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Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby Sixstrings » Thu 11 Nov 2010, 21:58:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'T')he problem with permaculture, which I agree with SixStrings on, is that it does not operate at a human timescale. It has a slow ramp-up speed on its theoretical yields. A multi-level food forest with a canopy species like chestnuts is a multi-decade investment towards maturity. Over the same timescale I'm sure you could grow far more calories in annuals.


Good job Mos, you put my thoughts into words better than I can. That's what I'm talking about.. if folks are hungry and need food NOW before winter comes then you can't screw around with a "multi-level food forest." You need crops in the ground. In straight lines, packed in close, and grow as much as you can. That's how you survive the next winter, by planning to grow a LOT MORE than you need.

When folks started growing things so many thousands of years ago, they already lived in a "food forest." The entire point of agriculture is to grow MORE than you find around you naturally.

And another thing.. "food forests" take up a lot more land. That's extra land you have to own for starters, and extra land you have to defend.
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby Umber » Thu 11 Nov 2010, 22:10:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I') have seriously thought about getting a bow, but they are quite expensive and as I understand take a good deal of strength. I'm kind of a feeble middle-aged lady. :oops:


Even if you are of less than average strength a bow can be found that you can draw easily. Children shoot bows, too, ya know. :) I've made plenty of "bows" in my childhood. None were fancy or even remotely professsional but all would cast an arrow well enough to take small game. Bows can be bought second hand if you're concerned with expense. Or you could use an atlatl, a throwing stick or a slingshot. A good slingshot can be very deadly for small game. Prey can also be taken with snares and nets although these can be a danger to domestic pets.

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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby careinke » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 03:09:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '
')
In regard to calories produced versus taste, this is an issue I'm trying to deal with in my own permaculture garden. I've recently change to the "paleo diet" to lose weight http://www.nerdheaven.dk/~jevk/paleo_intro.php#menus and also because it is a diet I'm more likely to be able to grow than the normal civilized diet, as grains don't grow all that well in my climate. The grains folks grow here are oats and sorghum. I like oats ok but I've not eaten sorghum and not many people in our Western society do. I think it's more common in Africa. But both of them take a lot of space. I'm growing a lot of root crops which are the primary calorie crops in the "One Circle" Biointensive diet, but I hope to get most of my calories from meat. We'll see how that works out. Ideally I'd hunt the meat but having mental illness I don't think I should handle firearms and so far my husband isn't into hunting. :cry: I will be raising chickens for eggs and meat. But probably not producing all of my meat on my own place - I've contracted with my sister to get rabbit meat from her. I used to be mostly vegetarian but have recently become convinced that's not necessarily the most healthy diet. So far I have lost weight on the paleo diet which is important because I have congenital high blood pressure and anything I can do to keep it down is beneficial.


Good thread Ludi. I use lots of different gardening/Horticulture/permaculture methods, but now permaculture design concepts seem to guide all of my new projects. I think the most important aspect of permaculture is it has taught me to look at things in a more holistic light. I love the idea of having multiple uses for everything.

I just started reading a new book by Carol Deppe, Ccalled "The resilient Gardener/Food Production and Self-Reliance in Uncertain Times." She is Celiac (Like my wife) so can not eat grains with Gluten (Like wheat). So the book has special interest to me.

She is Peak Oil, Climate Change, Permaculture, and Economically aware. Anyway, her five primary crops are Potatoes, Corn, Beans, Squash, and Eggs. I am only on chapter four, but I may be rethinking my annual beds.

Here is the amazon link so you can take a peak. I think it may help in your quest or at least give you one more tool to try out.

http://www.amazon.com/Resilient-Gardener-Production-Self-Reliance-Uncertain/dp/160358031X/ref=ntt_at_ep_dpt_1
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 05:13:29

Is permaculture physically possible as the major food production system with a planetary population (apparently) rapidly headed towards, say, 9 billion real soon now?

