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Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Tue 10 Feb 2015, 20:10:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', 'I')t is a bit disconcerting that we need to debate the difference between want and need. You need air. If you are deprived of it for more then three minutes you will die. You want high speed internet but if you are deprived of it you might have to read a book.
Book! Really :x We have to burn books for heat.

Regardless this is what a doomer do while waiting for TEOTWAWKI? He gab about doom.
NO you don't "Need" books for heat. There are other sources of combustible carbon. 8)
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Re: Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Tue 10 Feb 2015, 20:11:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', '
')What I offered is not ironic as basic needs and "wants" are things that people want. The question is which ones allow allows for long-term health. See the first paragraph of the wiki entry for details and my previous post on the matter.

Feel free to play all the word games you want. Extremes of both sides of the political aisle do this a lot to justify irrational positions. If you want to, for example, define a fish as a bicycle, it's a free country, but don't expect to have much credibility among educated people. Wiki uses a long tortured discussion of "want" and "need", using lots of words, but saying little specific. I'm sure it's great if your desire is to distort, but if your desire is to find an accurate definition for common usage, I'm unimpressed.

Let's go to the dictionary, where definitions come from (Google search yields lots of these). To be specific, I'm talking about the economic definition, since the context (spending programs and affordability, is an economic one):

I found lots of dictionary links like this for "want": http://www.thefreedictionary.com/want

the most common, simple definition is: to desire

I found lots of dictionary links like this for "need": http://www.thefreedictionary.com/need

the most common, simple definition is: to require


So in short for the economic issue and programs we are discussing, does someone WANT something (and intend to get it via politics, envy, favors, someone else's wealth, etc). Or does someone NEED something like food or BASIC medical care to treat an emergency, in order to survive?

Clearly a desire for "long term health" is a want for anyone who isn't torturing definitions in order to score political points.

Aside from you, the other posters on this thread seem to have a pretty good grasp of what "need" vs "want" is, based on the context of their posts.

So I'll say it again. Based on what the world agrees a need vs. a want is, via dictionaries, aside from the far left liberal who WANTS to have endless social programs, whether NEEDed or not, as long as they are spending other peoples' money and it yields votes for their ilk.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

Unread postby ralfy » Tue 10 Feb 2015, 20:53:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '
')
Seems how my statement is what set this all off I will be blunt. What the world worker union or whomever says is irrelevant to my distinction between a want and a need. In order to be born and live long enough to have a child and raise that child until it can bring forth grandchildren to carry on your genetic line there are basic needs.
These are
1) adequate shelter to keep you from roasting/freezing/exposure to bad weather.
2) adequate food to have life and energy left over to reproduce successfully.
3) adequate potable water for drinking and cooking purposes.
4) adequate clothing so that when you are outside your shelter you are not exposed to conditions that will kill or maim you.

That is it for NEEDS. For wants
1) I prefer a nice warm in winter cool in summer private house, but if I have to I can live 20 people to a hut where body heat keeps us from freezing in the winter.
2) I prefer a wide variety of foods to choose from in all seasons and the fresher the better, but I can live on canned tuna and Ramen noodles if I have too. Been there, done that.
3) I prefer showers and baths and clean clothes and mopped floors. If I have too I can live in one set of clothes without bathing only hand washing before meals. That was how most Americans lived as recently as 1900 and as late as 1960 bathing once a week was considered perfectly normal.
4) I prefer having a closet full of clothing and a choice of outer wear to fit the conditions outside from barefoot to heavy winter boots. If I had too I could have one set of clothes that would be worn in layers depending on weather conditions just like people did in the past.

None of this is to say education and health care are unimportant, but the vast bulk of humans who have ever lived got their education from their parents/tribe/employer and you went to the Doctor if you were very ill or badly injured and just muddled on through otherwise. Needs are what you have to have to muddle on through, Wants make life more interesting and often longer. Following the basic hygiene rules put out in the old Testament book Deuteronomy or Leviticus greatly slows the spread of infectious disease. Part of the reason Jewish adherents were persecuted in the middle ages is they had much better hygiene so they had much lower disease rates and their Christian adherent neighbors blamed them for the illnesses they suffered from. Cleanliness is next to Godliness is just a catch phrase to us, but before modern antibiotics it was life saving advice.

