by Outcast_Searcher » Sat 01 Jan 2011, 18:16:53
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', ' ')Is inflation happening?
Despite all the denial by the Fed and central bankers (and left wing economists) all over the world, the smart money sure as hell seems to be betting on it.
I think oil and copper prices are rising due to real (and forecast) world demand issues. Surely the PM's, and many of the soft commodities are screaming inflation though.
I don't know who's right, but you will certainly see ME holding TBT and NOT long bonds, until we see what unfolds for at least the next 5 years (assuming the global economy more or less recovers by then). Once we see what happens to inflation AFTER a robust global economy presents itself, THEN (and IMO only then) can we draw meaningful conclusions that "inflation isn't a problem".
I won't be holding my breath expecting low rates in that scenario...
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.