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The Food Stamp Thread (merged)

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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby eastbay » Sat 04 Dec 2010, 15:45:45

Cog, other than a few shills, very few here believe the economy will offer an improved living standard down the road. Any glimmer of hope will be quickly stamped out by rising energy costs and government fiscal incompetence.
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Cog » Sat 04 Dec 2010, 15:46:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'C')og what is your point? I would expect that concentrated wealth among the wealthy would concentrate at wealthy places? Like corporations. Why do you doubt the correlation between impoverishment at one extreme and wealth concentration at the other?


Might be because I haven't been shown any correlation. I can present you any number of charts that go up and down but that doesn't create a cause and effect between the two. If corporate earnings go up with lets say Google, how does that affect my bottom line? It doesn't unless I own their stock.
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Cog » Sat 04 Dec 2010, 15:52:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', 'C')og, other than a few shills, very few here believe the economy will offer an improved living standard down the road. Any glimmer of hope will be quickly stamped out by rising energy costs and government fiscal incompetence.


My point exactly.

Regardless of whether we intervene in the life of poor or don't, we are all headed for the same destination, like it or not. The left would have us believe we can go to some sort of BAU leftist commune crap that will enable us to paint and write poetry all day and roam through the undergrowth and pick up our food. The ridiculous nature of that thought is what keeps me coming back here to see how it works out for them.
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Cog » Sat 04 Dec 2010, 16:08:43

The realization that its a Ponzi scheme is the best way to prepare for the ultimate unraveling of it. The poor don't understand it and most of the middle class as well. Now you may choose to anchor yourself in some belief that I owe someone something by my mere existence. Maybe you have that luxury of time and energy. I choose to devote my energy and time to making sure I survive what is coming. Your results may vary.
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Questionmark » Sat 04 Dec 2010, 16:31:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mattduke', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'Q'): Why do so many people require US government funded food jobs?


A: Because the private sector can no longer generate enough jobs.

Because there is hardly any private sector left. Government is consuming all the capital.


What you're referring to is crowding out and it is a myth. Government deficits have zero impact on real interest rates or private investment. The private sector is shrinking in the U.S. because of decisions made by the private sector, not the government.
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby dolanbaker » Sat 04 Dec 2010, 18:11:07

Mechanisation and cheap foreign labour (outsourcing) have killed western manufacturing industry.
Nothing can replace those jobs without a serious drop in living standards and expectations.
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Sun 05 Dec 2010, 01:23:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dolanbaker', 'M')echanisation and cheap foreign labour (outsourcing) have killed western manufacturing industry.
Nothing can replace those jobs without a serious drop in living standards and expectations.

Exactly right. Automation / Mechanization, coupled with technology like computers is just awesome in its ability to eliminate jobs. Companies jump on such opportunities to increase profits, or just to remain competitive.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142 ... 04348.html

Recent example I was struck by. (Link above, hardcopy is WSJ, Dec 1, page B1 article, "Glow from Solar factories fails to match town's hopes"), talks about how Greenville Michigan's employment hopes from Solar factories owned by Uni-Solar were crushed. They hoped for 6 factories, but no new ones were built after the original 2.

Why? Well, "shortly after the plants were built, the managers realized they could DOUBLE their capacity by simply attaching a small wing to the side of each and reconfiguring the floor plans to maximize the use of long rows of AUTOMATED machines. The VP of operations says "We've already doubled the capacity of our original plants and could DOUBLE IT AGAIN" in the two existing structures.

(I capitalized some words in the quotes in the above paragraph for empnasis on the role of automation in this awsome and frightening trend).

So net, the 4000 jobs lost when an Electrolux plant left have only been replaced with 320, and no meaningful amount of jobs will be needed, even if they double the output AGAIN. (And how many of the original 4000 Electrolux folks have these jobs -- a grand total of 66).

And before Ludi rails against the greed of Uni-Solar, they are LOSING money according to the same article -- Chinese competition, it seems.

Folks, I don't see how ANY political party is going to fix this stuff. U.S. living standards, on average, will migrate toward 3rd world standards, especially as we continue to tolerate a 3rd rate educational system in the U.S.

Welcome to the 21st century.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Sixstrings » Sun 05 Dec 2010, 01:35:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '
')Exactly right. Automation / Mechanization, coupled with technology like computers is just awesome in its ability to eliminate jobs. Companies jump on such opportunities to increase profits, or just to remain competitive.

Recent example I was struck by. (Link above, hardcopy is WSJ, Dec 1, page B1 article, "Glow from Solar factories fails to match town's hopes"), talks about how Greenville Michigan's employment hopes from Solar factories owned by Uni-Solar were crushed. They hoped for 6 factories, but no new ones were built after the original 2.

Why? Well, "shortly after the plants were built, the managers realized they could DOUBLE their capacity by simply attaching a small wing to the side of each and reconfiguring the floor plans to maximize the use of long rows of AUTOMATED machines.


I've made this point before on this forum, I seem to remember getting a lot of pushback about it -- nice to see several folks now saying the same thing.

Back when I started getting concerned about globalism and began looking into it, I kept running across the automation and efficiency issue. I couldn't deny that was the cause of at least half our current peak jobs problem.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')olks, I don't see how ANY political party is going to fix this stuff. U.S. living standards, on average, will migrate toward 3rd world standards, especially as we continue to tolerate a 3rd rate educational system in the U.S.


I agree. You can't stop automation and tech-enabled efficiency. But we *could* do something about globalism and offshoring. The products I use don't have to be made in China; there's no law of physics that says my neighbor can't make them, and I can't make something for him and voila we can have a genuine foundation for our economy (other than financial games).
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Sun 05 Dec 2010, 01:38:10

Another thought on my previous post.

Consider the impact of the handful (or one) of folk(s) on the profit margins of Uni-Solar, by figuring out how to turn the production of two solar plants into eight (4-fold productivity increase) without ANY meaningful increase in labor?

I'ts absolutely HUGE.

This, IMO, is the "secret" behind the massive increase in the disparity of wealth in the US since the early 80's. It's not evil or a GOP conspiracy, no matter how many political points MSNBC crazies and their ilk think they can score by repeating it endlessly.

It's that brainpower coupled with technology makes HUGE changes in production, and therefore wealth -- orders of magnitude more than mere hard work and/or loyalty. So in the Uni-Solar case, 960ish jobs (320 times 3 plants) are eliminated before they even come into existence and a small number of smart peole who figure out how (should - dunno if they do in this case) make a GIANT bonus, promotion, etc. for making a BIG intelligent contribution to the corporate (relative) profitability.

Smart guys win big. Normal assembly-line folks lose jobs in droves. Wealth disparity increases.

No conspiracy needed.

Lots of high quality education for U.S. citizens obviously needed. Government not providing it. If the left wants to do something productive, how about focusing on THAT? Our society as a whole would benefit HUGELY from that. And it doesn't even involve (direct) government wealth transfers.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Sixstrings » Sun 05 Dec 2010, 01:49:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', 'A')nother thought on my previous post.

Consider the impact of the handful (or one) of folk(s) on the profit margins of Uni-Solar, by figuring out how to turn the production of two solar plants into eight (4-fold productivity increase) without ANY meaningful increase in labor?

I'ts absolutely HUGE.

This, IMO, is the "secret" behind the massive increase in the disparity of wealth in the US since the early 80's.

(snip)

It's that brainpower coupled with technology makes HUGE changes in production, and therefore wealth -- orders of magnitude more than mere hard work and/or loyalty. So in the Uni-Solar case, 960ish jobs (320 times 3 plants) are eliminated before they even come into existence..


+1 I agree with what you wrote there so much, I'll go ahead and cede our other argument about charities. Don't think you're recognizing the globalism and offshoring impact on American jobs, but that's ok it's great somebody is talking about the automation issue.

The standard response to this by the way is the old "Henry Ford put horse whip manufactures out of business" argument. And the Luddites (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Luddites). The idea is that greater automation ends up creating more jobs than it destroys. And I agree with that, it's historically true you can't deny it.

BUT.. I really think we're reaching a period of MAXIMUM efficiency, a point at which further automation is now destroying more jobs than it creates. The power of one person to do the jobs of so many has just become too great -- a handful of programmers can conceivably create a program that nixes millions of jobs. Sure, the efficiency spurs more economic growth and innovation, but we've just reached the end point of diminishing returns.

Kind of like how we're at the point where new debt is destroying money rather than creating money.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')ots of high quality education for U.S. citizens obviously needed. Government not providing it. If the left wants to do something productive, how about focusing on THAT? O ur society as a whole would benefit HUGELY from that.


Your earlier arguments prove this statement false. We've already passed peak productivity and more automation and efficiency is destroying jobs not creating them -- you could have 100 million Americans holding masters or PhDs, the jobs still aren't there. Or maybe you think we can all write iPhone apps or launch websites.. there's an upper limit to how much of those things people have time to consume.

BTW, don't have a link handy, but there have been studies on the Michigan unemployed that prove further education doesn't make a darn bit of difference.
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Sun 05 Dec 2010, 02:45:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
')Don't think you're recognizing the globalism and offshoring impact on American jobs, but that's ok it's great somebody is talking about the automation issue.

