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THE Detroit Thread (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Lore » Sat 03 Aug 2013, 13:55:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Keith_McClary', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'C')uriously, while the pensioners all resent the proposed cuts to their pensions due to Detroit's bankruptcy, none of them seem to connect the problem to the corrupt politicians that they and their unions help put into office to run Detroit for the last 30 years.
There are longtime "motor cities" in other countries. Do they have these problems or is it a US phenomenon?


Detroit was the US epicenter of one centralized manufacturing industry. Destroyed by money flowing into too many corrupt hands, from the industrialists themselves, to the union bosses on down to the politicians. There was no decentralization of other wealthy manufacturers to leverage competing interests and diversify the local economy. These were kept out.
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sat 03 Aug 2013, 17:41:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
Detroit was ... Destroyed by money flowing into too many corrupt hands, from the industrialists themselves, to the union bosses on down to the politicians. There was no decentralization ....


This isn't quite true. Detroit once had the highest wages in the country.

The problem with Detroit isn't that the car manufacturers and their workers made too much money ---- the problem is the incompetent politicians who ran Detroit for the last 50 years raised taxes so much they caused the middle class to flee the city, decimating Detroit's tax base.

For decades Detroit has been borrowing and spending more than it takes in----and now they are billions in debt with no hope of paying either their past debts to bondholders or their future obligations to their city government retirees. :idea:

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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Lore » Sat 03 Aug 2013, 18:42:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')The problem with Detroit isn't that the car manufacturers and their workers made too much money ---- the problem is the incompetent politicians who ran Detroit for the last 50 years raised taxes so much they caused the middle class to flee the city, decimating Detroit's tax base.

For decades Detroit has been borrowing and spending more than it takes in----and now they are billions in debt with no hope of paying either their past debts to bondholders or their future obligations to their city government retirees.


You're late to the game of understanding what happened over the productive life of Detroit.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ixty years ago, car makers from Chrysler to Cadillac, Studebaker to Dodge had plants in or near the city limits. There were hundreds more parts plants, steel mills, foundries and parts depots, where the products built in Detroit factories were sorted and sent on to the vast networks operated by the auto companies across the country. People in all parts of the city could walk to work, or take a streetcar or bus. Some of them chose to drive, because they earned enough to afford to vehicles they were making (something their parents and grandparents might not have been able to do).

Professor Boyle says that in Detroit’s glory years, from 1910 to 1950, the city was a boom town, equal to any of the gold rush towns of the American West.

Now, there are just two big car factories left in Detroit, Chrysler’s Jefferson North Assembly Plant on the east side, and General Motors’ Detroit-Hamtramck assembly plant just north of I-94. While some of those smaller factories remain, dozens are empty, their structures dotting the city’s landscape like dandelions on a spring lawn. All that presents an enormous challenge to Mayor Dave Bing in his efforts to reinvent the city.

Some of that job decline actually was due to the auto companies’ growth strategies. From the 1940s to the 1990s, the auto companies branched out across the country, pursuing a strategy of building vehicles closer to their customers. The jobs that might automatically have gone to Detroit, or in G.M.’s case, to Flint, Mich., instead went to places such as Doraville, Ga., Framingham, Mass., Tarrytown, N.Y., St. Louis, Fremont, Calif., and elsewhere.

Beyond the job loss, demographics played a role in the shift away from Detroit. A century ago, as planners were looking at where the city could grow, they envisioned three centers of commerce: downtown, the New Center area about 10 minutes drive north, and a third area in northwest Detroit, the area known as Palmer Woods.

The first two areas, and surrounding neighborhoods, filled in by World War II and the thought was that the third area, from New Center to the city’s northwest boundaries, would then come to life after the war.

But as veterans returned, and their families were born, the suburbs beckoned. Rather than move back to their city neighborhoods, they headed beyond Detroit’s borders. That demographic change, as much as the “white flight” so talked about after the Detroit riots of 1967, had an equally important influence on the city’s drop in population.

http://www.changinggears.info/2011/03/2 ... goes-bust/


All of this was underway before 2000. Again, in large result of putting all your eggs in one basket. The final downfall from the corruption at the top levels was a dystopian result of a city and industry convulsing.
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sat 03 Aug 2013, 20:03:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', ' ')Detroit... job decline


Every city in the country has faced job decline and the loss of factories. The garment district in NYC lost all its clothing manufacturing---Seattle lost Boeing and LA lost McDonnell Douglas, etc. etc. The problem in Detroit isn't that some factories were closed---the problem is that Detroit didn't replace those lost factory jobs with other jobs.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', ' ')the suburbs beckoned....


