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Still not sure what I'm doing here

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Pops » Tue 16 Nov 2010, 13:37:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lulubel', 'R')egarding medications, I suppose it's really impossible to know what will happen. If it's a hard crash and all hell breaks loose, the chances of surviving would probably be pretty slim anyway, but if some distribution lines stay open, asthma drugs are pretty common. Maybe I'll start stockpiling inhalers anyway.

Yea, I look at it the same way, I try to prepare for things I think have some chance of occurring and that I can actually do something about. I have about 2 years of insulin, and a years worth of test strips, that's how long each lasts, I also have quite a few syringes, glucose tabs etc. I didn't buy a bunch at any one time that would have caused anyone else problems, just some extra every trip, now I simply buy what I use and rotate the stock.

But then I also have a big food pantry that operates just the same - although many of the items have changes over the last 2 years. It's not that those things will make me imune but they can be valuable for the short term cash or supply shortage. Like my dear departed sister always said:

'Drugs and no money' is preferable to 'money and no drugs'.

:-D
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby yeahbut » Tue 16 Nov 2010, 19:01:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lulubel', 'T')hanks for all the permaculture recommendations. I suggested to my partner today that I was thinking of planting some young fruit trees, and that went down quite well, on the basis that trees don't require the same level of involvement as growing your own veg. It was the work involved this year for very little reward that caused the problems, although I think a lot of our problem was caused by not realising this part of Spain has 2 growing seasons, and very little can survive through July and August. I'd still like to grow more of our own food, so hopefully we can re-introduce it gradually.


Welcome to PO lulu. That's definitely the way forward IMO. I enjoy producing some of my own food, but I really enjoy producing it for as little effort as possible :) Trees are great in this regard, a bit of pruning and feeding (and probably in your case, watering) is mostly all they need, and they faithfully reward you every year with loads of yummy food. I bet you could grow awesome olives, grapes and figs where you are, pomegranates, stone fruits for sure, citrus if it's not too cold in winter? Some nut trees will love it too, like macadamias, pistachios, chestnuts etc.
I'm also a big fan of plants like beans and tomatos that require very little attention and crop heavily. Maybe the heat and dry is too intense where you are tho?
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby lulubel » Wed 17 Nov 2010, 06:57:10

Tomatoes grow well here. Our tomatoes were one of our most successful crops (along with squash, which grow like weeds!), although we grew far too many of them because my partner wanted 6 different varieties, and the soil quality where we lived was too poor even for tomatoes to produce a heavy crop. With hindsight, we probably needed to either spend a few years improving the soil or buy a few loads of topsoil. Our beans and peas were very stunted, and withered in the heat before they produced much of a crop.

We need to plant much earlier here to take advantage of spring, then probably start more seeds in a relatively cool, shaded area during July and August to plant out again in September and take advantage of the second growing season. We only realised this when strawberries disappeared from the shops in late June (when the local ones start appearing in the UK) and then reappeared towards the end of September. Temperatures here exceed 100F in the height of summer, and the sun's so intense you can see plants withering regardless of how much water you give them.

I think we can grow pretty much any fruit trees here. Winters are fine for citrus, and we've also seen peach, mango and avocado. This part of Spain is known for growing organic mangoes commercially, but they're all exported to the UK, and the ones in the shops here are imported from Brazil. Madness.

Getting some trees in will also be good for providing shade when we move on to growing more fragile crops. Water and shade are the 2 most important things we need to figure out here.

Added: I've been looking on Amazon, and have found all the books recommended in this thread. I also found The Permaculture Way by Graham Bell, which reviewers have described as a good introduction to the principles. Does anyone know anything about Graham Bell or this book?
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Ibon » Wed 17 Nov 2010, 13:04:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cloud9', '
')
Don't short today on the prospects of what might happen tomorrow.


This is sage advice when pondering the complex ramifications around peak oil and related symptoms of overshoot.

You can over examine a complex issue like peak oil and its consequences to the point where the act of over examining itself creates a momentum that is self perpetuating. It then feeds upon itself and leads to a sort of paralysis.