I believe our civilization is at a fork in the road, either we work our way around Peak Oil and continue our current high technology lifestyle, or we fall back a very very long way. Civilizations have collapsed hundreds of times in the human history that we know of, usually leaving a remnant population of about ten percent who are good survivor types. We talk about the 'collapse' of the Soviet Union, but it really was not in any real sense of the term, it was just a political dissolution and a deep depression. The Hopi Indians, the Mayans, the Moche, Ancient Egypt several times, the Fertile Crescent several times, the Chinese several times, the cultures of India several times went through cycles where the population drop was extreme. People starved, or fled, or fought until most of them did not live there any more. Ancient ruins are RUINS because the people building and maintaining them stopped doing so. Sometimes the population decline took 100 years, like it did in Rome between 450-550 AD. Other times like the Mayan civilization it looks as if one day the people were working the fields and the next day they were gone.

We are either about to have our hour of greatest triumph, or deepest despair. If we fail as a civilization we could do it overnight like the Maya or over a century like Rome. For the city of Rome between a third and half the population was on public assistance right before the end, when they could no longer feed the poor they fled the city or starved.

If we do not navigate the peak well many of us will be facing the same dilemma of where does our next meal come from. Having grown up in the country I can tell you there is not a lot of food stored here any longer, it gets hauled away by truck and train as soon as it is harvested and sold away. Nobody stores food any longer, so if the distribution system fails we are all in very big trouble. The good news is 30% of Americans are now obese so they can last months without food. The bad news is in a total collapse like the dystopian books and movies scenario after those few months there are no new crops coming in to eat, and the wildlife and pet populations will have been devastated by desperate people looking for anything to eat. Smart animal husbandry will give you a sustainable yield of meat from range land, a desperate crowd of hungry people will slaughter and waste without thought for the next year. Eating the seeds will feed you for a few weeks, but then you have nothing to plant for the next years growing season.


The examples that you give involve high infant mortality and low life expectancy rates. I don't think the opposite of these are wants, which is why education and health care were added to the list of basic needs.

And if the education and health care are not possible because of lack of resources, overpopulation, and environmental damage coupled with the effects of global warming, then that proves my argument.
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Re: Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

Unread postby Pops » Tue 10 Feb 2015, 21:27:34

And OS makes my point.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ased on what the world agrees a need vs. a want...


The rest of the modern world agrees that medicine is a need and provides it at half the cost and with a better result to boot.

Yet OS thinks it is a matter of, what was it ...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'f')ar left liberal who WANTS to have endless social programs,


:cry:
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

Unread postby ralfy » Tue 10 Feb 2015, 21:30:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '
')Feel free to play all the word games you want. Extremes of both sides of the political aisle do this a lot to justify irrational positions. If you want to, for example, define a fish as a bicycle, it's a free country, but don't expect to have much credibility among educated people. Wiki uses a long tortured discussion of "want" and "need", using lots of words, but saying little specific. I'm sure it's great if your desire is to distort, but if your desire is to find an accurate definition for common usage, I'm unimpressed.


I'm not playing word games. I think I explained to you what basic needs are very clearly in my earlier post. To recap, here's the link:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_needs

The traditional list is given in the second paragraph. Additions to it include sanitation, education, and health care. I saw sanitation as something that results from proper education, and is part of health care.

Various countries add to list, so I decided to take the common denominator, which is found in my previous post.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
Let's go to the dictionary, where definitions come from (Google search yields lots of these). To be specific, I'm talking about the economic definition, since the context (spending programs and affordability, is an economic one):

I found lots of dictionary links like this for "want": http://www.thefreedictionary.com/want

the most common, simple definition is: to desire

I found lots of dictionary links like this for "need": http://www.thefreedictionary.com/need

the most common, simple definition is: to require



Read No. 1 of the v. intr. definition of "need." Notice that need is also a want.

Don't be confused by that, though. Instead, go back to the wiki entry that contains the list of basic needs. It's similar to mine.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
So in short for the economic issue and programs we are discussing, does someone WANT something (and intend to get it via politics, envy, favors, someone else's wealth, etc). Or does someone NEED something like food or BASIC medical care to treat an emergency, in order to survive?



I did not refer to any economic issue or program. What I know is that a need is something that ensures "long-term physical well-being," and that obviously requires at least food and basic medical care.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
Clearly a desire for "long term health" is a want for anyone who isn't torturing definitions in order to score political points.



