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No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby timbo » Sun 29 Jun 2008, 16:43:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('socrates1fan', '.')..No one will nuke the other...


Hope you are right. Its just that desperate people do stupid things. Curious as to your thoughts on the probability of conventional wars. If the current poll is anything to go by then things are rather gloomy :( or maybe there are lots of doomers here ;)
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby VMarcHart » Sun 29 Jun 2008, 17:10:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sjn', '.')..there will always be resistance to ideas that challenge the dominant paradigm...
Please explain the dominant paradigm.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sjn', '.')..most people never contemplated the finiteness of any of our base resources.
I don't know about that.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sjn', 'Y')ou are free to believe prices are unrelated to supply constraints but those looking to have their demand fulfilled may disagree with you.
Thanks for the permission. Supply and Demand is a tough concept to grasp. At least for me. It took me years to get it. Please allow me to put it this way. It's sizzling at the beach, people are thirsty, you have 1,000 bottles of cold water on you, and a million bottles in storage. The line is long and you start selling for $1.00 and increase of $0.10 with each served customer. The line is still long despite your price increases. Why would you lower your prices? For charity perhaps, but this isn't charity; this is business. You know what the water is, and the line is the Chinese, the Indians, the American outrageous life-style, etc, etc. Supply and Demand. You don't have to get it, but please just try to give some thought to it. Do you want for prices to go down? Stop buying it.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby eastbay » Sun 29 Jun 2008, 17:18:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vetusfirma', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('socrates1fan', 'T')he only dieoff I see in the world due to PO is in 3rd and 2nd world countries.

There are many living in the USA who survive in serious poverty which can only be described as 'third world' conditions. They too will be among the first to go when Our Common Disaster finally hits. The poor everywhere will be the first and worst impacted. It will be fascinating to watch this process unfold, uh... for those fortunate enough to survive the initial crunch.
Note: The term 'second world', no longer applies to any nation. It's anachronistic holding historical interest only. It was primarily (and rarely) used to describe communist Eastern Europe/ USSR. It was used to describe that handful of developed command economies of which there are currently none.

Oh really, what about North Korea, Myanmar and Cuba. And the poor of this country, unlike most of the world, are supported by the nation and have been for the last 60 years. Do you think welfare and social security will just stop. pfff



None of those three countries you listed are developed countries. They're all dirt poor. They were all part of the third world when the term was widely used.


And yes, welfare and social security (in most First world countries) will be reduced to the point where they're insignificant as we descend into social and economic chaos. And while we're on the topic of state support for non-producing people, expect all state entitlements to decline and then cease as we pass into the depths of the post-peak disaster. Federal civilian and military retirement checks won't be immune either. Any check that arrives in a mailbox or is automatically deposited into a bank account will be initially reduced, then eliminated.

There is nothing that can stop this process. It's as natural as the rising and setting of the sun and moon. The petals are falling off. Celebrate the flowers to come because the flowers we now enjoy have blossomed and are about to fall. :)
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby socrates1fan » Sun 29 Jun 2008, 18:25:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('timbo', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('socrates1fan', '.')..No one will nuke the other...


Hope you are right. Its just that desperate people do stupid things. Curious as to your thoughts on the probability of conventional wars. If the current poll is anything to go by then things are rather gloomy :( or maybe there are lots of doomers here ;)


True but we would know if it was growing up to something like that.
It would take years of war for people to get to that level and that would be a final blow.
We would know by then what could happen.
It isn't like a country is about to push a button to nuke another.
Like I said, I believe they use it as power and blackmail.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby allenwrench » Sun 29 Jun 2008, 19:31:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('socrates1fan', 'I') they have their own food, maybe they can preserve it, eat it, or sell it at a farmer's market.


While this sounds hopeful. The facts are most people are too ignorant and / or too lazy to do what you envision
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby allenwrench » Sun 29 Jun 2008, 19:36:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('socrates1fan', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('timbo', 'B')ut I still get some resistance on it meaning Global War. I don't want a war but if history is anything to go by it will happen. My only uncertainity is how many nukes get traded.


I don't think we have to worry about Nukes.
People with nukes realize if they attack other countries with nukes that country will try and take them down with them.
-_-
No one will nuke the other(or at least the countries with nukes) due to their own self-interests.
I don't think people have nukes for war as much as they do to use it as black mail or power.


Depends on who has their finger on the button...and how disgusted they get with a post carbon world. They may say f...it.

Not worried about the US doing it, but many nukes are in the hands of unstable countries.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby allenwrench » Sun 29 Jun 2008, 19:41:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('muon', 'I') haven't tried talking to anyone in real life, just trying to be supportive of lower energy type things that anyone comes up with. Online I've noticed a lot of opposition...

One person said it's the oil companies fleecing people, there's loads of oil, it gets made in the earth and the oil fields refill themselves. Others who were more informed about oil said that the refineries weren't working at full capacity (USA) due to not enough demand, and that Saudi has lots of wells capped (whatever the right terminology is) and they could uncap those if it was a supply/demand issue. That was actually good because they were open to discussion, so I asked them if they knew the year of peak oil discoveries and they were surprised at the answer. I was also able to point someone in the direction of numbers of how much more oil the USA uses than other countries, they didn't believe me but I think they did want to look it up to see if I was right or not.

I read an oil thread in a forum yesterday and someone said that the Bakken formation has loads of oil in it, but they're not drilling there yet. In response someone else said yes, there's loads of oil shale too! Someone else said that they read oil is made deep in the earth from helium and moves upwards to where we find it, so we'll never run out, they even provided a link to a website saying this.


I still get resistance. I tell the neighbor the oil is drying up -- she says no its not.

I lecture my wife about peak oil. Her stockbroker lady friend says "it's only a theory"

PO is a dream buster once it sinks in so people try to avoid accepting it unless absolutely' necessary.

I just tell people to Google PO and study it themselves.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby VMarcHart » Sun 29 Jun 2008, 20:00:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('allenwrench', 'I') still get resistance. I tell the neighbor the oil is drying up -- she says no its not. I lecture my wife about peak oil. Her stockbroker lady friend says "it's only a theory". PO is a dream buster once it sinks in so people try to avoid accepting it unless absolutely necessary. I just tell people to Google PO and study it themselves.
Hi, Wrench. Whereas I'm a strong believer PO --the peak of cheap and readily available oil-- is already here (or is coming very fast), to harp my friends and family over something unavoidable would alienate myself even more. I love them to the way they are, and if we all die, I want to die with friends, rather than old and lonely. Food for thought.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby eastbay » Sun 29 Jun 2008, 21:23:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('allenwrench', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('muon', 'I') haven't tried talking to anyone in real life, just trying to be supportive of lower energy type things that anyone comes up with. Online I've noticed a lot of opposition...

One person said it's the oil companies fleecing people, there's loads of oil, it gets made in the earth and the oil fields refill themselves. Others who were more informed about oil said that the refineries weren't working at full capacity (USA) due to not enough demand, and that Saudi has lots of wells capped (whatever the right terminology is) and they could uncap those if it was a supply/demand issue. That was actually good because they were open to discussion, so I asked them if they knew the year of peak oil discoveries and they were surprised at the answer. I was also able to point someone in the direction of numbers of how much more oil the USA uses than other countries, they didn't believe me but I think they did want to look it up to see if I was right or not.

I read an oil thread in a forum yesterday and someone said that the Bakken formation has loads of oil in it, but they're not drilling there yet. In response someone else said yes, there's loads of oil shale too! Someone else said that they read oil is made deep in the earth from helium and moves upwards to where we find it, so we'll never run out, they even provided a link to a website saying this.


I still get resistance. I tell the neighbor the oil is drying up -- she says no its not.

I lecture my wife about peak oil. Her stockbroker lady friend says "it's only a theory"

PO is a dream buster once it sinks in so people try to avoid accepting it unless absolutely' necessary.

I just tell people to Google PO and study it themselves.



Funny, I was talking briefly with my neighbor and he said he heard oil will be $70/ bbl in 2015. He said he's counting on it. I did NOT tell him it'll be well over $1,000/bbl by 2015 because he would have blown me off a a nut job and I might have had trouble borrowing tools from him.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 29 Jun 2008, 21:44:53

For the first time, I have heard some statements on the nightly TV news to the effect that gasoline will never be cheap again. It happened again on tonight's nightly national news---I can't remember which network. I think in the same show they mentioned that roads are going to deteriorate because they're made of oil and are laid down by machines burning diesel.

I view this as a major change in the mass awareness. Definitely a crumbling of the standard pattern, which has always been that the current problem is just part of a natural cycle and prices will get cheap again.

The nightly network news shows are an interesting barometer. For about four years I boycotted them to avoid the Bush/Iraq lie fest. About a year ago I started tuning in again, and was startled by the change in tone. Still a lot of propaganda, of course. But some of the segments are fairly alarming---at least, until they get into the soft-core, non-news they insist on padding each broadcast with (along with those mountains of vulgar drug commercials).

Right now the gloomfest on parts of some of the news broadcasts rivals our own stuff here. This is a sign of how historically serious our predicament is.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby mos6507 » Mon 30 Jun 2008, 00:19:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('socrates1fan', '
')People with nukes realize if they attack other countries with nukes that country will try and take them down with them.


Unless they, um, are waiting for the Hidden Imam to make it all better after WWIII.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby mos6507 » Mon 30 Jun 2008, 00:26:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('allenwrench', '
')Depends on who has their finger on the button...and how disgusted they get with a post carbon world. They may say f...it.

Not worried about the US doing it, but many nukes are in the hands of unstable countries.


All it takes is one unstable leader. Could happen anywhere.





[flash width=425 height=324]http://www.youtube.com/v/b1VHSQV0yn8&hl=en[/flash]
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby mrobert » Mon 30 Jun 2008, 03:55:10

It took me some time to accept and understand PO, and I am a person who is aware about issues around me.

Not to mention, it was 13 years ago when I got a bunch of books from the local library to write a comprehensive essay on polution and it's impact on our future, and won a large contest with it. It's when I first learned that how we live is not good. At the same contest I had to discuss about alternatives to oil and other natural resource based energies.

I still see over 50% of the people around me, considering the government as being Santa Clause who should just give out money for any "issue".

Don't expect the average person to "get it" easily.
It wasn't easy for me, to rethink my entire future and life.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby bodigami » Mon 30 Jun 2008, 13:57:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('socrates1fan', '
')People with nukes realize if they attack other countries with nukes that country will try and take them down with them.


Unless they, um, are waiting for the Hidden Imam to make it all better after WWIII.


...or the second coming of christ and the war against the anti-christ...
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby turner » Tue 01 Jul 2008, 12:29:40

I couldn't agree with you more mroberts. I was introduced to oil depletion by my parents when I was a teenager and I am now 44. I guess because I couldn't see it manifesting around me I ignored it for a long time. It's only fairly recently that I've opened up my mind to it again and still waver somewhat between doom and denial.

The easy availability of info on the internet has helped enormously to gain a better picture of what is going on. However, you have got to know to look and it is only when the mainstream press start to report the oil situation that people will investigate further. I think that is starting to happen a bit, but probably not seriously enough to get any meaningful change. I'm still not sure if that is good or bad. If we can't do anything because it is too late then there is no point knowing. If we can make changes then the quicker everyone gets it the better.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby mrobert » Tue 01 Jul 2008, 18:31:03

@turner. We are not technically doomed. We still have plenty of resources and knowledge to change everything. Except it won't happen. 75% of people would like the "others" to do something so that they can keep up what they are doing.

It will pretty much end up in : ACT or VANISH.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby graham » Wed 02 Jul 2008, 07:00:57

I'll have to agree with sjn. The people in the u.k. that i've explained the situation to, seem likely to accept it. Though i'd say its only educated people that initially understand the implications of PO. For instance my- graphic illustration lecturer completely understood all of the ramifications after I only gave the basic technical underpinnings of Hubberts peak.

Maybee this is down to the general British mindset of no B.S. pragmatism, as opposed to (in general) American's idealistic optimism?
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby mrobert » Wed 02 Jul 2008, 07:21:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('graham', 'I')'ll have to agree with sjn. The people in the u.k. that i've explained the situation to, seem likely to accept it. Though i'd say its only educated people that initially understand the implications of PO. For instance my- graphic illustration lecturer completely understood all of the ramifications after I only gave the basic technical underpinnings of Hubberts peak.

Maybee this is down to the general British mindset of no B.S. pragmatism, as opposed to (in general) American's idealistic optimism?


Brits put a lot of reasoning into everything :)
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby graham » Wed 02 Jul 2008, 09:45:36

Any Americans, please don't take my generalisation of you as idealistic optimists (that's not my experience on this site) personally! Brits are usually extremely cynical.
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Re: No longer any resistance to the Peak Oil news?

Unread postby watermelonpunch » Sun 06 Jul 2008, 04:55:19

Well, I think there's resistance to the scope of the problem.

But even the people I know (friends & family) who are dyed in the wool right-wingish types, who believe the oil supply is either infinite, or that the depletion is many decades away... even they say that fuel prices at the gas pumps will never go back down to what they were. Even if their stated reason for that is, "prices always go up, they don't go back down"... They may not understand why, but they recognize that the future isn't bright regarding fuel prices.
And some of those people even fully recognize that employers aren't going to be handing out raises to match up to the added fuel expenses.

But even those people, I don't think, see the big picture of the problem, and the implications for society at large.
Like that it's not just going to be hard for a lot of people... But that it's going to effect everyone eventually, and significantly.

I think there's still resistance at least in the sense of that denial system that makes people think, "That will never happen to me."
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