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A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby SeaGypsy » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 02:54:53

Yeah the most powerful nation on earth becomes a nation of bankrupts under a bankrupt government but still wins by default, NHS by bankrupts for bankrupts, extracting the necessary resources by force.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby cephalotus » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 09:23:09

I do work 8h/day and around 220-225 days/year which translates to around 34h/week (including holidays). I do not make a single hour of overtime, because I can change this into free time (which in fact increases y holidays from 28 free working days to around 40 working days/year, which is nice for travelling)

I would sign a 7h/day contract tomorrow and I would of course accept a paycut by -12,5% for this. To me free time is luxury, I do have enough money for my needs.

In my opinion progress should be used to make lives better and people happier. If someone wants to work 50 hours/week and feels good to do so, let it be.

My ideal setup would be doing 20h/week of payed work (halftime job) and the rest available to whatever I want to do (can be another type of paid or unpayed work, but based on what makes fun).

I try to get there, that 1 or 2 half time jobs by me and/or my girlfriend would be enough to feed a small family with 1-2 children in a few years.

Imho that's doable.

My personal work-life balance does not have its optimum at 40h/week of payed work. I like my job, but working 20h/week should be enough in my opinion, IF I have the option to decide freely.

---

PS: An amazing amount of poeple works at least 1 day a week just for financing the car, they wouldn't need without working and the gas to get to work. I think this should be avoided, because it is stupid.

PPS: People living in cultures similar to the stone age work at around 10h / week.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby SeaGypsy » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 09:31:27

My favorite roster is 30/ 12 hour days, 30 off.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby Newfie » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 11:26:17

Maybe if you turn the problem on its head it would be easier to see.


What would you do with your spare time if you worked only 20 hours a week, or 40 hours but only 6 months a year?

I think the problem I'd not unemployment, but not knowing what to do with you time, and/ or not feeling like a contributor.

IMHO it is in our genes to feel as though we are doing something to help the tribe. That is what motivates the need to work.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby AgentR11 » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 13:22:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', ' ')Eventually, this will create enough demand that a government paid health insurance plan gets good traction; the government then feeds in more $$ to the program, and it should eventually morph into an NHS with a parallel private market serving management, union bosses, high end skilled labor, etc. That is the desired result, and as far as I can tell, its going to go down like clockwork.


1. Obamacare has nothing to do with "demand." Its the law---people are required to enroll or pay a tax penalty to the IRS.

2. If the real "plan" is to eventurally ditch Obamacare and create an NHS type program, then why didn't Obama just immediately create an NHS style program?


1.) sure it does. when enough people are dumped from employer provided plans, and paying their fine, they will demand the government provide "real" insurance. Now you and I know that their fine will be puny compared to the full cost of insurance premiums, but that's not important from the government's point of view. They just need the 50 million or so warm bodies DEMANDING insurance in return for their payment. Once those warm bodies are demand, that opens the gate to expanding the money fed into the system, followed by cost controls to keep the expenses realistic, followed by regular patient / practice arrangements, and walla, you got an NHS and never had to call it that, and never had to get the people to agree to it as a whole package.

2.) which answers this, they didn't create an NHS because it would have been crushed by public outrage at the level of change forced upon them all at once. And even better, this method will leave in place the well functioning high-end insurance / private practice that the lawmakers, their friends, well paid professionals and union thugs, currently enjoy. Thus, at any point in time that I feel it is worth the pain and suffering to have my left knee rebuilt, I'll go to my private orthopod, who'll have extensive imagery scheduled and done in a week, the surgery performed within a month, followed by the sadistic ministrations of cute but evil rehab nurses who note the athletic legs and conveniently decide to ignore all the grey hair. Thus the pain and suffering. Walmart Bob's mom though, she'll be 6 months waiting for a cheap xray, followed by a script for a walker and a knee brace, if she's lucky she'll also get a script for some meloxicam or some other cheap, ancient, nsaid.

