by Carlhole » Thu 12 Aug 2010, 02:11:39
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'C')ornhole, you are a deluded pompous pr3ck. I don't recollect ever seeing you argue peak-oil issues. You do not know d3ck about reserves, drilling technology, discovery curves, net-energy analysis, export-land model, petroleum politics, economics and commodities trades.
You post one techopian puff piece after another, and never apparently understand the science behind them. Your appeals to optimism and authority are a bore. Can I help you leave per chance?
I've been reading about peak oil since 1999 when Ken Deffeyes' "Hubbert's Peak" hit the shelves. I read all of Jay Hanson's old site, I've read all Richard Heinberg's books, was a subscriber to his newsletter, former subscriber to Mike Ruppert's
FromTheWilderness and read one of Ruppert's books, one of James Howard Kunstler's, one by Peter Tertzakian, probably 3-4 books about Iraq and Afghanistan, articles too numerous to count, relationship to 911, etc.
I'm one of the oldest posters on PeakOil.com and read most of the news posted here and on EnergyBulletin on a daily basis. I read quite a few of member posts here, even if I don't always contribute to more than a few threads at any given time.
All of those aspects of oil depletion you mentioned, I've seen here before - long, long ago. But my postion has ALWAYS been that peak oil is a crisis, that the human animal responds to crises primarily through Science & Technology, and that watching the accelerating trend of sci/tech is fascinating. It's kind of a race. And the founder of PeakOil.com (Aaron) appears to have pretty much the same opinion, even though he isn't outspoken about it as I am.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'P')lotting a trend of advancing science toward the so-called Singularity is no more or less error-prone than plotting a petroleum depletion trend. Both use plenty of data from which to make inferences and draw conclusions - at root are human populations and human sci/tech, so the two trends draw from the same well of possibility, as it were.
When I first posted about the Singularity, Aaron posted this:
Book & Media Review -- The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('by Aaron » Sun Nov 27, 2005 12:44 am', 'T')he Doomer community around here will gasp in disbelief that I actually consider this topic among the vanguard of possibilities that could save our bacon.
Two reasons:
1. Fantastic leaps in understanding become attainable if Artificial Intelligence is possible.
2. AI is certainly possible... I'm doing it right now, and so are you.
The hitch is if we can hold onto and advance our collective technology long enough to make it happen.
to contrast peak oil/overpopulation with the accelerating trend of science/technology. One trend points in the negative direction, the other points in the positive.