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Economics 101

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Economics 101

Unread postby Flowerr » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 23:19:30

Really. Wow.

Is that why our dollar is so low today?

Everyone is cheating, like in a monopoly game?
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby Flowerr » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 23:25:51

O
And why should we americans pay interest to a private bank to print our money? I never figured that one out.
when it is our money in the first place?

And tell me, why is there LATIN on our money?
No one speaks latin anymore, nobody
Nowhere and no how LATIN is not a proper language for governments.
Why is it on there.
Think about it, I ask you
WHO SPEAKS it? Hum? Eh wot? Not the Irish, not the english.
Get it off the money.


If I am elected prez, I will remove the Latin verbage from our dollars and the Library of congress will print our bills, no interest.
On the top it will say
Old world order, Nationalism Rules and Freedom for all conscience.

The gov would loan the money to the banks and charge interest, thus making money instead of spending it.



These bankers get really upset when some presidents talk about printing the government currency and cutting out the FED. I think kennedy mentioned that a few days before he retired. Lincoln was somewhat involved with that and so was Jefferson I hear.
Last edited by Flowerr on Wed 27 Feb 2008, 23:38:12, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby LastViking » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 23:36:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Flowerr', 'R')eally. Wow.

Is that why our dollar is so low today?

Everyone is cheating, like in a monopoly game?


No, your currency is falling because you have hundreds of billions in deficits over the last several years. The very low interest rates needed for the post 2001 Recovery meant Investment Capital was attracted away from the USA.
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby Flowerr » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 23:41:54

U dint answer the questions.

I see, so where did the 5 billion, the 50 billion and the 500 billion loans given to the large banks defaulting come from hte last few weeks?

Did they print it or not?
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby LastViking » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 23:42:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Flowerr', 'O')
And why should we americans pay interest to a private bank to print our money? I never figured that one out.
when it is our money in the first place?

The gov would loan the money to the banks and charge interest, thus making money instead of spending it.


It's not a pvt bank. 67% of its profits (interest made on loans to Banks & currency trading profits) go to the Treasury each year as witnessed in its annual Statements. You have everything backwards.
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby Flowerr » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 23:47:29

and the other 33 percent?


private bank

right?

a private bank taking 33 percent of all our profits.

why?
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby LastViking » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 23:47:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Flowerr', 'I') see, so where did the 5 billion, the 50 billion and the 500 billion loans given to the large banks defaulting come from hte last few weeks?

Did they print it or not?
Invent it?
creat it?

It was printed and manufactured and pumped into the system from what I heard.


Sorry, you heard wrong!
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby Flowerr » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 23:49:02

Created in 1913 by the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act, it is a quasi-public (part private, part government) banking system.

Why is the private part in there?
who are these guys?

Do they own NON TRANSFERABLE STOCK in the bank?

Why?

and how much is 33 % of 45 billion dollars of interest those PRIVATE GUYS MADE off of us tax payers?
hmm?
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby mattduke » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 23:52:18

LastViking, you do not know what money is, in your heart you know that. Read this.

http://www.mises.org/money.asp
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby Flowerr » Thu 28 Feb 2008, 00:02:41

Most recently, the Fed slashed the rate 0.75% in an emergency action on January 22, 2008 to assist in reversing a significant market slide influenced by weakening international markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average initially fell nearly 4% (465 points) at the start of trading and then rebounded to a more tolerable 1.06% (128 point) loss.


Tell me if the job of the PRIVATE FED is to control the stock market?
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby Flowerr » Thu 28 Feb 2008, 00:44:31

