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Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetime

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Ibon » Fri 29 Mar 2013, 16:40:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'I') swear on a stack of grandmas oil royalty check stubs that I wasn't reading Greer before I wrote that!


Looks to me like evidence of that collective soup simmering away :)
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Newfie » Fri 29 Mar 2013, 17:50:02

I tend to break it three ways: law giving, explaining, community.

I agree that traditional religion has diminished in the former two, but is still a powerful community tool.

But now we worship the silent hand and endless growth as explanations, whileTSA provides all the law giving we can want.

Our (Western) needs have not changed, just how we satisfy them.
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Pops » Fri 29 Mar 2013, 18:39:55

Yes, exactly, the social need for fellowship will always be there, it is inborn.

But as the questions once answered with miracles, magic and self-referential hokum are more and more answered by science, and the exclusionary, autocratic, many times misogynistic philosophies from the past become more isolated, where does the next new church find it's mojo?

My thought is that the new church strips away the tacked on human centered idols and moves back to the ancient traditions more in tune with the natural world. Instead of the inwardly human focused "died for your sins so you can keep sinning and live forever" easter story, we go back to the the "we are sure happy to have survived thus far without eating each other" celebration. Perhaps with a catchier name...

Maybe it's less radical than that but maybe religion evolves away from human centered teachings when we realize, finally, that we are not only literally not the center of the universe but that figuratively speaking the natural world does not revolve around us either. Perhaps after the natural world jumps up and slaps the snot out of us.

So instead of spouting threats and damnation and intimidation, religion actually acts as spiritual guide. Actually acting out the distinction that appears to be forming between popes Benedict and Francis. The former a double-down defender of the institution and the later, apparently, one who sees the church more as servant than master.

Don't worry, I'm not holding my breath.
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Ibon » Fri 29 Mar 2013, 20:55:23

Growth and progress has been mostly linear for the past couple of generations with absolutely no kick back from natural limits. Is it any surprise the masses perservere in their belief at humans being the masters and commanders? Secular belief in technology and progress clearly reinforces this. Religious belief in the creator that put this all here for our benefit clearly does as well.

Humans see themselves as center stage because we have been.

Oh god are we in for a hell of a surprise.

Does anyone doubt the transformative nature of this surprise when consequences return nature to her rightful place ?
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Newfie » Fri 29 Mar 2013, 21:26:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', '
')
Oh god are we in for a hell of a surprise.

Does anyone doubt the transformative nature of this surprise when consequences return nature to her rightful place ?


Yes, I do. I see no evidence that we are capable of learning.
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby PrestonSturges » Sat 30 Mar 2013, 13:03:06

Beware the person who thinks he is spiritual leader!
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')The individual may state with pain today that with the appearance of Christianity the first spiritual terror has been brought into the much freer old world, but he will not be able to deny the fact that since then the world has been threatened and dominated by this compulsion, and that compulsion is broken only by compulsion, and terror by terror. Only then can a new condition be created by construction.
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Newfie » Sun 31 Mar 2013, 21:14:50

Amen!
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby PrestonSturges » Tue 02 Apr 2013, 19:34:04

One of the main points of the Eric Hoffer book is that the best leaders are the people that really don't want the job. Washington turned down being king, Lincoln aged 20 years in one term, Grant would have been a poor farmer if it weren't for the Civil War.

There is nothing in the history of any country to suggest that business people are better political leaders. Veterans do better than average if they have a realistic distaste for war, but that still leaves Mao, Hitler, and Stalin. Many revolutionary leaders are nobodies with nothing to lose.
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Ibon » Wed 03 Apr 2013, 08:23:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'A')men!


Newfie, I am trying to address your skepticism here in a new thread.

worshipping-the-overshoot-predator-t68063.html
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Newfie » Thu 04 Apr 2013, 10:40:24

Ibon,

Haven't made it to the new thread yet, I will.

In the mean time I came across this from Dennis Meadows...


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')ORMAT: Do you fear an end of democracy?

