Register

Peak Oil is You


Donate Bitcoins ;-) or Paypal :-)

Donate Bitcoin



Donate Paypal

Page added on October 20, 2019

Bookmark and Share

6 Warning Signs That Civil Unrest Is Imminent

6 Warning Signs That Civil Unrest Is Imminent thumbnail

This week has been “interesting” in South America. Interesting, indeed, but as in the ancient Chinese curse style.

For those of us in this side of the hemisphere, having been able to witness first-hand, in the front line, how the very same plot that made us get the heck out of our country, is unleashing a vendetta against the countries that have received us Venezuelans.

I know geopolitical issues are not the intention of this blog, but please, allow me to continue. It will be necessary to establish a context of the circumstances. This vendetta I mentioned, has the exact same features that Fidel Castro once sent to Miami, from Mariel, in Cuba (a pilot test?). President Moreno has accused directly to Maduro of sending hidden terrorists, camouflaged between the refugees. For those readers interested that maybe are going to buy the book Daisy and I are writing, you will find a direct relationship between travels of communist leaders to South America, and civilian turmoil generated within a suspiciously short time frame after their “visit”. This is not the only indicator of troubles, indeed. If we remember, in 1988 the Venezuelan president Carlos Andres Perez invited Fidel to his ceremony of possession. Some people who were there informed that a significant part of the companions of Fidel for that ceremony did not come back to Cuba. They stayed in Venezuela.

This said, it is not hard to suppose what kind of influence these “visitors” had in the 1989 coup d’etat. The incredible violence unleashed in the cities was something totally unexpected, and rarely seen in a country such as Venezuela. For more details, you will read about it in the book, with some testimonies of friends and acquaintances, and some anecdotic data. I was like 15 at the time and remember everything as it was yesterday.

The objective, finally, of this article is getting to the reader accustomed to this idea: civilian turmoil presents so suddenly that maybe the only option you will have is to bug in.

Alex Jones brought a bullhorn and tank to the Dallas, Texas Trump rally. Watch as angry leftists violate Alex Jones’ First Amendment right to free-speech.

A couple of weeks ago, everything was so quiet in Ecuador that it was even boring. Don’t believe me? Watch the news. A few days ago, a violent mob kicked out the police out of their way and invaded the National Assembly (something very similar, indeed to what happened in Venezuela).

A very volatile situation is brewing in all of South America.

Countries that had been relatively peaceful are now (thanks to the hidden terrorists sent by the Maduro regime) a powder barrel. The timing could not be worst for me and my reduced family group. An old illness has come back and I´m struggling to recover at least partially before things get worst. Fortunately, we are in a popular neighborhood where there are lots of Venezuelans, and the people renting me have no complains because I´ve been quite a good tenant: no noises, paying on time (thanks to my extreme frugality and the generosity of a few readers, I have to acknowledge). They are a senior couple and hardly would allow me to get hurt by an angry mob or someone of my family. However, I´m ready to defend myself and mines.

OK, here´s the thing. Maybe you can have some indications in the nearby days about how bad things can get, all of a sudden. You won´t even notice it until you´re in the middle. If you don´t believe me just ask to Ecuadorians. They were caught in the middle of a geopolitical storm stirred from abroad. Looting, empty shelves as a result, and half of the country blocked because of the mobs. Tear gas, and shootings. Three young men thrown from a bridge by other angry enemies. Things like this happen when people are exposed, and unaware.

I want to tell you something. I’m not in my better moment these days. But every time I need to go outside for some reason, I do it with the firm, strong idea in my mind, of defending myself and my family (and the means to do it). Being partially impeded, defense will have to be lightning quick and disabling. No mercy and I am sorry about this, but it’s true. It’s the survivor’s mind setup clicking in since I saw the chain of events. Facing the law afterward? Sure, as much as the taken down predators face it too. There is footage of an angry mob (identified with leftist guerrilla colors by the way) beating with batons innocent people inside a building. Same as Germany in the 30s. Jeez.

If for some reason in the future these few paragraphs save your life or someone’s you love, I will feel rewarded.

Although our exposition to xenophobic behavior has been minimal, I´m pretty aware how bad things can get under the current social climate. Therefore, signals definitely can´t be ignored. Every society of the world, unfortunately, seems to have the potential for civilian turmoil, and the possibility of the appearance of more or less organized gangs of marauders NEVER can be dismissed. (I´m sorry Canada, never been there but maybe even you have some percentage of this happening somewhere in the future).

