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Luddites vs Technologists

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby Ibon » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 05:43:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SeaGypsy', 'I') approve your engagement with this troll Ibon- but that's what it is.


It is not the individual I am engaging but rather the meme that he/she represents. It almost doesn't matter in this case whether KJ is a baiting troll or sincere in his beliefs. The meme he is defending is one that is still acting strongly on the collective. Memes will shift and change due to events unfolding not what we are arguing. Just consider this same dialogue 15 years ago when all was humming so gloriously along in the artificial heyday of Reaganomics. My position would have been laughed at as some sentimental hippy diatribe.......but today it resonates a little bit stronger. And with each passing decade it will become more and more prescient. Consequences determine the current of change. At some point though a major shift can occur, a punctuated moment in the slower linear evolution of thought. I consider ourselves not much more than brick layers. At some point though when the last bricks are laid there is a bridge.
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby Ibon » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 06:40:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'C')ool stuff Ibon. I've read some about that land, quite amazing.

I really like Farley Mowat.


Yes. I read all his books in my 20's. He was inspiring back then and I'm sure still is.
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 12:39:08

Ibon, I have not "blown you off". In case it is not obvious:

1) The current technology for putting people and equipment into orbit from Earth's surface is chemical fueled rockets. This is completely adequate for the task at hand, since the materials for space colonies are sourced from asteroids. There are hundreds of known near-Earth objects and millions more asteroids between Mars and Jupiter. Note that if you want to make any form of economic argument about payload costs into orbit or planetary spaces, you have to ignore stats about both the Apollo program and the Shuttle, and use figures from modern systems such as SSTO and Virgin Galactic.

2) I have repeatedly linked to a primer on the technologies and a high-level description of the major energy sources and strategies for living in space. Obviously you have not read the material, or you would no longer be abysmally ignorant of the topic. In case it is not obvious, I am under no obligation whatsoever to pre-digest this knowledge and regurgitate it into your head.

Here's a second source that is a buck cheaper: http://www.baenebooks.com/p-922-a-step-farther-out.aspx

I mean, I have read all about Anthropogenic Global Warming, Gaia Earth-Myths, Obamacare, and other things I do not believe in. It is a necessary pre-requisite to having an intelligent debate on such a topic. But my responsibility is to educate myself, not you.
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby Timo » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 12:49:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SeaGypsy', 'I') approve your engagement with this troll Ibon- but that's what it is.


It is not the individual I am engaging but rather the meme that he/she represents. It almost doesn't matter in this case whether KJ is a baiting troll or sincere in his beliefs. The meme he is defending is one that is still acting strongly on the collective. Memes will shift and change due to events unfolding not what we are arguing. Just consider this same dialogue 15 years ago when all was humming so gloriously along in the artificial heyday of Reaganomics. My position would have been laughed at as some sentimental hippy diatribe.......but today it resonates a little bit stronger. And with each passing decade it will become more and more prescient. Consequences determine the current of change. At some point though a major shift can occur, a punctuated moment in the slower linear evolution of thought. I consider ourselves not much more than brick layers. At some point though when the last bricks are laid there is a bridge.


I sense that if we are, indeed, bricklayers, when/if we do lay our last brick, i doubt it will be a bridge, but quite the opposite. It will be a dam.

And a weak dam, at that. It will succomb to the mounting faux Top 40 political pressures de jour, and will burst, taking down American civilization, and much of the rest of the modern world with it. By that time, however, the health of our planet will make even a primitve life unbearable. The dark side of me finds this scenario to be a perfectly fitting poetic justice. Deny reality until it's too late. When the truth becomes undeniable, game over. I've always found it wise to err on the side of educated caution.
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby Ibon » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 15:46:48

And so we all proclaim our narratives. I guess at the end of the day each and everyone of us has to run these narratives through the grist mill of reality and come to terms with how one adapts to events moving forward.

Part of that grist mill is what can get exchanged in these threads that leads to better understanding. And so one can adjust their narratives.
Or do battle in defending a hard unyielding opinion.

No question really which of those two positions is more adaptive.
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby Ibon » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 15:51:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '.') This KJ is a complete jerk. I have politely and repeatedly asked him for details, methods of space exploration. Challenged him on the history of US space exploration. Blows me off and continues his Gene Rodenberry crap. I agree with SeaGyspy.


For others reading it can be instructive watching someone like KJ run like a hamster on a wheel spinning nowhere.

It is for those others that I engage KJ and others like him.
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 16:21:08

Got it, Ibon and pstarr, you are just here for amusement and are not serious about any of these topics, and just want to argue. You have both pre-judged this topic and will not accept any data that contradicts your established opinions. Now I know. But I still have manners and I don't indulge in juvenile name calling to people I will never meet.
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 16:26:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserJeep', 'G')ot it, Ibon and pstarr, you are just here for amusement and are not serious about any of these topics, and just want to argue. You have both pre-judged this topic and will not accept any data that contradicts your established opinions. Now I know. But I still have manners and I don't indulge in juvenile name calling to people I will never meet.


Says the keyboard space cadet with nary a friend in sight, who rocked up a few weeks back and effectively has nothing to say that's not an add for Richard Branson's 'edge of space' flights, who continuously resorts to 'appeal to authority' and ad hominem borderline insults (speaking of borderline- you should get that checked)- to some of the most accomplished alternative lifestyle practitioners on the planet.

What a tool.
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby Timo » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 16:34:58

Actually, inserting myself right into the middle of this argument (juvenile as it is), i do happen to believe that is is entirely possible, and indeed probable, that heavy machinery will not be lifted into space by Virgin Galactic, or SpaceX or NASA or even the Chinese. What i do think will happen is that someone will have the idea to launch a 3D printer onto a moon, or an asteroid, or a commet, along with a smaller tool to mine the neccessary resources to print and assemble the equipment necessary for larger mining operations. 3D printing is proving to be a game-changer for manufacturing here on earth, and it is much more practical to put a printer into space to manufacture the equipment you'll need instead of launching that equipment, all preassembled. Couple this with the reusable rocket being created by SpaceX, and the cost of reaching space will drop by a factor of hundreds, or possibly even thousands, thus making space a much more viable destination. And before anyone accuses me of taking sides in this argument, KJ, feel free to take the first trip up. You can 3D print a replica of yourself to stay here on earth.

There! Everyone happy?
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby Timo » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 16:45:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '3')-D printers use two-part epoxies. I don't see how such a device could print mining equipment.


They're currently being used to manufacture very intricate parts of the functional rocket engines being used by SpaceX. They can also be used with almost any material, metals in particular, since they can be effectively binded and made structurally sound by heat. Seriously. I wouldn't be making these statements if i hadn't read them, or even seen it on a video. Granted, it was Elon Musk demonstrating the visuals of operating a computer using hand gestures instead of typing on a keyboard, but that video was totally awesome. http://venturebeat.com/2013/09/08/elon-musk-reveals-how-to-design-rocket-parts-like-a-wizard/ I hope this link works. Check it out.
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 16:57:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserJeep', 'I')bon, I have not "blown you off". In case it is not obvious:

1) The current technology for putting people and equipment into orbit from Earth's surface is chemical fueled rockets. This is completely adequate for the task at hand, since the materials for space colonies are sourced from asteroids. There are hundreds of known near-Earth objects and millions more asteroids between Mars and Jupiter. Note that if you want to make any form of economic argument about payload costs into orbit or planetary spaces, you have to ignore stats about both the Apollo program and the Shuttle, and use figures from modern systems such as SSTO and Virgin Galactic.
So you presume that Virgin Galactic
Image

The world does actually run on music- even cave men knew that. Perhaps KJ is Branson? He thinks he "developed the technology which runs the world", of which he admits being "damned proud"; thinks we should all be fantasizing about space travel and buying Galactic tickets (the age is right).
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby KaiserJeep » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 17:23:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')Image
is going to lift
Image
this into space? Not without unobtanium it won't LOL


You show a picture of a ridiculously huge mining machine designed for open-pit mining in a 1 gravity field, and ask if the VG prototype will lift it? How stupid is that? Hint: mining in space does not involve digging. Which you would know if you had bothered to educate yourself. I told you again - for the third time, where the information you need is located. It is not my function to regurgitate into your open head as if you were a newly hatched bird, however devoutly you may believe it is.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'T')his is lie. I have repeatedly requested you describe the technology. You avoid. You chicken.


I described it above. I was correct and complete, and you don't even understand why that is true.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')Intelligent? You've made clear you don't believe in such outlandish ideas as AGW, Medicare, and gaia. Yet you appear to be a free-market missionary with religious zeal.

I also posted a link describing nasa-scientist Lovelock's research on self-regulating, complex systems, but you obviously don't have the time or the imagination to wander outside your 62-year-old-sclerotic presumptions. How will you ever get to space? LOL


Lovelock is the laughingstock of NASA and he should be. Living Planets? Earth Mothers? That is a religious discussion, he is welcome to his Faith however silly I think it is.

The Earth is a complex natural system (NOT a single huge living organism) and I am an engineer who specializes in computer design. I understand what many scientists do not, which is that NONE of the climate models work. Not a single one of them. When you test them by feeding them historical data, they do not successfully predict either temperatures or temperature trends. If you understand that when they take a complex mathematical model, plug in one term representing actual data and all others are raw assumptions, the result is useless. The IPCC makes no secret that this is what they are doing. The peer review process has torn apart every climate model ever built. If we ever found one that even half worked, the entire world would know. Meanwhile, nobody should be making policy decisions using broken models.

The facts are that we lack the computer hardware to adequately model the Earth's climate. We may never build a machine capable of that task, and if we did, we would not have the accurate data to feed it.

Again, I'm not going into space. I'm going to Illinois to retire on an off-the-grid farm with a couple of electric vehicles. If the space colonies happen in 10 years or 100 years or 1000 years, whether their advent is before/during/after hydrocarbon depletion ultimately does not matter. But we DO have all the knowledge needed to build them today, we lack only the will.
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Mon 14 Oct 2013, 17:56:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KaiserJeep', ' ')But we DO have all the knowledge needed to build them today, we lack only the will.


Actually what is lacking is a purpose. There isn't anywhere to go in a timeframe worth considering. We are already in the only sweet spot for our life form in the known Universe.
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Tue 15 Oct 2013, 03:03:15

Let alone the epoxy! (Which begins perishing within months)
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Re: Luddites vs Technologists

Unread postby Timo » Wed 16 Oct 2013, 13:05:43

I just caught this video of the SpaceX vertical launch/landing rocket. Stunning the technology that makes this possible. http://venturebeat.com/2013/10/15/rocket-flight-as-weve-never-seen-it-before-spacex-captures-grasshopper-rocket-via-hexacopter/ Fuel for a rocket is the cheap part of getting into space. Having a reusable rocket will drop that cost down by orders of magnitude.
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