by Outcast_Searcher » Sun 19 Oct 2014, 21:41:46
I thought that both the initial posts of Pops and Dissident were great, and summed up the problem very well if you combine them thus: As a species, we are "smart monkeys" constantly taking the path of least resistance.
The consequences today are rather obvious. Sadly, as part of the least resistance thing, however, many of us can't even agree on what the problems are (often due to self interest). Thus little gets done.
Think about it. A HUGE proportion of people are manifestly unaware/unwilling financially to make any reasonable effort to save for their retirement. In fact, a frightening proportion are unwilling to save ANYTHING, as though unexpected problems somehow never will occur.
So, if you can't get the vast majority of people to make sound decisions for their OWN interests in, say, 30 years -- how can we get people to think multiple centuries ahead for things we haven't completely gotten our arms around yet (like the planet, what we are doing to it, and what we should do to save it).
And think of this: in the US, over half of adults don't believe in the very mature science of evolution since it offends their ideas about religion, or they're just taught to distrust science. In 2012, 26% of polled adults thought the sun revolved around the earth. So getting people to agree on ANYTHING meaningful, much less being willing to work together to solve critical problems, seems a LONG way off. Technology or not, I don't think we have a "long" time to make a serious effort.
Much of the really, really, stupid stuff in society/history -- the stuff that makes you just ASHAMED to be a human being -- comes (IMO) from our tribal roots. Racism is a classic example. So instead of: "There's another person, so my first inclination will be to treat them with respect, since they're a fellow human" we have a history of tribalism: "Hey, that dude doesn't look at me. Danger danger. He will try to steal my woman and hurt my kids and my tribe." It's really sad that we are only in the process of growing out of such lunacy, as REAL problems loom. Evolution works too slowly when the pace of change is exponential.
And now we're apparently destroying the planet. We don't know all the details yet, but between pollution, overpopulation, resource mismanagement, AGW, constantly killing each other (wars and general violence) -- we have a tragic history of being about as intelligent as an overall species as a colony of bacteria. And yet, we can't agree to do much of anything -- because it might hurt someone's self interest, conflicts with religious belief, etc.
It's probably unavoidable, but it certainly is tragic. I wonder how often that scenario is repeated when intelligent life actually manages to evolve (with what we have learned from science, such as studying exo-planets, it's still too early to say how rare such life may be).
I wonder if the occasional intelligent race overcomes such problems and goes out and explores the stars. I expect that unlike on Star Trek, the evidence they find is that intelligent civilizations are generally so destructive and stupid that contact with them should be avoided.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.