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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

The Greater Recession vs. Peak Oil (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

What scares you more?

The Great Recession
7
No votes
Peak Oil
5
No votes
"You're gunna need a bigger boat..."
2
No votes
 
Total votes : 14

Re: Peak Oil - Escalating Cycles of Recession

Unread postby bratticus » Sun 19 Dec 2010, 13:21:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'I') have a theory about this reason why. Those of us who were pioneers about understanding peak oil felt that this knowledge somehow made us exempt and immunized to the consequences.

Nope, some of us are still experimenting with concepts in an effort to get a grip on what's around the corner.

Post-peak "escalating cycles of recession" is an unproven theoretical model that is open to debate.
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Re: Peak Oil - Escalating Cycles of Recession

Unread postby diemos » Sun 19 Dec 2010, 13:27:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', '
')Pull down your pants and bend over and humble yourselves with the masses around you and accept the SPANKING that is your due just like everyone else who will have to suffer this transition.


One of the fascinating things about apocalyptic cults is that the apocalypse is always scheduled to happen to someone else. The chosen, who find the current world intolerable for some reason, will survive the apocalypse to live in a world better suited to them.

The religious find the success of the wicked in this world intolerable and long for the day that their messiah will smite the wicked and elevate them to rulers of the world.

The people waiting for the space brothers to come find the tawdry details that go with being a mammal intolerable and can't wait for the space brothers to come and transform them into beings of light so that they can leave all that physical crap (literally) behind.

The white supremacists living their low status trailer trash existence know that after the coming race war they will sweep away the minorities that are holding them down and stride the earth like kings.

The survivalists, who have to trudge into work every day and knuckle under to idiots and fools, know that after civilization collapses they will be lords of their doomsteads and will be able to watch all the fools and idiots starve to death with great satisfaction.

Apocalyptic thinking is just wishful thinking for people who don't like the current world but don't have the power to change it into the world they want.

Anyone who thinks that they are going to virtuously prepare for what's coming and thus escape any of the consequences is living in a fantasy world. Your fellow humans will see to it that the pain is shared.
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Re: Peak Oil - Escalating Cycles of Recession

Unread postby Ibon » Sun 19 Dec 2010, 13:47:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bratticus', ' ')some of us are still experimenting with concepts in an effort to get a grip on what's around the corner.


It's a good exercise which I keep running as a constant. The very point I was making was actually right in line with what you are saying. I often experiment with the concepts regarding the psychological coping with this most fundamental of transitions :)
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Re: Peak Oil - Escalating Cycles of Recession

Unread postby Revi » Sun 19 Dec 2010, 15:39:15

I think knowing about peak oil for so long has made me much more religious. I am a Christian, and I can see no way that we can be ready for what's coming. We'll have to live one day at a time. I'm not saying not to prepare, but know that whatever we do it may not work. The point is not to be the last man standing or whatever. The point is to live with grace in this world.

The transition is toward a new way of being. Transition is teaching kids to work a woodlot. To make them aware of their surroundings instead of the culture that is being sold to them that glorifies fossil fuels, drugs and death. They are going to be living into the future. We may not make it. They are the ones who will have to deal with the reality. We may have to suffer a little while, then pack it in when it gets nasty, but they are going to have to keep the ship afloat. These escalating cycles of recession are going to take away the illusions of cars, consumer culture and the like anyway. Here in Maine we'll be left with water, woods and winter. We had better learn to make them work for us again.
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Re: Peak Oil - Escalating Cycles of Recession

Unread postby Ibon » Sun 19 Dec 2010, 15:55:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', 'I') think knowing about peak oil for so long has made me much more religious. I am a Christian, and I can see no way that we can be ready for what's coming. We'll have to live one day at a time. I'm not saying not to prepare, but know that whatever we do it may not work. The point is not to be the last man standing or whatever. The point is to live with grace in this world.

The transition is toward a new way of being. Transition is teaching kids to work a woodlot. To make them aware of their surroundings instead of the culture that is being sold to them that glorifies fossil fuels, drugs and death. They are going to be living into the future. We may not make it. They are the ones who will have to deal with the reality. We may have to suffer a little while, then pack it in when it gets nasty, but they are going to have to keep the ship afloat. These escalating cycles of recession are going to take away the illusions of cars, consumer culture and the like anyway. Here in Maine we'll be left with water, woods and winter. We had better learn to make them work for us again.


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Re: Peak Oil - Escalating Cycles of Recession

Unread postby mos6507 » Sun 19 Dec 2010, 16:17:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('diemos', '
')Anyone who thinks that they are going to virtuously prepare for what's coming and thus escape any of the consequences is living in a fantasy world. Your fellow humans will see to it that the pain is shared.


To a certain extent, I agree, but also, I think those who don't prepare, those who, you know, scoffed at Noah and his ark, would LIKE to think that when their faith in BAU is revealed to them as a mortal error, that Noah will be dragged down with them. You see what I mean? It goes both ways. Noah wants to save himself to validate his Cassandra-ism and those who put all their chips on BAU don't want to watch Noah sail away unscathed with a smug look on his face.

The truth is somewhere in the middle. Those who prep ARE in a better situation for having done so, but are not invulnerable.
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Re: Peak Oil - Escalating Cycles of Recession

Unread postby Ibon » Sun 19 Dec 2010, 16:34:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '
')
To a certain extent, I agree, but also, I think those who don't prepare, those who, you know, scoffed at Noah and his ark, would LIKE to think that when their faith in BAU is revealed to them as a mortal error, that Noah will be dragged down with them. You see what I mean? It goes both ways. Noah wants to save himself to validate his Cassandra-ism and those who put all their chips on BAU don't want to watch Noah sail away unscathed with a smug look on his face.

The truth is somewhere in the middle. Those who prep ARE in a better situation for having done so, but are not invulnerable.


I like this analogy except for the sea that Noah is sailing his ark on. Our problem today is that the only ark we have is the whole planet itself, sea included. Thus your analogy reinforces the meme that there is an ark of truth we can ride when in actuality the surface the ark is riding on is the ark itself that will not spare even the Noah's with their Cassandra visions.

I don't think there is a division between BAU and Noah believers in how this plays out. We will all be drawn into the same transition and once this happens we stand side by side with the consequences.

The culture that emerges is not the one that discovers early and sales off on an ark of awareness but rather the culture that emerges from the consequences that will draw each and everyone of us into its fold.
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