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Should you move out of a city before the collapse happens?

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Quinny » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 13:47:03

It upset's me to hear things sound so bad. Like I've said before we've moved to village as strangers, but they've welcomed us and we've had no significant problems. This is despite us not being able to speak the language. I really do think the macho pro-gun society in the US is likely to make things more difficult post PO.
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Withnail » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 13:53:17

I'm hardly going to move out of the city just when Burger King have started trialling home delivery.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', ' ') Some people see opportunity in rural areas, and our local farmer's market has breathed new life into rural areas close to this town. All of the farmers are young, and they are having kids, so it's not all bad around here.


In all seriousness, I would say your area is well on the way to regeneration if that's happening.
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby jesus_of_suburbia » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 15:09:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou only have to consider that most urbanites and farmers too go to a grocery store that, if it wern't for daily deliveries from markets thousands of miles away, would have empty shelves in just a couple of days. That should comfort no one living on the fifth floor of some apartment complex.

As opposed to the average rural dweller whose only buys all his groceries at a Costco or Walmart 30 miles away? Are they just going to head over to the nearest farm and process whatever grain is available and be alright?

I feel pretty comfortable where I'm at right now. Chicago is a pretty important city, a transportation hub, and located on the shores of one the largest freshwater lakes in the world. Is there crime? Of course. I've also spent significant time in some of the worst areas of the city with the most vulnerable populations and have come out fine. All of my closest family, friends, and work connections are here. I know multiple people I can call to get bail money, people connected with wealthy and influential people, people who can get me a job if needed, and vice versa.

We can argue the "what if's" all we want about living in or near a major city. I can make similar arguments for the country. Yes, if you believe the collapse as some sort of singular event that will affect everyone at exactly the same time and manner then I can see why you'd think cities would be "death traps" as some believe here.

My advice to younger people before they start bolting to the country would be to look for a spouse with a large family.
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Whitefang » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 15:28:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'I')'d say we are not displaced from home as much as disconnected from the idea of home. A sweeping generality might be to say most of us who are not in our ancestral homes, are where we are because of a job - either our job, our spouse's or our parents..

The key is not to simply run away from the city, but to have a destination in mind - a plan. But also a clear idea of the opportunity cost.


Right on pops,

On your chosen loction though, there are still 15 million people living North of you, many more South.
I do think westcoast mtns offer the best option for survival, even clean air!
I used to live a while with hippy folks North of big Vancouver, The Gathering Place near Birkenhead lake:

http://www.env.gov.bc.ca/bcparks/explor ... enhead_lk/

Fine spot for a basecamp before heading to the North.
For years I had my eyes on Tweedsmuir/Kitlope concervancy but shifted my focus on the edge of civilazation on the Cassiar hwy to the Yukon, next to that Alaska peninsula.

http://www.env.gov.bc.ca/bcparks/explor ... y/kitlope/

The yellowhead hwy still inhabited with 200.000/peninsula 80.000, but the rest is very sparsely populated.
Take a left at Dease lake and find yourself a shelter with a way to restore your personal energy.
All you have to do is knowing about survival, 2 months of schooling should be enough.
And get there before SHTF.

http://www.env.gov.bc.ca/bcparks/explor ... mt_edziza/

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')ount Edziza Provincial Park is a magnificent, unspoiled wilderness that needs your help to protect it. Enjoy your visit but be sure to take special care to preserve the park’s unique environment so that future visitors may enjoy it as you have.
Summer is short at Mount Edziza Provincial Park, where snow lingers year-round on Mount Edziza itself. Although temperatures may hit the 30°C range in mid-summer during the day, it can drop below freezing that same night. Snow and freezing rain are possible any day of the year. Generally, weather suitable for backpacking occurs between July 1 and September 15. Be prepared for adverse weather conditions that can include white-outs and high winds. Be sure to build a weather factor into your trip plans.
This is an isolated wilderness area with no supplies of any kind and visitors are very much on their own. Suitable clothing offering protection from wind, cold and rain are essential, as well as equipment for outdoor living. Travellers should be equipped with a compass and topographic maps (see above) for the routes they plan to travel. It should be noted, however, that on the plateau, magnetic properties in the rocks may affect the accuracy of your compass.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stewart-Cassiar_Highway

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')riginally, a roadway extended south from the Alaska Highway to serve the Cassiar mining district, eventually reaching Dease Lake and joining a road to Telegraph Creek (sometimes referred to as Highway 51, but not signed as such). To the south, logging roads extended north almost as far as Meziadin Junction.
By 1968, the route of what is now 37A extended past Meziadin Junction north. By the middle of 1972, only a few miles remained to be built between Meziadin Junction and Iskut. Four bicyclists, whose journey from Alaska to Montana was chronicled in a May 1973 National Geographic article, braved the muddy gap.


