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What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Pops » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 19:54:33

Yea, I agree with whoever upthread said that '08 taught the initial class of PO that playing the dial-up Camo/Rambo armchair survivalist game ain't so fun when the first real casualty is your paycheck, maybe some others (previously doing the boasting about their shrewd investments?) actually thought oil would just keep on rising forever and got their margin called in late '08.

I think it's partly that a good percentage of the "early adopters" were no more serious about po than pole shifters, or Chubacabara Cowboys or pathological deniers for that matter, just a little recreation or maybe acting-out for attention and moving on - at least we can be thankful for small favors.

I also think the whole "Green/Sustainable" bit allowed some people to believe they are actually are doing their bit for mitigation and "part of the solution" - hey, maybe they are, what do I know.

And then there are the Tranny Town folks who kind of backed into po but are nevertheless the default po movement for now.


But mostly what happened is peak oil has diffused out (this was the first forum, before '04 there were sites and I think one usenet group but no web forums) to the point that now many sites and blogs and forums and even MSM talk about po at least periodically. Do a Google blog search on "peak oil", I've read at least a dozen blogs talking about po that I'd not seen before today - since the wikileaks story.

So really, I think po is more of a movement now than ever if you can gauge by general awareness and discussion and certainly by action.
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 20:20:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 'Y')ou can have your prius and believe any mumbo junmbo you want. I'll stick by my prediction that the Volt will be a poor selling vehicle and an example of our limited thinking with respect to PO and how it affects us moving forward.

Any mileage claims need to be supported by studies of how real people drive them in the real world. Not some hyper-miling freaks.


Already GM has backed off their claim that the Volt would go 40 miles between charges. Now they've downgraded and are only claiming only 35 miles between charges. [smilie=evil5.gif]
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 21:55:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pedalling_faster', 'w')ell, we've never had a real march or protest. how can Peak Oil be a movement without marches & protests ?

Feel free to organize one. If you really count up the regulars on peak oil websites, the movement isn't very large at all.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pedalling_faster', 'J')im Puplava (Financial Sense guy) talks about all the preps he did/ is doing, to prepare for Peak Oil. no protesting though ! 8)

I talk about my personal solutions to peak oil all the time. I've gotten exceptional at my skill in avoiding the combustion of crude based liquid fuels in my transport regime. Good for Jim though! I've had an absolute BLAST prepping for peak oil...I am the envy of my neighbors, when they (rarely) catch me at a gasoline pump!
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 22:12:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'T')he Volt, the Prius and Ford Focus are a joke. All made with a huge expenditure of energy and raw resources that are in an ever growing short supply.


Sure...but that has been true since the world thought it was running out of iron ore. And other commodities which peakers don't want to talk about it, because then it would reveal the history of these incessant claims about running out, peaking, yada yada yada.

And they aren't a joke when they solve peak oil....peakers want to trivialize them because they MUST....solutions to peak oil like the Volt and Focus and my Prius are in direct conflict with their belief system. I would venture that a large subset of peakers really don't even believe their own press, they know deep in their hearts that peak oil doesn't matter near as much as their hatred, and desire for the destruction of, the American happy motoring way of life.

Just count the number of gearhead, muscle car, ATV/dirtbike/motorcycle racer type people who believe in peak.....there aren't like any! Why? Because they LOVE ICE powered stuff! It's the haters of ICE powered stuff who buy into peak mythology.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', '
') It never made sense, in the long term, for an expensive 4,000 lb. auto to be shuttling around a single 150 lb person.


It never made sense for the winner of the early motoring wars in America (EV's) to be beaten by their ICE powered brethren. But it happened anyway...and now....the EV's are going to have their REVENGE!
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 22:14:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eXpat', 'W')hat proxy servers are you using by the way? they seem to be quite good at hiding your IP address. Either that or Aaron is not around anymore to keep you from using those tactics.