Meadows: I see two trends. On the one hand, the disruption of states into smaller units, such as regions such as Catalonia, and on the other hand a strong, centralised superpower. Not a state, but a fascist combination of industry, police and military. Maybe there will be in the future even both. Democracy is indeed a very young socio-political experiment. And it does not currently exist. It produced only crises that it cannot solve. Democracy contributes nothing at the moment to our survival. This system will collapse from within, not because of an external enemy.
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Ibon » Fri 05 Apr 2013, 10:16:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', 'O')ne of the main points of the Eric Hoffer book is that the best leaders are the people that really don't want the job.


I finished the book. Thanks again for recommending it. The author, Eric Hoffer had no formal education and was a migrant field worker, worked in restaurants, as a gold prospector and then after WWII as a longshoreman for 25 years. Self-taught individuals have that freedom to free associate and wander where curiosity leads them. They become original thinkers unconstrained from academic obligations , free of the bias of any department or institute. We might see more individuals like him emerge in the near future as our learning institutions continue to lose creditability. Ironically, this is somehow related to the topic, since original thinkers, according to Hoffer, are one of the ingredients that form mass movements early on as they distill and conceptualize stuff cooking in that collective soup. They are unfortunately often hijacked by fanatics as Hoffer points out.

Reading the True Believer through the lens of human overshoot and how natural consequences can influence the emergence and nature of mass movements during the 21st century has been an interesting exercise. Some of Hoffer’s insights take on perhaps a new meaning since he wrote this book shortly after WWII and his main focus was on mass movements and their leaders mainly from religions, nationalism and communism. If a mass movement and leader though is catalyzed from a series of external ecological events (overshoot) rather than an emerging ideology, does that potentially change the nature of the movement and the leaders in any significant way that differ from the examples described in the book? That was the over-arching question that I held while reading through the chapters.


Here is just a semi coherent ramble of some of the lines and concepts of his book that jumped out at me.

Discontent is likely to be highest when misery is bearable…. Intensity of discontent seems to be in inverse proportion to the distance from the object fervently desired. The about to be rich, the new poor, those recently enslaved make up this group. Not like the very poor on the borderline of starvation who live purposeful lives because they are involved in survival. They do not get involved with mass movements. The disenfranchised become the cornerstones of a new world. Example the undesired disenfranchised that left Europe built a new world in North America. Change from the margins. Hoffer mentions that those who lead purposeful lives are not prone to mass movements. If you are in possession of creative powers… to see things grow and develop under our hand. Frustration rises when you are unemployed or employed in meaningless menial labor or are bored.
Direct quote There is perhaps no more reliable indicator of a society’s ripeness for a mass movement than the prevalence of unrelieved boredom. In almost all the descriptions of the periods preceding the rise of mass movements there is a reference to vast ennui.
Where people live autonomous lives and are not badly off, yet are without ability or opportunities for creative work or useful action, there is not telling to what desperate and fantastic shifts they might resort in order to give meaning and purpose to their lives.


So what conclusions can we draw? As we go into descent with further chaos there will be ripe opportunities of mass movements lead by fanatics and false prophets who will exploit the desperation of the frustrated. Hitleresque personalities. I can certainly see that and in fact predict it will happen.

I see the collective today globally in a different place however than where the collective was say around WWII. There is not that provincial nationalism with a crisis of Lebensraum like in those days. I think the collective in the west will be skeptical about any bombastic charismatic fanatical leader. However I am not so sure about Asia once China would be denied their opportunity to taste being the global empire at 5 minutes to midnight because overshoot cut them down. I could imagine the population there could rally behind fanatics. Just like Americans could rally behind a fanatic as consequences move them off the pedestal of being the leading empire. This is all pure speculation however.

As you mentioned Preston, Hoffer offers the examples of the best leaders being the ones that really didn't wat the job. Lincoln and Ghandi as leaders who took that momentum of a mass movement and travelled with it to a selfless place of generosity instead of becoming a cult of power.

