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Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Plantagenet » Tue 07 Aug 2012, 16:57:14

Thanks Pops.

Curiously, most folks here are bashing Romney for acknowledging the reality of Peak Oil in his 2010 book--- I don't get it---IMHO he deserves some credit for it.

As the news story about this notes, No other national candidate has ever publically acknowedged peak oil---not even Al Gore.
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Pops » Tue 07 Aug 2012, 17:15:52

LOL!

I don't think many are bashing him just trying to understand the politics. Talking about externalities like Naval costs to continue importing oil aren't the typical severe conservative tone. Heck typing the word subsidy in the same sentence as the name of a key constituency is enough to give the Rush/Rove brain-trust apoplexy.

Not to mention pollution and AGW/GHG!

Argh!
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Plantagenet » Tue 07 Aug 2012, 20:11:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', ' ')Talking about externalities like Naval costs to continue importing oil aren't the typical severe conservative tone.


Yup. Thats another example of Mittie getting the big picture.

Now if only Obama and the dems could figure it out too----but instead Obama and the dems have decided to switch the US navy to the Pacific and start meddling in the South Sea China territorial disputes over oil, resulting in even greater US naval costs to continue to impost oil.

China blasts new Obama administration meddling in south China sea oil disputes
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Wed 08 Aug 2012, 06:08:24

It's not really about the oil Planty. It's about diplomacy.

China has been mocking the pathetic Philippine and Vietnamese Navies, sending in massive ships and declaring 'Ancestral Territorial Rights' over massive regions of the South China Sea and islands which are very clearly NOT part of it's territory. Many of these places may well have no oil or gas, or so little it's of no real significance. China is starting to bully it's way around the region.

The USA has few close allies in SE Asia. It cannot afford to let things swing the other way. 100% sure Romney will not back down and let China walk all over the Philippines or Vietnam, let alone Taiwan.

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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Plantagenet » Wed 08 Aug 2012, 13:38:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SeaGypsy', 'I')t's not really about the oil Planty. It's about diplomacy.


You don't get it SeaGyp. Its always about the oil.

The offshore areas in the south China Sea may have significant oil fields. China wants that oil.--The territorial dispute Obama has blundered into is over who gets the oil.

You and the BO administration may not get that basic fact, but I have no doubt the Chinese are very clear about what their strategic goal is.

Its about the Oil oil oil. Peak oil is here---and China and other countries are scrambling for oil. 8)
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Wed 08 Aug 2012, 16:05:40

It's still a huge IF, but oil/ gas may be a key factor. Chinese leverage in the region is the current key regardless of oil/ gas was my point; no ifs.
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby AdTheNad » Thu 09 Aug 2012, 09:15:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SeaGypsy', 'T')he USA has few close allies in SE Asia. It cannot afford to let things swing the other way. 100% sure Romney will not back down and let China walk all over the Philippines or Vietnam, let alone Taiwan.

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I bet cleaning up some of that agent orange they liberally splashed around more than 35 years ago could help with their regional image. What's that BBC? That's exactly what they are about to start doing? I do wonder if there is any ulterior motive, or if the US government has just decided that they should do the right thing?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-19190509
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Thu 09 Aug 2012, 10:04:12

China is playing good cop bad cop, while the USA has it's eyes on another ball. The administration is aware and starting to come to the party. Even the Chinese in SE Asia don't trust China, so the US has to stuff things up pretty badly in the region to lose the propaganda war, if that were to be the case. Netanyahu is getting pretty frustrated at the US not dancing to his tune and blasting Iran back to the stone age. The world is in a mess, basically.

It wasn't just a bit of agent orange, it was millions of tonnes of the stuff. Not to mention the horrors done in Cambodia, which barely rate a mention in the victor's history books.
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 09 Aug 2012, 12:51:33

One of the clearest signs that the Chinese understand peak oil is their moves to gain control of oil through purchases of foreign oil companies, and through their land grabs in the south China Sea.

One of the clearest signs that Obama is clueless when it comes to peak oil (and creating jobs) was Obama's decision to block construction of the Keystone XL pipeline, which would've brought a million barrels of oil to the USA each day and created many thousands of high paying jobs.

One of the clearest signs the Romney understands the peak oil problem (and knows how to create jobs) is Romney's warnings about peak oil in his book, Romnay's support for building the Keystone XL pipeline, securing a million barrels of oil each day for the USA ( and generating many thousands of high paying jobs), and Romney's concern about the costs of naval and military wars to protect oil overseas.

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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Pops » Thu 09 Aug 2012, 14:03:16

Or, just an option here, Romney could be in the pocket of the Koch Bros and O could actually be concerned about the environmental risks - in the pockets of treehuggers if you prefer.

It's pretty ironic actually that you would raise the pipeline. In this case the bumper sticker excuse is a few hundred permanent jobs (obviously the actual motive is hundreds of millions, probably billions in profits) and the hold up is potential risk to the environment – the classic externality.

It doesn't surprise me that you would use the pipe as an example Plant, after all privatizing profits and socializing risk IS the party line and you're a dependable party guy. What is so surprising to me is that mitt would allow the taboo word "externality' in a champaign book.


http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-505123_162- ... -at-stake/
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Thu 09 Aug 2012, 15:45:26

One of the first effects of the pipeline would be to remove the current regional discount to WTI, would it not? The idea of the USA rushing to export some amount of oil, given it's damn obviously not going to become anywhere near self sufficient in the foreseeable future, seems inane to say the least/ regardless of the politics.
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 09 Aug 2012, 16:59:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SeaGypsy', ' ')The idea of the USA rushing to export some amount of oil...seems inane to say the least/ regardless of the politics.