Here are 6 signs that civilian unrest is impending or already occurring.

The first sign, of course, is bad looks when you walk on the street. Small groups of people (especially young men) staring at you? Don´t show fear, but leave the place fast, and find a safe spot. A shop, a restaurant, someplace with guards, preferably. If you´re classified as a “vulnerable” inhabitant (a migrant, ethnical minority, etc.) you know what I´m talking about. Don´t expose yourself and become gray. No one will open an investigation until much time afterwards an attack under these circumstances. And what we want to avoid is an attack.

The second sign, perhaps this is more subtle, when you see people that normally would be polite or indifferent, as a minimum, starts to look at you in sort of aggressive manner. It´s surprising the number of women from a certain age up that have insulted and been racist with Venezuelans in some countries. (Well maybe surprising for some single people…not as much for me already anyway LOL)

The third sign, of course, is people disappearing off the streets. I think one of my worst nightmares would be to be walking with my kid in middle downtown, and suddenly to find ourselves roaming in deserted streets because there is an aggressive gang coming and you can´t see it. One of my friends was caught in the middle of the coup d’etat to Rafael Correa a few years ago in Ecuador, and when he finally could arrive at the hostel he supposed to have booked in, the lady running the place kick his suitcase by the stairs, closed the door and never opened. Go figure. A Venezuelan never would have treated someone like that, and I am proud to say this.

The fourth sign is (obviously) Law Enforcement Officials (LEOs) presence in massive amounts in the streets. Any kind of uniform is a strong indication of expected turmoil. Find cover.

The fifth sign in modern times would be (because in the demonstrations the uniforms used it massively to identify potential groups as a target) drones flying close to some blockage or LEOs control point. And I know this because people who took part in the demonstrations informed me. Everything was peaceful, and after they saw the drones, minutes later all hells broke lose.

The sixth sign, and the last one, is when you start seeing people wearing a single color. All in black, or all in white, or all sharing a bandana, or some symbol that indicates they are part of a group.

Be prepared to defend yourself and your loved ones.

This said, the logical protection measures have to be taken: carry a baton, disguised as a cane. This will work better if one can simulate a limp or something. That´s my first choice. The second one (depending on the laws of the area) would be a concealed knife. A small brown paper brown with a loaf of bread, a peach or apple and some cheese could be useful to explain why we are carrying this, just in case. This would be in my briefcase. I walk decently dressed, but not too much that I call the attention. For some reason I think that someone in a cheap jacket could be attacked by a racist mob faster than someone dressed up with a suit (maybe think one can be a lawyer?).

Any other blunt weapon that can be concealed should work. Be creative. Nunchukus (for those that have practiced martial arts like me) can be easily concealed under loose gym pants, for instance.

But the best protection is exposing yourself as little as possible. This is what I like the most of home-based jobs. An old friend complained about crime rate being so high…but he was a young man in his low 30s and loved partying all night long as a male cat….That saddlebag comes with the horse when you buy it, fellow!

The Organic Prepper blog



288 Comments on "6 Warning Signs That Civil Unrest Is Imminent"

  1. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 7:33 am 

    We all no I lost the deabates when i’m cussing and name callin. Which is allot.

  2. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 7:34 am 

    When the whole world is globalized, you’re going to be able to set fire to the whole thing with a single match.

    —Rene Girard

    https://kunstler.com/what-is-liminality-guest-essay-by-jasun-horsley/

  3. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 7:36 am 

    Did I mention I am spending less time on this lame unmoderated forum to concentrate on my own lame blog?

    I think I might of.

  4. JuanP speaking through Davy's ID on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 7:50 am 

    Obviously juanp is very triggered by Davy. His widdle feelings were so so hurt 18 months ago so he has made it his mission in life to be a daily troll. This is all day long mindless trolling. He copy and paste the same shit an none of it says anything of importance. This just reflects on how worthless he is as a human.

    Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 7:36 am Did I mention I am spending less time on this lame unmoderated forum to concentrate on my own lame blog? I think I might of.

  5. JuanP speaking through Davy's ID on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 7:53 am 

    See JuanP is saying nothing like the coward he is. If he had balls he would engage me in debate but the stupid 3rd worlder is a GED graduate. OH he can spell so well but he does not have anything intellectual in his head. He is the classic case of a fuck up

    Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 7:33 am We all no I lost the deabates when i’m cussing and name callin. Which is allot.

