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Credit crunch impacts on production

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Credit crunch impacts on production

Unread postby TheDude » Sat 11 Apr 2009, 00:43:26

North Sea At Risk As Spending On New Oil Fields Set To Plummet (from The Herald )

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')pril 11 2009

The North Sea faces a disastrous decline in spending on new oil and gas fields over the next two years, according to one of the industry's senior figures, who says the government must reduce the tax burden to help limit the damage.

Allister Langlands, chief executive of Wood Group, the oil services giant, warned that capital expenditure in explora- tion and development work in the mature province could fall victim to a lethal combination of the recent fall in oil and gas prices and the credit crunch, the consequences of which could last for years.

"While the operating expenditure (on producing fields) will come down a bit, I think there is a real risk you could see a major dip in capex in the North Sea especially in 2010," he said.
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Langlands's comments come as even industry majors brace themselves to deal with the challenges posed by a global recession.

World oil demand will drop by a hefty 2.4 million barrels per day in 2009, the Inter-national Energy Agency (IEA) said yesterday. As the rate of oil demand contraction reached levels last seen in the early 1980s, the Paris-based adviser to oil-consuming countries said outright demand for this year was expected to be 83.4 million barrels per day: around one million less than in its previous monthly report.

"This is a pretty exceptional period of demand collapsing," said David Fyfe, head of the oil industry and markets division at the IEA.
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Re: Credit crunch impacts on production

Unread postby AirlinePilot » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 11:00:06

http://arabianoilandgas.com/article-533 ... e_project/

"The Moneefa project is in line to become Saudi Arabia’s largest offshore field, capable of producing 900,000 barrels of crude. However, the heavy sour crude the field holds makes it expensive to process and not economically viable in the current financial climate. "
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Re: Credit crunch impacts on production

Unread postby vision-master » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 11:04:45

Image

That ativar is totally disgusting. :badgrin:
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Re: Credit crunch impacts on production

Unread postby kiwichick » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 14:54:24

re credit

anyone heard of hal turner ; @ turnerradionetwork.blockspot.com

claims he has acopy of the US bank stress test

if true it makes VERY< VERY< VERY UGLY READING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Re: Credit crunch impacts on production

Unread postby vision-master » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 15:05:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kiwichick', 'r')e credit--anyone heard of hal turner ; @ turnerradionetwork.blockspot.com , claims he has acopy of the US bank stress test. if true it makes VERY< VERY< VERY UGLY READING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Turner Radio Network has obtained the stress test results. They are very bad. The most salient points from the stress tests appear below.

1) Of the top nineteen (19) banks in the nation, sixteen (16) are already technically insolvent. (Based upon the “alternative more adverse” scenario which had a 3.3 percent contraction of the U.S. Economy in 2009, accompanied by 8.9 percent unemployment, followed by 0.5 percent growth of the U.S. Economy but a 10.3 percent jobless in 2010.)

2) Of the 16 banks that are already technically insolvent, not even one can withstand any disruption of cash flow at all or any further deterioration in non-paying loans. (Without further government injections of cash)

3) If any two of the 16 insolvent banks go under, they will totally wipe out all remaining FDIC insurance funding.

4) Of the top 19 banks in the nation, the top five (5) largest banks are under capitalized so dangerously, there is serious doubt about their ability to continue as ongoing businesses.

5) Five large U.S. banks have credit exposure related to their derivatives trading that exceeds their capital, with four in particular - JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, HSBC Bank America and Citibank - taking especially large risks.

6) Bank of America`s total credit exposure to derivatives was 179 percent of its risk-based capital; Citibank`s was 278 percent; JPMorgan Chase`s, 382 percent; and HSBC America`s, 550 percent. It gets even worse: Goldman Sachs began reporting as a commercial bank, revealing an alarming total credit exposure of 1,056 percent, or more than ten times its capital! (HSBC is NOT in the top 19 banks undergoing a stress test, but is mentioned in the report as an aside because of its risk capital exposure to derivatives)

7) Not only are there serious questions about whether or not JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs,Citibank, Wells Fargo, Sun Trust Bank, HSBC Bank USA, can continue in business, more than 1,800 regional and smaller institutions are at risk of failure despite government bailouts!

The debt crisis is much greater than the government has reported. The FDIC`s "Problem List" of troubled banks includes 252 institutions with assets of $159 billion. 1,816 banks and thrifts are at risk of failure, with total assets of $4.67 trillion, compared to 1,568 institutions, with $2.32 trillion in total assets in prior quarter.

Put bluntly, the entire US Banking System is in complete and total collapse.


link
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Re: Credit crunch impacts on production

Unread postby copious.abundance » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 21:06:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', '[')img]http://peakoil.com/forums/download/file.php?avatar=18892_1238557626.jpg[/img]

That ativar is totally disgusting. :badgrin:

It's a gusher! In Oklahoma, to be precise.

Image

I've been thinking I need to re-do the dimensions or something, but it'll do for now.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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End-of-credit-crunch impacts on production

Unread postby copious.abundance » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 21:36:44

. . . Otherwise known as, "When the economy gets better, drilling and exploration pick up again. And in the meantime, some companies continue with their plans anyway."

Place all news about oil/gas production, drilling and exploration plans proceeding or increasing here.
Last edited by Ferretlover on Tue 19 May 2009, 11:51:03, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Merged withearlier 'Credit crunch impacts on production' thread.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: End-of-credit-crunch impacts on production

Unread postby copious.abundance » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 22:30:41

>>> OGJ <<<
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Global drilling spend to increase by 32% by 2013
Uchenna Izundu
OGJ International Editor

LONDON, Apr. 21 -- The global drilling market is expected to pick up by 2013 with deepwater rigs driving the growth, according to data from Douglas-Westwood Ltd. and Energyfiles.

Although there will be reduced spending in 2009 and 2010 due to the global recession that has reduced oil demand, operators are expected to increase spending on offshore drilling by 32% from 2009-13 compared with 2004-08.

Report author Dr Michael R. Smith of Energyfiles said, "Shallow water exploratory drilling levels are not expected to ever return to their most recent 2007 peak but growth in deepwater drilling has supported exploratory drilling over the last 5 years—to reach 40% of all exploratory wells by 2013. The steady growth is a result of new ultra deepwater targets becoming increasingly viable, as the capability of deepwater production systems is improved, giving additional encouragement to explorers to take these expensive risks."

[...]
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: End-of-credit-crunch impacts on production

Unread postby Schmuto » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 22:33:05

What end of credit crunch?

Prime defaults are up, as are personal credit defaults.

Give me a call when we get closer.
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Re: End-of-credit-crunch impacts on production

Unread postby copious.abundance » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 22:35:33

>>> Upstream Online <<<
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Petrobras gears up for shopping spree
By Upstream staff

Brazil's Petrobras is seeking around 240 offshore development vessels in the next five to six years, its chief financial officer said today, deals that could bring new life to the stagnant global shipbuilding sector.

"In the next five to six years, we are looking for 240 different vessels... (including) drillships, storage units, supply vessels, transportation vessels and others," Almir Barbassa told Reuters on the sidelines of a seminar held in Seoul.

Barbassa said that Petrobras would also issue tenders for eight floating product storage and offloading units and seven drill ships "soon".

A drillship costs about $800 million on average, while FPSOs cost about $1 billion, according to shipping sources.

[...]
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: End-of-credit-crunch impacts on production

Unread postby copious.abundance » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 22:36:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Schmuto', 'W')hat end of credit crunch?

Prime defaults are up, as are personal credit defaults.

Give me a call when we get closer.

Individuals and families do not spend money on oil production and exploration projects.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: End-of-credit-crunch impacts on production

Unread postby Blacksmith » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 22:52:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', 'I')ndividuals and families do not spend money on oil production and exploration projects.
Their called INVESTORS.
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Re: End-of-credit-crunch impacts on production

Unread postby copious.abundance » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 22:57:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Blacksmith', 'T')heir called INVESTORS.

It's "they're." :wink: And most money in the stock market these days comes from institutional investors anyway.
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http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: End-of-credit-crunch impacts on production

Unread postby Blacksmith » Tue 21 Apr 2009, 23:51:08

Institutional investors, like pention funds, mutial funds, etc all tied back to INVESTORS
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Re: End-of-credit-crunch impacts on production

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 22 Apr 2009, 00:01:58

They're already gearing up for the next upswing in western Canada! 8O

>>> Vancouver Sun <<<
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Patch readies for next cycle
Pain in energy sector starts to subside
By Claudia Cattaneo, Financial PostApril 16, 2009

Eight months into what is rated by many as the most devastating downturn experienced in the Canadian oil-and-gas sector, signs of a recovery are emerging.

Oil prices have returned to about US$50, the energy group on the Toronto Stock Exchange has bounced more than 8% since the beginning of the year and bargain hunting is on the rise.

Meanwhile, preparations for the next cycle are well underway. New projects, new companies, new leaders, new plays with the potential to revive Western Canada's sedimentary basin and new attitudes about the future will define it.

Here's a taste of what's coming:

[...]
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: End-of-credit-crunch impacts on production

Unread postby Schmuto » Wed 22 Apr 2009, 00:35:45

Consumer = "70% of GDP".

You need more than that to understand that, without the "consumer," your credit crunch will not end?
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Re: Credit crunch impacts on production

Unread postby AirlinePilot » Wed 22 Apr 2009, 20:53:45

Apache Energy to layoff 6% due to weakness in crude prices:

April 22 (Bloomberg) -- Apache Corp., the biggest independent U.S. oil company by market value, is reducing the size of its global workforce by 6 percent as tumbling energy prices force producers to slash costs. Cuts at the Houston-based company are based on its worldwide employee count of
3,639 at the end of last year, Bill Mintz, a company spokesman, said today in a telephone interview. “Because lower commodity prices mean lower cash flow and capital budgets, we’ve reduced our employee ranks to reflect current activity levels,” Mintz said. “We expect the planned reduction will be substantially completed this week.”
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Re: Credit crunch impacts on production

Unread postby TheDude » Wed 22 Apr 2009, 21:31:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', '[')img]http://peakoil.com/forums/download/file.php?avatar=18892_1238557626.jpg[/img]

That ativar is totally disgusting. :badgrin:


You'll love this, then:

Image

Oh yeah, baby! Image
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Re: Credit crunch impacts on production

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 22 Apr 2009, 23:36:20

Oh, pay no attention to him shorty, he's just PMS-ing. ;)
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: Credit crunch impacts on production

Unread postby AirlinePilot » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 00:29:27

Back on topic boys, there's plenty to go around.....


"The world's largest oilfield services company, Schlumberger cut some 5,000, or 6%, of its 84,000 global employees in the first round of layoffs announced in
January amid a worldwide downturn in oil and gas activity and weakened crude prices."

http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=75432
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