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Peak Oil Myth?

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Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby MichaelRyan23 » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 14:05:46

Can anyone tell me why these articles, suggesting peak oil is a myth, are not correct?

http://www.prisonplanet.com/archives/peak_oil/index.htm
http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/_wsj-oil_oil.htm
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby turmoil » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 14:14:14

yes, peak oil is a myth, go back to sleep. it was all just a bad dream.

/sarcasm off.
"If you are a real seeker after truth, it's necessary that at least once in your life you doubt all things as far as possible"-Rene Descartes

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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby truecougarblue » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 14:22:38

There are quiet a few errors.

First, notice that the conspiracy to raise prices involves refining, not production. The PO response to this is that the oil companies don't want to invest billions in new refineries that will sit unused because there isn't crude to run through them.

Abiotic oil isn't a proven fact, and guess what, even if it does happen here and there around the world the percentage is way to small to have an effect. Consumption is simply growing to rapidly.

As for the claim that countries are continuously increasing their reserves, fine, new fields are being found. Does it keep up with demand? Are there enough found year over year to replace the failing ones?

It was also stated that every time we hit a crisis, OPEC increases production. What happened during the Katrina crisis? OPEC was asked and they responded, "we can't" That is why US and European reserves were dipped into, and continue to be used.

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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby MichaelRyan23 » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 14:25:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'y')es, peak oil is a myth, go back to sleep. it was all just a bad dream.

I am merely saying, you are dependent on your sources of information just as I am. And different sources have different information.

Now, I am not saying those links were correct, but does anyone here actually know they are wrong?
Last edited by MichaelRyan23 on Thu 19 Jan 2006, 14:29:00, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby aahala » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 14:42:51

Ask a group of school boys the following question:

If a resource is finite, can we continue to consume it forever?

Unless the class is filled with the mentally challenged, a very large
percentage will answer of course not. This is the dumbest question
we have been asked this school year.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby Ancien_Opus » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 14:57:42

The only people that believe in infinite growth on finite planet are mad men and economist.

Don't trust anyone that asks you to place faith in science, technology or the market place. They're asking you to believe, not offering you the facts. You must distinguish the difference between a prayer and a plan. Denial prevents you from doing what needs to be done, while leaving you with only false hopes.

The facts speak for themselves.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby bob_loblaw » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 14:57:49

no one will be able to give you 100% credible evidence for either side.. just opinions..

my opinion on Abiotic oil? if it were real, we should see 'topping up' of wells which have been in historic decline, or capped off. I do not believe there is even a shred of evidence to support that...

my current belief investment in PO? about 97% sure its real, just no idea when the masses will get it.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby sch_peakoiler » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 15:26:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MichaelRyan23', 'C')an anyone tell me why these articles, suggesting peak oil is a myth, are not correct?

http://www.prisonplanet.com/archives/peak_oil/index.htm
http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/_wsj-oil_oil.htm



I can help you find places in those articles which are 100% percent lie (not true).

Take the prisonplanet.

ok, this is 80% - 90%lie:
"Peak oil is a theory advanced by the elite, by the oil industry"

Hey man, till 2004 every single oil company was hunting peakoilers and screaming like wild "scam!, witch!, Inquisition on them!, pagans! heresy! communists! and so on". PO theory was always advanced on websites and forums like this one here, by people who just want to know the truth, and are not connected to the oil industry. Not until 2005 did we hear something PO-like from oil industry (chevron with willyoujoinus.com). 2005 was i believe the first year where PO really came to media. True, PO experts like Campbell, Hubbert, are FROM the Oil industry. But the industry was always against them on that issue. Check what the Saudis said about their oil in 2005 - "The world will run out of uses for oil before we run out of it!!!".

This is the first lie a so in that article.

Second one: This is 110% LIE. Actually I think in US you can sue for this.

"There is a clear contradiction between the peak oil theory and the continual increase in oil reserves and production. "

CONTRADICTION my eye!!!! Peakoil theory actually goes with that increase, not against it. PO theory states : "Production increases till some timepoint, called PO, after which it begins to fall and never breaks that tendency again". So there is no contradiction - production will grow, till PO! and then it will fall. We did not have (hopefully) PO yet, thats why production growth goes along PO now.

see, its a 100 % lie, actually this discredits the whole article!

Sorry, dont have time to write more, if you really need arguments against those articles, to use them in a discussion, I can help you break that article into smallest pieces, it is actually a load of crap.

But if you dont need that that bad, I will prefer not to lose my time on that. Partly because things happening in the world now lead me to believe that we already had PO - in 2005. We will get at least one energy war and several energy crisises this year, and there would not be any néed to prove those articles wrong. People will see that at the pump.

Let me know if you need more arguments, though.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby Zardoz » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 16:42:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Peter Huber and Mark Mills', '.')..The earth is far bigger than people think, the untapped deposits are huge...


Classic denial. These guys just cannot bring themselves to face the reality that the world we have built over the last sixty years or so is going to radically change, and the changes are not going to be for the better.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby miniTAX » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 16:57:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sch_peakoiler', 'H')ey man, till 2004 every single oil company was hunting peakoilers and screaming like wild "scam!, witch!, Inquisition on them!, pagans!


Well, I assume peakoiler already existed in the 1973 (first shock) and the 1979 (second shock) oil crisis when they predicted 30 year global oil reserves.
If thinking that you are the only original thinker is reassuring to you, so let it be [smilie=notworthy.gif]
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby MichaelRyan23 » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 17:14:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')sk a group of school boys the following question:

If a resource is finite, can we continue to consume it forever?


I you read the article you would have seen that it was questioning the notion that oil is finite.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby miniTAX » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 17:39:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')just look at the names! prisonplanet is obviously a marxist/terrorist propaganda site and the manhattan institute is some kind of dweeby right-wing christian thinktank [smilie=icon_geek.gif] (wait a minute. that is like jumbo shrimp or military intelligence? that hurts my brain [smilie=icon_confused.gif] ).

I hope that answered your question :)


Well, those are just examples of articles. You find similar analysis in serious business or economy newspapers also.
Serious news are not only from Peak Oil :P

Edit : what I said above is irony. It seems, when re-reading reply posts that it was interpreted as otherwise [smilie=dontknow.gif] [smilie=dontknow.gif]
Last edited by miniTAX on Sun 22 Jan 2006, 05:47:09, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby MichaelRyan23 » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 17:40:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'p')risonplanet is obviously a marxist/terrorist propaganda site


What does Marxism have to do with terrorism?
If the world were full of Marxists then we wouldn't have Peak Oil and other problems resulting from the excesses of capitalism.

When its all over with it will have been right wing capitalism that destroys our way of life. But at least I have time enough for a few "I told you so"s.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby Seadragon » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 17:48:46

I believe the original poster has some reading to do...without some background on how oil is formed and the special geological conditions it takes, he would not have been poleaxed by those silly articles. Maintaining that oil is an infinite resource has been thoroughly debunked and is considered a fringe belief without any proof. Read Simmons, Deffeyes, Heinberg,the Hirsch Report,and the ASPO Netherlands report and get back to us.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby cat » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 18:00:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Q')uote:
Ask a group of school boys the following question:

If a resource is finite, can we continue to consume it forever?



I you read the article you would have seen that it was questioning the notion that oil is finite.


Oil is not necessarily finite it just takes millions of years for the earth to make it. Think about it, if the earth could produce oil as quickly as we could use it, before we learned to use it 100 years or so ago, it would have seeped up and covered the entire planet, and life as we know it, would not exist.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby MichaelRyan23 » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 18:06:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')aintaining that oil is an infinite resource has been thoroughly debunked and is considered a fringe belief without any proof.


Yeah, says you. But I will find you many other people(including scientists) who say otherwise. And ultimately the thing is... you don't actually know, do you? You have no first hand knowlege of it, so you are just going by what others tell you. And I am asking why you find the recent findings/beliefs of some scientists to be so rediculous. You are too closeminded. And I never said I agreed with them, I just don't claim to know either way.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby Seadragon » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 18:13:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MichaelRyan23', '
')
Yeah, says you. But I will find you many other people(including scientists) who say otherwise. And ultimately the thing is... you don't actually know, do you? You have no first hand knowlege of it, so you are just going by what others tell you.


Am I a geologist or petroleum engineer? No, but I can ask some, and the best-qualified ones tell me those ideas are ridiculous. If you mean have I actually drilled down in the Earth and looked for abiotic oil, then no, you've got me. If peak oil is such a conspiracy of the oil companies to push the price up, what happened in the 80s and 90s when the price went through the floor? Funny, you didn't hear retards like those bleating about conspiracies then. I'll say it again,politely: go do some reading, don't expect those on this board to reinvent the wheel for you.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby KrellEnergySource » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 18:51:56

The North Sea is depleting. Fields in Alaska are depleting.

If there was enough abiotic oil available to meet our needs, why would we be even drilling in those god-forsaken locations for the past 20 years? We'd just be running a whole lot of pipelines from the fields that keep replenishing abiotically. Instead, almost every new discovery of any size is in a place even harder to get to and/or more expensive to produce from than the last. Or so it seems to me.
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Re: Peak Oil Myth?

Unread postby JoeW » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 18:59:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MichaelRyan23', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')sk a group of school boys the following question:

If a resource is finite, can we continue to consume it forever?


I you read the article you would have seen that it was questioning the notion that oil is finite.


supposing that the entire planet was composed of crude oil, that would still be a finite amount. to prove that it is not, you would have to show how the products of hydrocarbon production can be reconstituted into petroleum by a natural process that is relevant in a human timeframe. There is no evidence of this process existing. There is plenty of evidence that oil is a finite resource, including 20tyh-century peak production in the US, and the subsequent peak oil production of many other nations.
If we all use our brains just a little, I think we can figure out the probable answer here...
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