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Page added on June 2, 2014
Are China And Russia Moving Toward A Formal Alliance?
During Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to China last week, China and Russia signed a huge natural gas deal that is worth about $400 billion. The natural gas deal is a win-win for China and Russia, as China secures a long-term (30 years) provision of natural gas from Russia and Russia can reduce its dependence on the European markets as well as strengthen Russia’s position against Western sanctions. In the meantime, China and Russia conducted a joint naval drill in East China Sea, sending a deterrence message to Japan and the U.S. This also indicates that Russia is now moving closer to China’s side with regard to the territorial disputes between China and Japan. Furthermore, China and Russia last week vetoed a draft UN resolution to send Syria to the International Criminal Court for war crimes. China and Russia had vetoed three previous UNSC resolutions condemning Syria.
In the joint statement issued by China and Russia, the main message is that China-Russia relations have reached a new stage of comprehensive strategic partnership and this will help increase both countries’ international status and influence, thus contributing to a more just international order. Of particular importance is the agreement that China and Russia will deepen cooperation under the Conference on Interaction and Confidence Building in Asia (CICA), a new security framework in Asia-Pacific that conveniently excludes the U.S. and Japan.
The question that everybody now is asking is this: Why this new development in China-Russia relations? Obviously, the main trigger is the recent Ukraine crisis that has seriously damaged Russia-West relations, thereby pushing Russia closer to China. However, there is also a larger strategic reason. That is, there are mutual strategic needs as both China and Russia want to create a multipolar world that is not dominated by the U.S., particularly as China faces threats from the US-led alliance in Asia. As previously pointed out by Zachary Keck, China’s chance of winning maritime disputes with Japan partly depends on maintaining a good relationship with Russia. From Russia’s perspective, the NATO expansion is a serious threat to Russia’s national security and as such Russia has to fight back. Russia’s current and future capabilities are limited, however, and it desperately needs a reliable strategic partner, which happens to be China.
A more fundamental question, however, is: are China and Russia moving toward to a formal alliance? Some believe (here and here) that a new China-Russia alliance is now emerging and this will eventually lead to a multi-polar world order. Others disagree (here and here) by pointing to problems in China-Russia relations such as historical mistrust, the lack of a common threat, and conflicting interests in Central Asia. Interestingly, within China there have been some domestic debates (here, here, and here) about whether China should form an alliance with Russia.
A prominent proponent for a China-Russia alliance is Professor Yan Xuetong from Qinghua University. Yan has been advocating for a China-Russia alliance for some years. According to Yan, the most important factor determining whether China and Russia should form an alliance is whether the two countries have shared strategic interests and how long such shared strategic interests can last. He first argues that currently neither China nor Russia could become a member of the Western bloc led by the U.S. because other allies of the U.S. would feel threatened by China and Russia. On the one hand, the West would never trust Russia, thus Russia has no better alternative to siding with China. On the other hand, China’s number two position in the world means that China will not be supported by the U.S. with regard to most international affairs issues. Moreover, a declining U.S. will choose an offshore balancing strategy by relying on its allies in Europe and Asia, thereby increasing pressures for China and Russia. Such increasing pressures pose common threats to China and Russia. Thus, a China-Russia alliance would benefit both countries in the next 10 to 20 years. Yan also refutes the argument that a China-Russia alliance against the U.S. would lead to another cold war.
Opponents of a China-Russia alliance, however, point out that there could be potentially high costs of such an alliance due to common problems such as fears of abandonment and entrapment. China could be dragged into an unnecessary war by Russia. Also, Russia is not that interested in this alliance idea as Russia is unwilling to be China’s junior partner in the relationship. Besides, Russia wants to maintain good relations with all Asian states and thus will not side with China when it comes to territorial disputes between China and Japan. For all these reasons, a China-Russia alliance is unrealistic and a strategic partnership is more flexible and better for China.