  6. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 7:57 am 

    Oops, sorry for getting all triggered and losing my widdle temper again y’all.

    I can’t help myself.

  7. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:00 am 

    Nord Stream II will be completed in two months time:

    https://deepresource.wordpress.com/2019/10/25/nord-stream-2-update/

    A fact of huge geopolitical significance.

  8. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:02 am 

    I have no self control.

  9. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:09 am 

    Kanye West has defeated his porn addiction, so nothing stands in the way anymore for him to become US-president:

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-7610931/Kanye-West-predicts-President-asked-album-collaborators-abstain-sex.html

    “Kanye West reveals he predicts he will be US President, is no longer addicted to porn and asked album collaborators to abstain from sex in EXPLOSIVE new interview with Zane Lowe”

    #Idiocracy

    https://www.bbc.com/news/newsbeat-50178788

    “Kanye West: ‘I’m the greatest artist of all time'”

    That’s really cool, Kanye!

    #LunaticsTakingOverAsylum

  10. JuanP speaking through Davy's ID on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:10 am 

    JuanP is highly triggered and in a state of obsessive cyber stalking. How many times has he said the same mindless shit like bellow?

    Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 7:57 am Oops, sorry for getting all triggered and losing my widdle temper again y’all. I can’t help myself.

    Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:02 am I have no self control.

  11. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:12 am 

    Doing the “State of the Union” in moddafokka rap rhythm, now that would be innovative!

  12. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:25 am 

    “What a joke, macron is an unpopular leader with little influence.”

    Huh? He is currently the de facto leader in Europe.

    On top of that his ratings have recovered from a 24% minimum to 34% now. Ratings only count during an election btw.

    https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/france/

    If you scroll down you see he is still before le Pen, limiting his options in immigration.

    I remain mildly positive about Macron.

  13. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:26 am 

    Oops, sorry y’all. I meant to say below. I hate this stupid sell phone.

  14. joe on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:27 am 

    said it already here. the eu want nothing from the uk except a comissioner. the eu cannot function without one if the uk are still part of the EUssr on nov 1st. therefore imho the labour party will vote Bercow to be pm on his last day as speaker, he will revoke art50 and then they will support an election. the eu will of course give an extension, but it seems Macron has been crying into his cheese that his comissioner got voted down and now hes clearly making threats that unless he gets his way in future hell do somthing else crazy (like block a deal or extension ) he already (temporarily ) vetoed Albania and North Macedonias acsesion to the EUSSR. hes crezy heel do it!!! who could doubt that crazy cheese look in his eye.
    anyway the truth is that Um Merkel will arm twist everyone into tagging along like good lap dogs, she just needs more time to do it. imrho only a second referendum or revoking art50 will make Merkel happy, election will default into no deal, as far as she is concerned extension for another potentially hung Parliament is a waste of time. her agents in Parliament just need to pluck up the balls to do what we know they want to do. (btw, theyll say they had to do it to prevent a no deal)

  15. joe on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:30 am 

    hope to see nord stream 2 finished any time soon. competition is good for any market. keeps eveeryone calm and in good standing. pity obama, killary and joe biden didnt consider that.

  16. JuanP speaking through Davy's ID on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:34 am 

    more mindless JuanP stupidity. He truly deserves his nickname “stupid”

    “Oops, sorry y’all. I meant to say below. I hate this stupid sell phone.”

  17. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:42 am 

    “What a joke, macron is an unpopular leader with little influence.” Huh? He is currently the de facto leader in Europe.”

    BULLSHIT, he thinks he is but not with the people

  18. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:47 am 

    “Oops, sorry y’all. I meant to say below. I hate this stupid sell phone.”

    Now you know why I require a good boot upside my head on a regular bases.

  19. JuanP speaking through Davy's ID on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:52 am 

    You are the triggered one with really hurt feelings not me. I have no problem dealing with a troll like you. In fact it is an honor to put you down as an example of what is bad in life.

    Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:47 am
    “Oops, sorry y’all. I meant to say below. I hate this stupid sell phone.” Now you know why I require a good boot upside my head on a regular bases.”

  20. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 8:55 am 

    Sorry y’all, I can’t help myself. I have no self control.

  21. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 9:01 am 

    I’m just a miserable lonely insane old man. If it wasn’t fer the murical of oil I’d be dead all ready.

  22. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 9:08 am 

    Why the US remains in Syria: to “protect the oil”.

    Against who?

    The legitimate Assad government.

