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THE Unemployment Thread pt 2 (merged)

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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Fiddlerdave » Mon 25 Oct 2010, 03:34:44

Sadly, a number of the people with no savings had LOTS of savings when their jobs ended - but then they decided it was time to start their own business. :lol:

Having been in my own businesses since the age of 9, I can say from experience starting a business pretty much guarantees you will be left with no savings. On the average, you need a job to have the money to have your own business. A good job - unemployment is not enough.

After you open and fail with two or three companies, you start to get the idea of what might make a good business. Of course, then you need luck, and a lack of large businesses working hard to whack you down.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Pops » Mon 25 Oct 2010, 14:26:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'A')s I've always said, all that waste in the system is someone's job, and thus ultimately my job.

Heh, I knew a plumber once who's business card read:

It may be shit to you but it's my bread and butter.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Cid_Yama » Mon 25 Oct 2010, 14:54:35

All those 40 and 50 yr olds had been fed the nonsense about unending growth, while wages stagnated since the 1970's. They were sold a package. They expected to work for the same employer all their life, as my generation had done.

Instead, employers betrayed them, cut them loose and hired younger workers who would work for less, and before they would have to pay them the pensions they had been promised.

Then, all the protections of their retirement investments were lifted so that Wall St would be free to fleece them. First glass-steagall, then the tick rule. Also, new means of conning them out of the equity in their homes were allowed to exist without regulation.

The last decade was spent feeding on this generation, who had trusted and believed in the nonsense, which just made them easy marks.

Where did their savings go? Where did their retirement go? Right into the pockets of Wall St.

Don't be blaming them. They actually believed in the Republican nonsense, and paid the price.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby midnight-gamer » Mon 25 Oct 2010, 15:07:04

I was in Boston this summer and the number of empty high rise office buildings really made a impression. A number of investment firms and what looked like a whole city block, that belonged to some bio-tech company. A man in a dirty,ragged business suit was walking around, attempting to gain entry into some to the closed buildings. I wish I had gotten a picture. So many homeless now, more prevalent than I ever recall seeing.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Plantagenet » Mon 25 Oct 2010, 18:06:01

If you read a social history of the Great Depression in the 1930s it was the MIDDLE CLASS that got wiped out. Its the middle class that buys homes and then loses them...the middle class that has small businesses that go bankrupt...the middle class that has good jobs and then gets fired....its the middle class who gets sucked into stock market bubbles (1920s) and real estate bubbles (2000s) and then gets wiped out.

The impact on the middle class during this recession is in many ways a replay of the pain inflicted on the middle class during the 1930s depression.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Pretorian » Tue 26 Oct 2010, 12:08:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'A')ll those 40 and 50 yr olds had been fed the nonsense about unending growth, while wages stagnated since the 1970's. They were sold a package. They expected to work for the same employer all their life, as my generation had done.
Instead, employers betrayed them, cut them loose and hired younger workers who would work for less, and before they would have to pay them the pensions they had been promised.
Then, all the protections of their retirement investments were lifted so that Wall St would be free to fleece them. First glass-steagall, then the tick rule. Also, new means of conning them out of the equity in their homes were allowed to exist without regulation.
The last decade was spent feeding on this generation, who had trusted and believed in the nonsense, which just made them easy marks.


yeah, just like in the video-- just less than 2 years ago you were getting 70k a year to browse myspace , facebook and have chitchats with your fellow "workers" over a cup of coffee, and now you shovelling free organic bananas into your face. Aint life a bitch.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Tue 26 Oct 2010, 13:24:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'I')f we all saved and didn't spend, the economy would come down like a ton of bricks. As I've always said, all that waste in the system is someone's job, and thus ultimately my job. So I personally prefer that other people spend away.


This is a fair point. If everyone were "crazy savers" like me, who saved literally half of their gross income during their most productive years, I suppose the economy would implode - at least as it is structured now.

However, it seems to me like some sort of balance would be a very good thing. I recall in the 70's while I was growing up that the gas lines and the inflation and the vietnam war were all scary things. If memory serves, the typical American savings rate was roughly 10% back then -- so people did have some real savings, some real equity in their homes, and some ROOM to retrench when the economy got sick (as it will from time to time, whoever you may care to blame for political points).

I needed to go to a local mall the first time in several years last week. Geez. The full parking lot and the endless spending there on trivialities by the masses sure reminded me of why the current savings rate isn't CLOSE to 10% -- even with the warning signals flashing all around us (and all over the globe). I'm not talking about people buying anything REMOTELY resembling things they NEED -- that's for sure.

So no matter how much folks like Cid_Yama blame wall street and the GOP -- if these folks were putting their 10ish% ROUTINELY into even a savings account, or even better a diversified set of low cost mutual funds (include foreign and metals and oil for dollar hedges if worried about inflation) -- they would have SOMETHING meaningful in savings down the road if they lose a job, etc.