Reading through the main thrust of these interesting posts, I get the sense this is fundamentally an "available resources" issue, so I just wondered.

If we could go back to a global population of perhaps 2 or 3 billion, it would seem to solve a LOT of problems, or at least make them FAR more manageable.

I suppose that will only happen if/when nature forces the issue on us...
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 10:55:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', 'I')s permaculture physically possible as the major food production system with a planetary population (apparently) rapidly headed towards, say, 9 billion real soon now?


If you are only interested in keeping people alive, then endorse paving over the planet and eating Soylent Green and be done with it.
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby davep » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 12:14:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'T')he problem with permaculture, which I agree with SixStrings on, is that it does not operate at a human timescale. It has a slow ramp-up speed on its theoretical yields. A multi-level food forest with a canopy species like chestnuts is a multi-decade investment towards maturity. Over the same timescale I'm sure you could grow far more calories in annuals.


Good job Mos, you put my thoughts into words better than I can. That's what I'm talking about.. if folks are hungry and need food NOW before winter comes then you can't screw around with a "multi-level food forest." You need crops in the ground. In straight lines, packed in close, and grow as much as you can. That's how you survive the next winter, by planning to grow a LOT MORE than you need.

When folks started growing things so many thousands of years ago, they already lived in a "food forest." The entire point of agriculture is to grow MORE than you find around you naturally.

And another thing.. "food forests" take up a lot more land. That's extra land you have to own for starters, and extra land you have to defend.


One of the major elements of intensive permaculture forest gardening (or agroforestry) is that you interplant the future chestnuts/walnuts with quicker maturing perennials and annuals if you need a decent harvest from the get go.

Also, yields of walnuts can easily reach five tonnes per hectare after fifteen years, so I'm not sure where the 'takes up a lot more land' argument comes from. Given the high oil content, this is calorifically equivalent to better annual crops.
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 12:40:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'O')ne of the major elements of intensive permaculture forest gardening (or agroforestry) is that you interplant the future chestnuts/walnuts with quicker maturing perennials and annuals if you need a decent harvest from the get go.

Also, yields of walnuts can easily reach five tonnes per hectare after fifteen years, so I'm not sure where the 'takes up a lot more land' argument comes from. Given the high oil content, this is calorifically equivalent to better annual crops.



Yeah, there's no reason you can't have your corn and potatoes for a few years while your food forest matures. In fact, you'd better be growing some calorie crops while your nut trees get to bearing age.

This thread is kind of dumb with these strawmen like "you'll starve because you can't grow corn and beans while your food forest matures! 8O 8O 8O " C'mon, guys, you're smarter than that. Sixstrings, maybe you'd better do a little more food gardening before you shoot your mouth off about permaculturists starving people. Mos, you know ALL methods of gardening have "a slow ramp-up speed on its theoretical yields" unless you're one of those lucky folks who has a green thumb and gets 10 pounds of potatoes per square foot his first year! :lol:

But really, guys, maybe learn a little bit more about permaculture before bitching about it. Or at least make legitimate complaints like "not enough people are practicing permaculture for it to make any difference." But then I'd probably ask you why you aren't practicing permaculture! :P

Maybe read a book about permaculture or something one of these days, folks, huh? :roll:
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby davep » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 12:52:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
')Think about it.. people have been growing food THE SAME WAY for what, 10,000 years? Humanity has learned that there's safety in maximum quantity.. that means big farms with rows of densely pack veggies, not a "garden of eden" outside everyone's house.


Actually the trend to ever bigger farms is only about sixty years old, with the advent of the 'Green Revolution'. And techniques such as biointensive have greater yields per unit area than current agricultural practice.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'P')ermaculture is a NEW idea (post 1960 I'd guess). It's going against the grain of thousands of years of human experience.


Permaculture is more about design than prescribing certain methods of agriculture. But the fundamentals of the original permaculture were forest gardening, that has been used widely around the world in one form or another.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'S')ee that's why I don't get.. all this "principles" stuff and "community" it's all ideological.. making sure your community has enough food so folks don't starve is serious business. Agriculture is a science, not a philosophy.


A science? It seems more to be doing what you are told to maximise the profits of the big ag companies while you, the farmer, get more indebted each year. It's not science, it's the application of corporate interests for their own interests.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'M')y main point here is that if everything breaks down and there's a whole town that has to get fed, you can't screw around with perfect gardens -- history has shown the best way is to plan for MAXIMUM produce and that means max density.


Again, if you want maximum density, read up on biointensive gardening.
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby davep » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 12:56:43

And in a crisis, it is not maximum density, but maximum resilience, that counts. If you find you no longer have access to nitrate fertiliser etc, you have no resilience if you depend on it.

Ensuring all fertiliser comes from on-farm sources helps create that resiliency, as does ensuring that pest predators are allowed to thrive (in the absence of pesticides).
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 13:01:14

Call me the grumpy permaculturist! :lol:

Some books to read:

Beginner's guide to permaculture: "Gaia's Garden" (puke title :badgrin: ) by Toby Hemenway

Big fat expensive book with too much about the tropics: "Permaculture: a designer's manual" by Bill Mollison

Growing food in a small space (Biointensive): "How to Grow More Vegetables" by John Jeavons

These books might be available online at http://www.scribd.com/
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 13:07:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
')Think about it.. people have been growing food THE SAME WAY for what, 10,000 years? Humanity has learned that there's safety in maximum quantity.. that means big farms with rows of densely pack veggies, not a "garden of eden" outside everyone's house.


Did you even watch the video? :roll:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'P')ermaculture is a NEW idea (post 1960 I'd guess). It's going against the grain of thousands of years of human experience.


No, it isn't. It is based on many traditional forms of food-growing.

"Permaculture as a design system contains nothing new. It arranges what was always there in a different way, so that it works to conserve energy or to generate more energy than it consumes." Chapter 1, "Permaculture: a designers manual" by Bill Mollison

:roll:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'S')ee that's why I don't get.. all this "principles" stuff and "community" it's all ideological.. making sure your community has enough food so folks don't starve is serious business. Agriculture is a science, not a philosophy.


Permaculture is based on the sciences of anthropology, geology, biology, hydrology, etc. Another strawman argument. :roll:
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby davep » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 13:09:02

A couple more are Edible Forest Gardens by David Jacke, The Earthcare Manual by Patrick Whitefield and The Woodland Way by Ben Law. All three are oriented towards a temperate climate.
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby davep » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 13:11:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'P')ermaculture is based on the sciences of anthropology, geology, biology, hydrology, etc. Another strawman argument. :roll:


Quite. Modern agriculture has debased farming as a profession, leaving no room for intelligent and appropriate use of local land.
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 14:20:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', 'I')s permaculture physically possible as the major food production system with a planetary population (apparently) rapidly headed towards, say, 9 billion real soon now?


If you are only interested in keeping people alive, then endorse paving over the planet and eating Soylent Green and be done with it.


Unless I missed something, I didn't advocate anything. And I didn't imply anybody is wrong or stupid or has any kind of agenda.

I asked a simple question, based on the apparent undercurrent of much of the disagreement in the posts on this thread.

Why the generally hostile response? How does that serve anyone? (You are, IMO, generally a voice of reason on this site MOS). I admit it -- I'm ignorant about the theory and real world resource details about permaculture. I don't have time in the short term to read books on it. So I asked a question.

Is that so unreasonable?
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 15:56:38

If we're in population overshoot, we've got a fork on the road. Our objective is either to keep everybody alive by any means necessary, even if it means stripping the planet to the bone like a swarm of locusts, OR we can try to envision a way of life that preserves and/or restores ecosystems.

"Our situation" is not "how to feed 9 billion people". "Our situation" is how do we inhabit this earth without destroying it in the process. Since few experts on the subject believe there is any conceivable way for 9 billion people to live sustainably, then ultimately the goal should not be to feed 9 billion people, not unless we all magically decide to have fewer kids from then onward and descend from that precipice before we push every other species on the planet to extinction.