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/10/deploy-troops-eastern-syrian-secure-oil-fields-191025022517393.html

    “US to deploy more troops to eastern Syria to secure oilfields”

    https://consortiumnews.com/2019/10/24/us-troops-staying-in-syria-to-keep-the-oil-have-already-killed-hundreds/

    “US Troops Staying in Syria to ‘Keep the Oil’ Have Already Killed Hundreds”

    CNN made it plain when it reported the following in an undeniably blunt passage, citing anonymous U.S. senior military officials:

    “The US military has long had military advisers embedded with the Syrian Democratic Forces near the Syrian oil fields at Deir Ezzoir ever since the area was captured from ISIS. The loss of those oil fields denied ISIS a major source of revenue, a one-time source of funds that has differentiated the organization from other terror groups.

    The oil fields are assets that have also been long sought after by Russia and the Assad regime, which is strapped for cash after years of civil war. Both Moscow and Damascus hope to use oil revenues to help rebuild western Syria and solidify the regime’s hold.

    In a bid to seize the oil fields, Russian mercenaries attacked the areas, leading to a clash that saw dozens if not hundreds of Russian mercenaries killed in U.S. airstrikes, an episode that Trump has touted as proof he is tough on Russia. That action helped deter Russian or regime forces from making similar bids for the oil fields.

    The U.S.forces near the oil fields remain in place and senior military officials had previously told CNN that they would likely be among the last to leave Syria.”

    Leave they will, sooner or later, with some luck dead, as Assad-Putin-Iran-Kurds retake entire Syria. Kurds are no longer the buddies of the US. Should be a walk-over.

  23. JuanP speaking through Davy's ID on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 9:31 am 

    juanp, you are an intellectual coward unable to face me in debate. You prove everyday you are here stalking how much of a failure you are. I have no problems exposing your mindless cyber stalking activities. You are ruining this board for private mentally dysfunctional satisfactions. You prove daily your egotistical behavior. How your wife puts up with you is anyone’s guess. She must be a loser like you.

    Davy said I’m just a miserable lonely insane old man. If it…

    Davy said Sorry y’all, I can’t help myself. I have no self c…

  24. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 9:33 am 

    “Why the US remains in Syria: to “protect the oil”.”

    cloggo, I thought you said the US was gone. Shows WTF you know. It is a good thing I am here to keep your deceptiveness contained.

  25. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 9:49 am 

    More disadvantages of globalism:

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-7612873/No-country-fully-prepared-deadly-pandemic-report-finds.html

    “A deadly pandemic could sweep the world in hours and kill millions because NO country is fully prepared, report claims”

    In 1918, 50-100 million died from the “Spanish flu” in a matter of 3 years (3-5% global population).

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu

    Everybody censored the news, not to undermine war morale, except neutral Spain. Hence the false impression that it was a Spanish thingy.

    Could happen any time again. 5% of 7 billion is 350 million, that is the equivalent population of the entire US.

  26. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 9:50 am 

    “I thought you said the US was gone.”

    That’s what Trump said initially.

    So you saw a news update about amendments a little earlier than I did. Congratulations. What a champ!

  27. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 9:54 am 

    More deglobalisation:

    Signs that Russia is switching towards a national internet only:

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-7613205/Russia-start-testing-new-internal-version-web-amid-fears-widespread-censorship.html

    “Russia about to TURN OFF its internet? Government ‘to start testing new internal version of the web in bid to protect country from cyber attack’ amid fears of widespread censorship”

    All for it. Would applaud a European-only internet. Anything that advances deglobalization.

  28. Duncan Idaho on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 9:55 am 

    “Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.”

    — Pablo Picasso

  29. supremacist muzzie jerk on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 9:58 am 

    supertard Imaginary Nig GREEN Goat SAW SAWS pbuh swt.

    you losing cool lately. please go play with ur Old MacDonald Had a Farm goat playset and auto keltecs.

    Listen-act

  30. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 10:16 am 

    “I thought you said the US was gone.” That’s what Trump said initially.”

    LOL, now it comes out. You take any info you can get regardless of the source and consider it gospel of course if it dovetails with the agenda. You then spit it out quite frequently having to backpedal when it comes out to be false

  31. JuanP's lunatic sock on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 10:17 am 

    Please, folks, read this and ask yourself is juanP a complete idiot???

    supremacist muzzie jerk on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 9:58 am supertard Imaginary Nig GREEN Goat SAW SAWS pbuh swt. you losing cool lately. please go play with ur Old MacDonald Had a Farm goat playset and auto keltecs. Listen-act

  32. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 10:20 am 

    “All for it. Would applaud a European-only internet. Anything that advances deglobalization.”

