the intensity of your comments"

You mean clear points with referenced links?

"with your very low post count"

I just activated my membership today. What should my post count be as a new member?

"makes me suspicious that you're either a paid poster"

Are you a forum gang member trolling new forum members whose viewpoints challenge the group think of the forum gang or new forum members who challenge one of the forum gang member's trollish behavior?

"or have some vested interest in the issue"

I do have a vested interest. Peace, prosperity, liberty, limited government, security, health, a high quality of life -- all of which could be dashed by global war and/or economic collapse.

You will see my views and philosophies over time if I can find time to engage. But to cut to the chase for the main theme of the site: Peak Oil is unproven, Hubbert's curve notwithstanding, yet Earth is a finite container for recoverable oil reserves if oil is created consistent with the standard geologic/biologic model. Only if the production of oil is abiotic is there any hope that it will outlast never ending consumption. Even then, if consumption outpaces the ability of the yet unproven abiotic mechanism to continuously produce supply, then peak oil still occurs.

There is every reason to believe that technology will allow us to stop burning oil and preserve it for other non-energy related purposes in the coming decades. Peak oil will not occur in the next few decades. We are swimming in oil and consumption can be moderated down via many factors without affecting growth and quality of life. We can survive limited quantities of oil, but can we survive global thermonuclear war and/or global economic collapse? What are your priorities?

ON EDIT: grammer
Last edited by PoliPsy on Mon 16 Mar 2015, 00:19:43, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby PoliPsy » Sun 15 Mar 2015, 23:57:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'S')uch a good post, I'm just going to bump it. Withnail -- please don't completely disrupt a thread by flooding it with multiple "what country are you from?!?W@#! Answer me answer me are you ukrainnnian?@#$@#!" :roll:

Here is what is so interesting, it could be either of the three -- illness, coup, or escalation planning. There've been cancer rumors over the last year ish. But -- I don't think it's illness. No way. The czar doesn't watch tv while the world talks about coup, the czar would be out there on top of it and you can bet that.

Escalation planning / holed up in bunker is possible, but still, this is not like Putin to allow a power vaccum to develop and questions about coup all over the world like this. If it's #2, escalation planning, then it's something very serious. He withdrew with his advisors over a weekend once to plan the Crimea action, if I recall something I read correctly.

Most mysterious is that nobody is coming out to say anything in support of the president, like Dimitry Medvedev. Rumor and gossip being what it is in Russia, I think it's amazing this thing is still a mystery right now.

Anyhow welcome to the forum, PoliPsy, I for one do not care what country you are from.

I would only just say that some of your sources -- like "global research" -- are dramatic and alamarist and sensational analysis, plus they've got a Russian narrative bent that wants to see anything the US does as some kind of plot. If you want objectivity and truth then just be aware of that. For example: that "dragoon ride" is just a meet and greet convoy. All they are doing is driving back from Estonia after they had the "operation atlantic resolve" training. Cigars are just cigars, when it comes to murica anyhow, though admittedly Russia is riddles inside enigmas and a bit tougher to figure out. a) it ain't a flu, b) he ain't sick, c) it's either planning a massive military move -- could be a full invasion of Ukraine -- or, there's a coup / infighting at the kremlin and all heck is breaking loose / maybe he's under house arrest.

Good post though, I'll bump it:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PoliPsy', 'T')here are many analysts of Russian politics and power structures speculating on this, and 'coup' is one of the possibilities being cited. My initial thoughts regarding the absence were:

... snip ...



And you're right, it's not rational he would cause panic and above all he would NEVER let questions about a coup just hang out there and he's just mysteriously absent -- that's dangerous stuff -- if you're gone long enough, folk will begin talking of a coup if they weren't to begin with.

I'm a tad worried. You have me thinking now maybe he is planning a massive military move, and that would mean invasion of somewhere.


"Anyhow welcome to the forum, PoliPsy"

Thanks, @Sixstrings! That is much appreciated. And thanks for starting this thread.

"some of your sources -- like 'global research'"

I read all sources. There are NONE that I trust as a sole source of information.

