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Page added on August 19, 2012
US-Israeli deal on Iran? No Israeli strike now if Obama pledged a spring attack
House this week scrambled to reconnect with Jerusalem after the Obama administration was persuaded that Israel was serious about conducting a fall military operation against Iran’s nuclear program before the Nov. 6 US presidential election – notwithstanding the heavy opposition guns firing against it at home and from Washington. Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister, Ehud Barak, assisted by their newly-appointed Home Front Defense Minister, were seen deep in practical preparations for this operation and its repercussions, as well an outbreak of hostilities with Syria and Hizballah.
The White House accordingly got in touch with Netanyahu’s office to find out what America must do to convince Israel to back off.
Wednesday, Aug.15, debkafile revealed exclusively that the Obama and Netanyahu were discussing a one-on-one encounter on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly session opening in New York on Sept. 18 in order to resume their military and strategic dialog on the Iranian issue broken off by their polar differences.
debkafile now learns that those discussions have moved forward. Handled by National Security Adviser Tom Donilon for the US president and senior adviser Ron Dermer for the prime minister, they focus essentially on a four-point plan embodying Israel’s requirements for delaying an attack.
1. President Obama will formally inform the two houses of congress in writing that he plans to use military force to prevent Iran from arming itself with a nuclear weapon. He will request their endorsement. Aside from this step’s powerful deterrent weight for persuading Iran’s leaders to give up their pursuit of a nuclear bomb, it would also give the US president the freedom to go to war with Iran when he sees fit, without have to seek congressional endorsement.
2. To underscore his commitment, President Obama would pay a visit to Israel in the weeks leading up to election-day and deliver a speech to the Knesset solemnly pledging to use American military force against the Islamic Republic if Tehran still refuses to give up its nuclear weapon program. He will repeat that pledge before various other public forums.
3, In the coming months up until Spring 2013, the United States will upgrade Israel’s military, intelligence and technological capabilities so that if President Obama (whether he is reelected or replaced by Mitt Romney) decides to back out of this commitment, Israel will by then be in command of the resources necessary for inflicting mortal damage on Iran’s nuclear program with a unilateral strike.
debkafile’s military sources note that an influx of these top-grade US military resources would bridge the gap between American and Israeli ticking clocks for an attack on Iran, and dispel the fear in Jerusalem that delay would give Iran time to bury its key facilities in “zones of immunity” – outside Israel’s reach for serious damage with its present capabilities.
4. If points 1-3 can be covered – and Netanyahu and Barak are convinced the US really means to strike Iran next spring – our Washington and Jerusalem sources report that Jerusalem may be coming around to agreeing to hold back a lone Israeli attack this autumn.
Those sources report that President Obama has not rejected the plan. Donilon was told to keep on talking to Netanyahu and Barak.
3 Comments on "US-Israeli deal on Iran? No Israeli strike now if Obama pledged a spring attack"
melvin polatnick on Sun, 19th Aug 2012 11:39 pm
Keffiyeh and Yarmulke wearers have never been in greater danger of extermination. The coming attack by Israel on Iran would result in a retaliation that would kill most Jews and destroy thousands of synagogues. Every nuclear bomb in the Israeli arsenal would then be used, 85% of Sunnis, Shi`ites and their Mosques would cease to exist. The few survivors will trash their Torah`s and Koran`s, they will only worship oil wealth and Shekels. The words Shalom and Allahu Akbar will be forgotten.
BillT on Mon, 20th Aug 2012 12:19 am
The best thing for the world is for Nutnyahoo to be removed from the equation…permanently. Any volunteers?
Arthur on Mon, 20th Aug 2012 9:36 am
Obama begs, Israel decides. How much clearer do you want to have it? Eliminating Netanjahu would not make a difference. There would be others like him to carry on.
In 1940 there was Charles Lindbergh, leading grand public rallies (google Des Moines speech) openly pointing at the British and the jews as the forces who were trying to bring the US into war with Germany. And even that was not enough to prevent it from happening. Today there is only Paul Craig Roberts writing internet columns and showing up on RussiaToday and that’s about all the resistance Euro-America can generate against The Lobby. The stranglehold these people have over America is in 2012 even bigger than in 1941, when Roosevelt had to engineer the US war entry via Pearl Harbor in order to circumvent Congress and the american public. Today Congress is bought and paid for. The dumbed down american public is only interested in the latest escapades of Paris Hilton and lady Gaga. No resistance is to be expected from them. Even the small government adherents Tea Party supports the empire.
The most likely scenario is that the attack on Iran will take place soon. If Iran is smart they do not even throw one single phoney scud look-alike on Israel, but instead use all they have to destroy all the tankers in the Gulf and the refineries and pipelines in SA. That’s the most effective way to bring down the West in 3-12 months. The consequences will be much worse for Europe than for the US as western Europe is more dependent on the Gulf than the US, except Germany, which gets 100% of its fuel from Russia. Europe will be driven into the arms of Russia, which will only deliver fuel on conditions. The result will be that the western alliance will be terminated and american troops will be told to leave Europe and the Meditarenian. Oil/gas deliveries from Iran and Iraq to Europe could be resumed via the Caspian and Russia, after Europe has broken with the US, circumventing Anglo blockades of the Gulf.
http://deepresource.files.wordpress.com/2012/07/eu-natural-gas-pipelines.jpg
European and Russian troops will seal off the Straight of Gibraltar and Egypt the Suez Canal, leaving Israel totally isolated. Nuclear forces in Russia/France versus Israel on high alert. Mass exodus from jews fleeing Jeruzalem and Tel Aviv. Israel threatening Europe with the Samson option (collective suicide). Secret meetings between European, Russian and Chinese leaders about dividing the world into new spheres of influence. Australia goes to China, with the Australian population relocated on US territory, recognition of Mexican souvereignty over Mexican majority US states like Texas and California.
The US population can prevent this scenario from happening. Last year they were almost there. They were on the correct location: Wallstreet. They correctly identified themselves with the 99%. What they failed to recognize was who the 99% of the 1% really is. And dethrone them. Demand an international independent commission to finally sort out 9/11. This should get the ball rolling and lead to an open discussion about the role of The Lobby in US society.