I doubt that many (legal) working class people, given the breaks inherent in the federal income tax system like earned income credits for example, couldn't put SOMETHING away in savings over time -- given self discipline and some planning. But no -- better to blame fate, corporations, the Chinese, and (of course) the GOP. After all, look how well history has shown THAT works. :roll:
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 26 Oct 2010, 13:41:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '
')This is a fair point. If everyone were "crazy savers" like me, who saved literally half of their gross income during their most productive years, I suppose the economy would implode - at least as it is structured now.



Seems like that would only happen if you were stuffing it in your mattress. If you put the savings in a bank, etc, isn't it available for the bank to loan to folks who want to start businesses, etc?

:?:

In my observation, it just doesn't matter how much money some people make - they somehow expand their spending to swallow up any amount they earn. Living within or below one's means just hasn't been the thing to do in our society in recent decades. :cry:
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Pretorian » Tue 26 Oct 2010, 13:55:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'I')f we all saved and didn't spend, the economy would come down like a ton of bricks.


only if that economy is a marriage of luxury and waste (it is a case for US though)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'A')s I've always said, all that waste in the system is someone's job, and thus ultimately my job.

Not if you are doing something of real value.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'S')o I personally prefer that other people spend away.

their spending is not just your job, its mercury in your fish and pesticides in your water alsoamong many other things. Having a job is great, come back here when your child will get cancer or at least autism. Their spending now is your future progeny dying of hunger in droves. Aint nothing is free dude.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Tue 26 Oct 2010, 14:52:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', ' ')If you put the savings in a bank, etc, isn't it available for the bank to loan to folks who want to start businesses, etc?

:?:


Well Ludi, I think this is an excellent point. In my view, having savings available to folks who want to do something productive and (if they succeed) add growth to the economy would seem like a good thing. (When I pointed this out to friends in the 80's -- they said if everyone lived like me the economy would crash. And I thought dissaving was bad then...)

Unfortunately in an economy which is cited as about 70% consumer spending oriented, if everyone suddenly started saving significantly more of their earnings (say 5% more on average) this would put a big dent in the economy, at least short term. (Actually, wasn't this sort of sudden shift, motivated by fear, a part of what happened (on average) in the recent deep recession?)

Now, IMO, in the long term, that would still likely be a good thing, assuming it helped spur overall investment (as you implied it should, and I agree). Unfortunately almost all of us -- from US politicians to (many) US CEO's to most shoppers at the mall -- seem to have the planning horizon of a gnat (and I didn't mean to insult gnats).
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Outcast_Searcher » Tue 26 Oct 2010, 15:18:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'O')utcast_Searcher, there is nothing to save anymore.


Sorry, but I must strongly disagree. Is it tough to save? For many, yes. Does it require self discipline, planning -- in short, EFFORT? Definitely yes. Does it involve short term sacrifice? Abolutely yes.

And so, far too consumers are saving enough to come CLOSE to preparing to live a reasonably secure lifestyle in retirement. However, this does NOT imply there is "nothing" to save. Motivation is a huge component of this.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')
I think you are unreasonably dismissive of those shoppers you see at the mall. How do you know they can save anything? How do you know they are not buying necessities, socks and underware? The mall is the only place to shop. And you are also overly optimistic. No shopping, no American economy. It's what we do.


Sorry, but I must respectfully disagree on all counts here. First, I didn't just state this without observing anything. I was trudging around for a couple hours looking for a watch chain (and finding none -- apparently we should just buy new instead of fixing/maintaining anything that's perfectly good - sigh). In that time I observed a lot of what people are buying.

Examples: Expensive meals out. (I went and checked menu prices). Facials. Fancy Hairdos and makeup/makeovers. Fancy jewelry, clothes, shoes. Fancy toys, electronic gadgets. (Fancy implies far more expensive than practical alternatives). Now, where I physically shop almost all the time -- WalMart -- I would agree that a LOT of the shopping is for necessities or near enough that I wouldn't call that spending frivolous. And, with discount stores as a counterexample, NO, the mall is most certainly NOT the only place to shop.

As I mentioned above -- in the short term, I agree that less shopping hurts the economy. So do we all say "we're doomed" and race off the cliff toting as much useless consumer glitz as possible, or do we try to use a LITTLE of our brains to make sensible decisions?

If my believing decisions have consequences, and as far as shopping the vast majority of Americans have SOME control over those decisions -- then yes, I sit here completely guilty as charged. However, I think I'm correct on this point, AND I don't see how thinking we are capable of using our brains (a bit) should be overly optimistic.

Do you really think the masses are that stupid? Or depressed? Or delusional? Or have just given up? Or have they been taught unrealistic values/expectations (not entirely their fault, clearly), which leads to self-destructive financial behavior? IMO, it's the latter.