" a) it ain't a flu, b) he ain't sick, c) it's either planning a massive military move -- could be a full invasion of Ukraine -- or, there's a coup / infighting at the kremlin and all heck is breaking loose / maybe he's under house arrest."

He could be sick or injured in my opinion, but his failure to communicate to the nation under these circumstances means that if he is sick, he's very sick. But over the weekend, I had time to read up on this situation and think about it. I agree with you at this point that deep war planning for escalation or a coup attempt or warding off a coup is very likely under the circumstances. Many of us remember seeing Mikhail Gorbachev shaking and stumbling down the air-stairs after his absence during the last days of the USSR. His talking-to changed history. As I recall, we did not know where he was or what was happening. It was very much like this situation.

If he doesn't show up for Monday's meeting with President Almazbek Atambayev of Kyrgyz, well ...

Articles since the post you bumped.

1) Vladimir Putin has been 'neutralised' by a stealthy coup as rumours about his health and well-being continue to flourish / Daily Mail

2) Vladimir Putin 'in bed with a bad cold watching Crimea documentary' / Telegraph

ON EDIT: spelling corrections
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby AgentR11 » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 00:32:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')but his failure to communicate to the nation under these circumstances means that if he is sick, he's very sick


This is a simple error. It means nothing of the sort. In fact, his failure to communicate indicates only that he doesn't want to or can not communicate. With dozens of reasons for why either would be true.

The flu one is a simple example; someone his age with the flu will get a lot of lung involvment, will be coughing up nasty green blobs, blowing snot all over everything, and peeing his pants every time he gets a good coughing fit going. Thats just influenza+. Its what it does. If you've spent the last dozen years convincing Russians that you're their first leader in a long time that actually cared about his health and fitness; the last thing you want to do is get on camera, start coughing and then pee your trousers. Perfectly reasonable and logical explanation.

The back injury one works like a champ for a similar reason.

He could have cancer of course, old people get cancer and die, just like they get other ailments and die or hang around for a while. When they're puking from chemo though, they don't usually like to be on camera.... again.. rational and logical.

A hardliner coup is sorta possible, I guess; but seems an outlier; Putin's doing an awfully good job for their cause, not too fast, not too slow; rebuilding and modernizing their military; focusing on systems that serve their interests as opposed to systems that serve ours. So, if its a hardline coup; its a coup of nutbars who will probably spend their first 12 hours in power debating who gets to push the button, and then the next 12 hours chasing the general with the football (or whatever their equivalent is colloquially called) so they can push it.

A western coup seems beyond nuts. They wouldn't survive 10 minutes in Russia; the mob would tear them apart alive.

So.. since I've not seen a nuclear glow off in the distance towards my favorite big city, I must conclude no hardline coup has taken place, and I don't care if a western coup took place, though I will mock them relentlessly for their stupidity as they die because I'm mean that way. That leaves the likely, incredible reality, that Putin was watching TV and laughing his butt off while reading twitter.
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby PoliPsy » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 01:05:30

Related ... the article below shows Russia's willingness to go first-strike nuclear to preserve it's borders and sphere of influence. It is not difficult to imagine that Putin's absence is due to deep war planning to counter NATO's encirclement of Russia and efforts to destabilize it from within. A conventional campaign in the Baltics and Scandinavia to destroy prepositioned NATO war material might be on the table. This could be the source of Sweden's concern over the Baltic Sea Island of Gotland. Moscow might be finalizing these plans with the contingent to escalate to the first-use of nukes if the West attempts to counter by attacking Russian soil.

This lends credibility to the notion that the absence is due to intense war planning and persuasion to get everyone on board with a preemptive conventional attack on these NATO assets followed by nuclear first strikes beyond its borders if necessary. In nuclear war, its only a matter of minutes when assessments can be made, orders given and carried out. They were ready in Crimea. Now they might be ready for the rest of the forces aligned against it around the world.

Putin: Russia prepared raising nuclear readiness over Crimea / AP
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby AgentR11 » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 01:18:56

I don't think Russia could be successful in a conventional engagement in the Baltics; they could make a mess and break stuff; but they'd lose, and it'd be an expensive loss. I don't think we'd be dumb enough to pursue onto Russian soil though; so you end up with a profitless engagement and a weakened military and a politically sensitive and unhidable defeat. Thus.. no sale.