I don't think long term health is part of scoring political points but something that, with lower infant mortality rates, is what most people want. My reason is that I believe people want themselves and their loved ones to live as long as they can.

Again, don't be confused by the point that a need is also a want (see my argument above). If I had written "what most people need," then that may be misinterpreted as long term health being imposed on everyone, even those who do not mind if they or their children die young.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
Aside from you, the other posters on this thread seem to have a pretty good grasp of what "need" vs "want" is, based on the context of their posts.

Again, go back to the link for the definition of "need." Notice that a need is also a want. While you are at it, look at link defining "want" and notice the word "need" used several times.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
So I'll say it again. Based on what the world agrees a need vs. a want is, via dictionaries, aside from the far left liberal who WANTS to have endless social programs, whether NEEDed or not, as long as they are spending other peoples' money and it yields votes for their ilk.

I don't think the world agrees on defining what people need or want based on dictionary meanings as the meanings themselves show that needs can be seen as wants and vice versa. See for yourself by looking at the links that you shared.

The best way to see the difference between the two is to look for a common denominator among things that people want (at this point, I hope you know that I am referring to needs and wants and not just wants), and the most important one appears to be long-term physical health. The results of that can be seen in low infant mortality rates and high life expectancy rates.

From there, one considers the factors needed to ensure thus. A traditional list and a modern one added to it is given in the wiki entry provided earlier.
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Re: Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 10 Feb 2015, 23:04:44

Proper hygiene has done far more for infant mortality rates than every doctor who ever drew a breath, and the good ones will admit that if you ask them.
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To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Re: Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Wed 11 Feb 2015, 11:44:20

I would not rank education as a "need". So many in the world have none and carry on undisturbed. I would rank it as a tool which helps people acquire the things they truly need efficiently and avoiding needles waste. Education about heath care and sanitation would also be a tool not a need.
Wanting something a lot or a majority of people wanting something does not elevate it to a need. After all millions of people "want" to win the lottery but all that wanting does not improve their chances of winning or elevate winning to a need.
On a personal level health care may be a need if you are already sick but as the human race is over populated the world does not "need" any one individual (myself included) to survive and the planet most certainly doesn't "Need" humans and could get along quite nicely without us.
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Re: Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

Unread postby ralfy » Thu 12 Feb 2015, 12:19:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', 'P')roper hygiene has done far more for infant mortality rates than every doctor who ever drew a breath, and the good ones will admit that if you ask them.


I see proper hygiene as part of education, together with many other skills that will be needed to maximize well-being.
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Re: Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

Unread postby ralfy » Thu 12 Feb 2015, 12:24:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', 'I') would not rank education as a "need". So many in the world have none and carry on undisturbed. I would rank it as a tool which helps people acquire the things they truly need efficiently and avoiding needles waste. Education about heath care and sanitation would also be a tool not a need.
Wanting something a lot or a majority of people wanting something does not elevate it to a need. After all millions of people "want" to win the lottery but all that wanting does not improve their chances of winning or elevate winning to a need.
On a personal level health care may be a need if you are already sick but as the human race is over populated the world does not "need" any one individual (myself included) to survive and the planet most certainly doesn't "Need" humans and could get along quite nicely without us.


Generally every need is connected to education. Education includes adults teaching children.

A basic need does not involve wanting that need or winning but one that allows for long-term health. Given that, what you need to prove is that most people don't want to be healthy or live a long life.
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Re: Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

Unread postby Subjectivist » Thu 12 Feb 2015, 14:42:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ralfy', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', 'P')roper hygiene has done far more for infant mortality rates than every doctor who ever drew a breath, and the good ones will admit that if you ask them.


I see proper hygiene as part of education, together with many other skills that will be needed to maximize well-being.


I see proper hygiene as cultural. Muslims have had proper hygiene for almost 800 years and Jews have had it for 3500 years. Japanese culture has had it for hundreds of years without it being based on either religion.
II Chronicles 7:14 if my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin and will heal their land.
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Re: Why Cornucopians are Wrong.

Unread postby ralfy » Thu 12 Feb 2015, 21:20:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Subjectivist', '
')
I see proper hygiene as cultural. Muslims have had proper hygiene for almost 800 years and Jews have had it for 3500 years. Japanese culture has had it for hundreds of years without it being based on either religion.


It is highly likely that such behavior was due to education, unless one can argue that cultural traits are inherent.

On top of that, populations were much smaller then, and many factors exist today that were not seen globally then.
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