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THE Unemployment Thread pt 2 (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby gollum » Fri 03 Dec 2010, 18:48:03

I'm no fan of Obama or Bush (especially bush) but I don't think either of them can be soley blamed for our current collapes. The decisions that are causing this to happen were made over a matter of decades.
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Re: Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby deMolay » Fri 03 Dec 2010, 19:08:28

The question was are you better off under Hope and Change.
"We Are All Travellers, From The Sweet Grass To The Packing House, From Birth To Death, We Wander Between The Two Eternities". An Old Cowboy.
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Re: Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby Schweinshaxe » Fri 03 Dec 2010, 19:12:09

Didn't you know, deMoron, that every time you bash the Libruls, God kills a kitten?

Barry has been good to us Europeans. Thanks to him, we protestants have been able to escape the satanic claws of the Catholic Church. We are now allowed to worship in our own way (and masturbate and wear a condom) without being persecuted.

Thank you President Barry Obama and King Gustavus Adolphus for fighting back the oppressive Catholics!

And thank you Barry for inventing Dolby noise reduction!

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Was soll das?
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Re: Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby gollum » Fri 03 Dec 2010, 19:37:52

I'm no worse off then I was 3 years ago under Bush.
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Re: Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby Lore » Fri 03 Dec 2010, 19:45:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gollum', 'I')'m no worse off then I was 3 years ago under Bush.


The falling sword is heavy, sharp and picking up speed. What worries me in not the last two chumps that got elected but the next one.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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Re: Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby deMolay » Fri 03 Dec 2010, 20:26:54

Your welcome Swineaxe, I mean PigKnuckle. Now carry on with your masturbations, try not to injure yourself.
"We Are All Travellers, From The Sweet Grass To The Packing House, From Birth To Death, We Wander Between The Two Eternities". An Old Cowboy.
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Re: Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby Sixstrings » Fri 03 Dec 2010, 20:32:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('deMolay', 'T')he question was are you better off under Hope and Change.


You're asking the wrong question.. Obama has turned out to be "more of the same," so you should be asking "are you happy with this extended Bush presidency?"

Obama turned out to be a Republican in "Hope and Change" clothing.

Anyhow where's Oilfinder.. I'd like to hear his explanation about how today's unexpectedly bad employment numbers is just more "sideways growth" and Happy Days are here again and all that.
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Re: Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby dukey » Fri 03 Dec 2010, 20:48:37

The jobs have moved to china. And they are never coming back.
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Re: Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby deMolay » Fri 03 Dec 2010, 21:16:38

Dukey so you don't see any great improvement coming in the unemployment prospects or standard of living? I think it is going to be a long slow recovery as well. Kinda has the same feeling as in the 70's when we had Stagflation. A lot of unemployed, we just don't seem to have the high inflation yet. Hope we don't.
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Re: Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sat 04 Dec 2010, 00:58:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gollum', 'I')'m no worse off then I was 3 years ago under Bush.


Thats nice, but there are 17 million unemployed and underemployed people who are worse off now then then they were back in 2007 when unemployment was at 4.7%.
Never underestimate the ability of Joe Biden to f#@% things up---Barack Obama
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Re: Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby Cog » Sat 04 Dec 2010, 05:55:06

I would have to say that personally I am better off now then I was three years ago. That is because I've managed to hold onto a job and pay down a lot of debt. I don't see recovery as possible with the arrival of Peak Oil. BAU will not continue regardless of who gets elected next time.
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Unemployment 8.9% who really believes this ?

Unread postby timmac » Sun 06 Mar 2011, 23:53:46

http://www.examiner.com/jobs-in-washington-dc/february-2011-unemployment-rate-a-false-sense-of-security

I truly beleave the Fed is really gone deep in lies about the new lower unemployment rate of 8.9%, the local news in both Nevada and California paints a much worse situation about unemployment and all I here from other family members and friends is that it's getting worse but our Fed says its getting better ??

Absolute BS and why do they keep lieing.. :?
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Re: Unemployment 8.9% who really believes this ?

