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Where did the Boomers go wrong?

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Cid_Yama » Mon 04 Oct 2010, 23:08:45

No, The Social Security Trust Fund is an independent entity from the government. You might as well argue that the Chinese Sovereign Fund is empty because they invested in US securities, and moan that you need to raise the money to pay them the interest.

I don't think they would stand for you arguing they needed to be eliminated because the US owed them money.

I hope that through you, people are getting a chance to see just exactly what the Republicans are all about. Evil, pure Evil.
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Plantagenet » Tue 05 Oct 2010, 01:37:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'T')he Social Security Trust Fund is an independent entity from the government.


I can't tell if you are ignorant, lying, or both. :!:

OF COURSE the entire social security program is part of the government.

The SS tax is set by Congress, SS withholding tax is collected by the government, and social security benefits are set by the government.

There is absolutely nothing "independent" about any of it. :roll:
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Tyler_JC » Tue 05 Oct 2010, 02:45:18

The SS program itself may be perfectly solvent, but we're still in trouble if the rest of the federal government is drowning in red ink.

As long as the program is still controlled by Congress, the decision as to whether to pay out full, scheduled benefits still lies in their hands. They cannot retroactively take money away from anyone but they are certainly able to change future payments, the Supreme Court has said this several times.

I personally believe that Congress will make good on its obligations to retirees for as long as possible. But that doesn't mean that the rest of the budget won't be squeezed to pay for it. Social Security is currently the largest single item in the entire federal budget at $670 billion. This is actually a little bit larger than the entire Dept. of Defense, including the Iraq/Afghan wars. But of course, if we're going to spend money, we're better off supporting poor old Americans than bombing foreigners.

The real question over Social Security isn't whether or not the government will pay out the benefits. The question is what happens to the rest of the budget when we do pay out these benefits.

Social Security and Medicare cost nearly 48% of federal revenue in 2010. Add in the DoD and interest on the debt and you're up to 82% of federal revenue. That doesn't leave a whole lot of room for the rest of it.

Granted, 2010 is a pretty lousy year for tax receipts but it still says a lot about a country when its elderly support systems absorb such a large share of government revenue. When it comes time to slash the budget, Congress will cut infrastructure and education spending before touching Social Security. We'll be stealing from the future to pay for the past. And for that, my generation will (rightly or wrongly) blame the Baby Boomers.
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Outcast_Searcher » Tue 05 Oct 2010, 04:33:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')Granted, 2010 is a pretty lousy year for tax receipts but it still says a lot about a country when its elderly support systems absorb such a large share of government revenue. When it comes time to slash the budget, Congress will cut infrastructure and education spending before touching Social Security. We'll be stealing from the future to pay for the past. And for that, my generation will (rightly or wrongly) blame the Baby Boomers.


Is there any first world country which isn't paying a huge proportion of its government revenue as benefits for the elderly (medical, retirement, etc)?

Within 30 years given current demographic trends, won't all major economic powers including China be "drowning in the expenses of caring for old people" unless they just basically cut them off?

Yes, the US has a big problem with its promised obligations to the elderly. But lets not delude ourselves into thinking this is in any way unique, or even unusual.

If peak oil, and resource constraints in general, are for real -- and not mitigated easily by technology as our cornie members assume -- I strongly suspect our society will be forced to make the elderly live with MUCH smaller benefits -- perhaps much sooner than many of us contemplate.

(As for me, when I get to the point I need to go into a nursing home for good -- I'd just like the right to be given good anesthesia, and then killed as quickly and painlessly (and at a reasonable cost) as possible.

I don't WANT to suffer a lot in the late stages of my life, and I don't WANT to be a burden to society either. It's REALLY sick to me that we give our pets this choice, but due to religous idiocy, we don't give people this choice. (Note that I'm saying personal CHOICE here).

It's hugely ironic that IMO, financial pressures will cause society to make this choice available as it should, but religion, the supposed philosophy of compassion -- prevents it today and will fight this choice all the way.)
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby IslandCrow » Tue 05 Oct 2010, 05:46:14

Outcaste. I hear what you are saying. Maybe you should take a look at what the hospice movement is doing, and at least have a living will (or 'advance directive') dictating how much (or little) medical intervention you want. I know this falls short of some of what you would like, but it does not go to the medical extreme either.

I also understand your rant about the religious aspect, but it is interesting that I first learned of the hospice movement from some Christian nurses who were involved in it (= this was in USA on a visit our family made).

In general I think we will follow the hospice type care in a few years when my wife's condition requires it (so this is a topic close to my heart, and not just an intellectual exercise).
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby deMolay » Tue 05 Oct 2010, 08:54:13

The Gen Y's will pull the plug on the Boomers. The back to the future scenario promised by all and sundry politicians will never happen. As the Boomers limp toward the sunset, they have quit spending. Until the dust from that settles their will be no economic wonder drug cure for the economy. Peak Oil, Peak Food, Peak Water, Peak Climate, Peak Population. A Peek at the Peak of the Peak's....Peak Sh*t is happening.
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Cid_Yama » Tue 05 Oct 2010, 13:01:58

Social Security Now Independent Agency
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'U')sing Franklin D. Roosevelt's pen, President Clinton today signed into law a bill to make the Social Security Administration an independent agency.

"We are strengthening those things which Social Security ought to do and taking precautions to make sure it does not do things which it ought not to do," Mr. Clinton said.

The House and Senate had voted unanimously for the legislation separating the $325 billion program from the Department of Health and Human Services. The intent of the law is to shield the agency, created in 1935, from political manipulation.

link

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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Plantagenet » Tue 05 Oct 2010, 15:59:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'S')ocial Security Now Independent Agency...

President Clinton today signed into law a bill to make the Social Security Administration an independent agency... legislation separating the $325 billion program from the Department of Health and Human Services.


Please Cid. Please don't be this stupid. Surely you aren't really suggesting think taking the Social Security Administration out of HHS but leaving it in the government made it in any way "independent" of the government. :roll:
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Pops » Tue 05 Oct 2010, 16:20:27

I thought this little budget gizmo was pretty cool, fed/state/local budgets from 1792 to 2020

Image
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Newfie » Wed 06 Oct 2010, 08:20:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'I') thought this little budget gizmo was pretty cool, fed/state/local budgets from 1792 to 2020

Image


That's good Pops. I especially like the one plotting the "balance."

But the pension one is pretty darn good too. And the Boomers are just starting to draw down.
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Newfie » Wed 06 Oct 2010, 08:30:22

BTW, what is PROTECTION????

We're paying protection money?? To Fiedel?
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Serial_Worrier » Wed 06 Oct 2010, 14:22:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'T')o keep your grimey paws off.


Ad hom deleted by Eastbay. Please play nicely.
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Tyler_JC » Wed 06 Oct 2010, 16:42:48

That pensions chart, does it include Social Security? Is it indexed to inflation?
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Re: Where did the Boomers go wrong?

Postby Pops » Wed 06 Oct 2010, 17:34:09

All pensions the government pays I guess - I wasn't making a point, I just picked a chart for illustration, lots of stuff at the link.
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