None. I've had a static IP as long as I can remember.
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 22:20:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'I')t never made sense, in the long term, for an expensive 4,000 lb. auto to be shuttling around a single 150 lb person.


Other than the fact that those irrational 150lb (more like 250lb if you're talking americans) people WANT to be shuttle themselves around in personal autos.


They sure do. And in their overwhelming desire to keep their happy motoring alive, they will switch fuels and keep right on doing it, crushing the dieoff hopes of peakers the world over. Underestimate anything you'd like, how much oil there is, how much people can conserve if they want to, but DON'T ever underestimate the desire of Americans to MOTOR! All else pales in comparison, it's why Americans will SOLVE peak oil for the world and...I might venture...already are.
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 22:25:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', ' ')...the rationing and shortages which peak oil is supposed to cause will not bother the average Volt commuter.


Right-o.

The addition of millions of electric cars to the power grid won't cause any shortages or brownouts or blackouts like those that happen now.


Which is ALWAYS the claim. We can't change our behavior..we'll run out of that other thing! Or those! Go back through the archives and check out all the "OMG! WE MUST REBUILD THE US INFRASTRUCTURE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON BECAUSE SOME INDUSTRY GROUP GAVE AMERICA A D- ON THAT THING!"

We don't do that near as much as we once did...I wonder why? It always seemed like a great way to pretend that one change would cause all these hysterically imagined cascading failures. Maybe peak oil being such a bust just took the wind out of everyone's sails?
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 22:31:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', 'A')mericans will SOLVE peak oil for the world and...I might venture...already are.


The main response of the US economy to peak oil has been the destruction of millions of jobs. Thats not a solution---thats an economic catastrophe. :roll:
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 22:42:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 'Y')ou can have your prius and believe any mumbo junmbo you want.


No belief required. I commute 700 miles on 10 gallons of regular unleaded. I imagine your efficient little commuter works out just as well? :lol:

Get yourself a Volt, the guys on the Volt forums are doing 700 miles on just 3 gallons! My mileage is pathetic!

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', '
') I'll stick by my prediction that the Volt will be a poor selling vehicle and an example of our limited thinking with respect to PO and how it affects us moving forward.


Maybe I'll agree with you! The Volt MIGHT be a poor selling vehicle....and guess why? BECAUSE CRUDE BASED FUEL PRICES MIGHT STAY CHEAP!!!

Hows that for an ironic reason why the solution to peak oil might not even be REQUIRED? Some people will still be here, 5 years from now, fingers crossed, crucifix as an avatar, genuflecting to the bell shaped curve painted on their apartment wall, just PRAYING that the next newby in the door won't regale them with stories about their turbo moded Ford Excursion just crushed one of those Volts at a stoplight, and whats all this running out of oil stuff about anyway?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', '
') Any mileage claims need to be supported by studies of how real people drive them in the real world. Not some hyper-miling freaks.


Freaks! I'll have you know that us FREAKS are curing peak oil for all Americans, even those who think that just more ICE powered transport is the solution.
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 22:47:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', 'A')mericans will SOLVE peak oil for the world and...I might venture...already are.


The main response of the US economy to peak oil has been the destruction of millions of jobs. Thats not a solution---thats an economic catastrophe. :roll:


The US has lost millions of jobs before (admittedly sometimes near other peak oils :lol: ) and will undoubtedly do so again. Business cycles are not to be denied. Heck, they were happening before oil was even invented!
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby papa moose » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 23:06:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', 'N')o belief required. I commute 700 miles on 10 gallons of regular unleaded. I imagine your efficient little commuter works out just as well? :lol:

Get yourself a Volt, the guys on the Volt forums are doing 700 miles on just 3 gallons! My mileage is pathetic!


Why is your mileage more than 3x worse than theirs?
If my mileage was 3x worse than my neighbour who has the same car and drives the same distances i'd be very concerned to work out what was the cause of the variation.
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby ONeil » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 23:43:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('teotwawki', 'N')o, really... This is a serious question. I was first introduced to the whole "peak oil" thing back in 2006 when I accidentally bumped into Matt Savinar's LOTAC website while searching for articles on population overshoot."