Fair nuff, no? After all, we can't afford to have a congresscritter's financial supporters limping at the dinner party.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby vision-master » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 15:11:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'M')aybe if you turn the problem on its head it would be easier to see.


What would you do with your spare time if you worked only 20 hours a week, or 40 hours but only 6 months a year?

I think the problem I'd not unemployment, but not knowing what to do with you time, and/ or not feeling like a contributor.

IMHO it is in our genes to feel as though we are doing something to help the tribe. That is what motivates the need to work.


You can always pray for everyone?
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby vision-master » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 15:14:50

Sounds like taht southern rethug brainwashing to me........ I really wish Texas would leave the union.

Cheers.....
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby Cog » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 16:30:10

Don't worry VM, your disability payments will continue until they don't.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby vision-master » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 16:52:22

lol, till death due as apart...... How many rounds you got left?

Image

We never will go beyond 120......

And the LORD said, My spirit shall not always strive with man, for that he also is flesh:
yet his days shall be an hundred and twenty years.

Genesis 6:3
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby Plantagenet » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 21:05:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', ' ')when enough people are dumped from employer provided plans, and paying their fine, they will demand the government provide "real" insurance.


lol

Wow...you are way more cynical then I am. Are you suggesting the democrats intentionally designed Obamacare to be so crappy that it will (a) destroy existing employer-funded healthcare and (b) people stuck with Obamacare will then demand a decent healthcare system and force the goverment to insititute a NHS?

That is a very Machiavellian worldview you have.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', ' ')They ... need the 50 million or so warm bodies DEMANDING insurance in return for their payment. Once those warm bodies are demand, that opens the gate to expanding the money fed into the system, followed by cost controls to keep the expenses realistic, followed by regular patient / practice arrangements, and walla, you got an NHS and never had to call it that


But if the democrats clever plan is to create a NHS, then why not just institute a NHS immediately? Waiting for Obamacare to collapse the current system, and then waiting for people to get so angry about Obamacare that they demand a NHS is going to take years and years....why not just vote for a NHS immediately, instead of dragging the US through such a complicated scheme?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', ' ') they didn't create an NHS because it would have been crushed by public outrage at the level of change forced upon them all at once.


Its hard to imagine more public outrage then we saw over Obamacare, and here we are with Obamacare going fully into effect just 6 weeks from now.

If Obama and the democrats had voted for NHS in 2009-10, we'd have NHS now. But instead they voted for this dog's breakfast of a plan called Obamacare.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby AgentR11 » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 21:38:04

Yes, I am spectacularly cynical. Especially about this. I am very much for an openly debated, voted on, and enacted NHS. Doing it like this is just slime.

If they had voted for an NHS directly, the Dems would have lost the presidency and the senate, and it would be reversible before it becomes un-unwindable. However, they didn't, thus it can not be repealed, and by the time people realize where things have been taken, acceptance of the default NHS like system will happen smoothly because it is the only affordable option left.

Meanwhile for us, on the cadillac plans, our premiums will have risen significantly, but resistance to provided service will have disappeared; as a result of the 80% rule. If someone tells you that you can only increase shareholder value, by increasing total cash flow and total expense, and that all your remaining customers aren't particularly price sensitive; then you drive up expenditure per patient in order to show a higher return with the same percentages. I'm already getting crap advertisements FROM THE INSURANCE COMPANY about new cool things to have the medical profession do to me and mine. EH?!?!?!?!?!?

It is a VERY sick, VERY slick plan.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby Plantagenet » Sat 10 Nov 2012, 22:03:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', '
')It is a VERY sick, VERY slick plan.


Passing a bad healthcare bill to intentionally hurt people so they will later clamor for a better plan is indeed sick and slick, even for the dems.

How many years do you think it will take for people to get so angry at Obamacare that they will demand an NHS?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', 'M')eanwhile for us, on the cadillac plans, our premiums will have risen significantly, but resistance to provided service will have disappeared; as a result of the 80% rule.....