Of course.

The USA currently IMPORTS 7 million barrels of oil a day. The whole idea that the USA is suddenly going to start "rushing" to export oil does't make any sense at all. :roll:

I hope you haven't fallen for this "export" silliness ---- its just typical FUD being spread by the BOers who oppose the Keystone pipeline.

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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Pops » Thu 09 Aug 2012, 18:35:30

Not to get too far OT but the XL South from Cushing (central US) has permits and construction is starting up anytime - with O's encouragement. And yeah, that will help reduce the glut in the mid-continent just like the reversal of the Seaway pipe helped earlier in the year.

The big refineries on the Gulf of Mexico have been increasing exports of product for several years (it's against the law to export crude), taking advantage of the WTI vs Everywhere else spread. That's also why our refineries on the east coast went belly-up, they had to buy crude from the world on the Brent benchmark so why even refine it here, just float product over (or around from the gulf) already cooked.


http://journalstar.com/news/local/trans ... 664fc.html
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Thu 09 Aug 2012, 20:26:19

My expertise is in SE Asia, Oceania geopolitics, the USA specific stuff I learn as I go from peeps on here and MSM.
I appreciate both sides of this debate, I don't know enough to buy into it in any serious way.
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby ralfy » Thu 09 Aug 2012, 21:33:37

If being "strong" includes maintaining current resource consumption rates, then that won't happen.
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 10 Aug 2012, 02:36:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '.').. the XL South from Cushing (central US) has permits and construction is starting up anytime - with O's encouragement.


Obama scuttled the northern part of the pipeline in order to block the import to the USA of a million barrels per day of oil from Canada, but he has no legal authority to block the southern part of the pipeline project:

From Pop's link above: "That part of the $7 billion project, which TransCanada unveiled more than three years ago, doesn’t need a presidential permit because it doesn’t cross an international border."
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Pops » Fri 24 Aug 2012, 11:54:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')ays removed from fundraisers attended by Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM)’s Chief Executive Officer Rex Tillerson and Continental Resources Inc. (CLR) Chairman Harold Hamm, Romney called for the aggressive development of fossil fuels to make the U.S. an “energy superpower” in a 21-page plan released yesterday.

Opening the Atlantic coast to oil and gas production and giving states control over energy development on the federal lands within their borders, would help achieve North American energy independence by 2020, create 3 million jobs, and add $1 trillion to federal, state and local government budgets, according to the plan.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-2 ... -plan.html

From the OP:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')In recent years, there’s been a view in Washington that we should simply “let the market work” by taking a hands-off approach, rather than adopt a proactive and comprehensive set of energy policies. That prescription is exactly the right one in most economic sectors, but it falls short when it comes to energy. And it ignores the fact that we have policies in place right now that distort how the energy markets function.”


Hmm, guess the hands off approach wins, along with flipping from the opinion stated in the book - I guess this should be merged into the politics thread.
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 24 Aug 2012, 12:47:47

I like Romney's call for a scientific inventory of the oil potential of all US offshore areas, using modern geophysical methods, so we can do the basic science and better evaluate these areas.

Its the exact same thing Congressman Roscoe Barnett has been demanding for decades.

You can't make a plan to deal with Peak Oil if you don't even know what resource base you've got to work with.
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby seenmostofit » Fri 24 Aug 2012, 14:20:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'I') like Romney's call for a scientific inventory of the oil potential of all US offshore areas, using modern geophysical methods, so we can do the basic science and better evaluate these areas.

Its the exact same thing Congressman Roscoe Barnett has been demanding for decades.

You can't make a plan to deal with Peak Oil if you don't even know what resource base you've got to work with.
:idea:


So when the MMS does a scientific inventory, using modern geophysical methods, to count this stuff up, it doesn't count?

http://www.boem.gov/Oil-and-Gas-Energy- ... Index.aspx
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Re: Romney: Peak Oil is Nigh

Unread postby Plantagenet » Fri 24 Aug 2012, 14:47:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seenmostofit', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'I') like Romney's call for a scientific inventory of the oil potential of all US offshore areas, using modern geophysical methods, so we can do the basic science and better evaluate these areas.

Its the exact same thing Congressman Roscoe Barnett has been demanding for decades.

You can't make a plan to deal with Peak Oil if you don't even know what resource base you've got to work with.
:idea:


So when the MMS does a scientific inventory, using modern geophysical methods, to count this stuff up, it doesn't count?

http://www.boem.gov/Oil-and-Gas-Energy- ... Index.aspx


Sheesh. You didn't even bother to read your own link so you got the facts wrong.

(1) the MMS doesn't do surveys---it doesn't even exist anymore. The Obama administration transmogrified it into the BOEM after its disastrous performance during the BP oil spill.

(2) The BOEM only surveys potential LEASE areas. They don't do these expensive surveys on areas that aren't open for leasing----and the vast majority of the offshore areas around the east coast, west coast, Puerto Rico and Alaska have never been open for leasing, and they've never been looked at with modern multi beam, 3-d seismic, and other geophysical methods.

(3) Making a modern, scientific survey of US coastal waters is just common sense. In the same way that Lewis and Clark and John Wesley Powell did scientific (and economic) surveys of the American west in the 19th century, its time for the US to survey its submarine waters.

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We need some 3D seismic lines for the offshore scientific survey over there!
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