Savinar's site was number one on Google whenever anyone did a search for "Peak Oil" or even just the keyword "oil"... Some politicians and businessmen were taking him very seriously. And Matthew Simmons, basically a dude who read a couple of books and reports on energy, oil and stuff like that then self-proclaimed himself as an insider industry "expert" and started pimping out advice (and doom) to whomever would listen.. Anyway, the going was good, as they say. Michael Ruppert had proclaimed Savinar as his "comrade in arms" and LOTAC was being whored by a few congressman on the senate floor as the true roadmap to the future.. Those days I tell you, was truly peak oil heaven. That was the peak of peak oil.. and then came the dieoff...

But what the heck happened? What happened?


What if it was real? It was predicted by Marian King, he was right. The people in power knew and understood this in the 1970's when the limits to growth was published. What could they do? Play the game of civilization. What could you do? I talked this thought exercise thought with a few people a few times. Some common themes establish themselves.

There is a fundamental decision split. Is it a cooperative affair or a violent one? All the happy Utopians look to the cooperative solutions. I just look at human history and normally when push comes to shove, the rules go out the window and fighting breaks out.

I woke up to peak oil first, sometime in 2004. What if it was all real and Bush knew it. There was a video of either bush or dick just before they got elected to office. While never using the woods peak oil they talked about depletion and all the physical symptoms of it. This was before the reign of GWB.

If it was real and the decision had been made to pursue the last man standing scenario then Bush and co would be going to world war for it. Seeing as how they are not being honest about the reason for the war (last man standing, we have the guns, we take the oil) they need a pretext.

Then I saw building 7. Then I saw people in the streets of New York react to bombs going off while the dust was still in the air. Explosions brought down the twin towers.

Oil men that knew about peak oil in control of the most powerful military the world has ever known. What do you think is going on? We are going into hard core fascism and open war world wide. All of the Utopian options, cleanly wiped from the table because of these men and their lies.

So by 2006 I was into 911 and also branched off into politics. I have helped candidates that were willing to speak the truth on the federal level. I ran at the municipal level last year and this year is the provincial elections.

Almost every day since then I have been truth actioning random individuals. How do you compress peak oil to 30 seconds or left of highly distilled truth action? ;) Say it a few thousand times. Now do the same thing with H1N1, 911, agents provocateurs, etc.

With each new outrage more people wake up. Each of these interactions helps to wake people up. It takes a few interactions from different sources to wake up someone in denial. Those that do wake up follow a few predictable paths. They either get activated or they become depressed, morose and sarcastic from their feelings of powerlessness. Of the two I must say that being active is better because at least this way I'm not depressed. How effective am I? I don't know. Time will tell.

Peak oil is significant, but so is the realization of 911. So is the realization of h1n1 and the intention behind it. Each new depravity that we uncover tears another shred of our humanity. The number 1 issue is not peak oil. It's not the war. It's not the gmo's or the depopulation agenda. It's truth. We cannot tolerate denial anymore. Conquer that one and we win the game not the battle.

What about all these people that you mention? Well they are like us. Human beings in all of their flawed glory. Each of us does our best with our own skills, capabilities and coping mechanisms.

There are government sponsored trolls out now which is really fascinating because if you study their behavior then you will see the topics they are uncomfortable about. ;)

Don't bother with organizing right now. It presents the counter intelligence agencies with a target. Google "leaderless resistance" and then do what you think you can do and want to do. Why are we doing it? Because psychologically we get relief from being a part of the solution instead of sitting on the fence as a passive depressive.
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 23:45:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('papa moose', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', 'N')o belief required. I commute 700 miles on 10 gallons of regular unleaded. I imagine your efficient little commuter works out just as well? :lol:

Get yourself a Volt, the guys on the Volt forums are doing 700 miles on just 3 gallons! My mileage is pathetic!