What is the 80% rule? How much will taxes increase on people who already have private employer paid healthcare to subsidize Obamacare, anyway?

THANKS!
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby AgentR11 » Sun 11 Nov 2012, 13:00:07

ETA to NHS equivalent.. 12 years. Regardless of whether D or R's control the show. 2012 was the ONLY repeal opportunity that could avoid doing catastrophic damage to the health care services provided to the upper 20% (and even then it would have been much messier than people suspect). From here on out, its only a matter of tweaking controls and incentives at most.

The 80% rule is that 80% of premiums collected must go to paying for health care services. Sounds quite good on the surface and is very hard to argue against in any form, so it will not be going away, and might even be yoinked even tighter. But pause for a moment and think about it in terms of management and shareholders of a corporation selling health insurance. In the past, you had competing incentives to deliver shareholder value, you can find an efficiency to reduce overhead, and you can enforce policy restrictions and audit apps of people who suspiciously get really sick right after signing up, along with normal sales and price competition. The 80% rule turns this on its head; regardless of efficiency improvements, your after COGS income can be no more than 20%. Add to the mix that your client base will gradually decline over the coming short term (lt 10yr), and you end up with only one way to improve the shareholders return on investment. You increase COGS and premiums along with it. This makes the 20% peice of the pie bigger. Folks would then suggest, "but your competitors will out price you". But they won't. The people remaining on real private insurance are not particularly price sensitive; as the price sensitive ones are also the ones getting dropped to part time, and thus no longer customers of the insurance company.

So how do you drive up COGS and create some customer loyalty?

You, as the insurance provider, advertise, to your customers, for expensive, "nifty cool" stuff, that they can have done in the name of "health care".

It is completely backwards of what it should be if medical care was ever desired to be "affordable" and equitable. IE, we just bought the health care systems of Latin America, with the tech and resources of the first world. The gap between care provided to different classes of people is about to get MUCH larger.

As to tax increases for Obamacare subsidies... No way to know really, and we'll never know. Most of the tax will be buried by the Fed churning tbills. We'll get a small tap, maybe $2k-4k a yr, to make us think we're paying for it; but the bulk of it will just be piled right onto the deficit without a care in the world.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby Plantagenet » Sun 11 Nov 2012, 13:23:35

I hadn't thought about it that way at all.

Thanks for all the great info, Agent.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby Plantagenet » Sun 11 Nov 2012, 13:27:50

Companies only have to pay the Obamacare tax for folks working more than 30 hour a week-----creating a financial incentive for companies to only hire part-time workers.

Some people who already have full-time jobs are also getting cut back to part-time. The CEO of Papa John's Pizza just said they are cutting their employees back to part-time to try to avoid paying the new Obamacare taxes. :idea:
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby Quinny » Sun 11 Nov 2012, 15:42:16

NHS is very efficient and effective.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby AgentR11 » Sun 11 Nov 2012, 15:52:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'N')HS is very efficient and effective.


Yes, and if we were going to get an honestly debated, openly enacted, properly funded NHS, it'd be awesome.

What we are about to get though, is none of those things.
Better than where we were I suspect, but not by a lot. And definitely nothing anywhere near as decent as a European model health system.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby SeaGypsy » Sun 11 Nov 2012, 17:28:17

Or Aussie.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby Newfie » Sun 11 Nov 2012, 19:14:33

Trying to steer this back on topic.......

If we had a NHS that was efficient, that would put a few hundred thousand out of work.

What would they then do to earn a living? Not tha tsociety will suffer from their loss of efforts, they provide no VALUE now.

Presumably we need to figure their support into the cost of a NHS. So that is one off set that will not go away.
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Re: A 35 hour Workweek would create Millions of Jobs

Postby Quinny » Sun 11 Nov 2012, 19:22:47

If everyone worked half time there'd be twice as many jobs!
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