The suburbs beckoned around every city in the US, not just Detroit. Some of the cities adapted and others didn't. Detroit didn't.

---------------------------

Rather than making excuses for Detroit, a more productive line of discourse might be to ask why Detroit did such a terrible job of dealing with the challenges that other American cities were able to cope with. I would submit that since Detroit has been effectively dominated by one political party (the Ds) for the last 40 years, it did not benefit from the kind of questioning, debate, internal criticism and self-examination that arises where there are two active political parties contesting elections in the USA, and as a result it stuck to the same failed policies for decades, until finally sinking into cronyism and corruption. 8)
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Sat 03 Aug 2013, 22:41:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'I') would submit that since Detroit has been effectively dominated by one political party (the Ds) for the last 40 years
Party politics at the municipal level is uncommon in Canada, I don't know about other countries.

Is it common in the US?
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sat 03 Aug 2013, 23:41:07

Detroit has been under continuous control of democrats since 1961.

Detroit has been continuously ruled by one party for 53 years

Thats a loooooong time---almost as long as Cuba has been under Castro. :)
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Tanada » Sun 04 Aug 2013, 08:38:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Keith_McClary', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'I') would submit that since Detroit has been effectively dominated by one political party (the Ds) for the last 40 years
Party politics at the municipal level is uncommon in Canada, I don't know about other countries.

Is it common in the US?


It is excessively common in the USA, though in the majority of cases I am aware of (Detroit, Toledo, Flint, Chicago, Minneapolis) the Democrat party gets an electoral majority in large population centers and manages to keep it for a very long time. For a long while the Cities in Michigan were Democrat strongholds while the Suburbs were Republican strongholds. Americans tend to be willing to move away from an area where they feel they are not being listened too or represented as they think they should be so once a single party dominates local elections it is common for those of different viewpoints to move away. This is what has lead to the Red Rural and Blue city phenomenon common throughout the eastern half of the USA. In the early 20th century municipal politics in large urban centers was almost always about city growth and attracting new residents, around the end of World War II when the Suburban expanse began the goal of many cities shifted from growth to hanging on to the residents they already had. Local politicians began promising the moon to their populations to keep them from seeking greener pastures elsewhere. Unfortunately they over promised and under delivered leading to serious population declines in many cities, which in turn caused higher income taxes within the cities driving further exodus.

Some cities grew substantially because people like the climate where they are enough to want to live there, and growing population bases need lower tax rates to sustain the system. Phoenix and San Fransisco would be prime examples of this. Almost every city east of the Mississippi has suffered a population decline while those on the west side of the river grew especially Texas, New Mexico, Arizona and California, the arid warm year around states. Florida also grew a lot after air conditioning became common and indoor humidity became controlled as a result.
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Lore » Sun 04 Aug 2013, 10:00:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')Every city in the country has faced job decline and the loss of factories. The garment district in NYC lost all its clothing manufacturing---Seattle lost Boeing and LA lost McDonnell Douglas, etc. etc. The problem in Detroit isn't that some factories were closed---the problem is that Detroit didn't replace those lost factory jobs with other jobs.


That's not true, I came from one that has grown exponentially over the last 30 years, Charlotte, NC, and there are many others.

As I mentioned, Detroit never replaced the jobs from the auto industry because the political and industrial leadership never let those businesses in. A talent pool never developed, so why later would anyone move to a unionized city of auto workers to make software, etc. instead those jobs went to surrounding communities like Ann Arbor.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')The suburbs beckoned around every city in the US, not just Detroit. Some of the cities adapted and others didn't. Detroit didn't.