Shop too much now, risk suffering later. Maybe we should start teaching children values like that? Nah, never happen in modern America.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 26 Oct 2010, 15:36:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '
')Now, IMO, in the long term, that would still likely be a good thing, assuming it helped spur overall investment (as you implied it should, and I agree). Unfortunately almost all of us -- from US politicians to (many) US CEO's to most shoppers at the mall -- seem to have the planning horizon of a gnat (and I didn't mean to insult gnats).



Yep, it would be a good thing if there were encouragement for people to invest the money setting up businesses. I'm a big booster for small or even micro-businesses. Not a booster for big business or large corporations.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Plantagenet » Tue 26 Oct 2010, 15:45:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '.')...do we try to use a LITTLE of our brains to make sensible decisions?
Do you really think the masses are that stupid? Or depressed? Or delusional? Or have just given up? Or have they been taught unrealistic values/expectations (not entirely their fault, clearly), which leads to self-destructive financial behavior? IMO, it's the latter.


Yup.

The latest thing that Americans have been taught is that if you screw-up the government will come and bail you out.

Rather then trying to fix things, too many Americans are asking "Where is MY bailout"?
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby ian807 » Tue 26 Oct 2010, 18:21:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '
')I wonder how many years folks have to see this stuff going on before they wake up to reality and live far enough below their means to do some SERIOUS saving.

You're under the impression that there were always jobs out there with salaries that allowed saving. I'm 52, now earning a comfortable 6 figure salary. Up until 14 years ago, my top salary was $27K a year. There were no savings, especially if you had to have a car to get to work. The car ate up any extra you had, and oh, don't get sick or have dental problems. Very expensive.

Up until three years ago, I saw kids out of college getting $60K or more to start, with bonuses. In the financial arena, these salaries were *much* higher. This was relatively rate until the late 90s. You worked your way up, which meant less to save. That's a major reason some older people are in such bad shape. Salaries prior to the start of the dot.com boom were simply less. It was worse if you were in manufacturing. You watched your salary decrease after the 1970s as outsourcing, like a running sore, drained the wealth out of the American middle class.

I used to listen to these snake oil economic morons on late night talk shows (e.g. Tony Robbins) who wanted to sell their course tapes to suckers, tell me how I should have at least a year's salary in the bank. Hell, most of the people I knew then would have been lucky to have a month's salary in the bank. They weren't extravagant. They just had kids, and a car, and got sick occasionally. Their 40- to 60K salaries with both parents working, just wasn't enough to cover that and save anything. Wages haven't kept up with prices since the 70s. Who did they think they were kidding?

And through all of this, people have been subjected to media that told them they were losers if they didn't have the car, the house, the [fill in the blank]. Most people, frankly are stupid. They believed what the media was telling them. In a predatory sales environment, people succumbed.

I wouldn't judge too much until you're in your 60s, and have had kids, and gotten sick, and car trouble, and dental bills or emergency plumbing problems on the house, sometimes all in the same month. Things may look a bit different then.
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 26 Oct 2010, 20:48:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ian807', ' ')I'm 52, now earning a comfortable 6 figure salary. Up until 14 years ago, my top salary was $27K a year.There were no savings, especially if you had to have a car to get to work. The car ate up any extra you had, and oh, don't get sick or have dental problems. Very expensive.


Most people never earn a 6 figure salary. I never did, the closest my household got was about $90,000 one year. That one good year enabled us to buy our land, have a house built, and move to Texas from Los Angeles. 8O We wouldn't have been able to continue at that level, though, because I became seriously ill. Folks who never experience illness or injury are unusually lucky or blessed. But I think it might make them incapable of empathy. :cry:
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby Crazy_Dad » Wed 27 Oct 2010, 07:17:26

Well this is the face of offshoring jobs. Both in AU and the USA.

http://www.abc.net.au/iview/#/view/662441

Boycott apple. Who needs the retarded iWhak anyway?
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Re: 60 Minutes - Unemployment in America

Unread postby ian807 » Wed 27 Oct 2010, 11:04:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'M')ost people never earn a 6 figure salary. I never did, the closest my household got was about $90,000 one year. That one good year enabled us to buy our land, have a house built, and move to Texas from Los Angeles. 8O We wouldn't have been able to continue at that level, though, because I became seriously ill. Folks who never experience illness or injury are unusually lucky or blessed. But I think it might make them incapable of empathy. :cry:

Which is usually what happens as we age. I have investment properties and tenants and inevitably, the ones who just can't make it anymore are the ones who get sick themselves, or who have family who get sick. The timeframe from illness to eviction runs about 6 to 9 months. It makes want to puke every time I have to do it and makes me want to slap those dimwitted anti-healthcare folks silly.

My own salary came about through the miracles of dumb luck, a nose that never met a grindstone it didn't like and a knack for the software trade. Had I pursued my psychology degree to its logical conclusion, I'd be considerably poorer.
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Unemployment At 9.8%

Unread postby deMolay » Fri 03 Dec 2010, 18:38:56

Unemployment has been above 9% since May of 2009 almost 18 months maybe a new record. Are you better off under Obama's Rule? http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142 ... TopStories
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