Why is your mileage more than 3x worse than theirs?


I suffer from deficient battery strength. :( Damn homebuilts just aren't up to snuff.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('papa moose', '
')If my mileage was 3x worse than my neighbour who has the same car and drives the same distances i'd be very concerned to work out what was the cause of the variation.


I don't have a Volt. I DREAM about them though...I figure in another year, when they are sitting around on dealer's lots in every state, then, perhaps then, I shall...MAKE MY MOVE! Sell the homebuilt to a coworker looking for a deal, and get myself my FIRST GM product EVER!
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Thu 10 Feb 2011, 23:55:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ONeil', '
')Peak oil is significant, but so is the realization of 911.


???

One is a fantasy game dreamed up by human-haters, gold bugs, eco-cranks, communists, racists, survivalists, dieoff thrill seekers and Rapturists ...the other is a couple of buildings which fell down...went boom..and is historical fact.

How is the "realization" of buildings falling down significant? Its what happens when you blast huge holes in them and heat the steel until it can't support its own weight....not "realizing" that this is a natural consequence of a sequence of events might be ignorance of physics in action, but I don't know that it is significant? Lots of people are ignorant of physics, we see articles in the newspapers every day telling us Americans how scientifically illiterate our education is.
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Kristen » Fri 11 Feb 2011, 00:04:35

Isn't the oil used for automobiles (consumers) a small amount compared to jet fuel and agriculture? The reason the oil movement disintegrated was due to the lack of agreement between people.
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 11 Feb 2011, 01:39:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ONeil', '
')Then I saw building 7.


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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Pops » Fri 11 Feb 2011, 08:51:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kristen', 'I')sn't the oil used for automobiles (consumers) a small amount compared to jet fuel and agriculture?

Naw, Ag is just a 2% sliver, 20% is getting the chips to the store and 40% is getting our fat asses there to buy 'em:

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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby Xenophobe » Fri 11 Feb 2011, 19:38:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kristen', 'I')sn't the oil used for automobiles (consumers) a small amount compared to jet fuel and agriculture?

Naw, Ag is just a 2% sliver, 20% is getting the chips to the store and 40% is getting our fat asses there to buy 'em:


Quote of the week...possibly the month. Oil is all about our laziness at the end of the day, isn't it? It is so much more valuable for other things that it is simply ridiculous to burn it to move our asses around. Down with crude based ass movage!
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby ONeil » Sat 12 Feb 2011, 04:19:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ONeil', '
')Peak oil is significant, but so is the realization of 911.


???

One is a fantasy game dreamed up by human-haters, gold bugs, eco-cranks, communists, racists, survivalists, dieoff thrill seekers and Rapturists ...the other is a couple of buildings which fell down...went boom..and is historical fact.

How is the "realization" of buildings falling down significant? Its what happens when you blast huge holes in them and heat the steel until it can't support its own weight....not "realizing" that this is a natural consequence of a sequence of events might be ignorance of physics in action, but I don't know that it is significant? Lots of people are ignorant of physics, we see articles in the newspapers every day telling us Americans how scientifically illiterate our education is.



The "realization" is not only the physical properties of the event, but it's implications. If it was a false flag attack it shatters any reasonable expectations of an honest government that operates with integrity. If you were born jaded then fine, I wasn't.
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Re: What happened to the Peak Oil movement?

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Sat 12 Feb 2011, 07:26:48

Please guys! Probably everyone here knows where I stand on 9/11. It does no favours to the cause to threadjack. I have said it before, here I will say it again: 9/11 has become the new Hitler. We need to be mature enough to not relate everything back to a singular cause in this manner. There is a thread for this stuff and people have a right not to be bombarded constantly. I am not a moderator, I have zero authority here, I am asking nicely// please unless there is a very direct reason to mention Hitler or 9/11; let's leave it out? 8)
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