You think?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')Rather than making excuses for Detroit, a more productive line of discourse might be to ask why Detroit did such a terrible job of dealing with the challenges that other American cities were able to cope with. I would submit that since Detroit has been effectively dominated by one political party (the Ds) for the last 40 years, it did not benefit from the kind of questioning, debate, internal criticism and self-examination that arises where there are two active political parties contesting elections in the USA, and as a result it stuck to the same failed policies for decades, until finally sinking into cronyism and corruption. 8)


You can say the same for many red states over the last 25 years. Texas comes to mind, even the last city I lived in, Charlotte.
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby AgentR11 » Sun 04 Aug 2013, 11:46:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Keith_McClary', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'I') would submit that since Detroit has been effectively dominated by one political party (the Ds) for the last 40 years
Party politics at the municipal level is uncommon in Canada, I don't know about other countries.

Is it common in the US?


Some cities use partisan elections, other's don't. Surprisingly, Houston does not use a partisan system; though many of its elected officials are easily enough associated with the Democrat party; but they are generally centrist Democrats. That would change in a heartbeat if Houston annexed a certain part of the county that everyone would just assume is part of the city, but is not. A vast spread of residential, single family homes filled FAR right wing residents... lol.

This is the pattern that really disturbs me though, in that cities no longer annex to gain population base, etc; they only annex when the target area increases the current politician's electoral majorities and increases the amount they can spend on toys. Heck, even my small city is guilty, annexing a long (several miles), thin strip of retail space, and neatly trimming out all the nearby residents who might desire city services. Heaven forbid annexation might change the voter makeup. And to be clear, it is RIGHT WING voters that are being systematically trimmed out by cities.

I'm sure that Preston's OK with this sort of voter disenfranchisement though.. no?
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sun 04 Aug 2013, 12:32:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')Every city in the country has faced job decline and the loss of factories.

That's not true, I came from one that has grown exponentially over the last 30 years, Charlotte, NC.


And you think Charlotte is growing because of all the factories it is gaining? Wake up and take another look. Charlotte has grown because it has become a BANKING center. :roll:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', ' ')Detroit ... has been effectively dominated by one political party (the Ds) for the last 40 years

You can say the same for many red states.... Texas comes to mind.


You are wrong again. Texas elects lots of democratic congresscritters and the occasional senator and governor. The democrat party is strong and active in Texas. Detroit, on the other hand, has had only one party continuously in control for the last 50+ years.

I repeat---sIngle party control leads to cronyism and corruption. The whole point of our democracy is to have multiple view points and ideas in play representing all parts of the citizenry---not to let one group control things for generations. :idea:
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Lore » Sun 04 Aug 2013, 15:50:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'A')nd you think Charlotte is growing because of all the factories it is gaining? Wake up and take another look. Charlotte has grown because it has become a BANKING center. :roll:


It grew because of tobacco, textiles and furniture in the region. Banking was a newcomer after they lost all the former businesses which were heavily dependent on unskilled, low pay, non union labor. Banking led to it becoming the service center for the area for many national and international companies setting up distribution branches. Since the bust in banking it's the latter that has grown the city.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'Y')ou are wrong again. Texas elects lots of democratic congresscritters and the occasional senator and governor. The democrat party is strong and active in Texas. Detroit, on the other hand, has had only one party continuously in control for the last 50+ years.


Wrong again? I was right the first time! :lol:

In 1994 the Governorship of Texas went Republican, then after 2000 the Republicans controlled the State Senate and after 2002 the State House. They then formed a new redistricting plan which will solidify their power for some time to come. That is until the Latino population overwhelms them.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'I') repeat---sIngle party control leads to cronyism and corruption. The whole point of our democracy is to have multiple view points and ideas in play representing all parts of the citizenry---not to let one group control things for generations. :idea:


Well then you should agree, Texas is a very corrupt place to live.
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby AgentR11 » Sun 04 Aug 2013, 16:56:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'I')n 1994 the Governorship of Texas went Republican, then after 2000 the Republicans controlled the State Senate and after 2002 the State House. They then formed a new redistricting plan which will solidify their power for some time to come. That is until the Latino population overwhelms them.