I am struggling with that idea of home, for my physical body, coastal BC seems the best worldwide, Scandanavia the easy option, plan B for me and my family, just drive North from my lowlands and take a truck loaded with plenty gear, North of Trondheim, south of Lofoten.

Truly being home is a mysterious affair, direct experience instead of a manageable description we humans take for granted.
A luminous world of feelings and beings that have no organism, mass, speedy as light.
The thing we lost when we started digging Earth and be socialized, our brains actually shrunk 10% or so.
We all feel that loss, a connection, link with the Spirit.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pesIGuV9DDk

Niel Young, Everybody knows.........this is nowhere.
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby dinopello » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 15:29:51

I think the answer here, is that if YOUR city is going to collapse then YES, by all means, get out BEFORE it happens !

If you have lived in a place long enough, then you should know it better than pontificators on the internet that live somewhere else, and sometimes even have no experience with the type of place you live (city, town, village, hamlet, suburb, rural, wilderness).

My city is no where near collapse, I am pretty darn sure of that*. I'm not sure what collapse would look like anyway as the vast majority of people here are much much wealthier than me. Will they all pick up and head to their islands ? Will they hire private armies to protect their houses from...me ? ! 8O

* not so sure that I don't have a backup plan though :wink:
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Whitefang » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 15:55:53

Hi Dino,

This collapse is a worldwide affair, no escape....worldwide web/economy..
South might go first but abrupt CC will effect all life, if it were only that worldwide war of terror....no worries.
Trick is to head out before getting stuck in the dark, panic and the unthinkable.
The first civil world war in history, a dead end.
Abrupt CC gives abrupt collapse, no electro, no gas, no food, no water.......hell and high water for me.

Good luck!
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby dinopello » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 16:53:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Whitefang', 'T')his collapse is a worldwide affair


I like your positive attitude ! We're all in this together ! [smilie=5grouphug.gif]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Whitefang', 'T')rick is to head out before getting stuck in the dark, panic and the unthinkable.


I try not to think about the unthinkable. It makes my head hurt.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Whitefang', 'G')ood luck!


Thanks! you too, man. I'd rather be lucky than good.

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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Lore » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 16:54:33

I'm not so sure all cities will collapse suddenly and all at once. It will require an event in some cases. I can see New York City getting hit with a CAT5 in the future and essentially at that point putting it permanently out of business. Same for Miami. A lot of places like Las Vegas and Phoenix though will simply dry up and fade away.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Newfie » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 17:25:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'C')ities are largely chicken coops for excess humanity.


More like lion's dens or wolf packs at the neighborhood level. On the larger scale it is more like a hive. The suburbs are herd animals. I can see prisons as chicken coops though.


I like your refinement upon my quip. I agree.
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Whitefang » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 17:35:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') like your positive attitude ! We're all in this together ! [smilie=5grouphug.gif]


Yes indeedy Dino,

Since we are all still standing at that firing squad, this makes us all equal.
No mercy for no soldier, no mercy for no king.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jzhLtt_pGQ

Niel Young after that goldrush, don't let it bring you down......only castle's burning.

Cheers!
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Loki » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 17:54:02

The most likely "collapse" is economic. And like all all previous economic spasms, there will be no geographic or social uniformity. The #1 goal during an economic collapse is to maintain employment. For most folks, that means staying in or near a city.

The Great Recession was a nice little taste of what's to come. The largest metro area in my state has basically fully recovered, while some rural parts of the state are still enjoying double digit unemployment.

The zombie apocalypse version of "collapse" makes for fun movies, but it's the least likely scenario in the real world.

My personal preference would be to live as deeply rural as possible, but the job market in these places tends to be highly limited / non-existent. Small towns near larger cities can offer the best of both worlds, but it really depends on where you are and what the economy in your locality is like.
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Ibon » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 17:54:11

Those of you who may be planning to run from where you are........before you give up on your current location take a good and long look in the mirror and honestly ask yourself how effective have you been in integrating into your current existing community. Once you assess this acknowledge that any deficiencies in this department are ones you will carry as you pioneer a new place.
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Lore » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 17:57:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'T')hose of you who may be planning to run from where you are........before you give up on your current location take a good and long look in the mirror and honestly ask yourself how effective have you been in integrating into your current existing community. Once you assess this acknowledge that any deficiencies in this department are ones you will carry as you pioneer a new place.


