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25%-30% of Harvestors Quiting

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25%-30% of Harvestors Quiting

Postby bruin » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 15:11:05

Nobody wants to pick your food anymore. Eventually, enough of these guys will quit so the remaining few can raise their prices to cover the fuel costs and pass that along to the consumer.

So the harder to pick foods will end up going up the most. Which harvest takes the most fuel?

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/050608/farm_scene.html?.v=4
Last edited by bruin on Wed 08 Jun 2005, 18:05:06, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Leanan » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 15:18:53

It's really scary, how much oil it takes to harvest crops. Never mind what it takes to grow, irrigate, and transport them.

And it's not just fuel costs that are rising...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')igh fuel prices also are driving up the costs of everything else cutters have to buy. The high steel prices have already caused steep jumps in the prices of farm equipment and repair parts, he said.
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Postby Raxozanne » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 15:18:57

well agriculture was always going to be a big problem. The warning signs are there.
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Postby lorenzo » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 15:30:28

This is pretty amazing news. Just imagine what will happen when oil becomes really expensive.

It's this kind of news that's proving the PO pessimists right. 30% for such a sector is truly amazing! Imagine what awaits other fuel intensive sectors.
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Re: 25%-30% of Haverstors Quiting

Postby MacG » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 15:47:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bruin', 'N')obody wants to pick your food anymore. Eventually, enough of these guys will quit so the remaining few can raise their prices to cover the fuel costs and pass that along to the consumer.

So the harder to pick foods will end up going up the most. What harvest takes the most fuel?

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/050608/farm_scene.html?.v=4


A bunch of people are now in a position to say: "I told you this would happen! And I tell you now that it will get worse"
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Postby strider3700 » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 15:53:31

I thought that america was full of illegal immigrants that did most of the picking? Up here in canada we are advertising for mexican immigrants to become citizens and pick for us. Basically noone here wants to work hard for minimum wage.
shame on us, doomed from the start
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Postby Sys1 » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 16:09:54

Moreover, global warming will certainly decrease what is left to harvest in the post peak oil world.
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Postby SD_Scott » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 16:18:09

I can't speak for the present time, but when I was growing up in Illinois, I worked the soy bean and corn fields harvesting, planting and detassling. At that time there were no immigrants working in that area. I think it's still that way today. The border states probably have a lot of them, but way up north in the midwest I bet it's pretty rare to see immigrants. Plus it's more mechanized and doesn't require as many hands.
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Postby Leanan » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 16:18:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') thought that america was full of illegal immigrants that did most of the picking?


They mostly harvest crops that must be hand-picked. Berries, lettuce, that sort of thing.

The harvesters in this article use huge combines to harvest crops like wheat.
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Postby Leanan » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 16:19:39

I'm in NY, and we have a lot of Mexican migrant laborers. They pick apples and grapes in the fall.
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Postby Pops » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 16:22:10

The real problem is that though custom farming outfits can raise their rates, and packers, processors and retail outlets can raise their prices, farmers take what the market pays based on supply and demand.

There isn’t a way to pass along the costs for the farmer, his only recourse is to sell the farm to a strip mall / subdivision developer.

Good old capitalism – even the name is based on “possessing wealth”.
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Postby strider3700 » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 16:27:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SD_Scott', ' ') Plus it's more mechanized and doesn't require as many hands.


Not any more ;)
shame on us, doomed from the start
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Postby MacG » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 16:33:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sys1', 'M')oreover, global warming will certainly decrease what is left to harvest in the post peak oil world.


Sure. Global Warming might happen. But it will not be because of anthropogenic carbon dioxide. The most prevalent greenhouse gas is... water vapour! Responsible for +98% of the greenhouse effect. It is the sun activity and earths distance and tilting towards the sun which make a difference.
Last edited by MacG on Wed 08 Jun 2005, 17:18:40, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby bobcousins » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 16:39:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MacG', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sys1', 'M')oreover, global warming will certainly decrease what is left to harvest in the post peak oil world.


Sure. Global Warming might happen. But it will not be because of anthropogenic carbon dioxide. The most prevalent green.house gas is... water vapour! Responsible for +98% of the greenhouse effect. It is the sun activity and earths distance and tilting towards the sun which make a difference.


What do you predict will happen over the next few centuries?
It's all downhill from here
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Postby aldente » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 16:52:27

I was building a small garden for vegetables this spring in our backyard and couldn't believe how much physical work was involved. It took me a whole day to move the earth for a mini field of just 4 square meters and I did sweat like a pig.

Driving by the large mechanically plowed fields the next day I realized that there is no way on this earth to go back to an agriculture that is managed by hand, not even remotely. Image
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Postby Colorado-Valley » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 17:08:28

I have a 120-acre farm with a couple of tractors. If I have to go to hand labor, it's quickly going to become a 40-acre farm with a lot of pasture!

I won't be raising a bunch of beef cattle for the supermarkets anymore. I'll be more interested in raising a large garden for myself and doing sustenance farming.

Peak oil would be a complete disaster for agriculture and for feeding urbanites.
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Postby RonMN » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 17:22:26

but everything on that 120 acres does not have to be a "crop"...alot of acres could be fruit or nut trees & stuff you don't replant every year (rhubarb, asperigus, etc etc etc).

If 60 acres were made into "harvest only" land...you'd be pretty well off.
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Postby MacG » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 17:28:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('albente', 'D')riving by the large mechanically plowed fields the next day I realized that there is no way on this earth to go back to an agriculture that is managed by hand, not even remotely


Uhu..? Fair enough. What do you suggest as alternatives then? Foraging? Starvation? Or the "C" word?
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Postby Pops » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 17:45:15

Just to get on your butt a little Ron, on an individual basis the whole Levitating Guru Farmer-That-Doesn’t-Farm bit may be great, but it ain’t gonna feed Denver, let alone Dallas – and in fact planting is only a small portion of the picture as I’m sure you know. :)

Once the Colorado-Valley’s of the world see that a bigger truck is only getting them deeper in debt there will certainly be a big shock to the system – maybe the collective digestive system.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
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Postby MD » Wed 08 Jun 2005, 17:54:21

More evidence that the economic wishful thinking that energy price won't drive inflation this time is just that, wishful thinking.
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.

Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.
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