If I felt direct wagering was ethical, I'd bet on something else. Latino's *WILL* be calling the shots in Texas, but I suspect they're gonna do it by coming into ownership of the Republican party of Texas. In the long run, I don't see the Democratic party as compatible with what Texas Latinos are attempting to achieve. The ones that want handouts go to California, the ones that come to mean and do hard-ball business, come to Texas. No one comes to Texas to attempt to live off Aid... lol.

Just my general take on it. Its probably a good 3-4 decades away, with a period of instability in the middle which should be very entertaining in its own way.

And a note on Redistricting; the Democrats that got tossed had been running on a gerrymander so potent that they were holding a House majority, while the state was voting 60/40 Rep/Dem for representatives. Its was truly an obnoxious masterpiece. The Republicans deserve an R+ gerrymander at least till 2040 to even begin to call the score fair.
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Lore » Sun 04 Aug 2013, 17:38:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'I')n 1994 the Governorship of Texas went Republican, then after 2000 the Republicans controlled the State Senate and after 2002 the State House. They then formed a new redistricting plan which will solidify their power for some time to come. That is until the Latino population overwhelms them.


If I felt direct wagering was ethical, I'd bet on something else. Latino's *WILL* be calling the shots in Texas, but I suspect they're gonna do it by coming into ownership of the Republican party of Texas. In the long run, I don't see the Democratic party as compatible with what Texas Latinos are attempting to achieve. The ones that want handouts go to California, the ones that come to mean and do hard-ball business, come to Texas. No one comes to Texas to attempt to live off Aid... lol.

Just my general take on it. Its probably a good 3-4 decades away, with a period of instability in the middle which should be very entertaining in its own way.

And a note on Redistricting; the Democrats that got tossed had been running on a gerrymander so potent that they were holding a House majority, while the state was voting 60/40 Rep/Dem for representatives. Its was truly an obnoxious masterpiece. The Republicans deserve an R+ gerrymander at least till 2040 to even begin to call the score fair.


Spoken like a true Texican! :-D
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby dsula » Sun 04 Aug 2013, 18:03:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', '[') Latino's *WILL* be calling the shots in Texas.

Latinos also call the shots in mexico. Is that why it is a shit hole? That doesn't bode well for texas. It's probably gonna look like mexico pretty soon. The question is, where are all those latinos go then? Because for some reason they don't like mexcio, yet they turn every state they go to into it's equivalent. Strange indeed...
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby Lore » Sun 04 Aug 2013, 18:16:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dsula', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', '[') Latino's *WILL* be calling the shots in Texas.

Latinos also call the shots in mexico. Is that why it is a shit hole? That doesn't bode well for texas. It's probably gonna look like mexico pretty soon. The question is, where are all those latinos go then? Because for some reason they don't like mexcio, yet they turn every state they go to into it's equivalent. Strange indeed...


Nah... according to Plant, Texas will be doing that all on their own.

But, back on track, Detroit has followed one party for several decades, however the state has had leadership with the opposite party many times during the same period. The big gripe, as said before in the rest of Michigan, is all the state dollars that were poured into Detroit to support the auto industry and crony capitalism there. So, truth be told, the political corruption went far beyond party lines and the city boundaries.
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Re: Detroit Files For Chapter 9 Bankruptcy

Unread postby AgentR11 » Sun 04 Aug 2013, 18:57:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'S')poken like a true Texican! :-D

Absolutely. On average, I like Mexicans a lot more than I like New Englanders or folks from the PNW. There might be a decent person or two from New York... but ya know, exceptions and rules and all that.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dsula', 'L')atinos also call the shots in mexico. Is that why it is a shit hole? That doesn't bode well for texas. It's probably gonna look like mexico pretty soon.


Between Mexico and California or NY, I'd much rather live in Mexico.
Texas is best of all worlds though. Its everything that's good about Mexico, added to the few (very few) good things that come from up North.