    LOL, if you are so into a Euroland internet start now and beat the rush. Get off our anglo one here at PO dot com. We are tired of your 20/7 bombardment of the world according to the cloggo.

  33. The Importance of Being Earnest on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 11:21 am 

    “Please, folks, read this and ask yourself is juanP a complete idiot???”

    One hour later and the response is…. the sound of crickets since most posters are sophisticated enough to know that you regularly engage in identity theft and socks in a pathetic and failed effort to discredit your imaginary nemesis “JuanP”

    Isn’t it about time to trot out some imaginary supporters?

  34. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 11:47 am 

    “Get off our anglo one here at PO dot com. We are tired of your 20/7 bombardment of the world according to the cloggo.”

    Who is “we”?

    Davy, you and yourself, eh?

    Before I go we first need to re-Europianize you. After the break we are going to have as many internets as there will be poles in the multi-polar world order.

  35. The Board on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 11:57 am 

    We don’t mind your political commentary Cloggie. Please carry on and try your best to ignore the insane old troll. Everybody else does.

  36. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 12:01 pm 

    France now really wants to get rid of Britain fast by helping BoJo to get his Brexit deal passed the Commons and force to create a new situation that could break the dead-lock:

    New elections.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7612655/EU-not-Brexit-delay-election-decision-made.html

    “France ‘joins PM’s battle to get Brexit done’: Boris Johnson is ‘working with Emmanuel Macron’ to turn the screw on dithering Jeremy Corbyn – as Labour leader STILL refuses to say if he will back election”

    France says: first agree on new elections and then we can talk about extension of article 50.

    As I said, Macron is currently the de facto leader in Europe.

  37. JuanP stupidity on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 12:03 pm 

    from stupid:

    The Board said We don’t mind your political commentary Cloggie. P…

    The Importance of Being Earnest said “Please, folks, read this and ask yourself i…

  38. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 12:06 pm 

    “Get off our anglo one here at PO dot com. We are tired of your 20/7 bombardment of the world according to the cloggo.” Who is “we”?
    The royal “We” dumbass. I think most people would agree you are here too much.

    “Before I go we first need to re-Europianize you. “
    I have more culture in my little finger nail than in all of you cloggo. You are a disgusting example of a white racist loud mouth Eurotard.

  39. The Board on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 12:15 pm 

    Make yourself useful and go away Davy. Nobody wants your dumb ass here anymore.

  40. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 12:28 pm 

    “have more culture in my little finger nail than in all of you cloggo.”

    All you have under your little finger nail is goat shit.

  41. More JuanP stupidity on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 12:35 pm 

    from stupid:

    The Board said Make yourself useful and go away Davy. Nobody want…

  42. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 12:41 pm 

    It’s insane how stupid I am.

    dumbasses

  43. joe on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 12:51 pm 

    cloggie is right. macron appears to be on the side of the uk leaving the eu. Charles deGaulle never wanted them in it because of exactly this Brexit situation. the euro style is more authoriarian then the chaotic british democratic style. seriously, in what other country could you have all the other minority parties ordering their government around? its the culture that can tolerate that too. thats a clear example of why the british are not like the europeans. Um Merkel is finished and the Germans could be coming to a real crisis of its own as it must answer the questions facing itself such as the results of the impact of Merkels decision in 2015 allowing migrants, coffin trucks which are filled with migrants paying gangsters to cross open boarders, returning isis memebers, and recession. macron thinks the EUSSR is big enough and it should put its own house in order before it grows, also peripherals countries which are islamic and mafia states should reform before entering the EUSSR, not enter the EUSSR 1ST and hopefully reform later. im sure macron will be happy to expand once the EUssr gets its army, constitution and executive powers. it wont be sovreign until it does. the uk will only seek to weaken those ambitions, even Corbyn hates the EU, he just knows that his base are sjws and marxists who see the eussr as protection and routes to carrears as fake socialists.