I happen to be in a life situation where I spend long periods of time managing a refuge in the cloud forests of Panama interspersed with short visits back in the US where I am idle. When in Panama I work from the crack of dawn until nightfall and my breaks are walks in the woods. Back here in the USA I fall into this space of over examining these global issues because of all the idle time on my hands. I find it interesting how much more optimistic my perspective is when engaged and working in Panama compared to what happens when I over examine this issue when I have too much idle time on my hands.

Don't allow peak oil to become a head trip. Harness the knowledge by doing work whatever that might be given your situation and time.

Beware the danger of over examining this topic.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby davep » Wed 17 Nov 2010, 14:09:27

Ibon, I think it's difficult not to over-examine the topic initially. To get through the quasi-kubler-ross stages takes time and a lot of reflection and research.

But, you have to reach a point of internal equilibrium at some point. Maybe you're just in need of a hobby/pastime when back home?
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Madpaddy » Wed 17 Nov 2010, 14:23:39

Grow your own vegetables by joy larkham and square foot gardening are other musts in any library as well as the encyclopaedia of country living
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Ibon » Wed 17 Nov 2010, 17:22:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'I')bon, I think it's difficult not to over-examine the topic initially. To get through the quasi-kubler-ross stages takes time and a lot of reflection and research.

But, you have to reach a point of internal equilibrium at some point. Maybe you're just in need of a hobby/pastime when back home?


Thanks for those comments. This is going to be one of those rare moments when I will bare my soul here.

Isn't what we are all doing here on this forum a hobby and pastime in order for us to reach this internal equilibrium?

Aren't we all here discussing this as a psychological coping mechanism?

When peak oil is over examined you reach a truth that there is no real meaningful mitigation, not what I am doing in Panama nor what Ludi or Revi or anyone is doing really. All of these attempts at solutions are still taking place while being held within this unsustainable fossil fuel age that really is what supports us. We are in overshoot because of our sheer numbers and because of the consumption per capita that is to a large extent dictated by the infrastructure that supports us regardless of how we try to minimize our carbon footprint. So who is Ludi, Ibon, Revi or Richard Heinberg for that matter really kidding here anyway?

I have had to strip away any illusions that what I am doing for example in Panama is in anyway really contributing toward any useful mitigation since it is really only re arranging the deck chairs ultimately on the titanic. I cope by forgetting about the reality of overshoot while there and I celebrate the still intact pristine biodiversity and share this with joy with guests knowing well that my whole project there is an endangered dinosaur in a way.

I could post for example dozens of threads here on peakoil.com about Mount Totumas Cloud Forest in Panama, about the off the grid hydro electric plant, the sustainable harvest of dead timber, the successes and failures of organic gardening, etc etc. I could paint a grand illusion that this project is somehow part of this growing global community of the peak oil aware attempting mitigation. But ultimately all this is being held up by the flights that take me down there, by the money I spend whose source comes from the fossil fuel economy, the materials and energy that is still required to be imported into this pristine place to make the modest infrastructure there even function. I don't create these posts for I sense an inherent ignorance and hypocrisy in doing so.

That is the bitter truth. No real solutions are even possible that arise from within the fossil fuel paradigm we live in. We are only kidding ourselves.

Ultimately real solutions will rise the way Jack Pine seeds germinate in the Boreal Forest :)

That is why I say beware of the danger of over examining this topic. For if you have the courage to follow the logic to the bitter end than you must confront the inherent hypocrisy of even the most noble attempts at mitigation while being an individual in a population so severely in overshoot dependent on an infrastructure that inherently consumes way beyond carrying capacity.

There is no mitigation taking place on the planet today. All of the efficiencies we read about in earnest regarding green technologies are making our species more resilient as it bulldozes its way through the remaining resources. It is not mitigation. Are we courageous enough to acknowledge this or do we pretend that there is some noble exit strategy still possible?

We are all culturally living fossils, like the last of the mammoths in the Pleistocene. No mitigation will change this truth.