Well said! Where ever you go, there you are.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Newfie » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 18:28:33

Yet another lost post.

Pops wrote......
"I'd say we are not displaced from home as much as disconnected from the idea of home. A sweeping generality might be to say most of us who are not in our ancestral homes, are where we are because of a job - either our job, our spouse's or our parents.. "

I feel this acutely. I grew up in a small town in southern NJ. Very rural. Each town was built up around a creek. The creeks cut across the salt marshes and were lined with summer homes, very modest, and docks where local watermen kept their boats to Hugo clamming or to run gunning parties. I was on the gun squad at school and took my guns on the bus, just like the kids in band took their instruments. When I got home from school I pitched the books and was out the back door hunting.

It's all gone now. Its a huge suburb of NYC and North Jersey. I know no one there. There are no watermen with their own dialect. The docks are abandoned. There are only suburbs, Walmarts, malls. I hate going there, I want to cry.

Mom was from Newfoundland and even though we only traveled there twice as a youngster I have a deep affinity for the place. The towns have shrunk but are recognizable. The fishing is dismissed. But the geography is the same, the sur names are the same, I am related to most everyone.

My Wife shares this affinity even though she is from Bavaria. She sees Alpine foothills in the water. Outside of kids neither of us has any family in the USA. In Newfoundland my Wife bought a cabin adjacent to my Great Grandfathers house, and we watch humpback whales breach from the porch.

For us the difference is palpable.

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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Newfie » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 18:31:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'T')hose of you who may be planning to run from where you are........before you give up on your current location take a good and long look in the mirror and honestly ask yourself how effective have you been in integrating into your current existing community. Once you assess this acknowledge that any deficiencies in this department are ones you will carry as you pioneer a new place.


Well said! Where ever you go, there you are.


My gut reaction is to agree strongly. Yet mh experimented is different. In the city we are loners. We were dubbed "urban hermits" at our church.

Yet at our marina, and in Newfoundland we are quite social. A mystery.
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 18:46:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'T')hose of you who may be planning to run from where you are........before you give up on your current location take a good and long look in the mirror and honestly ask yourself how effective have you been in integrating into your current existing community. Once you assess this acknowledge that any deficiencies in this department are ones you will carry as you pioneer a new place.
An interesting proposition. But I'm not planning on running anywhere rather sticking it out in the doomstead I already own. The question becomes which of the neighbors will work with me on mutual defense and survival and who are a waste of time. Then there are the friends and relatives that might wish to escape the cities or suburbia and join me. Do you allow them to join you if they submit to your directives being arrogant enough to think that you see the survival path to the future? Do you let in a worm that dooms you and yours? Do you exclude someone that might have saved your groups bacon a year or two later? How will you know?
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby PieceOfMine » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 20:51:09

Timewise, humans have been 99 % nomads, hunter-gatherers or pastoralists. A big part of your hometown feelings is sentimentality. That's a feeling you americans like to revel in.
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Newfie » Sun 22 Feb 2015, 23:04:49

Actually a big part of is encoded in our DNA as highly social animals that require a well developed culture for the tribe to be sucessful. It is contained in all humans, across the globe.

I see much more effort being put into restoring past culture, retaining that home town feel, in Bavaria.

Of corse Germans were the most populous immigrant group into the USA for a long time. So maybe you are just really talking about Germans?
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby Revi » Mon 23 Feb 2015, 11:56:08

I am thinking of different bug-out options, but I think the place we love the best is the best option, although it's an island and they might become difficult. Hard to tell. Getting food on the island is a problem now, but it would be really tricky when there is no ferry.

That's why we are thinking of getting the smallest house in the nearby big town to the island, as we'll have to be on and off and will need a place to stay if we're there for extended periods. We haven't found any place in our price range yet, but we are looking.
Deep in the mud and slime of things, even there, something sings.
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Re: Should you move out of a city before the collapse happen

Unread postby PieceOfMine » Mon 23 Feb 2015, 13:36:21

Germans? I'm no historian, but IIRC, a few from England were crossing the pond as well. Here they are busy building a new "medieval castle using the same tools, techniques and materials available in the 13th century." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5IMeODLND8

The teutonic tribes as a whole, vielleicht? No, no.

Some of the current cultural trends are backward-looking. In my opinion it is a postmodern phenomenon. Postmodernism is what's happening where and when the great plans of modernism collapses. A little bit like Peak Oil: The great technological optimism and political ideologies of the last century have lost their appeal, they have been depleted.

I really think that the american culture has sentimentalism as an important trait, perhaps because emigration gives you that double cultural identity, the before and after.
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