"the recession only became a crisis when these failures spread to New York and in particular to this building, then the headquarters of the Bank of United States. The failure of this bank had far reaching effects and need never have happened...Only a few blocks away is the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It was here that the Bank of United States could have been saved. Indeed, the Federal Reserve System had been set up 17 years earlier precisely to prevent the worst consequences of bank failures...It was all a question of reassuring the public that they could get their money. The Federal Reserve System was there to insure that this happened by supplying cash to the banks...Why didn't this system prevent The Great Depression after 1929? Because from 1929 to 1930 after the stock market crashed, the Federal Reserve system allowed the quantity of money to decline slowly thereby throttling the monetary structure...If the Federal Reserve had stepped in, bought government securities on a large scale, provided the cash, the depositors would have found that they could've got their money and they would have stopped asking for it...Despite excellent advice from New York, the system refused to buy government bonds, something which would have provided cash to the commercial banks with which they could have met more easily the insisted demands of their depositors. Instead, believe it or not, the system stood idly by while banks crashed on all sides. As the head of one of the banks put it, the reserve system had to keep its powder dry for a real emergency."

Having the power and doing nothing on purpose and being private? Could there have been a motive?

afterwards it was noted the mankers CLEANED UP on farms, and land and houses, became very rich.
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Thu 28 Feb 2008, 02:40:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LastViking', ' ')The Fed & Treasury have to borrow money just like everyone else.

Wrong. The Fed can create money without borrowing it. This is what Fed Open Market Operations are all about. They buy debt with newly created money.
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby Flowerr » Thu 28 Feb 2008, 04:49:35

The Federal Reserve is an unnecessary and counterproductive interference in the economy. The centralized banking system is doomed to fail (due to the fractional reserve system's pyramid scheme scam). The Fed lacks accountability and transparency and there is a culture of secrecy within the Reserve.

The Federal Reserve System’s expansionary monetary policy in the 1920s, allowed misallocations of capital resources and supported a massive stock price bubble. Also, politically motivated expansions or tightening of currency in the 1970s and 1980s. Prove favoritism in developing government control.
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby MrBill » Thu 28 Feb 2008, 10:14:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigTex', 'N')EW QUESTION:

If money supply is growing at the same rate as GDP, it is not supposed to be inflationary (I think I have that right).

So when the economy slows down, we inject liquidity to soften the slowdown, but now the money supply is growing faster while the rate of GDP is slowing--isn't this inherently inflationary?

When I think of recession, I think of prices being lower to induce spending by frightened consumers. I always think of rising prices in a recession as stagflation, but if my analysis above is correct EVERY recessionary period should involve stagflation if additional liquidity is being injected to stimulate the economy.

OTOH, when the economy is expanding quickly we reign in the money supply, but one of the symptoms of a hot economy is rising wages, which are viewed as inflationary. But how can mere wage growth be inflationary if the money supply is not expanding?


This thread seems to be going all over the place, eh?

Hmm, right on the first point. If money supply is growing at the same rate as inflation-adjusted GDP then it should not be inflationary. But this depends on interest rate policy. If inflation-adjusted GDP is growing at 4% then it would be reasonable to have 4% nominal interest rates that are neither contractionary or stimulative.

If you borrow at or above 4% then you would be assuming your investment or future income will grow faster than 4%. An assumption.

If you borrowed 4% to buy stock - a claim on the future revenues of a publicly traded company in the form of dividends and perhaps capital appreciation (another assumption) - then you would be doubly out of luck if that company's share price declined by 4%. You would still have to repay the principle plus 4% annual interest on your loan, plus the value of what you have bought has decreased by 4%, so you're financially worse off than had you done nothing.

So in a recession if there is negative growth then interest rates should be decreased to encourage businesses to borrow to invest to grow out of their earnings slump on the back of weak consumer demand. However, rates have to be sufficiently attractive to find any buyers due to the riskiness of those future earnings.

It would not be inflationary if you lowered rates and no one wanted to borrow because they saw no place to put that cash productively to work. However, we do have to distinguish between 'asset price inflation' and 'wage and price inflation'.

If you jack up money supply creation by making real interest rates too low thereby encouraging borrowing that extra money supply can flow into such assets as housing, equity and bonds. That's just extra money looking for a home. Like water it tends to flow first into underpriced assets (low places) first, but eventually lifts the price of all assets if the volume is large enough.

Your wage and price inflation can then can come into play as prices rise to reflect the higher cost of real estate, leaseholds, commercial property, so companies in turn demand more for their products to pay the rent so to speak. Then workers in turn start to demand higher wages to compensate them for prices that are going up all around them. In other words their expectation of higher inflation to come.

However, if asset prices are falling then even real interest rates of zero are not attractive enough to tempt buyers of assets or for firms to borrow to expand production for which they see no final demand.

The cash injections that we have most recently seen into the banking sector were not so much to stimulate demand or lending, but actually just to plug the holes in banks' balance sheets created by bad loan losses. Banks have to meet minimum reserve capital requirements, and on top of that have to have enough capital to make new loans or service existing ones. So that 'new' money actually just replaced capital losses and was not a net increase in long-term money supply. Banks would still have to repay that money borrowed with interest. That principle and interest can only come out of profits from new lending and/or the bank's shareholder equity.

If I give you ten bucks you might spend it on a meal around the corner. But if you have just lost a hundred dollars at the race track that you still owe to your bookie then if I lend you ten bucks you will not likely be able to pay your bookie back or have that meal. You still have to find another $90 somewhere else, plus another tenner for dinner. The ten bucks does not make the hundred dollar loss disappear or give you a free lunch! ; - )
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby Flowerr » Thu 28 Feb 2008, 10:32:17

Only
the hundred dollars you lost is now in circulation being spent elsewhere and elsewhom. The total circulation is elseby increased.

Printing money to make up losses still allows the "lost" money (in the pockets of the serf) to circulate also.

Within last two months them guys printed up 5 billion, then 50 billion then 500 billion to make up loan losses, and I didn't get any of it.

I mean, I could circulate the money as well as them, right? give me a billion with instructions to spend it, and the stores in my area would profit and thrive. WHY NOT?

Why not me instead of the rich weasels?


Cause they are nepotists.
There exists only 875 billion dollars in cash circulating around in vortex pools in the whole world, ( that is 9 million piles of 100 thousand dollars .the rest is just computer numbers and IOU's which also functions as money, some banks trade with IOUs, so in effect there is lots of money and more coming daily.
Just wait tilll they go digital. they will be able to invent money in the computer and take yours away at will.

injecting that much money might drop the dollar value.O

O
the dollar is about 70 percent of the euro now.

Running the worlds money supply is not so much what you do, it is who you know. The system basically corrects itself, and it takes a lot of manipulation to crash it, but boy they are trying.

I
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby MrBill » Thu 28 Feb 2008, 11:12:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CrudeAwakening', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LastViking', ' ')The Fed & Treasury have to borrow money just like everyone else.

Wrong. The Fed can create money without borrowing it. This is what Fed Open Market Operations are all about. They buy debt with newly created money.


Only the Treasury, and its agent the Mint, can create money. The Fed lends money it borrows from the Treasury. The Treasury in turns auctions off treasury bills and bonds at market interest rates. When the Fed does a repurchase of bonds - repo - then it is buying back government bonds that have already been issued, and therefore already paid for.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')How do open market purchases add to bank reserves and deposits? Suppose the Federal Reserve System, through its trading desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, buys $10,000 of Treasury bills from a dealer in U. S. government securities.(3) In today's world of computerized financial transactions, the Federal Reserve Bank pays for the securities with an "telectronic" check drawn on itself.(4) Via its "Fedwire" transfer network, the Federal Reserve notifies the dealer's designated bank (Bank A) that payment for the securities should be credited to (deposited in) the dealer's account at Bank A. At the same time, Bank A's reserve account at the Federal Reserve is credited for the amount of the securities purchase. The Federal Reserve System has added $10,000 of securities to its assets, which it has paid for, in effect, by creating a liability on itself in the form of bank reserve balances. These reserves on Bank A's books are matched by $10,000 of the dealer's deposits that did not exist before.


Source: MODERN MONEY MECHANICS

The Fed therefore does not create money, but it does write a cheque drawn on its own account to pay for those bonds or bills. That may be splitting hairs, but the only thing, I suppose, to stop the central bank from creating unlimited amounts of credit that can be converted in money, I suppose again, is the cost of money. The amount of interest that the Fed charges banks when it lends them money. The banks would have to make a positive return on their borrowed funds to repay that principle with interest.

