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Main Doomer Fallacy

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Xenophobe » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 12:38:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I')'m not convinced the solutions to our problems are "technological." I often think they may be attitudinal - the primary solution to most of our problems (the "super-value concept") might be a recognition of the limits of the planet on which we live, a recognition which is not present in our culture, and is in fact blasphemy to the core ideas of our culture.


I don't know about that. Starting in the 60's with groups which may be termed "hippys", people were discussing ideas very close to the core concept that mankind needs to live another way to be in harmony with his environment. From those beginnings we got things like the clean air and water acts and the EPA.

Calling it blasphemy ignores movements like the Transition Town, religions like the Amish or social movements which advocate exactly the idea you just mentioned. Certainly they may not be the majority position, but they aren't blasphemy.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby efarmer » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 13:13:05

Not sure about technology, but I am convinced that the correct tattoo if applied to enough people, will overcome the resource limits, gorging kudzu ape mentality,bullshit cover story mineral wars, and lead to the desperately required uplifting program material on television and within a short span, save humanity. Don't just sit there idly reading this, get yourself down to the tattoo joint and start the process of saving humanity.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Ludi » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 13:59:01

Pstarr, I don't entirely agree. If our attitudes have changed as a culture we would not be inhibited by advertising or media. If our attitudes as a society have changed we would be immune to those messages, they would be repulsive, not attractive.

I understand the difficult of wresting control from BAU/TPTB, however, if our attitudes have indeed changed, we would be in the process of obtaining that control (which we might indeed be as Xenophobe points out with Transition Towns, etc).

I guess I'm not doomy enough for Newfie, but too doomy for Xenophobe. :)
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Narz » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 15:04:25

I'm also curious to hear doomer predictions of "peak science".
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Pops » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 16:03:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'W')hen will Science peak? It's not showing the slightest sign of slowing down.

You keep asking this question carl as if it somehow proves science is immune to impacts of energy scarcity.

As many have pointed out, and I guess you'd agree, energy slaves have allowed the great scientific advances of the last couple of hundred years.

Today, production of fossil fuels hasn't shown much slowing - we're almost back to where we were in 08 at the greatest output ever.

So how can reduced energy availability have an impact on science when energy availability hasn't been reduced?
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby davep » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 16:05:59

Nice thread, thanks Carlhole for inspiring a bit of debate.

Now, I'm not sure if I'm a doomer or not. But I have a doomstead and arms (and heirloom seeds etc). Does this make me a moron?

I don't think so. Because while technology may find some way out of the current impasse, it is equally likely that technology may not. My position is merely one of pragmatism. I would like to think that something big will go from lab to commercial realisation, but I just don't know (and neither does anybody else here).

So, it may be wise to prepare for a not-best scenario.

And who knows? Maybe the science that will save us is based on understanding that nature is too complex to control absolutely. A sustainable approach may just do the job. I'm not sure if that's a singularity, but I'd like to think that humans coming to the realisation that nature is so vast and essential whilst also being almost infinitely adaptable is the kind of singularity we may need.

Who gives a shit if computers gain our intelligence and understanding? We need to gain that same empathy for the entity that created us. Maybe then we will have achieved the singularity.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Carlhole » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 18:26:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'S')o, it may be wise to prepare for a not-best scenario.


Yeah, but which kind of doom do you prepare for - Olduvai Gorge vs Humans Obsolete Themselves?
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Ludi » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 18:29:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'S')o, it may be wise to prepare for a not-best scenario.


Yeah, but which kind of doom do you prepare for - Olduvai Gorge vs Humans Obsolete Themselves?


Which would you prepare for, Carlhole? And how would you prepare?
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Xenophobe » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 18:54:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'W')hen will Science peak? It's not showing the slightest sign of slowing down.

You keep asking this question carl as if it somehow proves science is immune to impacts of energy scarcity.


Has anyone ventured a relationship between energy scarcity and peak oil? Scarcity of energy would be a serious concern, but if oil were to disappear tomorrow the amount of "energy" available to be put to work on this planet would barely drop at all.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pops', '
')As many have pointed out, and I guess you'd agree, energy slaves have allowed the great scientific advances of the last couple of hundred years.


How about...mans ingenuity and adaptability have allowed him to create energy slaves using all sorts of different raw materials. Those energy slaves didn't spring into harness without something else happening first...and that something else is much more critical to the creation of those "energy slaves" than whatever the raw materials are.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Carlhole » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 19:04:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'S')o, it may be wise to prepare for a not-best scenario.


Yeah, but which kind of doom do you prepare for - Olduvai Gorge vs Humans Obsolete Themselves?


Which would you prepare for, Carlhole? And how would you prepare?


I only have myself to worry about. And I'm no spring chicken. So it's not hard for me to be philosophical about fate in either direction. I just try to keep myself healthy and interested in this or that now. I don't care to devote much angst to dealing with the future, although its fun to think about. And its entertaining to watch the world respond to various crises - real or imagined. Trying to understand exactly how the world is evolving is a bit of a puzzle, no? Grist for the mill.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Ludi » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 19:07:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', 'i')f oil were to disappear tomorrow the amount of "energy" available to be put to work on this planet would barely drop at all.



What energy is available to be put to work tomorrow if oil were to disappear? That is, what would we "plug in" to the place of oil tomorrow?
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Newfie » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 19:12:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'P')starr, I don't entirely agree. If our attitudes have changed as a culture we would not be inhibited by advertising or media. If our attitudes as a society have changed we would be immune to those messages, they would be repulsive, not attractive.

I understand the difficult of wresting control from BAU/TPTB, however, if our attitudes have indeed changed, we would be in the process of obtaining that control (which we might indeed be as Xenophobe points out with Transition Towns, etc).

I guess I'm not doomy enough for Newfie, but too doomy for Xenophobe. :)


Ludi,

Your plenty doomer for me. I'm probably too doomer for my own good.

You appear to have more faith in humanity than I do, that's all. Makes me a grumpy old man. I don't even like to be around myself sometimes.

So, good fer ya.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Ludi » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 19:14:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '
')You appear to have more faith in humanity than I do, that's all.



Yes, I still have a smidgen left! :lol:
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Narz » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 20:57:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', 'i')f oil were to disappear tomorrow the amount of "energy" available to be put to work on this planet would barely drop at all.


What energy is available to be put to work tomorrow if oil were to disappear? That is, what would we "plug in" to the place of oil tomorrow?

We don't have to worry about it tomorrow.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Ludi » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 20:58:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Narz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', 'i')f oil were to disappear tomorrow the amount of "energy" available to be put to work on this planet would barely drop at all.


What energy is available to be put to work tomorrow if oil were to disappear? That is, what would we "plug in" to the place of oil tomorrow?

We don't have to worry about it tomorrow.



But I still want an answer from Xenophobe regarding his claim. :)
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Xenophobe » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 21:01:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', 'i')f oil were to disappear tomorrow the amount of "energy" available to be put to work on this planet would barely drop at all.



What energy is available to be put to work tomorrow if oil were to disappear? That is, what would we "plug in" to the place of oil tomorrow?


Oh, certainly I am not the person to answer that question, I hardly represent humanity in the general sense. However, if I were to speculate, I imagine that humans would plug in whatever is easiest. Again. We tend to be predictable that way.
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Ludi » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 21:03:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Xenophobe', '
')Oh, certainly I am not the person to answer that question, I hardly represent humanity in the general sense. However, if I were to speculate, I imagine that humans would plug in whatever is easiest. Again. We tend to be predictable that way.



So you're just shootin' the shit. Posting more meaningless drivel masquerading as "depth." I won't bother to ask you what YOU, Xenophobe would plug in as the "easiest." Actually getting any information from you is impossible

Buh bye, assclown!
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Re: Main Doomer Fallacy

Postby Ludi » Sun 15 Aug 2010, 21:33:00

Oh now, you know I'm not a vegan! :lol:

What do YOU think these other sources of energy equal to oil are that we can plug in tomorrow?
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