Does that mean I'm looking forward to or in any way endorsing die-off? No. What I'm saying is that if we don't start protecting and restoring ecosystems, anything we pursue in the short-term will fail and we'll be in even worse shape. We basically have to TERRAFORM the planet back to some crude analog of what used to be there before, but skewed towards species that can support us directly.

Do I think we'll do that? No. Even if we acknowledged the benefits, we don't have the patience for that sort of long-term plan, and we certainly won't when food starts to get scarce. We'll do "what works" without thinking beyond our grumbling stomachs, and face the long-term consequences.

But when it comes down to the local or individual level, I know what I'm going to focus on.

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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby davep » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 16:05:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '&')quot;Our situation" is not "how to feed 9 billion people". "Our situation" is how to we inhabit this earth without destroying it in the process. Since few experts on the subject believe there is any conceivable way for 9 billion people to live sustainably, then ultimately the goal should not be to feed 9 billion people, not unless we all magically decide to have fewer kids from then onward and descend from that precipice before we push every other species on the planet to extinction.


Quite. We need to push for sustainable agriculture anyway, whether it will feed 9 billion or not. Because soon sustainable agriculture is all we will have.

But there is hope. We have spent thousands of years improving annuals. We need to start doing the same thing with perennials, and ensure we maintain the biodiversity of annuals for non-chemical farming.

The goal is to ensure future generations survive with a sustainable system. I don't know whether it will work or not in the short term, but I'm going to try. If we don't, who will? It will work in the longer term, but at what cost if we don't start showing the way while we can still do so relatively comfortably?
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby Pops » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 16:56:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', 'I')s that so unreasonable?

Apparently.
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 17:20:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '&')quot;Our situation" is not "how to feed 9 billion people". "Our situation" is how to we inhabit this earth without destroying it in the process. Since few experts on the subject believe there is any conceivable way for 9 billion people to live sustainably, then ultimately the goal should not be to feed 9 billion people, not unless we all magically decide to have fewer kids from then onward and descend from that precipice before we push every other species on the planet to extinction.


Quite. We need to push for sustainable agriculture anyway, whether it will feed 9 billion or not. Because soon sustainable agriculture is all we will have.


Personally I'm not entirely convinced we couldn't sustain a large population (even as large as our current one) if we were all using permaculture or other methods which preserve or increase the biota of arable land, and restore all watersheds, etc. But I'm a cock-eyed optimist. What I'm pretty darn sure of is we aren't doing it now and it doesn't look like we're planning to start anytime soon. But it seems like "permaculture could never feed everyone!" is an odd criticism when the present system isn't feeding everyone (1 billion are chronically hungry). Seems like an unfair standard to hold permaculture to. Of course I'm not a big proponent of more people. Seems like we have plenty of people and I'm not sure there's really any benefit in having more than 7 billion or so. :?:
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby aldente » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 18:49:07

The discussion of population control is pretty much a nuisence since uncontrollable in the first place. The fact that the Chinese oppose such a statement with a one child policy since nearly 30 years is remarkable, so - for all we know- they have a point.

"Modern" forms of politics here in Europe seem nothing but a play with hats on a Medieval market:
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Re: Overview of our situation and what we could do about it

Unread postby americandream » Fri 12 Nov 2010, 19:46:20

This is mere tinkering as long as we continue to personalise the usage of the earth's resources into personal title. All early societies prior to the advent of personal title practiced variants of communism which is precisely why their usage of resources were as distinguishable from ours as they are. We parcel off the earth's resources for personal gain and are taken aback at it's natural equilibrium, full spectrum exploitation. WTF!!

Overlaying this model of usage with sentimental tinkering, will, like all tinkering, result in commercial mutations of these superficial remedies and no real movement in a proper relationship with this one earth of ours, the finer nuances of that relationship aside.
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