Unread postby kiwichick » Mon 07 Mar 2011, 00:07:11

cause if they told the truth wall street would crash

and that would give the rest of us a bad case of the flu
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Re: Unemployment 8.9% who really believes this ?

Unread postby Plantagenet » Mon 07 Mar 2011, 00:13:25

Its truly stupid for the Obama administrant to cook the books so blatantly. If you want businesses to invest and create jobs, undermining the integrity of the economic numbers is not a good thing to do. :roll:
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Re: Unemployment 8.9% who really believes this ?

Unread postby Daniel_Plainview » Mon 07 Mar 2011, 00:28:54

Obama is desperate and doesn't want to go down in history as the worst US President of all-time.
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Re: Unemployment 8.9% who really believes this ?

Unread postby TonyPrep » Mon 07 Mar 2011, 05:02:44

Check out the BLS site for historical employment data (select the "Total" "Employed" data, in Table A-1). There were slightly more people employed, in June of 2003, than there were in February this year. That doesn't seem too bad except that there are 13 million more people (around 8 million extra workers) now and the level of the economy (supposedly) is much higher.

So maybe some official data is OK but it is spun to make it seem far, far, better than in is.

I'm not sure how to find out (if it's possible, at all) how many jobs are part time and how many jobs would classify as low paid but it would be interesting to see the historical data on that. I suspect that this grim BLS statistic is even worse when those factors are taken into account.
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Re: Unemployment 8.9% who really believes this ?

Unread postby Pops » Mon 07 Mar 2011, 09:21:46

It's just a poll, they use "seasonal adjustment" on top of whatever error inherent in the poll to avoid the headlines, here is Gallops unadjusted poll, which looks not much different than last year:

Image

Image

I think the seasonal adjustment is because the news media can only spend a tiny amount of time on stuff like this (they have an important interview with Charlie Sheen after all) and the adjustment avoids the seasonal "Jobs Are Up...Jobs Are Down" headlines...

That's OK in "normal times" but I don't think these are normal times. I hate to sound like a doomer but I think people should be hanging on to cash if they can and certainly not go more in debt because they read the headlines and think Good Times Are Here Again.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
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Re: Unemployment 8.9% who really believes this ?

Unread postby dinopello » Mon 07 Mar 2011, 11:18:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'I') hate to sound like a doomer but I think people should be hanging on to cash if they can and certainly not go more in debt because they read the headlines and think Good Times Are Here Again.


That's certainly what many companies are doing (hanging on to cash). They have been doing stock buy-backs but they have too much cash for just that so they are prowling around for what to do with it.
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Now Hiring: Unemployed Need Not Apply

Unread postby prajeshbhat » Sun 14 Aug 2011, 12:53:09

Job ads across america are coming with a condition that the applicant must be currently employed 8O :shock: :?

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/07/26/business/help-wanted-ads-exclude-the-long-term-jobless.html?_r=1&partner=rss&emc=rss

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t's really a buyers market for employers.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')We may be seeing what’s called statistical discrimination,” said Robert Shimer, a labor economist at the University of Chicago. “On average, these workers might be less attractive, and employers don’t bother to look more closely to pick out the good ones.”


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')mployers receive so many applications for each opening that some may use current employment status as an easy filter. In some cases — as with Ms. Wiedemer, of Westminster, Colo. — recruiters merely assume employers do not want jobless workers.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')any firms that are not intentionally screening out the unemployed may still disqualify such applicants for having bad credit histories after having fallen behind on the bills — which they of course need a job to pay.


So its a vicious circle. If you have a job, just stop whining and thank your lucky stars.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')I feel like I am being shunned by our entire society,” said Kelly Wiedemer, 45, an information technology operations analyst who said a recruiter had told her that despite her skill set she would be a “hard sell” because she had been out of work for more than six months.

Several years of experience is not enough to get you a job :?: I can imagine the low skill laborers being out of work in an economy like this. But what about people with specialized training and years of experience?

I don't get the rationale behind this filtration criteria anyway. Shouldn't experience be the first priority?
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