You know how hurricanes draw folks together. I wonder if enough natural consequences of overshoot would not possibly rally a mass movement and allow a compassionate leader or organization to emerge that like Lincoln or Ghandi would lead from humility or generosity to confront external environmental calamities. Will there be a hunger for such a leader be in the collective soup after the environmental destruction of our hubris is laid bare for all to see?

That is my question. Can a leader rise out of a collective that recognizes with an intuitive sense that domination and hubris this time round will not solve our underlying problems and that we would then rally behind a leadership that would come from humility and strength around environmental issues. It’s possible.

Again, that is the big question I was left pondering after reading the book.

Between now and then however I fear we will have to go through a number of mass movements lead by fanatics preying on the false hopes of the collective. A collective that will need to first apply their desperation in attempting to get back on the domination status quo. Each failed attempt though could allow the possibility of a Ghandi or Lincoln style leader to emerge though.

Or are we beyond following an individual man or woman? Would the individual represent just a figurehead of a new insitution. A new Church?

Hoffer mentions Christianity as the longest and most stable surviving mass movement since the followers felt like participants and benefiaries of the message. Could something like this happen again?
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Quinny » Fri 05 Apr 2013, 11:45:09

Why are Gods or Leaders needed?

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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Ibon » Fri 05 Apr 2013, 12:05:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'W')hy are Gods or Leaders needed?

DIY is good!


How many of the 7 billion Kudzu Apes on the planet are self actualized secular individuals?

How many on the other hand are comfortable relinquishing their autonomy to a higher authority or are even frightened by the perceived lonliness of their autonomy and seak out religions or community?

And here is a more pregnant question.

If events gave birth to an eco based spiritual religion, who would more quickly embrace it, a secular ecologist or a religious person?

Is it easier for a faith based person to incorporate ecological principles into their faith or would it be easier for a secular based ecologist to incorporate a spiritual reverence for the planet as a member of a spiritual community?

Will consequences cause both the secular and the religious to stretch into unfamilar teritorry? Can events be severe enough to actually disentegrate the polarity between the secular and spiritual world views and find a common place to worship and revere our planet and to protect it?
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Pops » Fri 05 Apr 2013, 12:29:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'C')an events be severe enough to actually disentegrate the polarity between the secular and spiritual world views and find a common place to worship and revere our planet and to protect it?

The question for me as an atheist and "non-congregator" is what makes people congregate? If it is to be a part of a community and have fellowship and maybe feel superior to the nonbelievers, then perhaps the object of worship is secondary.

If on the other hand it is to have a leg up in whatever flavor of afterlife you envision, then Pan probably isn't gonna be your god.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby ROCKMAN » Fri 05 Apr 2013, 14:06:30

Pops – “If it is to be a part of a community and have fellowship and maybe feel superior to the nonbelievers…” But that’s why I’ve come back to peakoil…is that bad thing? LOL. BTW like me do you also make fun of agnostics for being wossies that won’t commit to a potential eternity in hell?
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Newfie » Fri 05 Apr 2013, 19:00:02

We congregate for the same reason bees, and termites do...because (historically) it offered a survival advantage to your group. That is the other evolutionary pathway, survival of the fittest group.

I too am very much a loner and an atheist. But I also did a ling stint as a active member of an Ethical Humanist congregation which gave me opportunity to consider why people gather. I know that for me I can take something from the interaction, but that it drains me. I need to get away and detoxify. My Wife is the exception, yet we are much alike.

The group evolution explanation is a very powerful explanation of how we developed our ethical traits...bravery, compassion, altruism, sel sacrifice, et al. Ocams razor.
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby Ibon » Sun 07 Apr 2013, 10:17:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '
')I too am very much a loner and an atheist.


Most of us here on this site probably are. Also most visionaries are. Visionaries germinate ideas because their independence allows them to think out of the collective box.

