by Tanada » Sat 30 Jan 2016, 00:56:56
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'T')he Escravos GTL plant cost US$10 billion. (Its original cost started out at US$1.9 billion in 2005, rising to US$5.9 billion in 2009 but continued to escalate.) Does't feel like a good investment. The income from $40/barrel is $1.3 million per day, < $ .5 billion/year, the initial CAPEX would take 22 years to pay off. Plus OPEX
This is one of those things I get all Socialist about. Major capital infrastructure like expressways and airports are built by taxpayers and then leased out as toll roads or air traffic hubs in many cases. But for some reason in the USA it is considered wrong to do the same with nuclear power stations or GTL facilities that would supply goods to the general public at a much lower cost if the construction were paid for by the government and the facilities were leased back to the operators who would be responsible for regular maintenance and operations costs.
Instead we have this insane notion that companies competing in price volatile markets should risk billions in the face of unrestricted world trade. I think France and Russia have a much more logical approach by treating these mega size projects as a common good for all the taxpayers, which they are in the sense of stabilizing the market. Nobody in any position of authority has an excuse to be ignorant of resource constraints, but the ones in the USA all act as if BAU 1995 style can just go on forever. Well hate to break it to you, it can't, and a big part of the reason is that petroleum to supply; what the population desires to burn, would have to grow by a percent or two every year forever. You can't have infinite growth on a finite planet. When you hit the hard finite limit that is it, game over. We should be doing everything we can to transition away from Petroleum, Natural Gas and Coal, but in the transition period GTL would make the transition much less difficult.
So Pstarr here is how I see it, Uncle Sugar should build a few dozen GTL processing centers to keep the trucks, trains and cargo ships moving and the farm and construction equipment working during the post peak oil declines without crashing the whole economy from physical shortages. At the same time they should be investing every dime they can tax or borrow into non fossil carbon based energy infrastructure to get us off the depleting but heavily polluting energy system we use now.