Live with the truth or live an illusion of hypocrisy if that makes you "feel" better.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby davep » Wed 17 Nov 2010, 19:10:08

Wonderful rant, ibon [smilie=5thanks.gif]

But unless we can unwind we are just going to tear ourselves apart with the enormity of the task confronting us.

For the moment the fossil fuels are there, so you can consider your flights as part of the transition.

But, as you say, we are all dependent on this resource. We each do what we can, but I don't think any of us are truly independent of our fossil fuel resources.

However, this doesn't mean we shoudln't continue in our endeavours. If we don't, who will? Yes, it's a psychological coping mechanism, but it is also a means of giving others hope.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e are all culturally living fossils, like the last of the mammoths in the Pleistocene. No mitigation will change this truth.


I don't agree. We can modify the future for the better ecologically and for our species. It will entail a lot of hardship, but that hardship will be magnified if we take your attitude. How do you expect others to do their best when you, who knows so much, is so desperate. You have to be hopeful, even if it is in vain.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Pops » Wed 17 Nov 2010, 19:42:05

That sucks Ibon, seems a really depressing attitude, sorry you feel that way.

I don't subscribe to fate - or rapture either for that matter. I'd not hang here at all if I thought it was beyond my ability to change anything.

I'm not sure we'll figure a smooth path down from the peak but I am sure we won't drop off the face of the earth, not all of us anyway.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby lulubel » Thu 18 Nov 2010, 06:38:41

Actually, I understand exactly where Ibon's coming from, and it was part of the reason for this post in the first place. I know deep down that there's probably nothing a very small number us can do to change what's going to happen (whatever that is, exactly). This might be the end for the human race. Even if we can survive, we might actually not bother trying when we can't have the easy life we're so used to now - although there are enough tribes living very basic lives to continue humanity's existence, if we in the developed world don't kill them off in our own attempts to survive.

I'm not a fatalist because no-one KNOWS exactly what's going to happen, but even those of us who have prepared to live a low energy lifestyle will probably not be left in peace to get on with it, hence the many discussions about ideal location. A few of us may, if we're lucky, which is why so many of us try, but the odds are stacked against us.

So that really does raise the question: Why do we bother? Why not just spend, consume and enjoy it while it lasts? The end result will probably be the same.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 18 Nov 2010, 06:55:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', '
')I don't agree. We can modify the future for the better ecologically and for our species. It will entail a lot of hardship, but that hardship will be magnified if we take your attitude. How do you expect others to do their best when you, who knows so much, is so desperate. You have to be hopeful, even if it is in vain.


My conclusions don't arise from attitude or desperation or some dark fatalism. If only that were the case!

If this was only about attitude, or others doing their best, then yes I agree with you. I don't understand why you have to be hopeful even it is in vain as you say. I see your last statement as a confirmation of my sentiment.

Is it a taboo to lay bear the truth that the momentum of overshoot trumps mitigation at this late stage? The problem doesn't go away if awareness rises in the heads of 7 billion humans. Even if that were remotely possible.

Let's just take one of a myriad of examples. The 4 industrial agriculture crops; palm oil, rubber, sugar cane and corn (for biodiesel, rubber and ethanol) Take the global acreage today of these 4 crops from Brazil through Africa through South East Asia. Do some simple research on the ongoing massive replacement of native habitats with vast monocultures of these 4 industrial crops that aren't even about growing food! Now imagine the 7 billion humans waking up tomorrow with religion about peak oil. Will this awareness change the need for latex gloves in hospitals? Change the underlying economic model. Change the basic consumption of energy and resources?

Education and enlightenment of peak oil will only increase the efficiency that humans exploit the remaining resources. Period. We don't seem to yet understand this. We don't want to understand this. Are we in denial?

Take China, a powerhouse and perhaps the country most in need of embracing the truth of peak oil since no other country has the challenge of managing stability of 1.5 billion inhabitants. They are on the path and will overtake probably all other countries in embracing green technologies not for ideological reasons but to maintain stability going forward. Where does this embracing of green technology benefit the remaining biodiversity on the planet if it is embraced solely to maximize the stability of this huge human population?