Good discussion Six, and I appreciate it. I think we're generally closer (except on the education point perhaps) than you realize.

We clearly agree on the automation issue. (It took me longer to accept how huge this is than you, I freely admit that). I also think that globalization is a huge problem. I'm less convinced than you that protectionism is a good answer though.

No doubt, protectionism will help balance things out, but EVERYONE will have a lower standard of living -- potentially MUCH lower, if we greatly restrict global trade to prevent offshoring of jobs. Many noted economists think that is a very bad idea. I agree with them -- just be aware of the big trade-off when you reccomend that. (The reason is that just about ALL the stuff we buy will be MUCH more expensive (and of generally lower quality) over time without global competition. If you doubt that, imagine what Ford and GM would be like today if they didn't have to compete with the likes of Toyota and Kia. I shudder to contemplate it. As another example, the much maligned Walmart has held inflation at bay significantly by all the Chinese stuff they stock and the competition that has provided to American goods).

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
')BTW, don't have a link handy, but there have been studies on the Michigan unemployed that prove further education doesn't make a darn bit of difference.

Are you talking about short term government sponsored adult (re)education programs? If so, I guess I'm not that surprised those aren't overly effective. I'm talking about the WHOLE U.S. education system, especially the public K-12 system. We're literally ranked with third world countries there. We get clobbered by productive countries like Korea. And I do realize that to fix that and see meaningful results (graduates) will take at least a decade.

Then you add last week's Fareed Zakaria's GPS (Sunday on CNN), where he talks about how the US has become a nation of consumers, vs. how many 3rd world nations are building things -- INVESTING in things they NEED to be economically successful for the long term -- be they public transportation facilities, or good schools, or good water treatment facilities. Then he states it's pretty obvious why we're no longer competitive, as we let our infrastructure burn while we complain about benefit cuts or needed tax increases .

Man, I thought he really hit it square on the head with this. (And I've been PISSED for a long time that public figures rarely say it). I think that long run, we have to compete effectively - which means we have to be educated as a society.

And I agree, we can't all build IPAD applets, but there are TONS of things in every field where well educated people can make progress. Scientists, technicians, engineers -- people of that ilk. I suspect a lot more people can do work like that than you think -- if they are helped and encouraged to prepare for that throughout their childhood.

Now, how likely do I think that is in our entitlement society, where "soak the rich" is seen as the solution to all evil, and where about half the populace pays no income tax and thus has no stake in controlling the size of government?

I think the chances are roughly zero, until it is too late.

Welcome to 21st century America.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Quinny » Sun 05 Dec 2010, 05:33:13

It's not about entitlement and big government. Look at the scale of things.

Cost of UE pales into insignificance v bank bailouts, interest and war.

Who ran up the debt?

http://cedarcomm.com/~stevelm1/USDebt.png

http://zfacts.com/p/318.html

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
')Don't think you're recognizing the globalism and offshoring impact on American jobs, but that's ok it's great somebody is talking about the automation issue.

Good discussion Six, and I appreciate it. I think we're generally closer (except on the education point perhaps) than you realize.

We clearly agree on the automation issue. (It took me longer to accept how huge this is than you, I freely admit that). I also think that globalization is a huge problem. I'm less convinced than you that protectionism is a good answer though.

No doubt, protectionism will help balance things out, but EVERYONE will have a lower standard of living -- potentially MUCH lower, if we greatly restrict global trade to prevent offshoring of jobs. Many noted economists think that is a very bad idea. I agree with them -- just be aware of the big trade-off when you reccomend that. (The reason is that just about ALL the stuff we buy will be MUCH more expensive (and of generally lower quality) over time without global competition. If you doubt that, imagine what Ford and GM would be like today if they didn't have to compete with the likes of Toyota and Kia. I shudder to contemplate it. As another example, the much maligned Walmart has held inflation at bay significantly by all the Chinese stuff they stock and the competition that has provided to American goods).

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
')BTW, don't have a link handy, but there have been studies on the Michigan unemployed that prove further education doesn't make a darn bit of difference.

Are you talking about short term government sponsored adult (re)education programs? If so, I guess I'm not that surprised those aren't overly effective. I'm talking about the WHOLE U.S. education system, especially the public K-12 system. We're literally ranked with third world countries there. We get clobbered by productive countries like Korea. And I do realize that to fix that and see meaningful results (graduates) will take at least a decade.