Russia doesn't move against the Baltic states in a conventional attack. They either nibble with hybrid activity; or they go all in with a surprise full-launch scenario. My read is that Putin doesn't like crossing points of no return if he can avoid it at all. full-launch is obviously a point of no return. Hybrid nuisance towards the Baltics is more likely, cheap, and serves the interests of Russia well enough.
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby Sixstrings » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 03:58:38

Putin countdown clock:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url]http://www.laaake.com/[/url]

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:lol:
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby davep » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 04:07:43

Withnail, PoliPsy is a new poster and is obviously not Sixstrings. Your mutual "robust" debating style is pretty tiring as it is, but we tend to leave it.

Don't use it as a default attitude to other posters though. That goes for the pair of you, obviously.
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby PieceOfMine » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 08:08:29

Putin is back, declaring: "Life would be boring without rumours." He was laughing and joking.

He calls in a big military ecercise close to Norway.
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby radon1 » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 08:57:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PieceOfMine', 'P')utin is back,


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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby AgentR11 » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 09:09:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', ' ')That leaves the likely, incredible reality, that Putin was watching TV and laughing his butt off while reading twitter.


SWISH!
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby Withnail » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 11:36:59

Somebody gave Putin the boxed set of Breaking Bad and he just had to watch the whole thing.
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby AgentR11 » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 12:17:33

I'm the same way, and I hate it. Netflix or HULU will put a complete season of something up; and I'll just feel this weird, self-destructive compulsion to watch the whole thing in one sitting.
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby Quinny » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 15:40:33

Was this incorrect?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('radon1', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GASMON', '
')
Anyway, where is Putin ?
Gas


He is on TV right now, alive and kicking. Possibly, he had a temporary burnout and let himself to relax for a while.

The system of government is so idiotic currently in Russia - Pu has to take care of everything himself, from Crimea to Sakhalin's crooks to cancelled suburban trains in the middle of nowhere in Siberia to the monetary policy and so on and so forth. Nobody else cares, and he brought up this burden upon himself with his foreign policy activism. No surprise if he did have a burnout.
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby radon1 » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 16:11:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'W')as this incorrect?


No, this was correct. They just found that unconvincing, and Putin had to provide more evidence that he was alive.
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby Quinny » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 16:32:25

Welcome to the forum PolyPsi.

Whereabouts in the world do you hail from?
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby Sixstrings » Mon 16 Mar 2015, 18:03:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PieceOfMine', 'P')utin is back, declaring: "Life would be boring without rumours." He was laughing and joking.

He calls in a big military ecercise close to Norway.


I guess it's back to the grind, I should have taken ten days off too. :lol:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')ussia starts nationwide show of force

Image

Members of pro-Russian self-defence units hold Russian and Crimean flags during a meeting to celebrate the first anniversary of Russia's annexation of Ukraine's Black Sea peninsula of Crimea, in central Simferopol

(Reuters) - More than 45,000 Russian troops as well as war planes and submarines started military exercises across much of the country on Monday in one of the Kremlin's biggest shows of force since its ties with the West plunged to Cold War-lows.

President Vladimir Putin called the Navy's Northern Fleet to full combat readiness in exercises in Russia's Arctic North apparently aimed at dwarfing military drills in neighboring Norway, a NATO member.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/03/16/us-russia-military-exercises-idUSKBN0MC0JO20150316


Putin countdown clock was updated:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he president of Russia was absent
10 days 21 hours 4 minutes 20 seconds

And now turned out to be alive. He has been ruling Russia for
5698Days : 18Hours : 5Minutes : 27Seconds
Under his rule Russia invaded Chechnya in 1999 and attacked Georgia in 2008 and Ukraine in 2014.
Support Ukraine by sharing this information:
http://www.laaake.com/
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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby dissident » Tue 17 Mar 2015, 08:53:25

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Re: Kremlin says Putin is "healthy," but not seen for a week

Postby Lore » Tue 17 Mar 2015, 09:21:07

The only problem with that Dis is we see Obama playing golf everyday while he's on vacation.
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