I have grave misgivings about the application of green technology. Will it in the long run help the biodiversity on the planet or will it make Kudzu Ape only more resilient?
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 18 Nov 2010, 07:13:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lulubel', '
')So that really does raise the question: Why do we bother? Why not just spend, consume and enjoy it while it lasts? The end result will probably be the same.


Your personal consumption habits will have little effect on the results. Psychologically however too much knowledge of peak oil can have devastating results on your sense of well being.

OK I said it. Could there be a greater TABOO?

It certainly isn't an excuse to go out and buy a Hummer!

In all seriousness Lulubel, here is why you need to bother. For the same reason the Chinese are going to embrace peak oil and green technology. It is to maximize the efficiency of how you use resources. Look at energy and resources as currency. In your personal life whatever you can do to lower consumption will make you more resilient, financially, economically and will put you slightly ahead of the curve of your fellow humans. That is the current cultural paradigm we live in and this cultural paradigm will not weaken but only become more resilient as resource constraints tighten their grip.

I wish it wasn't so but hope and wishes and attitude are irrelevant in the end game of overshoot.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby lulubel » Thu 18 Nov 2010, 07:35:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'I')n all seriousness Lulubel, here is why you need to bother. For the same reason the Chinese are going to embrace peak oil and green technology. It is to maximize the efficiency of how you use resources. Look at energy and resources as currency. In your personal life whatever you can do to lower consumption will make you more resilient, financially, economically and will put you slightly ahead of the curve of your fellow humans.


This, I agree with, which is why I am starting to make some changes.

But lowering consumption only helps you to survive if you're faced with resource scarcity. If you're caught in a war zone, rioting, or if someone comes along and shoots you to take what you've got, you're still just as dead as you would be if you hadn't made any preparations. If the transition is well managed, we might not have to face many of those things, but the chances are it won't be well managed, and even if it is, a lot of people still have to die before the population reaches sustainable levels.

All you can ever do is improve the odds against you, and buying 2 tickets has never made me win the lottery.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Pops » Thu 18 Nov 2010, 09:26:03

This is from my first post here almost 7 years ago - I quote this post so often I wonder if I've said anything these last 9,000 posts!
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')moving to the country]...has been our plan for years for early/semi retirement, its just earlier than expected. We don’t look at it as a “bunker” so much as a “school” to teach our kids and grandkids (and ourselves) how our parents and grandparents got by without cheap oil.


Looking at that paragraph now, I would change it to include life science and appropriate tech along with the grandparents practical knowledge, but no matter...

There is no doubt we will burn all the fossils and the population will decline if there is no better replacement found. But I also believe how our kids wind up depends on what we do now.

I guess I'm just an optimist.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 18 Nov 2010, 10:22:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', ' ')To get through the quasi-kubler-ross stages takes time and a lot of reflection and research.


I went and googled kubler ross to refresh my memory. Stage 5 is acceptance in the stages of dying.

I think accepting of death is not fatalistic or pessimistic. You no longer look for mitigation strategies to your terminal illness. This can be liberating.

And for that time we have left you can fall back on a piece of earth as Pop's reminds us and have it be this school or sacred place.

I recognize the futility of being a peak oil evangelist or trying to convert the non believers about overshoot.

There is a powerful meme that knowledge and belief can save you whether it is about science or about religion. It is jarring and goes against all our most cherished beliefs when we find ourselves confronted with a situation where neither knowledge or beliefs can mitigate the outcome. Somewhat like death the consequences of human overshoot are independent of either knowledge or belief. It will still happen.

It takes courage to accept that. That is stage 5 right?
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 18 Nov 2010, 11:32:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'T')his is from my first post here almost 7 years ago - I quote this post so often I wonder if I've said anything these last 9,000 posts!
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')moving to the country]...has been our plan for years for early/semi retirement, its just earlier than expected. We don’t look at it as a “bunker” so much as a “school” to teach our kids and grandkids (and ourselves) how our parents and grandparents got by without cheap oil.


