[Daniel_Plainview]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'F')rom May 2010:

Cantarell Finally Slips Below 500 kbpd
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s you can see from the chart, Cantarell Crude Oil Production 2008 – 2010, Mexico’s single giant finally slipped below 500 thousand barrels per day of production in May, to 499,286 kbpd. It’s still pretty astonishing to reflect that just two years ago, Cantarell was still producing a million barrels per day. The Mexican government, like the average layperson, continues to trade publicly in the idea that some new discovery could occur in Mexico that would alter the country’s production decline. But unlike the layperson, PEMEX knows better. (Indeed, insider reports on PEMEX indicate they’ve known for years).

[Mesuge]

The theoretical groundwork for 2000s was laid down in mid 1990s, all these now famous euroasia bound blitzkrieg "predicitions", efectivelly state policy doctrine stipulations published by Brezinski and neocons. All went alive on election fraud 2000, 9/11 2001, invasions into Iraq, Afghanistan and the former CCCP-stans, upgrade of mil./naval installations in the gulf, Africacom command center, and what have you,..

However, if you see the brutal plot for Cantarell, it's beyond doubt, this was not about the empire survival, or the simplistic opportunity looting the treasury blind. Most likely the primary motive of all this was rather based on individual, very selected group survival panic mode mentality. They happened to have all the means of control at hand to easily pull it off, lets call it Operation: My genepool for ever, bitchez. Or effectively, secured kingdoms for my offsprings at least for a couple of next centuries. Who would resist?

The sight of shock from the speed of light societal transition into gloves off neofeudal world order, applicable for most of the 7bln. planet inhabitants will be something to remember. And it's just around the corner.

[TheDude]

Monthly updates for PEMEX may be had at SIE :: Sistema de Información Energética. This is Spanish only, follow these steps:

>Información Estadística
>HIDROCARBUROS
>Petróleo crudo
>Producci¥n de petr¥leo crudo en campos seleccionados
="Production of petrleo crude in selected fields"

Cantarell won't crash to zero, don't be ridiculous. Last year's decline was only 131 kb/d YOY, versus 400-450 previously. Big fields in the twilight of their production still produce some tens of thousands of barrels. PEMEX's very rash EOR program has forced the field through a wide swath of its decline, after which production is declining at a gentler rate. Mexico could very well be a net importer soon, though.

[cualcrees]

Here´s another link from Pemex: (PDF document)

As of October, Cantarell is producing 471kb/d

http://www1.pep.pemex.com/Reportes/List ... %20PEP.pdf

[Daniel_Plainview]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cualcrees', 'A')s of October, Cantarell is producing 471kb/d

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'a')nd extrapolating its apparently linear decline, it will be around zero by the end of 2010.

[dolanbaker]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'a')nd extrapolating its apparently linear decline, it will be around zero by the end of 2010.

[Cid_Yama]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n many older oil fields, companies inject gas to keep the pressure in the wells high and the oil flowing. In the case of Cantarell, Mexico injected vast quantities of nitrogen in the past few years. But the gas can only do so much, and using it means the decline in production can be sudden and sharp. In the case of Cantarell, which lies in the shallow waters of the Gulf, experts say that seawater is fast invading the wells.

[DoomersUnite]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', '
')C'mon folks. This is PeakOil.com. The Death of Cantarell should be big news. Even if they are trying to hide it, WE should know.

[Newfie]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mesuge', ' ')Operation: My genepool for ever, bitchez. Or effectively, secured kingdoms for my offsprings at least for a couple of next centuries. Who would resist?

[Cid_Yama]

Cantarell went from 2.1 million barrels a day in 2003 to 400 thousand barrels a day in in October 2010.

That 1.7 million barrels a day that has been lost used to go to the US. That is a permanent loss. Mexico's next biggest field is only producing 700,000 barrels a day.

From March 2009:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')emex continues to shut in wells at Cantarell that produce too much natural gas or water. As the oil layer of the reservoir recedes after decades of exploitation, wells higher up start to pump natural gas, while wells lower down extract more water.

Pemex has invested in infrastructure to separate the gas and water from the oil, but it is still insufficient.

[Newfie]

A person thrives on 2,000 calories per day.

At 500 calories per day it is only time before they are dead.

Can you see the connection????

[Newfie]

A person thrives on 2,000 calories per day.

At 500 calories per day it is only time before they are dead.

Can you see the connection????

Arguing that Cantarell is not dead because it is still producing something is a pedantic argument and not productive to understanding systems.

We can crowd around the sick bed until the last gasp is drawn and the "Time of Death" duly noted in the medical log............or we can see the inevitable and take appropriate action. But to wail "He's not dead yet, don't bury him while still alive." is an emotional action of denial.

While I feel sorry for your pending loss, and truly feel your pain, you need to think to the future and plan for when you have to do without.

Good luck.

[Daniel_Plainview]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'A') person thrives on 2,000 calories per day.

At 500 calories per day it is only time before they are dead.

Can you see the connection????

Arguing that Cantarell is not dead because it is still producing something is a pedantic argument and not productive to understanding systems.

We can crowd around the sick bed until the last gasp is drawn and the "Time of Death" duly noted in the medical log............or we can see the inevitable and take appropriate action. But to wail "He's not dead yet, don't bury him while still alive." is an emotional action of denial.

While I feel sorry for your pending loss, and truly feel your pain, you need to think to the future and plan for when you have to do without.

Good luck.

[DoomersUnite]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'A') person thrives on 2,000 calories per day.

At 500 calories per day it is only time before they are dead.

Can you see the connection????

[Cid_Yama]

There is no burger king to switch to. Discovery peaked in the 1960's. There are no supergiants available to replace the ones that are exhausted.

That is the point.

Oil is a finite resource and we've used up most of it.

You are no different than climate change deniers who won't believe global warming is real until they personally suffer on account of it.

And just like climate change, there is nothing to be done except mitigation.

Adaptation to an oil free world will be a lot easier while there is still oil. If you wait until it's gone, you have collapse instead of mitigation.

Civilization is in it's last decade or so. Between oil depletion, climate change, and the degradation of of the permafrost cap on the East Siberian Arctic Shelf, few, if any, will come out the other side.

[Mesuge]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DoomersUnite', 'W')hen McDonalds is removed from the caloric intake, they switch to Burger King, and continue to thrive at a caloric intake of 2000/day. Total energy might be a zero sum game, oil consumption most certainly is not.

[mos6507]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')GovMotors Volt funeral speech?

[Lore]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')GovMotors Volt funeral speech?

[gollum]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')GovMotors Volt funeral speech?