But the vast majority of humanity are communal and actually do not want the lonliness of their autonomy and prefer to adhere to religions and group think. We need to keep that in mind when we project forward so that we do not allow our personal fiercely independent world view to become a bias.

I put myself on top of a mountain with 600,000 hectares of vast cloud forest wilderness around me. I am not representative also of the collective although I find myself least cynical toward my fellow human being when I am most far away from them.....

Yes I guess Ennui (Mos) is right..... I am a misanthrope at heart.
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby vision-master » Sun 07 Apr 2013, 10:50:25

But the vast majority of humanity are communal and actually do not want the lonliness of their autonomy and prefer to adhere to religions and group think.

So what is your ideology (belief system), religion or theory of evolution?
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby PrestonSturges » Sun 07 Apr 2013, 12:19:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', 'O')ne of the main points of the Eric Hoffer book is that the best leaders are the people that really don't want the job.


I finished the book. Thanks again for recommending it. The author, Eric Hoffer had no formal education and was a migrant field worker, worked in restaurants, as a gold prospector and then after WWII as a longshoreman for 25 years. Self-taught individuals have that freedom to free associate and wander where curiosity leads them.


Many people that grew up in the Depression became thinkers without an education. No doubt the disruption of ww2 increased social mobility. His work survives and he managed to not destroy his reputation even though in the last couple years of his life he became extremely conservative, which happens to many people when they become too old to do productive work. It was a weird ending for someone who wrote about the inevitability of change, but not unusual. Even George Carlin became really bitter and angry in his last year.

Hoffer's point about revolution following slight improvements in living conditions was interesting, and especially relevant to China. I was also impressed by the idea that extreme poverty makes the public embrace extreme conservatism, the kind that treats simple nonconformity with mob violence.

I think that the people who operate behind the scenes (the PAC donors) recognize Hoffer's principle of sharp pendulum swings. When Obama was elected, someone was saying "Yes! Now is our moment to smash trade unions! make it happen, fund it through the usual channels!" And, Poof!, we had the Tea Party. And maybe it had a millisecond of grassroots energy, but as Hoffer points out, it was instantly absorbed by the existing power structure and taken over by Washington insiders. And in turn it gave birth to the Occupy movement, which never developed a leadership, so it was eventually overtaken by the 2012 election and vanished. It was really striking how violent the response to the Occupy movement was, how much corporations were actively involved in monitoring protesters, and how obsessed wingnuts were with killing Occupy protesters - Basically you saw the three legs of a totalitarian response. And wasn't that just another swing of the pendulum?
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Re: Perception of intangible cultural change in your lifetim

Postby PrestonSturges » Sun 07 Apr 2013, 15:34:53

The other obstacle to change is the use of dialectic techniques of absorbing the critics language, making coherent debate impossible through the Orwellian use of DoubleSpeak. Hoffer doesn't really explore this, but he does describe how the revolutionary slogans are swiftly adopted by counter-revolutionary forces, and the revolution itself becomes an oppressive tool of the status quo - maybe a new status quo, or maybe just the same old status quo.

People who get elected yapping about the "Constitution" write blatantly unconstitutional laws, and they come back again and again and again looking for gaps in the Constitution. Most Constitutions are very short, so you can truthfully say that there is no right to vote, there is no right to habeas corpus, there is no right to privacy. So people that run on the "Constitution" are basically signalling their goal of destroying constitutional rule.

"Save Social Security" means destroy Social Security.

The Federalist Society represents the anti-Federalist "states rights" neoconfederates, just the opposite of its name

People like Scalia who have spent decades complaining about "activist judges who legislate from the bench" now say it's the courts job to legislate from the bench and reverse the legislative branch....just because.

People who claim to be fighting "Fascism" are generally spewing most of the classic Fascist talking points.

People who claim to fighting "racism" can certainly be found on white supremacist web sites and hoarding ammo for their fantasy "race war."

People who claim to be filled with love are likely to be sidetracked by apocalyptic fantasies where they hunt down and kill anyone that disagrees with them.
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