Then you add last week's Fareed Zakaria's GPS (Sunday on CNN), where he talks about how the US has become a nation of consumers, vs. how many 3rd world nations are building things -- INVESTING in things they NEED to be economically successful for the long term -- be they public transportation facilities, or good schools, or good water treatment facilities. Then he states it's pretty obvious why we're no longer competitive, as we let our infrastructure burn while we complain about benefit cuts or needed tax increases .

Man, I thought he really hit it square on the head with this. (And I've been PISSED for a long time that public figures rarely say it). I think that long run, we have to compete effectively - which means we have to be educated as a society.

And I agree, we can't all build IPAD applets, but there are TONS of things in every field where well educated people can make progress. Scientists, technicians, engineers -- people of that ilk. I suspect a lot more people can do work like that than you think -- if they are helped and encouraged to prepare for that throughout their childhood.

Now, how likely do I think that is in our entitlement society, where "soak the rich" is seen as the solution to all evil, and where about half the populace pays no income tax and thus has no stake in controlling the size of government?

I think the chances are roughly zero, until it is too late.

Welcome to 21st century America.
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Ludi » Sun 05 Dec 2010, 08:07:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'I')t's not about entitlement and big government. Look at the scale of things.

Cost of UE pales into insignificance v bank bailouts, interest and war.



But apparently it's important to continue and increase social inequality in the US. Not sure why, when inequality causes even more problems such as crime, poor health, etc. But by golly, we need to keep shoveling money upward, apparently.

Government is fine if it's bailing out the rich guys or getting involved in wars. War is quite lucrative for corporations. But heaven forbid government get involved in helping the little guys. Then it's "entitlements." :roll:

I tell you, folks want Neo-feudalism in the US. I don't know why, but they sure seem to as they defend it every chance they get.

And those are the "patriots." :|
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Re: Food Stamp use sets new record, on parabolic trajectory

Postby Cog » Sun 05 Dec 2010, 10:23:20

@Ludi

A few weeks in a Sarah Palin reeducation camp and you will give up these foolish notions. :-D
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Re: Economic Recovery? 43,000,000 On Food Stamps

Postby Daniel_Plainview » Fri 07 Jan 2011, 16:27:14

Now 43,200,000

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url=http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-07/food-stamps-used-by-record-43-2-million-in-october-usda-reports.html]Food Stamps Used by Record 43.2 Million in October, USDA Reports[/url]
By Alan Bjerga - Jan 7, 2011 12:16 PM CT

The number of Americans receiving food stamps rose to a record 43.2 million in October as the jobless rate stayed near a 27-year high, the government said.

Recipients of Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program subsidies for food purchases jumped 15 percent from a year earlier and increased 0.7 percent from September, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said today in a statement on its website. Participation has set records for 23 straight months.

An average of 43.3 million people, more than an eighth of the population, will get food stamps each month in the year that began Oct. 1, according to White House estimates.


Image

Food Stamp Usage Hits New All-time High Of 43.2 Million

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '0')1/07/2011 13:57 -0500

Ever wonder where all the money for equity inflows came from? Here's the answer: with all the money saved from participating in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, better known as foodstamps, which in October hit a brand new record, 43.2 million Americans decided to join in on this "wealth effect" they had been hearing so much about and buy Apple stock. After all 190 hedge funds are doing it: and there is no way that 190 hedge funds can possibly be wrong. As a result, the chart below shows our nation's pending wealth effect in its full glory. Just think: 43.2 millionaire in waiting. Just consider the guaranteed explosion to money velocity...

linky winky
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Re: Economic Recovery? 43,000,000 On Food Stamps

Postby IsThisRealLife » Sat 08 Jan 2011, 12:51:49

In the meantime...$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '&')quot;Wall Street earned $21.4 billion during the first three quarters of 2010," Comptroller Tom DiNapoli said
...
Within a year after the bonuses were approved, Goldman Sachs took $10 billion from the U.S. Treasury, converted to a bank and was borrowing as much as $35.4 billion a day from Federal Reserve emergency programs, Bloomberg reported, adding that this year the firm paid $550 million to settle U.S. regulators’ fraud charges related to a mortgage-security the company sold in 2007.
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Re: Economic Recovery? 43,000,000 On Food Stamps

Postby rangerone314 » Sun 09 Jan 2011, 07:32:41

You know seeing how social structures may break down after Peak Oil and there will be no more food stamps, and some people will try to have their permaculture and doomsteads... has it occurred to anyone to start training classes or write a guide with tactics for and info on forming raiding parties for pillaging post-peak-oil doomsteads and transition communities?

I mean not everyone has a green thumb, but if things break down into feudalism, why not be a Viking?
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