As to Mexico's problems, a good portion are caused by us and our asinine combination of harsh anti-drug laws and insatiable lust for more illicit narcotics. Losing a war or two and making the error of failing to respect the State of Texas a while back, didn't help; but she seems to have grown wiser with age. Think of how much stronger Mexico would have been through the decades if she hadn't been so annoying in the 1830s. Bunch of crazy, overpatriotic, bloodthirsty, Anglo-Mexican adoptees to throw at any external problem... what could possibly go wrong? :lol:
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Re: THE Detroit Thread (merged)

Unread postby Ferretlover » Fri 23 Aug 2013, 13:59:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Abandoned Dogs Roam Detroit in Packs as Humans Dwindle
As many as 50,000 stray dogs roam the streets and vacant homes of bankrupt Detroit, replacing residents, menacing humans who remain and overwhelming the city’s ability to find them homes or peaceful deaths. …
Arrington said when she visited Detroit in October, “It was almost post-apocalyptic, where there are no businesses, nothing except people in houses and dogs running around.”
“The suffering of animals goes hand in hand with the suffering of people.”
She said pet owners who move leave behind dogs, hoping neighbors will care for them. Those dogs take to the streets and reproduce. Compounding that are the estimated 70,000 vacant buildings that provide shelter for dogs, or where some are chained without care to ward off thieves, Ward said.
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Re: THE Detroit Thread (merged)

Unread postby dolanbaker » Fri 23 Aug 2013, 16:36:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ow, multiply this situation by thousands of towns... Planning to survive by hunting? You are going to have competition!

Lead v Teeth!

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Re: THE Detroit Thread (merged)

Unread postby Lore » Tue 03 Dec 2013, 18:32:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')19 shocking facts about Detroit's bankruptcy

1. Detroit's revenue, in inflation-adjusted dollars, fell 40% from 1962 to 2012.

2. The city currently has just 9,700 workers, yet has 21,000 retirees drawing benefits.

3. Detroit's population has declined 63% since 1950, including a 26% decline since 2000. As of December 2012, its population was 684,799 – down from 1,849,600 in 1950.

4. Unemployment has tripled since 2000. As of June 2012, it's 18.3%, which is more than double the national average.

5. The number of employed residents has dropped more than 53% since 1970.

6. Property tax revenues have decreased by approximately 19.7% over the past five years.

7. The per capita tax burden on Detroiters is the highest in Michigan, despite relatively low levels of income for city residents.

8. The total assessed value of property in Detroit declined by 77% over the past 50 years in inflation-adjusted dollars.

9. Without restructuring, the city is projected to have negative cash flows of $198.5 million in FY 2014.

10. Detroit's long-term debt is estimated to be between $18 billion and $20 billion.

11. The city has unfunded pension liabilities of $3.5 billion.

12. Its unfunded health care liabilities are $5.7 billion.

13. In 2012, Detroit had the highest violent crime rate of any U.S. city with a population over 200,000. The overall crime rate is five times the national average.

14. Detroit has just 370 functioning street lights per square mile, compared with 812 for Cleveland and 785 for St. Louis.

15. Detroit has witnessed 11,000-12,000 fires every year for the past decade.

16. Detroit's homicide rate is at the highest level in 40 years, and it has been named one of the most dangerous cities in America for more than 20 years.

17. Its citizens wait on average more than 58 minutes for the police to respond to their calls, compared to a national average of 11 minutes.

18. The city has 78,000 abandoned structures.

19. More than half of its parks have closed since 2008.

It's always darkest...

Detroit's situation is extremely dire right now, and it will require great leadership and shared sacrifice in order to turn things around. Fortunately, there are already some glimmers of hope.

The big three auto companies, for example, are now profitable again after having experienced extreme difficulties in 2008 and 2009. GM (ticker: GM ) and Chrysler still have a significant presence in the city, while Ford (F) is based in nearby Dearborn. Both GM and Ford have seen their share prices rise by 29% so far in 2013.

Also, Detroit's downtown is reviving with Quicken Loans founder Dan Gilbert having invested more than $1 billion. Warren Buffett is a huge fan of Gilbert, and was recently very complimentary of the latter's efforts on behalf of Detroit.

Finally, Detroit has a new mayor who appears to possess the kinds of skills that will be essential for turning the city around. The path ahead will be difficult, but at least one great investor is hopeful. At a recent event for small businesses in Detroit, Warren Buffett said that he has a "real love for the city, and the potential is huge." He also said, "The United States with a flourishing Detroit is going to be a lot better than without one." I think all Americans would agree with that.

http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/per ... y/3823355/
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