If the banks did not have a positive use or return for those borrowed funds then they would just keep the treasury bills and bonds, and let them mature at par while collecting the coupon or capital appreciation. In high inflation countries that is basically what banks do. They collect deposits and lend the money back to the government at a positive carry bypassing the real economy altogether.
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby Flowerr » Thu 28 Feb 2008, 11:20:32

aha!

if the FED only can create money

and when they do it they charge interest, you cannot pay back more than is made unless it is made some other way, or the money supply will contract and cause a 1929 problem.

so you have to expand the money supply, or print faster than you have to pay back interest or at least print some free mooney which is what they did 2 months ago to the tune of 555 billion.

like the last three months when they replaced the LOST 5, 50 and 500 billion in loan defaults.

they printed without collecting interest on the other prior lost (in circulation) bills

so they efectively double the money supply without charging interet.

common sens that if I printed 100 dollars and charged you 5 % you have to pay back 105.

the five had to be printed interest free in ordedr to use it to pay it off

UNLESS they print faster than the loans come due like happened in the correction where they are replacing now th 5 50 and 500 billion

basically a free printoff.

Now I see it.

If you make the story complex enough, they can't arrest you.

that is how the Fed stays out of jail.


and FINALLY, why would Ruthlesschild say:
"If I control the money supply, I care not who makes the laws"

why would he say that if ultimately he did not make theFED a planned method to control the money supply and the country?


Hmmm?
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby MrBill » Thu 28 Feb 2008, 12:06:14

Sorry Flower, my friend, we have been over this ground many times already on peak oil dot com, and I simply do not feel compelled to go through it, yet, again. Read the link I attached from the Chicago Fed. If you have any specific questions then please let me know? Thanks.

UPDATE: ACU - Anti-american Currency Unit
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Thu 28 Feb 2008, 21:10:34

Hi, MrBill :) Sorry, I didn't mean to reopen this old can o' worms..I guess it comes down to what you are willing to define as “money”.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '
')Only the Treasury, and its agent the Mint, can create money. The Fed lends money it borrows from the Treasury.

True, if you consider only notes and coins to be "money". But as we both know, most money (in the sense that most people use the term) now consists of digitalized liabilities of the banking system, standing ready to be converted into FRNs (in theory, at least). But I suppose that you can argue that this “money” is really just a promise to pay in FRNs.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Treasury in turns auctions off treasury bills and bonds at market interest rates. When the Fed does a repurchase of bonds - repo - then it is buying back government bonds that have already been issued, and therefore already paid for.

I really meant Permanent Open Market Operations, rather than repos, which are only a temporary addition to the monetary base. I think the fact that the bonds bought by the Fed have already been issued and bought by a third party is irrelevant to whether or not money is created, though. The third party is merely a middleman in the transaction, which is essentially the Fed lending to the gov.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Fed therefore does not create money, but it does write a cheque drawn on its own account to pay for those bonds or bills. That may be splitting hairs..


Well, yes, I guess the cheque is a promise to credit the reserve account of the presenting bank with an equivalent amount. And in the process, a bank deposit is created as the cheque holder presents it at his bank.

You appear to be saying that the bank deposits created by the Fed, although fully convertible into FRNs, being 100% reserve-backed, are not really “money”, but rather a ledger entry convertible into “money”. Fair enough!
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Re: Economics 101

Unread postby MrBill » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 07:43:13

Actually, I went back and re-read all the older posts and I saw your definition there. Sorry, did not mean to re-define it either. I think we are on the same page. I mean, yes, literally money is created out of thin air. Just like a stock certificate is drafted to represent partial ownership of a public company or a title deed confers ownership over a piece of land. Also just pieces of paper.

Sovereignage is the government's privilege to issue its own currency, which is a call on all the countries assets. Just like if I write a cheque I create a liability to pay the bearer on demand. Whether that IOU is of any value depends critically on whether I have any money in my bank account or in the case of the government whether I can exchange their scrip for real goods and services.
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