Page added on July 16, 2012
First week of October earmarked for attack?
Iran has confirmed that its plan to close the Strait of Hormuz has been finalized and is ready to be put into action as soon as confirmation is received from Supreme Leader Imam Sayyed Ali Khamenei, amidst reports that President Obama has earmarked the first week of October for a potential attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities.
“We have a (contingency) plan for the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, but its implementation requires the decision and order of the commander in chief (the Leader),” Major General Hassan Firouzabadi told reporters.
Although some observers have claimed Iran’s repeated rhetoric about closing the transit route is nothing more than hot air, Firouzabadi insisted the threat was genuine.
“The West might think we are just bluffing with the blocking of the Strait of Hormuz but we already have some good plans how to do that,” Firouzabadi was quoted by Fars news agency as saying.
The United States responded to the situation last week by sending underwater sea drones that would find and destroy mines and prevent Iran from being able to block the Strait.
In an effort to reduce Iran’s influence in the region, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates yesterday quietly announced the opening of new pipelines that would bypass the Strait of Hormuz, more than doubling the amount of oil that avoids the choke point to about 40 per cent of the 17 million barrels per day that passes through the Hormuz.
Speculation that Iran would close the Strait, a key choke point through which 33% of the world’s oil shipments pass every day, has raged for the best part of the past year.
False rumors that the Strait was closed have previously sent oil prices soaring. Experts have predicted that oil prices will surge to $300-$500 dollars a barrel if Iran closes the shipping channel in retribution for a US/Israeli attack on the country’s nuclear facilities.
Although tensions in recent months have settled, with any possible strike against Iran’s nuclear program likely postponed until next year, a new report out of Israeli intelligence outfit DebkaFile suggests that the assault could be brought forward to October.
“Nuclear diplomacy has collapsed and President Obama has never been more ready,” states the article, suggesting that the first week of October has been earmarked for the attack.
3 Comments on "Iran: Plan To Close Strait of Hormuz Finalized"
BillT on Tue, 17th Jul 2012 3:53 am
If you look at the area on Google Earth, and see the many missile launching sites along the coast of the Strait and inland, you would know that mines are not all that is possible. The channel is less than a mile wide and passes through Iranian waters. Sinking just one oil tanker would bring transport to a halt as no insurance company would insure ships passing through the strait. If they sink more than one and it closes the channel, it could be years before it is open again. Game over.
As for pipelines/ports/refineries, they are just targets with bulls-eyes painted on them for missiles. ALL of the Middle East is in range of the hundreds of Iranian missiles available.
Only insanity would jump into a situation like this, but then Nut-n-yahoo is crazy and will do it.
Arthur on Tue, 17th Jul 2012 9:09 am
The US has been beating the wars drums for years, they cannot back down. The scenario is clear as Bill describes. Iran will get the Dresden/Hiroshima treatment, but will terminate all shipping from the Gulf indefinately. Stalemate. World economy will collapse because of lack of fuel. Fuelprices will skyrocket, which is nice for Russia. Russia will tell Germany to stay neutral or else it will sell all its fuel to Asia. Germany which gets 100 % of its fuel from Russia will comply and could even leave NATO. In an interconnected world through the internet, the US is going to be blamed, which could lead to massive anti-americanism on a global scale.
Arthur on Tue, 17th Jul 2012 9:11 am
And then there is the internal situation in the US. Even this black guy admits implicitly what a house of cards the US has become:
http://lewrockwell.com/sowell/sowell102.html