by h2 » Wed 28 Aug 2013, 14:12:14
John-A, if you want to sell a point, which is I assume what you are trying to do, it's useful to not totally mis-characterize the motivations of TOD closing. Since anyone who has followed this knows that they are closing for two primary reasons:
1. they do it for free, volunteer, ie, you know, they don't get paid for their very hard work, something you probably have little familiarity with as a concept, or experience, they have simply gotten burned out from watching the bumpy plateau bump along. Anyone who has done years of steady volunteer work on projects where you have to basically treat it as a second job, which I have done as well in different areas, understands this basic reality, so pretending that they are closing due to being wrong is just absurd, and shows you have no understanding of that situation at all, and are just taking the outside media talking points and trying to sell them here. That's a bad idea, since people here actually tend to know what they are talking about.
2. Linked to point 1 is the fact that we are now deep into the undulating plateau, and following it is frankly repetitious and a bit boring, and when you do stuff for free, volunteer, you know, the concept that seems alien to you, remembering that tod is not a company that is closing down because they went bankrupt, they are closing down because the energy, so to speak, is simply not there to continue, primarily because they all now know that it's time to move on into dealing with this situation in their real lives, the lives that have to make sure they have food on the table and a roof over their heads, anyway, doing boring stuff for free year over year, it just sort of grinds down on you, until you go, you know, this problem is solved, it's time to move on. Reminding again, volunteer work may pay in spiritual and other non material ways, but it rarely pays in cash. When a problem is hazy and not totally clear, yet is looming and benefits from your volunteer time, it is quite easy to dedicate the 10 to 40 hours or more per week on the project, once you grasp that the problem has now grown to be political, essentially, what the societies will chose to do to handle these new realities, continuing to publish basically the same information over and over again in different forms grows repetitious, and not interesting. If you were the type of person who is motivated by interesting problems, you would understand this point as well, so clearly you are not, which if fine, not many are, personally I value the contributions and time of volunteers who did do the work over people who do not.
Your graphical cherry picking is sort of cute, however, obviously once oil prices rise to a certain level, they can, at great social cost, begin to extract the stuff that solid peak oil analysts always said they would extract, tight oil, heavy dirty oil, tar sands, etc, but pretending that this is stuff somehow disproves peak oil flow observations when it does the exact opposite, to me suggests either pure wishful thinking, or pursuit of agendas that are often paid.
By mis-characterizing the causes for tod closing doors, you basically lose a lot of credibility on any other points you might want to promote in this thread, just a 'friendly' word of advice if you are trying to convince anyone who knows anything of anything, don't make a mistake this bad or nothing else you say will really resonate. Repeating the mass media talking points as if they have anything to do with the actual reality shows a fairly significant sloppiness in your methods, and certainly does you no real good in a forum like this, but each to their own, in a sense, I like it when people get sloppy, that way you sort of know who they are, it's beneficial, less bs to wade through. I assume the JD guy you like does that as well, or you wouldn't like him so much. Personally I like serious people who actually know what they are talking about, from direct experience, a bit more than someone running an internet polemic blog, ie, professionals, and there is no shortage of professionals to follow, deffeyes, rockman, etc. As for others, as they say, a clock that has stopped is right twice a day. I take such things as just signs of the increasing intellectual desperation of people who really really want to believe that our car/energy culture has a future in its current form, even as it grows more and more obvious that it does not. But change is difficult, and is feared by most people, that's always been the case, always will be I think, so you are in good company.