Thus, it seems that in the near future a formal alliance between China and Russia will not happen due to a variety of reasons. Unless the U.S. militarily threatens both China and Russia at the same time, a formal alliance will not occur. However, the U.S. should be careful not to make another strategic mistake that would only facilitate a formal China-Russia alliance.
8 Comments on "Are China And Russia Moving Toward A Formal Alliance?"
Joe on Mon, 2nd Jun 2014 5:00 pm
At one time it was believed that Great Britain, France and Russia would never form a military alliance as they had far to many territorial desputes in various parts of the world….but it happened then, and it can happen again
Makati1 on Mon, 2nd Jun 2014 8:14 pm
With over half of the world’s people in Asia, (and most of the world’s resources that are left) there is a strong reason for them to band together against the Empire. That this is being forced by Washington is the unexpected part. As “O” tries to play all sides against the middle (kingdom), it is not working. He is only helping them to form an economic team to take down the dollar.
I doubt that the USD will retain it’s world reserve status until 2020. Are you ready for your paycheck to buy 40% of what it does today?
Davy, Hermann, MO on Mon, 2nd Jun 2014 9:01 pm
Mak, you just describe overshoot of carrying capacity. Forget about the resources you have in mind what Asia hasn’t is enough food. Sorry Mak, strike out!
clueless on Tue, 3rd Jun 2014 7:30 am
Davy, US is going down very soon…alone. bye bye.
Davy, Hermann, MO on Tue, 3rd Jun 2014 7:52 am
Cluester, no doubt and no argument. You feel better now. Do you feel like a winner? I hope your self-esteem has been raised. You and Noob need all the self-reinforcement you can get.
thoithe on Tue, 3rd Jun 2014 9:43 am
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We are living in sea of Final particles every hundredth of second !
We are living in sea of particles Day in and Day out, Night in and Night out!
Everyday we are living in Sea of Space—-Final Particles!
We are living in Universal Ocean of Space—Final Particles,
We are living in Oceanic Universe of Space—Final particles!
We are living in immense Universe of Finest Particles!
I am the one and the only one who discover Space – Final Particles and Bigger Universe!
Waves are phenomena of water,
Waves are not real, water is real,
Water is phenomenon of Hydrogen and Oxygen,
Hydrogen and Oxygen are real, Water is not!
Human body is about 93% of water up to 97% is water!
Hydrogen and Oxygen are names of Hydrogen atoms and Oxygen atoms,
Atoms are real, Hydrogen and Oxygen are names called as Danh va Sac!
Atoms are phenomena of Protons, Neutrons, and Electrons,
Protons, Neutrons, and Electrons are real, Atoms are not,
Protons, Neutrons, and Electrons are phenomena of Quarks and Super Parts Particles!
Quarks and Super Parts Particles are real, Protons, Neutrons, and Electrons are as Dynamics of Quarks, and Super Parts Particles . . . . .
Quarks and Super Parts Particles are phenomena of Final Particles,
Final Particles are phenomena of Space – Particles and SPACE – FINAL PARTICLES . . . .
Space – Final Particles are phenomena of BIGGER UNIVERSE than ours AND CARRY OUR UNIVERSE!
I might have Diagram for our Universe, Space—Final Particles in Bigger Universe sometime later on!
We are living in Sea of Final Particles everyday!
Sea of Particles and Final Particles might make all kinds of shapes and Forms in Universe,
From 105 elements in periodic table to billions of Galaxies in the universe and more!
Like waves in water, so are elements in sea of particles,
Elements are acting as waves in sea of particles that it is reacting as water,
Sea of particles are making all kinds of forms and shapes in Universe . . .
If we can manage sea of particles we could make any element as we please. . . . .
We might be please to make COPPER turns GOLD ! ! ! ! ! !
If you are interesting, then we should have Business meeting as soon as possible, ASAP!
Keep in Mind there are 103 up to 105 elements on Earth and more in the Universe !