  44. Cloggie on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 12:52 pm 

    Smarty Patrick Cockburn confirming that Assad will regain control over entire Syria and that Erdogan will accept that:

    https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/syria-turkey-kurds-lebanon-usa-russia-forces-middle-east-peace-a9171576.html

    “The final outcome of the multiple Syrian wars is now in sight”

  45. joe on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 12:57 pm 

    assad hasnt controlled the oil since turkey/nato backed isis to drive his forces out of it in 2013/14, he has adapted and he now clearly gets his energy from Iran/ChinaRussia. US tanks parked beside spiggots will be jihadis targets and nobody will care. Assad will build a big wall around the oil and tell trump to go sell it to his friend Erdogan (who will probobly be couped out of a job very soon). erdogan is becoming a serious liability to nato after the kashooji affair and now driving back the Kurd/US from his border.

  46. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 1:03 pm 

    “Did Trump Outsmart Putin With Syria Retreat?”
    https://tinyurl.com/yxvdk8cy Bloomberg

    “Sooner or later, al-Qaeda, Islamic State or the next iteration of jihad will break loose in Syria. When that happens, the Russians will be the new Satan on the block. Their diplomats in Damascus will come under attack, as will Russian troops. More troops will be sent to defend them. Putin’s much-prized Mediterranean naval installations will require reinforcement. And so on. Soon enough, jihad will inflame Russia’s large Muslim population. Moscow itself will become a terrorist target. The “safety zone” that Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan have recently carved from northern Syria will collapse. Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad rightly considers it a violation of his country’s sovereignty, and if he can persuade his Russian patrons to shut down the zone, Erdogan will threaten another invasion. If Putin then sides with Turkey, Assad will take matters into his own hands. His army may not be fit for fighting armed opponents, but the Kurds are and can act as Assad’s proxies. If and when such a border fight develops, Putin will find himself between Assad and Erdogan. Whatever he does, he will wind up in that most vulnerable of Middle Eastern positions, the friend of somebody’s enemy. As the big power in charge, Russia also will be expected to help its Syrian client rebuild the damage from the civil war. Physical reconstruction alone is expected to cost $400-500 billion. This is a bill Trump had no intention of paying — and one more reason he was glad to hand northern Syria to Putin. Russia cannot afford a project of this magnitude. It’s possible that Putin expects EU countries to foot the bill — motivated either by humanitarian impulses or by the desire to forestall another wave of destitute immigrants. But this is wishful thinking. Faced with a potential influx of Syrian refugees, Europe is more likely to raise barriers on its southern and eastern borders than to invest in affordable housing in the ruins of Aleppo and Homs. What’s more, Syria needs more than new housing. It needs an entire economy. Tourism, once a major industry, has vanished. The country’s relatively insignificant oilfields are inoperable or in the hands of the tiny contingent of U.S. troops that’s left to guard them. And the country’s biggest export product is spice seeds. Critics who see the U.S. withdrawal as an act of weakness that will hurt American prestige and influence in the Middle East are wrong. The Arab world understands realpolitik and will read Trump’s indifference to the fate of Syria as the self-serving behavior of the strong horse. For that is what the U.S. is. It has far more naval power, air dominance, strategic weaponry and intelligence assets than any other country in the region, including Russia. And its allies are the richest, best situated and most militarily potent countries in the Middle East. Not one of them will trade its relationship with Washington for an alliance with Moscow, and Trump knows this. As far as he’s concerned, Putin is welcome to the sandbox and the briar patch.”

  47. joe on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 1:13 pm 

    russia is using a very minimal profile in syria. their achievements have been by using allies. my biggest concern for syria is that erdogan becomes totally unhinged and sees Russia, Iran, Syria and the US as nothing more than proxies of Israel and Saudi Arabia. then shit could get seriously complex. the russians did far better than the us because they were INVITED in by the UN recognised legitimate government. Hillary Clinton was the one who persuaded Obama that giving guns to isis was a good idea. us military presence has always been illegal and illegitimate, Kurdish nationhood might have justified that, but that would have meant fighting or at least terminally destabilising another NATO member. there was no realistic choice and the us took advantage of kurdish desperation. assad hasnt gotten a victory nor thd US a defeat. the status quo has been restored at the cost of millions dead or sent into exile. the US was defeated in iraq and will be in Afghanistan. what a waste

  48. Davy on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 1:52 pm 

    Oops, sorry y’all. Wrong link again.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/did-trump-outsmart-putin-syria-retreat

  49. JuanP on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 2:05 pm 

    Oops, sorry again y’all. I spelt my sock Guenette rong.

  50. Truth Buster on Fri, 25th Oct 2019 2:06 pm 

    That’s OK JuanP, you are a 3rd worlder who never completed high school.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *