[JohnDenver]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('skyemoor', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'T')he idea that growth in manufactoring is based on some kind of % factor is misleading.

Building a new manufactoring plant is neither expensive nor time-consuming.

I mean, look at China for God's sake. They are building massive factories in a matter of months.

[Tyler_JC]

Solar Plant

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')POD International Inc. (the "Company", "EPOD") (OTC BB: EPOI) (Frankfurt: EDU.F) announces the Company's intent to construct a five (5) megawatt solar panel manufacturing facility in Kelowna, British Columbia.

Further to EPOD's announcement of January 16th regarding the Company's plans to increase its solar panel manufacturing capacity, EPOD announces the Company intends to construct a solar panel manufacturing facility in Kelowna, B.C. An estimated two megawatts of production capacity is anticipated to be available within six months, with the annual capacity of the plant projected to be five megawatts upon completion.
The addition of solar panel manufacturing capacity will allow EPOD to further vertically integrate its solar power operations, and substantially increase the Company's solar panel output. This manufacturing capacity and increased solar panel output will also enable EPOD to maximize its solar power system sales and integration in the Province of Ontario, where the Ontario Power Authority and the Ontario Energy Board recently announced the creation of the Standard Offer Program ( http://www.ontarioelectricityrfp.ca/Doc ... elease.pdf ), a renewable energy feed-in tariff initiative. The Standard Offer Program will pay EPOD and other solar power generators CAD$0.42 per kilowatt-hour (approximately USD$0.37), under what is anticipated to be a 20-year power purchase agreement. Given the Ontario government's increased support of solar energy through the Standard Offer Program, EPOD intends to aggressively pursue solar system sales in the Ontario market effective immediately.

[Oil-Finder]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')When was the last time $85 billion was spent on any one thing in the United States, except war?

[yesplease]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'A') conservative 5% annual decline in those supplies means we would have to build 13 every year from now on at a cost of $81 billion dollars per year with an annual operating for all of $4.3 billion.

[TonyPrep]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'I')'d hate to spend a lot of time trying to disprove a known fact, and Tony seems to be too incompetent/lazy to provide any cites or references. Any help would be appreciated. Who proved the statement in bold? I am very curious to know the name of "the man or woman who addressed scale".

[TonyPrep]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Drake', 'T')he world consumes roughly the energy equivalent of 107 million GWh a year at present rates. Let's say 1/3 of it is based on oil, that makes ~35 million GWh a year. Should that oil part start dropping by 3% this would roughly equate to about 1 million GWh which would have to be "replaced" each year (during the first decade).

[TonyPrep]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'J')ean Laherrere forecasts:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')iquids production will significantly decline after a likely bumpy plateau 2010-2020 and likely chaotic oil prices.
30 years from now, production of easy oil will be 35% less than to day but production of all liquids (including from coal and biomass) only 5% less than to day.

[TonyPrep]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('skyemoor', 'T')his leaves coal to shoulder the ramp-up in the next decade.

[Drake]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Drake', 'T')he world consumes roughly the energy equivalent of 107 million GWh a year at present rates. Let's say 1/3 of it is based on oil, that makes ~35 million GWh a year. Should that oil part start dropping by 3% this would roughly equate to about 1 million GWh which would have to be "replaced" each year (during the first decade).

[JohnDenver]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'I')'d hate to spend a lot of time trying to disprove a known fact, and Tony seems to be too incompetent/lazy to provide any cites or references. Any help would be appreciated. Who proved the statement in bold? I am very curious to know the name of "the man or woman who addressed scale".

[Drake]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Drake', 'S')hould that oil part start dropping by 3% this would roughly equate to about 1 million GWh which would have to be "replaced" each year (during the first decade).

[JohnDenver]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('skyemoor', 'T')his leaves coal to shoulder the ramp-up in the next decade.

[TheDude]

Jeff Brown and Sam Foucher have published an update to the ELM: A Quantitative Assessment of Future Net Oil Exports by the Top Five Net Oil Exporters. May be of interest to some of you. Others, not so much.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')maller oil exporters like Angola can and will increase their net exports, but smaller exporters, just like smaller oil fields, tend to have sharper production peaks and more rapid net export declines than do the larger net exporters. And offsetting many of the gains by some smaller exporters will be sharp declines in net exports from other smaller exporters like Mexico, the #2 source of imported crude oil into the US, which will probably approach zero net oil exports by 2014.

[JohnDenver]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('skyemoor', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'A')ll of the growing alternatives (gas, coal, nuclear, hydro and renewables) produce EV fuel (i.e. electricity), and none of them will peak in the pre-peak-gas period (with the possible exception of hydro).

[TheDude]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'S')omething about scooters

[skyemoor]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('skyemoor', '
')Please provide the 1.8% production decline rate prediction by Campbell.

[TonyPrep]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'Y')our job is to give us a detailed, carefully calculated, irrefutable proof of why it will be impossible for humans to scale up the alternatives (as defined above) to replace liquids in the post-peak period.

[TonyPrep]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou asked for references. Try chapter 4 of The Party's Over, by Richard Heinberg...

[skyemoor]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '
')World War II is a good model of the potential for rapid retooling and scale-up: