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Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby copious.abundance » Tue 25 Oct 2011, 15:21:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bruce_S', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Serial_Worrier', 'T')hink about the environmental wreckage of shale oil production. It's immoral to future generations as well as the tar sands that has destroyed large swathes of arboreal Canadian forest.

The tar sands are not shale oil.

Is the level of knowledge really so bad around here that you feel the need to point this out?

Unfortunately, yes.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Tue 25 Oct 2011, 15:28:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')h. And specific to this thread; rosy prediction for tar sands and oil shale are investor hype not supported by any reasonable data.


and exactly how can you judge that? You've shown time and time again that you are clueless to the basics of either.
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Tue 25 Oct 2011, 16:28:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o I will ask you this; do you really seriously believe this shale crap will reverse decades-long US peak or somehow bring the world back from the precipice? Or are you merely nostalgic for the glory days?


now you are changing your claim. You are trying to make the argument about somehow shale liquids obliterating the notion of peak oil while in reality you have been going on and on about neither it nor heavy oil producing anything of importance or ever being economic which has been demonstrated by numerous Oil and Gas companies to be a ridiculous assumption. I suggest you go back and look at your own posts. I believe you just recently claimed that shale liquids production required mining and/or THAI technology which demonstrates your ignorance in the whole subject. I could care less whether you "fear" me or not, what I do care about is you spreading your uninformed comments, with the bravado of an "expert" in the subject, to people who look to this site for information on the subject. They deserve better.

I do not believe anyone on this sight has suggested that peak oil has been disproved by the production of shale liquids. However, this production is currently and will be extremely important to the US economy as it has the ability to offset imports for sometime (we are currently seeing that start to happen very recently). As I have said many times on this site through the 5-6 years of so I've been here the importance of shale resource development and heavy oil development is to give additional time to develop alternative sources. Your continual claim that I do not believe in Peak Oil is at odds with posts of mine back as far as 2005 and specific models I created for the Saudi production thread that demonstrated a ~2015 global peak (which did not account for the 2008 global economic crisis).
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby copious.abundance » Tue 25 Oct 2011, 16:32:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'O')h. And specific to this thread; rosy prediction for tar sands and oil shale are investor hype not supported by any reasonable data. People. Do. Not. Get. Sucked. Into. The. Hype. Take it from an Expert :lol:

As pointed out here, pstarr's definition of an investor scam is an oil well that pays for itself in less than a year.

Yeah, some scam! Let me in on that scam, please! :lol:
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby Moto » Tue 25 Oct 2011, 20:32:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'O')h. And specific to this thread; rosy prediction for tar sands and oil shale are investor hype not supported by any reasonable data. People. Do. Not. Get. Sucked. Into. The. Hype. Take it from an Expert :lol:


Neither is hype at this point.
Please define reasonable data.

I am impressed at just how knowledgeable most members are on this forum.

Having a large number of posts on a web site does not make anyone an "expert".
I have a funny example related to that. In 2007, I owned powertheworld.net, and my goal was to sell wind and solar products in my area. I was in college at the time and had no money, so I never really got it rollin and now for the funny part. I was contacted that year and asked to be a speaker at a solar conference based on a website that cost me $7 to buy and maybe 24 hours of my time. Of course, I turned down the offer, but it is scary how easily some people are fooled into believing someone is an "Expert" in something.
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Wed 26 Oct 2011, 16:08:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') never claimed THAI or SAGH was "necessary" or "required" or "had to be there" or anything of the kind. You are misrepresenting the intention of that post. That THAI and SAGH are even considered suitable mitigations for the demise of inexpensive free-flowing light sweet crude is indicative of the state of your industry and the nonsense that anything will replace declining reserves. bye for now.


well I just bumped your comment from another thread where you claimed THAI and SAGH (it is SAGD not SAGH) were both used to develop oil shale and shale oil. Nothing could be further from the truth, both technologies are used only in heavy oil pools with conventional reservoirs where the heat energy is needed to get the viscous crude to flow. It's now there for everyone to see.
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby Moto » Wed 26 Oct 2011, 18:09:04

Wrong... There is lots of pressure pushing the oil into the well bore (3000psi+).... They don't suck oil out they just drop the pressure to induce flow. Fracking increases the surface area in contact with the well bore to something that is nearly incomprehensible. (I don't have numbers, but I have heard them)

Long story short is that if you have enough surface area it doesn't matter that the rock is nearly impermeable. Quit spouting the ROI crap you don't understand it.
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby Moto » Wed 26 Oct 2011, 23:56:47

Added a short crack at explaining surface area.

Or just check this graph out and then tell me I lie. (Surface area in square inches)
I didn't have a data source so I just had to take some shots in the dark, but I'm going to bet my numbers are low if anything.
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby copious.abundance » Thu 27 Oct 2011, 00:41:52

Anything (gas or liquid) 5,000-18,000 feet underground is going to be under immense pressure and will veritably explode if you so much as drill an itty bitty hole to let it escape.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby Moto » Thu 27 Oct 2011, 10:01:16

Wrong again...
1. What makes any liquid move is a difference in head pressure. Naturally there is very little difference in pressure because it has had millions of years to reach equilibrium with the pressure at depth. (4000 to about 7500 PSI in the Bakken)

2. As you keep pointing out shale is not a very permeable rock, but sandstone is. Since there are layers of rock water and oil will likely stay in a sandstone unit once they are there. The underlying reason is again pressure it is easier to develop an effective difference in pressure in a sandstone than a shale.(permeability thing)

Everything really boils down to differential pressure. Naturally there isn't much, but when you drill an oil well you drop the pressure down form 3000+ PSI so something like 1200 which is enough pressure to move oil and water out of a shale. (pressure is kept just above whatever the bubble point is)

The processes is still incredibly slow so it requires a huge surface area to make it worthwhile, but over time quite a bit of oil will work its way out. (few percent)

Side note:
In shale formations oil companies occasionally drop the pressure below the bubble point to create a larger differential pressure. Doing this in a traditional field would destroy they field.
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Thu 27 Oct 2011, 10:25:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')verything really boils down to differential pressure. Naturally there isn't much, but when you drill an oil well you drop the pressure down form 3000+ PSI so something like 1200 which is enough pressure to move oil and water out of a shale. (pressure is kept just above whatever the bubble point is)

The processes is still incredibly slow so it requires a huge surface area to make it worthwhile, but over time quite a bit of oil will work its way out. (few percent)


The main reason the liquids from shale don't escape to the surface as Pstar is suggesting they should is simply permeability. Whereas a good average sandstone reservoir might have permeability in the range of a couple of hundred millidarcies and exceptional reservoirs would have permeabilities up to a Darcy, shale reservoirs typically have permeability in the range of nanodarcies.....thats right nanodarcies. You can't get flow along permeability of that nature. Hence the need to frac which increases permeability and as you say at the same time leaves an avenue across which pressure drop can occur and hence flow. Propping said fractures is important given the tendency for "crack seal" phenomena to take over.
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby Moto » Thu 27 Oct 2011, 11:10:25

I was trying to get at that but I didn't do a very good job.
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Re: Continuous Resources Vs Traditional Oil Fields

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Thu 27 Oct 2011, 12:06:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'i').e. no natural drive mechanism as I have been saying all along. Thus the acts perpetrated on these shale formations is best described as "mining" not "oiling". Furthermore my inclusion of horizontal shale fracturing with various other unconventional (at best marginally economic) liquid fossil-fuel production systems (SAGH, THAI, tar sands, oil shale, etc.) has a lot more meaning than you oil-company boosters have been willing to grant.


You really don't get it, do you? I have to question your education at this point, I can't remember first year university students having as big a problem with the concepts as you are having.
Mining describes an activity where rock material is extracted from its in-situ position and generally crushed, treated with chemicals etc in order to extract whatever product one is looking for (i.e., gold, copper, iron, etc). Mining as applied to hydrocarbons is exactly similar in that large draglines are used to first remove whatever thin layer of cover is in place (almost nothing in the McMurray area) and then dig up all of the sand reservoir along with the bitumen that resides in it's pore space. The oil has no internal energy in this case as the gas to oil ratio or Boi is effectively so low that no gas is expelled as it is mined. The sand and oil is then sent through series of separtors to extract the hydrocarbon from the sand. That hydrocarbon can then be treated in various fashions dependant on its intended end use (put through a catalytic cracking unit if used as a light oil replacement). For shale kerogens mining is the only way to make it work with shales near surface extracted with drag lines (or bucket and shovel) and crushed and heated to extract hydrocarbons. Again this is not shale oil as referred to in the Bakken or EagleFord or any other formation in North America currently producing.
Fracturing of shales does not remove rock material. The hydrocarbon flows under its own power (unlike heavy oil this hydrocarbon usually has high gas content) once permeability is increased and a series of pressure drops to the well bore are created. PCP or ESP pumps in the borehole help to increase the wellhead rate. This is not mining.
In-situ heavy oil methods such as SAGD and THAI are also not mining as the rock is never removed. In this case permeability is not a problem, what is a problem is the oil viscosity is very high (several thousand centipoise as compared to shale oil/liquids that is general in the tens of centipoise) and there is no gas in the oil. As a consequence thermal energy is needed to decrease the viscosity and create flow.
The processes, recovery factors, cost profile, surface impact, production profile, economics and pretty much everything else related to extraction are completely different between the in-situ heavy oils and shale oil. The only similarity whatsoever between any of these is they are not conventional light hydrocarbons. But that would be similar to saying that apples and oranges are very similar because neither are bananas.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he fact that we are reduced to scraping (at a great cost in energy/money) the bottom of the fossil fuel barrel would suggest a paradigm change you cornies are incapable of admitting. I would call it peak oil.


And again you don't listen. I am on record in these forums as producing my own model for peak oil which encorporated Wood Mackenzie and IHS Energy independant data sources along with some tweaks based on personal knowledge of some countries production. There were a series of posts on this back in 2005 or 2006 with my prediction being somewhere around 2015 (not having the benefit of knowing a global recession would bring us to an earlier but longer lasting peak). I was aware of the peak oil concept back in the early seventies having the benefit of grad studies professors, one of whom was personal friends with King Hubbert having worked with him in the Shell Research centre and the other who was present when Hubbert dropped the peak oil bomb at the AAPG convention.

You make the mistake of thinking that to believe in peak oil means that you must believe unconventionals are of no consequence. Nothing could be further from the truth.
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