Looking at that paragraph now, I would change it to include life science and appropriate tech along with the grandparents practical knowledge, but no matter...

There is no doubt we will burn all the fossils and the population will decline if there is no better replacement found. But I also believe how our kids wind up depends on what we do now.

I guess I'm just an optimist.


In the last 100 years the global human population went from a majority of rural agrarian inhabitants to a majority of urban dwellers. Urban environments create humans with little to no organic connection to natural ecosystems. There is no value placed on them. There are no regrets when something gets plundered that you didn't even know existed in the first place except as an abstraction on television. There is no sense of loss because there is no personal relationship to that which we destroyed. This is exactly why we will apply green technologies not toward some romantic back to the earth renaissance but rather toward the extension of the abstract materialistic impersonal modern human environments we have created.

This notion that peak oil will cause this awakening toward a more integrated organic existence with nature is frankly not consistent with the reality happening on a global scale as millions continue to flock to urban environments. we will optimize the efficiency of this transition as resource constraints unfold.

For every Ludi or Pops or Ibon reconnecting with their agrarian or animistic or pagan roots or celebrating biodiversity there are hundreds of thousands being raised with totally abstract relationships toward their place in the natural world.

Who here really thinks resource constraints will change this trend?

I see better execution and more efficiency. Not real paradigm shift.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Pops » Thu 18 Nov 2010, 12:44:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'F')or every Ludi or Pops or Ibon reconnecting with their agrarian or animistic or pagan roots or celebrating biodiversity there are hundreds of thousands being raised with totally abstract relationships toward their place in the natural world.

Who here really thinks resource constraints will change this trend?

I agree completely and can't see as it negates my optimism.

Like I said, we'll burn every fossil and cut every old tree and if we don't find a replacement fuel we'll eventually be many, many fewer. And nothing in our past would make me think we will experience some mass epiphany and suddenly become treehuggers and self-righteous deep ecologists, which in my mind is merely an artifact of oil-slave ownership anyway.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') see better execution and more efficiency. Not real paradigm shift.

The best that can happen is the cities become more efficient, I've never said everyone should be a sheepherder - just the opposite. Increasing energy costs and decreasing personal wealth will simply make consuming less the only alternative. We won't do it voluntarily, we won't do it uniformly, we'll whine and tea party and have union strikes all the way.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Pops » Thu 18 Nov 2010, 13:08:29

Oops, wrong button...

My point is that most of us reading here have a simple decision to make and at the core it has nothing to do with city or country, Pagan or Presbyterian; Ecologist or Singularitist and certainly not right wing or righter wing...

It's the choice between adapting at the personal level or not.

No big quasi religious theories required, just whether or not you think things will simply flow along at the status quo - and if not, whether you want to have a paddle in the water or just be carried along with the current.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 18 Nov 2010, 13:21:41

Oddly enough my optimism returned when first I accepted the futility of trying to bring about change and second when I actually bought that property in Panama and immersed myself in being there and working on that land. I have no time or even interest any more in contemplating global human overshoot. There is simply too much beauty around me and too much work to be done.

But I don't pretend to represent a model toward transition. I am more an elitist who has the money to indulge myself in this project and the visitors who come are also representing a privileged slice of the human population with the wealth to have the disposable income to make it up there to go birdwatching and hike the trails.

In fact to some extent we all are elitists who have the luxury to play in the sandbox of permaculture, eco tourism or making maple syrup.

The incoming tide of human overshoot makes us all in a sense living fossils. We are not in any sense pioneers toward some transition.

Our paradigm is dying. I face this truth with humility and grace and I don't try to window dress this in any way.

It also just feels a lot more honest to accept this truth and find optimism within this truth than trying to justify and frame what I am doing as some transition toward a more sustainable future.
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Re: Still not sure what I'm doing here

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 18 Nov 2010, 13:29:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '
')No big quasi religious theories required, just whether or not you think things will simply flow along at the status quo - and if not, whether you want to have a paddle in the water or just be carried along with the current.


I agree with this. I also accept that I am in a small back eddy of the main current of the status quo over which I have an insignificant influence.
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