If you have a good imagination, then you might see deeper and beyond in those words that Space – Particles, Space—Finest Particles, Space – Final Particles would have changed the Nature of Sea of Particles,
SPACE – FINAL PARTICLES is the point, COPPER TURNS GOLD is only as a proof and result in 103 up to 105 elements in Sea of SPACE – FINAL PARTICLES when we can move to APPLICATION PHASE!
Keep in mind we still have 103 up to 105 elements on Earth and more in Universe to make things change in sea of particles there after COPPER Cu (29) becomes GOLD Au (79) !
Copper , Cu(29), turns Gold, Au(79), is only good, concrete proof to the Sea of Space – Final Particle!
However Copper turns Gold is very much a value to change economy for better and more advance and more civilization and make Earth better place to live for very, very long time, or indefinite of time . . . . . . . .
Final Particles are Finest Particles in our universe, it might also be Finest Particles in BIGGER UNIVERSE? ! ? ! ? ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !
BIGGER UNIVERSE IS SOMETHING IS NEW FOR EVERYBODY ON EARTH TO KNOW ABOUT ! ! ! !
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Tho Huynh
Thhnfl@aol.com
Thoithe@ymail.com
Inventenergy123@gmail.com
Viendongthoicuoc@yahoo.com
FINAL PARTICLES
With Sea of Particles application we are no longer having to fight for resource shorting or shorting of resources on Earth we can live together as Human family on EARTH peacefully
Do not die for something is not really there! It is only as VERY SUPER SKILLFUL TINH VI TECHNICAL LIVING ACTING IMAGES those have been projected, produced, promoted, remote, controlled, played, displayed virtually by BIGGER UNIVERSE that no Human has been in touch relatively yet!
Do not die for something is really not there, oil for example, they are super, super, and super skillful images those have been projected, controlled, produced, proceeded, played, displayed, programmed, remote, and promote virtually by BIGGER UNIVERSE and from Bigger Universe carries our universe !!!!!!!!!!!!
We should not die for something is not real, especially when we can have better way to produce resources we need!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
THIS IS A COMPLETE SOLUTION FOR CHINA AND VIETNAM AND THE WORLD IN NEXT HALF OF THIS CENTURY, 21ST CENTURY, AND 22 ND CENTURY.
Notes:
Those programmed images can and could react on each other marvelously as living, acting, working as living all over Universe!
If you can look deep, very , very, very deep you might have a chance, very slim chance to none, to see what in our universe and Bigger Universe . . . . . . . . . .
TINH VI is as VERY, VERY, AND VERY much in details, very much in details of super, super Programming ! ! ! !
We can move thing easily by the size of SPACE – FINAL PARTICLES, then even the islands can be yours with nobody know and can compete . . . . . . . However, the technologies might be 200 years away, Suddenly, the unpredictable, Incredible Dynamics of Space – Time – Particles – Motion rules, the four main factors of Dynamics all over Universe, might be faster than 200 years, instead it might be 50 years away only ! ! !
Space – Time – Particles (Matter) – Motion might have different direction for now . . . . . . . . . . .
Until then, I hope everybody go for peace and enjoy life, do not go for War; especially, if you have been through war before . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Keep in Mind LIVING is very, very, and very high function in Bigger Universe Programming and above and out of Bigger Universe controlling in special cases ! ! ! ! !
Edward J Wood on Tue, 3rd Jun 2014 3:15 pm
I hope Russia’s alliance with Red China works out better than their alliance with Nazi Germany.
DW on Wed, 4th Jun 2014 3:52 am
I think the World order should not be on the hands of only USA. The World power should be balanced.Therefore, the Russia-China alliance is mandatory. US must keep out of interfering life in the world. All the mess and damage by US in Iraq and other parts of the world, just with out any reason are illegal and unlawful. Let US forces return back to their own country. No need of death of US soldiers for no reason any where in the world.